Luis Durango
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 27 | AAA/AA/INTL3 orgs | 402 | .263/.338/.316 | 1 | 25 | 66 | — | .254/.299/.307 |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 528 | .303/.348/.378 | 2 | 41 | 78 | — | .278/.312/.337 |
| 2016 | 30 | AAAOlmecas de Ta… | 34 | .226/.273/.226 | 0 | 2 | 17 | — | .188/.212/.188 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 19 | ROK | VSL Red Sox/Padres | — | 239 | 190 | 65 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 37 | 25 | 10 | 19 | 13 | 342 | 473 | 384 | 857 | 42 | 394 | 10 | 15 | 397 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 20 | ROK | AZL Padres | — | 170 | 143 | 54 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 23 | 16 | 2 | 17 | 6 | 378 | 470 | 448 | 918 | 70 | 425 | 9 | 14 | 412 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | A+ | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 87 | 72 | 31 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 431 | 518 | 514 | 1.032 | 83 | 463 | 8 | 15 | 452 | 169 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | A | Fort Wayne Wizards | — | 389 | 334 | 102 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 49 | 43 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 305 | 396 | 365 | 761 | 60 | 347 | 11 | 13 | 346 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | AA | San Antonio Missions | — | 561 | 456 | 128 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 81 | 70 | 2 | 44 | 17 | 281 | 391 | 309 | 700 | 29 | 330 | 12 | 14 | 318 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | MLB | San Diego Padres | — | 53 | 48 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 250 | 308 | 250 | 558 | 293 | 13 | 8 | 258 | 62 | -2 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +1 | 0.2 | |
| 2010 | 24 | AAA | Portland Beavers | — | 423 | 363 | 109 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 45 | 59 | 1 | 35 | 16 | 300 | 379 | 325 | 704 | 25 | 357 | 14 | 11 | 317 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | INTL | Bravos de Margarita | — | 67 | 55 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 200 | 312 | 218 | 531 | 18 | 229 | 10 | 13 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AAA | Oklahoma City RedHawks | — | 387 | 331 | 85 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 41 | 54 | 4 | 28 | 14 | 257 | 346 | 296 | 642 | 39 | 305 | 14 | 11 | 293 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | INTL | Yaquis de Obregon | — | 34 | 30 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 233 | 324 | 267 | 590 | 33 | 304 | 21 | 12 | 280 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AAA | Gwinnett Braves | — | 565 | 499 | 144 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 50 | 90 | 0 | 46 | 16 | 289 | 353 | 335 | 688 | 46 | 350 | 16 | 9 | 307 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | INTL | Caribes de Anzoategui | — | 137 | 112 | 32 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 17 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 286 | 394 | 330 | 724 | 45 | 333 | 12 | 14 | 327 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 215 | 200 | 56 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 39 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 280 | 318 | 360 | 678 | 80 | 344 | 18 | 5 | 300 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 129 | 106 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 245 | 370 | 264 | 634 | 19 | 306 | 16 | 16 | 302 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | INTL | Tomateros de Culiacan | — | 58 | 48 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 229 | 339 | 250 | 589 | 21 | 275 | 14 | 14 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 468 | 427 | 130 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 31 | 66 | 0 | 35 | 10 | 304 | 352 | 379 | 731 | 75 | 356 | 14 | 7 | 323 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | INTL | Yaquis de Obregon | — | 60 | 55 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 291 | 316 | 364 | 679 | 73 | 327 | 12 | 3 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 30 | AAA | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 34 | 31 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 226 | 273 | 226 | 499 | 259 | 12 | 6 | 227 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 53 | 48 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 250 | 308 | 250 | 558 | 293 | 13 | 8 | 258 | 60 | -2 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +1 | 0.2 | |||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 19 | ROK MLE | VSL Red Sox/Padres | — | 239 | 203 | 49 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 31 | 10 | 19 | 13 | 241 | 350 | 271 | 621 | 30 | 276 | 13 | 10 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 20 | ROK MLE | AZL Padres | — | 170 | 152 | 48 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 23 | 2 | 17 | 6 | 316 | 381 | 368 | 749 | 53 | 359 | 14 | 8 | 324 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | A+ MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 87 | 76 | 31 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 408 | 471 | 487 | 957 | 79 | 439 | 10 | 10 | 418 | 169 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | A MLE | Fort Wayne Wizards | — | 389 | 349 | 99 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 34 | 58 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 284 | 349 | 338 | 687 | 54 | 331 | 15 | 9 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 561 | 481 | 136 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 57 | 85 | 2 | 44 | 17 | 283 | 361 | 310 | 671 | 27 | 326 | 15 | 10 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | MLB MLE | San Diego Padres | — | 53 | 48 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 250 | 308 | 250 | 558 | 293 | 13 | 8 | 259 | 62 | -2 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +1 | 0.2 | |
| 2010 | 24 | AAA MLE | Portland Beavers | — | 423 | 377 | 119 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 31 | 72 | 1 | 35 | 16 | 316 | 369 | 340 | 709 | 24 | 372 | 17 | 7 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City RedHawks | — | 387 | 343 | 84 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 29 | 71 | 4 | 28 | 14 | 245 | 311 | 283 | 594 | 38 | 296 | 18 | 7 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Braves | — | 565 | 515 | 142 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 34 | 115 | 0 | 46 | 16 | 276 | 321 | 322 | 643 | 47 | 338 | 20 | 6 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA MLE | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 215 | 204 | 55 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 45 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 270 | 294 | 343 | 637 | 74 | 329 | 21 | 3 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AA MLE | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 129 | 114 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 24 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 228 | 307 | 246 | 553 | 18 | 284 | 19 | 10 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 468 | 436 | 121 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 82 | 0 | 35 | 10 | 278 | 312 | 337 | 649 | 60 | 330 | 18 | 5 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 30 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 34 | 32 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 188 | 212 | 188 | 400 | 229 | 15 | 3 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2005 | 19 | ROK MLE | VSL Red Sox/Padres | — | 239 | 203 | 49 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 31 | 10 | 19 | 13 | 241 | 350 | 271 | 621 | 30 | 285 | 13 | 10 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 19 | ROK RAW | VSL Red Sox/Padres | — | 239 | 190 | 65 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 37 | 25 | 10 | 19 | 13 | 342 | 473 | 384 | 857 | 42 | 394 | 10 | 15 | 397 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 20 | ROK MLE | AZL Padres | — | 170 | 152 | 48 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 23 | 2 | 17 | 6 | 316 | 381 | 368 | 749 | 53 | 372 | 14 | 8 | 324 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 20 | ROK RAW | AZL Padres | — | 170 | 143 | 54 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 23 | 16 | 2 | 17 | 6 | 378 | 470 | 448 | 918 | 70 | 425 | 9 | 14 | 412 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 476 | 425 | 130 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 43 | 68 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 306 | 371 | 362 | 733 | 56 | 359 | 14 | 9 | 324 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 476 | 406 | 133 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 62 | 50 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 328 | 418 | 392 | 810 | 64 | 369 | 11 | 13 | 366 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 561 | 481 | 136 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 57 | 85 | 2 | 44 | 17 | 283 | 361 | 310 | 671 | 27 | 342 | 15 | 10 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | AA RAW | San Antonio Missions | — | 561 | 456 | 128 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 81 | 70 | 2 | 44 | 17 | 281 | 391 | 309 | 700 | 29 | 330 | 12 | 14 | 318 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 543 | 484 | 149 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 40 | 90 | 1 | 42 | 20 | 308 | 362 | 329 | 690 | 21 | 377 | 17 | 7 | 303 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 543 | 466 | 132 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 58 | 73 | 1 | 42 | 20 | 283 | 364 | 305 | 669 | 21 | 335 | 13 | 11 | 303 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 421 | 374 | 92 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 32 | 77 | 4 | 29 | 16 | 246 | 312 | 283 | 596 | 37 | 308 | 18 | 8 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 421 | 361 | 92 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 45 | 61 | 4 | 29 | 16 | 255 | 344 | 294 | 638 | 39 | 305 | 14 | 11 | 291 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 702 | 638 | 176 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 42 | 143 | 1 | 52 | 21 | 276 | 322 | 321 | 643 | 45 | 353 | 20 | 6 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 702 | 611 | 176 | 16 | 6 | 0 | 69 | 107 | 1 | 52 | 21 | 288 | 361 | 334 | 695 | 46 | 347 | 15 | 10 | 311 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 402 | 370 | 94 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 81 | 1 | 25 | 14 | 254 | 299 | 305 | 605 | 51 | 323 | 20 | 6 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 402 | 354 | 93 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 39 | 68 | 1 | 25 | 14 | 263 | 338 | 316 | 654 | 54 | 323 | 17 | 10 | 297 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 528 | 491 | 137 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 92 | 0 | 41 | 11 | 279 | 313 | 342 | 655 | 63 | 338 | 17 | 5 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 528 | 482 | 146 | 20 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 73 | 0 | 41 | 11 | 303 | 348 | 378 | 725 | 75 | 352 | 14 | 6 | 319 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 30 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 34 | 32 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 188 | 212 | 188 | 400 | 222 | 15 | 3 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2016 | 30 | AAA RAW | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 34 | 31 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 226 | 273 | 226 | 499 | 259 | 12 | 6 | 227 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2005 | 19 | ROK MLE | VSL Red Sox/Padres | — | 239 | 203 | 49 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 31 | 10 | 19 | 13 | 241 | 350 | 271 | 621 | 30 | 276 | 13 | 10 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 20 | ROK MLE | AZL Padres | — | 170 | 152 | 48 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 23 | 2 | 17 | 6 | 316 | 381 | 368 | 749 | 53 | 359 | 14 | 8 | 324 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 476 | 429 | 130 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 43 | 68 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 303 | 371 | 359 | 730 | 56 | 351 | 14 | 9 | 324 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 561 | 497 | 136 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 57 | 85 | 2 | 44 | 17 | 274 | 361 | 300 | 661 | 26 | 326 | 15 | 10 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 543 | 497 | 149 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 40 | 90 | 1 | 42 | 20 | 300 | 362 | 320 | 682 | 20 | 363 | 17 | 7 | 303 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 421 | 382 | 92 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 32 | 77 | 4 | 29 | 16 | 241 | 312 | 277 | 590 | 37 | 296 | 18 | 8 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 702 | 653 | 176 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 42 | 143 | 1 | 52 | 21 | 270 | 322 | 314 | 636 | 44 | 338 | 20 | 6 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 402 | 375 | 94 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 81 | 1 | 25 | 14 | 251 | 299 | 301 | 601 | 51 | 312 | 20 | 6 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 528 | 499 | 137 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 92 | 0 | 41 | 11 | 275 | 313 | 337 | 649 | 62 | 330 | 17 | 5 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 30 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 34 | 33 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 182 | 212 | 182 | 394 | 229 | 15 | 3 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 53 | 48 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 250 | 308 | 250 | 558 | 293 | 13 | 8 | 258 | 82 | -2 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +1 | 0.2 | ||
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 589 | 147 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 49 | 86 | 0 | 61 | 0 | 250 | 307 | 250 | 557 | 292 | 13 | 8 | 258 | 82 | -31 | +12 | +5 | +24 | +14 | 2.5 | ||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4076 | 3650 | 1017 | 86 | 28 | 4 | 300 | 695 | 22 | 286 | 127 | 279 | 337 | 321 | 658 | 42 | 342 | 17 | 7 | 289 | 82 | -2 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +1 | 0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 582 | 162 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 48 | 111 | 4 | 46 | 20 | 278 | 338 | 321 | 659 | 43 | 341 | 17 | 7 | 289 | 82 | -31 | +12 | +5 | +24 | +14 | 2.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2016 AAAOlmecas de Tabasco · 34 PAwOBA .222 → .193 (−29)K% 11.8% → 14.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.76% | ÷0.977 | ×1.200 | — | — | 14.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.88% | ÷0.933 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 4.23% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.93% | ÷1.022 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.972 | 22.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.142 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.872 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 104, 2B 128, 3B 100, K 95, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .222 → .193; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .259 → .229. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAOlmecas de Tabasco · 468 PAwOBA .316 → .282 (−34)K% 14.1% → 17.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.10% | ÷0.969 | ×1.200 | — | — | 17.46% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.62% | ÷0.986 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 4.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.36% | ÷1.017 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.982 | 27.69% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.99% | ÷1.011 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.982 | 4.22% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.11% | ÷0.986 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.982 | 1.07% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.55% | ÷1.011 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 0.38% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 103, 2B 102, 3B 97, K 94, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .316 → .282; ISO .075 → .064; BABIP .356 → .330. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAARojos del Aguila de Veracruz · 215 PAwOBA .290 → .269 (−21)K% 18.1% → 20.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.14% | ÷1.044 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.84% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.19% | ÷1.011 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 2.87% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.47% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.44% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.71% | ÷0.995 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.003 | 26.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.83% | ÷1.015 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.003 | 5.88% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.62% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.003 | 0.52% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.62% | ÷0.867 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 0.50% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 99, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 109, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .290 → .269; ISO .080 → .069; BABIP .344 → .329. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos · 129 PAwOBA .289 → .257 (−33)K% 16.3% → 18.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.28% | ÷1.050 | ×1.220 | — | — | 18.91% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.73% | ÷0.966 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.978 | 10.14% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.24% | ÷1.018 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.978 | 26.19% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.35% | ÷1.019 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×0.978 | 2.16% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.109 | ×0.880 | ×1.050 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.048 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 104, 2B 104, 3B 122, K 110, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .289 → .257; ISO .019 → .019; BABIP .306 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAAGwinnett Braves · 565 PAwOBA .300 → .279 (−21)K% 15.9% → 20.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.93% | ÷0.944 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.26% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.50% | ÷0.993 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 6.01% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.81% | ÷1.030 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 29.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.18% | ÷0.995 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 2.83% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.22% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 1.41% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.858 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 72, 1B 106, 2B 99, 3B 80, K 89, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .300 → .279; ISO .046 → .047; BABIP .350 → .338. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAAOklahoma City RedHawks · 387 PAwOBA .287 → .264 (−23)K% 14.0% → 18.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.95% | ÷0.979 | ×1.290 | — | — | 18.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.59% | ÷1.025 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.033 | 7.58% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.03% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.033 | 1.05% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.44% | ÷1.002 | ×0.900 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 26.73% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.81% | ÷0.885 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 1.79% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.44% | ÷0.974 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 1.30% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.934 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 100, 2B 77, 3B 95, K 96, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .287 → .264; ISO .039 → .038; BABIP .305 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAAPortland Beavers · 423 PAwOBA .309 → .309 (0)K% 13.9% → 17.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.95% | ÷1.055 | ×1.290 | — | — | 17.06% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.40% | ÷1.042 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.048 | 7.43% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.24% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.048 | 0.24% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.55% | ÷0.945 | ×0.900 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 35.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.64% | ÷0.945 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 1.55% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.66% | ÷0.939 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 0.62% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.875 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 75, 1B 89, 2B 89, 3B 88, K 111, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .309 → .309; ISO .025 → .025; BABIP .357 → .372. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 AASan Antonio Missions · 561 PAwOBA .311 → .297 (−14)K% 12.5% → 15.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.48% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 15.22% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.08% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 10.12% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.36% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 0.32% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.31% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 30.07% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 2.11% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.52% | ÷1.000 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 0.53% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .311 → .297; ISO .029 → .029; BABIP .330 → .326. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .