Gerardo Bustamante
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 27 | AAADelfines de C… | 192 | .233/.274/.324 | 4 | 2 | 45 | — | .219/.253/.287 |
| 2014 | 28 | AAADelfines de C… | 118 | .196/.224/.295 | 3 | 0 | 7 | — | .168/.190/.239 |
| 2015 | 29 | AAADelfines de C… | 127 | .259/.331/.384 | 3 | 6 | 56 | — | .207/.258/.293 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 19 | ROK | Missoula Osprey | — | 16 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 67 | 125 | 67 | 192 | 100 | 31 | 6 | 100 | -71 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2006 | 20 | ROK | Missoula Osprey | — | 62 | 60 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 200 | 226 | 250 | 476 | 50 | 261 | 23 | 3 | 216 | -12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 21 | ROK | Missoula Osprey | — | 112 | 97 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 216 | 303 | 340 | 643 | 124 | 247 | 19 | 11 | 286 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | A | South Bend Silver Hawks | — | 44 | 40 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 273 | 250 | 523 | 50 | 242 | 16 | 9 | 245 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AAA | Leones de Yucatan | — | 57 | 47 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 128 | 268 | 170 | 438 | 43 | 167 | 19 | 11 | 220 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AAA | Leones de Yucatan | — | 103 | 92 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 207 | 270 | 304 | 574 | 98 | 242 | 24 | 8 | 255 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AAA | Leones de Yucatan | — | 291 | 261 | 67 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 57 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 257 | 307 | 356 | 663 | 100 | 312 | 20 | 5 | 289 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 192 | 176 | 41 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 37 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 233 | 274 | 324 | 598 | 91 | 272 | 19 | 4 | 263 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 118 | 112 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 196 | 224 | 295 | 519 | 98 | 257 | 30 | 3 | 229 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 127 | 112 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 27 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 259 | 331 | 384 | 715 | 125 | 317 | 21 | 8 | 316 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 19 | ROK MLE | Missoula Osprey | — | 16 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 67 | 125 | 67 | 192 | 83 | 44 | 6 | 64 | -71 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2006 | 20 | ROK MLE | Missoula Osprey | — | 62 | 61 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 148 | 161 | 180 | 342 | 33 | 217 | 32 | 2 | 150 | -12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 21 | ROK MLE | Missoula Osprey | — | 112 | 102 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 157 | 211 | 235 | 446 | 78 | 198 | 27 | 6 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | A MLE | South Bend Silver Hawks | — | 44 | 41 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 171 | 227 | 220 | 447 | 49 | 218 | 23 | 7 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 57 | 49 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 122 | 232 | 163 | 395 | 41 | 163 | 25 | 7 | 190 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 103 | 94 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 191 | 240 | 287 | 527 | 96 | 228 | 28 | 6 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 291 | 266 | 65 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 65 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 244 | 282 | 327 | 609 | 83 | 291 | 22 | 4 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 192 | 178 | 39 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 40 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 219 | 253 | 287 | 539 | 67 | 256 | 21 | 3 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 118 | 113 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 168 | 190 | 239 | 429 | 71 | 232 | 34 | 3 | 179 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 127 | 116 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 207 | 258 | 293 | 551 | 86 | 262 | 24 | 5 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 19 | ROK MLE | Missoula Osprey | — | 16 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 67 | 125 | 67 | 192 | 125 | 44 | 6 | 64 | -71 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2005 | 19 | ROK RAW | Missoula Osprey | — | 16 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 67 | 125 | 67 | 192 | 100 | 31 | 6 | 100 | -71 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2006 | 20 | ROK MLE | Missoula Osprey | — | 62 | 61 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 148 | 161 | 180 | 342 | 33 | 220 | 32 | 2 | 150 | -12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 20 | ROK RAW | Missoula Osprey | — | 62 | 60 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 200 | 226 | 250 | 476 | 50 | 261 | 23 | 3 | 216 | -12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 21 | ROK MLE | Missoula Osprey | — | 112 | 102 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 157 | 211 | 235 | 446 | 78 | 200 | 27 | 6 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 21 | ROK RAW | Missoula Osprey | — | 112 | 97 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 216 | 303 | 340 | 643 | 124 | 247 | 19 | 11 | 286 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | A MLE | South Bend Silver Hawks | — | 44 | 41 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 171 | 227 | 220 | 447 | 49 | 226 | 23 | 7 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | A RAW | South Bend Silver Hawks | — | 44 | 40 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 273 | 250 | 523 | 50 | 242 | 16 | 9 | 245 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 57 | 49 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 122 | 232 | 163 | 395 | 41 | 171 | 25 | 7 | 190 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AAA RAW | Leones de Yucatan | — | 57 | 47 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 128 | 268 | 170 | 438 | 43 | 167 | 19 | 11 | 220 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 103 | 94 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 191 | 240 | 287 | 527 | 96 | 234 | 28 | 6 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AAA RAW | Leones de Yucatan | — | 103 | 92 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 207 | 270 | 304 | 574 | 98 | 242 | 24 | 8 | 255 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 291 | 266 | 65 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 65 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 244 | 282 | 327 | 609 | 83 | 310 | 22 | 4 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AAA RAW | Leones de Yucatan | — | 291 | 261 | 67 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 57 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 257 | 307 | 356 | 663 | 100 | 312 | 20 | 5 | 289 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 192 | 178 | 39 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 40 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 219 | 253 | 287 | 539 | 67 | 265 | 21 | 3 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA RAW | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 192 | 176 | 41 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 37 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 233 | 274 | 324 | 598 | 91 | 272 | 19 | 4 | 263 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 118 | 113 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 168 | 190 | 239 | 429 | 71 | 239 | 34 | 3 | 179 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA RAW | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 118 | 112 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 196 | 224 | 295 | 519 | 98 | 257 | 30 | 3 | 229 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 127 | 116 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 207 | 258 | 293 | 551 | 86 | 265 | 24 | 5 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA RAW | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 127 | 112 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 27 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 259 | 331 | 384 | 715 | 125 | 317 | 21 | 8 | 316 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 19 | ROK MLE | Missoula Osprey | — | 16 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 67 | 125 | 67 | 192 | 83 | 44 | 6 | 64 | -71 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2006 | 20 | ROK MLE | Missoula Osprey | — | 62 | 61 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 148 | 161 | 180 | 342 | 33 | 217 | 32 | 2 | 150 | -12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 21 | ROK MLE | Missoula Osprey | — | 112 | 104 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 154 | 211 | 231 | 442 | 77 | 198 | 27 | 6 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | A MLE | South Bend Silver Hawks | — | 44 | 41 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 171 | 227 | 220 | 447 | 49 | 218 | 23 | 7 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 57 | 50 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 120 | 232 | 160 | 392 | 40 | 163 | 25 | 7 | 190 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 103 | 96 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 188 | 240 | 281 | 521 | 94 | 228 | 28 | 6 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 291 | 275 | 65 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 65 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 236 | 282 | 316 | 599 | 80 | 291 | 22 | 4 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 192 | 182 | 39 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 40 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 214 | 253 | 280 | 533 | 66 | 256 | 21 | 3 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 118 | 114 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 190 | 237 | 426 | 70 | 232 | 34 | 3 | 179 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 127 | 118 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 203 | 258 | 288 | 546 | 85 | 262 | 24 | 5 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1122 | 1035 | 204 | 26 | 2 | 15 | 47 | 286 | 11 | 20 | 7 | 197 | 240 | 270 | 509 | 72 | 256 | 25 | 4 | 222 | 37 | -85 | +1 | +0 | +20 | +24 | -4.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 600 | 118 | 15 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 166 | 6 | 12 | 4 | 197 | 239 | 270 | 509 | 73 | 255 | 26 | 4 | 222 | 37 | -49 | +1 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -2.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2015 AAADelfines de Ciudad del Carmen · 127 PAwOBA .308 → .251 (−57)K% 21.3% → 24.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.26% | ÷1.049 | ×1.200 | — | — | 24.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.87% | ÷1.102 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 4.84% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.57% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 1.45% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.71% | ÷1.095 | ×0.930 | ×0.988 | ×0.982 | 20.35% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.88% | ÷0.934 | ×0.830 | ×0.988 | ×0.982 | 5.07% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.907 | ×0.920 | ×0.988 | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.53% | ÷0.867 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 2.80% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 119, 2B 87, 3B 81, K 110, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.
Result: wOBA .308 → .251; ISO .125 → .106; BABIP .317 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAADelfines de Ciudad del Carmen · 118 PAwOBA .222 → .179 (−44)K% 29.7% → 34.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.66% | ÷1.036 | ×1.200 | — | — | 34.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.39% | ÷1.021 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 2.27% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.08% | ÷0.978 | ×0.930 | ×0.988 | ×0.992 | 20.56% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.60% | ÷1.015 | ×0.830 | ×0.988 | ×0.992 | 2.08% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.988 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.90% | ÷1.079 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 2.51% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 96, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 107, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.
Result: wOBA .222 → .179; ISO .098 → .064; BABIP .257 → .232. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAADelfines de Ciudad del Carmen · 192 PAwOBA .257 → .234 (−22)K% 19.3% → 21.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.27% | ÷1.102 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.98% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.65% | ÷0.969 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 2.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.56% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 1.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.74% | ÷0.967 | ×0.930 | ×0.995 | ×1.003 | 22.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.88% | ÷0.995 | ×0.830 | ×0.995 | ×1.003 | 2.40% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.950 | ×0.920 | ×0.995 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.88% | ÷0.949 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 2.13% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 93, 2B 99, 3B 90, K 120, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.
Result: wOBA .257 → .234; ISO .091 → .072; BABIP .272 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAALeones de Yucatan · 291 PAwOBA .283 → .259 (−24)K% 19.6% → 22.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.59% | ÷1.053 | ×1.200 | — | — | 22.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.50% | ÷1.044 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 3.70% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.03% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.99% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.51% | ÷1.023 | ×0.930 | ×1.032 | ×1.018 | 23.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.88% | ÷1.023 | ×0.830 | ×1.032 | ×1.018 | 5.01% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.49% | ÷1.045 | ×0.920 | ×1.032 | ×1.018 | 0.45% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.96% | ÷0.867 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 1.61% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 105, 2B 105, 3B 109, K 111, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.032.
Result: wOBA .283 → .259; ISO .100 → .088; BABIP .312 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAALeones de Yucatan · 103 PAwOBA .254 → .230 (−23)K% 24.3% → 28.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.27% | ÷1.041 | ×1.200 | — | — | 27.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.77% | ÷0.949 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 5.83% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.88% | ÷1.021 | ×0.930 | ×1.003 | ×1.033 | 22.55% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.006 | ×0.830 | ×1.003 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.003 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.48% | ÷0.794 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 4.08% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 59, 1B 104, 2B 101, 3B 130, K 108, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.
Result: wOBA .254 → .230; ISO .098 → .091; BABIP .242 → .228. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAALeones de Yucatan · 57 PAwOBA .215 → .190 (−25)K% 19.3% → 24.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.30% | ÷0.949 | ×1.200 | — | — | 24.41% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.53% | ÷1.004 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 7.59% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.26% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 5.18% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.89% | ÷0.991 | ×0.930 | ×1.020 | ×1.048 | 13.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.995 | ×0.830 | ×1.020 | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.78% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.020 | ×1.048 | 2.38% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.886 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 98, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 90, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.
Result: wOBA .215 → .190; ISO .043 → .036; BABIP .167 → .163. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2008 ASouth Bend Silver Hawks · 44 PAwOBA .239 → .195 (−45)K% 15.9% → 21.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.91% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 21.64% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.09% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | — | 6.27% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.18% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | — | 16.73% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.06% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | — | 5.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | — | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .239 → .195; ISO .050 → .040; BABIP .242 → .218. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2007 ROKMissoula Osprey · 112 PAwOBA .279 → .203 (−76)K% 18.8% → 27.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.75% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 27.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.71% | ÷1.000 | ×0.610 | — | ×0.985 | 6.44% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.74% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.028 | ×0.985 | 16.39% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.95% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.028 | ×0.985 | 2.88% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.028 | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.95% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.985 | 2.92% |
Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.028.
Result: wOBA .279 → .203; ISO .124 → .089; BABIP .247 → .198. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).