Alex Romero

PosRF

B/TL/R

Born1983-09-09

Age (2027)43

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

INTLLAST SEASON 2023

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	SB	wRC+	WAR
2021	37	INTLAguilas del Z…	152	.280/.400/.344	0	119	—
2022	38	INTLAguilas del Z…	117	.333/.397/.381	0	125	—
2023	39	INTLAguilas del Z…	68	.288/.382/.339	1	113	—

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2005	21	AA	New Britain Rock Cats	—	560	509	153	31	2	15	36	69	8	12	11	301	356	458	814	157	322	12	6	358	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	22	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	262	236	59	8	2	0	15	22	3	6	2	250	303	301	604	51	272	8	6	269	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	22	AA	New Britain Rock Cats	—	200	167	47	11	2	5	26	19	3	15	7	281	388	461	849	180	290	10	13	372	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	23	AAA	Tucson Sidewinders	—	584	535	166	32	6	5	37	53	1	12	10	310	356	421	777	110	335	9	6	341	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	24	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	142	135	31	8	2	1	3	20	1	4	0	230	252	341	593	111	261	14	2	257	60	-7	+1	-5	-4	+3	-1.1
2008	24	AAA	Tucson Sidewinders	—	186	173	56	9	2	3	11	19	1	4	3	324	368	451	818	127	351	10	6	363	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	25	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	157	145	36	6	2	1	11	23	1	2	0	248	306	338	644	90	289	15	7	292	81	-4	+0	+2	-5	+3	-0.3
2009	25	AAA	Reno Aces	—	317	279	97	20	3	2	32	26	3	7	4	348	420	462	883	115	374	8	10	392	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	26	AAA	Gwinnett Braves	—	63	58	11	1	0	1	3	10	1	1	0	190	242	259	501	69	213	16	5	228	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	26	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	190	165	46	8	1	1	20	14	1	1	2	279	360	358	718	79	296	7	11	322	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	26	INTL	Venezuela	—	273	219	70	14	2	4	41	29	4	7	0	320	436	457	892	137	347	11	15	389	150	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	27	AAA	New Orleans Zephyrs	—	61	56	19	4	0	0	3	9	2	0	0	339	393	411	804	71	404	15	5	365	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	27	AA	Jacksonville Suns	—	404	353	107	21	3	7	33	38	11	8	3	303	380	439	819	136	321	9	8	362	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	27	INTL	Tigres de Aragua	—	218	189	51	7	3	2	21	23	2	0	2	270	349	370	719	101	290	11	10	318	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	28	AAA	Tigres de Quintana Roo	—	473	415	145	20	0	14	40	35	9	6	5	349	418	499	917	149	354	7	8	401	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	28	INTL	Venezuela	—	269	231	68	12	2	2	32	22	2	0	2	294	385	390	775	95	316	8	12	348	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	29	INTL	Tigres de Aragua	—	269	231	63	12	0	2	34	22	2	1	1	273	371	351	721	78	292	8	13	331	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	30	INTL	Tigres de Aragua	—	206	176	52	5	1	2	24	25	6	1	1	295	398	369	767	74	336	12	12	355	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	31	INTL	Venezuela	—	291	252	92	14	1	1	30	18	5	0	1	365	443	440	883	75	387	6	10	395	154	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	32	AAA	Toros de Tijuana	—	491	416	123	18	3	2	62	28	4	9	4	296	392	368	760	72	309	6	13	344	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	32	INTL	Venezuela	—	104	91	26	0	0	0	9	12	2	0	0	286	363	286	648		325	12	9	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	33	AAA	Piratas de Campeche	—	321	289	95	5	1	2	21	19	3	3	3	329	380	374	754	45	344	6	7	336	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	33	INTL	Aguilas del Zulia	—	192	154	46	5	0	0	29	13	5	0	1	299	426	331	757	32	324	7	15	351	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	34	INTL	Aguilas del Zulia	—	181	162	45	4	1	0	15	15	0	1	1	278	339	315	654	37	304	8	8	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	35	INTL	Aguilas del Zulia	—	158	138	40	5	0	1	18	14	0	1	0	290	372	348	720	58	312	9	11	328	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	36	INTL	Aguilas del Zulia	—	100	91	31	9	0	0	6	8	2	1	0	341	394	440	833	99	369	8	6	371	137	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	37	INTL	Aguilas del Zulia	—	152	125	35	6	1	0	22	9	3	0	0	280	400	344	744	64	299	6	14	344	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	38	INTL	Aguilas del Zulia	—	117	105	35	3	1	0	10	11	1	0	0	333	397	381	778	48	368	9	9	352	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	39	INTL	Aguilas del Zulia	—	68	59	17	3	0	0	8	8	1	1	0	288	382	339	721	51	333	12	12	336	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	299	280	67	14	4	2	14	43	2	6	0	239	280	339	620	100	275	14	5	275	73	-10	+1	-3	-9	+6	-1.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2005	21	AA MLE	New Britain Rock Cats	—	560	521	151	28	2	12	24	84	8	12	11	290	331	420	751	131	319	15	4	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	22	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	262	242	62	8	2	0	9	26	3	6	2	256	291	306	597	50	271	10	3	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	22	AA MLE	New Britain Rock Cats	—	200	176	47	10	2	4	17	23	3	15	7	267	342	415	757	148	279	12	8	334	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	23	AAA MLE	Tucson Sidewinders	—	584	546	159	28	5	4	26	68	1	12	10	291	325	383	707	92	319	12	4	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	24	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	142	135	31	8	2	1	3	20	1	4	0	230	252	341	593	111	261	14	2	257	60	-7	+1	-5	-4	+3	-1.1
2008	24	AAA MLE	Tucson Sidewinders	—	186	176	49	7	2	2	8	25	1	4	3	278	314	375	689	97	316	13	4	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	25	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	157	146	36	6	2	1	10	23	1	2	0	247	299	336	635	89	289	15	6	288	81	-4	+0	+2	-5	+3	-0.3
2009	25	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	317	291	92	17	3	2	20	34	3	7	4	316	366	416	782	100	342	11	6	343	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	26	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Braves	—	63	59	10	1	0	1	2	12	1	1	0	169	210	237	447	68	193	19	3	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	26	AA MLE	Mississippi Braves	—	190	172	42	8	1	1	13	17	1	1	2	244	301	320	621	76	255	9	7	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	27	AAA MLE	New Orleans Zephyrs	—	61	57	16	3	0	0	2	12	2	0	0	281	328	333	661	53	360	20	3	302	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	27	AA MLE	Jacksonville Suns	—	404	366	101	21	3	6	20	44	11	8	3	276	332	399	731	123	289	11	5	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	28	AAA MLE	Tigres de Quintana Roo	—	473	431	142	19	0	10	24	43	9	6	5	329	377	443	820	114	337	9	5	355	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	32	AAA MLE	Toros de Tijuana	—	491	444	121	17	3	1	34	31	4	9	4	273	330	331	661	59	283	6	7	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	33	AAA MLE	Piratas de Campeche	—	321	298	91	5	1	1	12	22	3	3	3	305	339	339	678	34	312	7	4	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	21	AA MLE	New Britain Rock Cats	—	560	521	151	28	2	12	24	84	8	12	11	290	331	420	751	131	325	15	4	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	21	AA RAW	New Britain Rock Cats	—	560	509	153	31	2	15	36	69	8	12	11	301	356	458	814	157	322	12	6	358	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	22	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	462	417	108	18	4	4	27	50	6	21	9	259	313	350	663	91	283	11	6	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	22	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	462	403	106	19	4	5	41	41	6	21	9	263	340	367	707	104	279	9	9	314	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	23	AAA MLE	Tucson Sidewinders	—	584	546	159	28	5	4	26	68	1	12	10	291	325	383	707	92	325	12	4	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	23	AAA RAW	Tucson Sidewinders	—	584	535	166	32	6	5	37	53	1	12	10	310	356	421	777	110	335	9	6	341	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	328	311	80	15	4	3	11	45	2	8	3	257	287	360	647	103	292	14	3	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	328	308	87	17	4	4	14	39	2	8	3	282	318	403	720	120	312	12	4	317	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	474	437	128	23	5	3	30	57	4	9	4	293	344	389	733	96	329	12	6	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	474	424	133	26	5	3	43	49	4	9	4	314	382	420	802	106	347	10	9	359	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	26	INTL MLE	3 teams	—	526	475	108	18	2	4	31	62	6	9	2	227	283	299	582	72	251	12	6	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	26	INTL RAW	3 teams	—	526	442	127	23	3	6	64	53	6	9	2	287	385	394	778	106	311	10	12	346	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	27	AA MLE	3 teams	—	683	622	171	35	4	8	33	82	15	8	5	275	327	383	710	108	301	12	5	312	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	27	AA RAW	3 teams	—	683	598	177	32	6	9	57	70	15	8	5	296	372	415	786	119	318	10	8	348	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	742	681	223	30	0	16	37	67	11	6	7	327	372	442	814	115	343	9	5	355	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	28	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	742	646	213	32	2	16	72	57	11	6	7	330	406	460	866	130	340	8	10	382	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	29	INTL MLE	Tigres de Aragua	—	269	231	63	12	0	2	34	22	2	1	1	273	371	351	721	78	292	8	13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	29	INTL RAW	Tigres de Aragua	—	269	231	63	12	0	2	34	22	2	1	1	273	371	351	721	78	292	8	13	331	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	30	INTL MLE	Tigres de Aragua	—	206	176	52	5	1	2	24	25	6	1	1	295	398	369	767	74	336	12	12	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	30	INTL RAW	Tigres de Aragua	—	206	176	52	5	1	2	24	25	6	1	1	295	398	369	767	74	336	12	12	355	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	31	INTL MLE	Venezuela	—	291	252	92	14	1	1	30	18	5	0	1	365	443	440	883	75	387	6	10	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	31	INTL RAW	Venezuela	—	291	252	92	14	1	1	30	18	5	0	1	365	443	440	883	75	387	6	10	395	154	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	32	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	595	536	147	20	4	1	42	38	6	9	4	274	334	332	666	58	290	6	7	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	32	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	595	507	149	18	3	2	71	40	6	9	4	294	387	353	740	59	311	7	12	336	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	33	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	513	474	144	7	2	2	19	35	8	3	4	304	341	340	681	36	323	7	4	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	33	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	513	443	141	10	1	2	50	32	8	3	4	318	397	359	756	41	337	6	10	342	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	34	INTL MLE	Aguilas del Zulia	—	181	162	45	4	1	0	15	15	0	1	1	278	339	315	654	37	304	8	8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	34	INTL RAW	Aguilas del Zulia	—	181	162	45	4	1	0	15	15	0	1	1	278	339	315	654	37	304	8	8	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	35	INTL MLE	Aguilas del Zulia	—	158	138	40	5	0	1	18	14	0	1	0	290	372	348	720	58	312	9	11	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	35	INTL RAW	Aguilas del Zulia	—	158	138	40	5	0	1	18	14	0	1	0	290	372	348	720	58	312	9	11	328	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	36	INTL MLE	Aguilas del Zulia	—	100	91	31	9	0	0	6	8	2	1	0	341	394	440	833	99	369	8	6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	36	INTL RAW	Aguilas del Zulia	—	100	91	31	9	0	0	6	8	2	1	0	341	394	440	833	99	369	8	6	371	137	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	37	INTL MLE	Aguilas del Zulia	—	152	125	35	6	1	0	22	9	3	0	0	280	400	344	744	64	299	6	14	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	37	INTL RAW	Aguilas del Zulia	—	152	125	35	6	1	0	22	9	3	0	0	280	400	344	744	64	299	6	14	344	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	38	INTL MLE	Aguilas del Zulia	—	117	105	35	3	1	0	10	11	1	0	0	333	397	381	778	48	368	9	9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	38	INTL RAW	Aguilas del Zulia	—	117	105	35	3	1	0	10	11	1	0	0	333	397	381	778	48	368	9	9	352	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	39	INTL MLE	Aguilas del Zulia	—	68	59	17	3	0	0	8	8	1	1	0	288	382	339	721	51	333	12	12	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	39	INTL RAW	Aguilas del Zulia	—	68	59	17	3	0	0	8	8	1	1	0	288	382	339	721	51	333	12	12	336	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	21	AA MLE	New Britain Rock Cats	—	560	523	151	28	2	12	24	84	8	12	11	289	331	419	750	130	319	15	4	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	22	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	462	426	108	18	4	4	27	50	6	21	9	254	313	343	656	89	274	11	6	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	23	AAA MLE	Tucson Sidewinders	—	584	552	159	28	5	4	26	68	1	12	10	288	325	379	703	91	319	12	4	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	328	312	80	15	4	3	11	45	2	8	3	256	287	359	646	103	292	14	3	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	474	437	128	23	5	3	30	57	4	9	4	293	344	389	733	96	325	12	6	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	26	INTL MLE	3 teams	—	526	484	108	18	2	4	31	62	6	9	2	223	283	293	577	70	240	12	6	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	27	AA MLE	3 teams	—	683	630	171	35	4	8	33	82	15	8	5	271	327	378	705	106	298	12	5	312	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	742	688	223	30	0	16	37	67	11	6	7	324	372	438	809	113	337	9	5	355	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	32	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	595	542	147	20	4	1	42	38	6	9	4	271	334	328	662	57	283	6	7	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	33	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	513	481	144	7	2	2	19	35	8	3	4	299	341	335	676	35	312	7	4	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	299	280	67	14	4	2	14	43	2	6	0	239	280	339	620	100	275	14	5	275	48	-10	+1	-3	-9	+6	-1.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	609	145	30	9	4	30	93	4	13	0	238	278	337	615	99	274	14	5	275	48	-21	+3	-7	-19	+14	-3.1
Career	—	MLE		—	7009	6359	1829	283	37	63	447	718	87	103	63	288	343	373	716	86	313	10	6	240	48	-10	+1	-3	-9	+6	-1.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	590	169	26	3	6	41	67	8	10	6	286	341	371	712	85	312	10	6	240	48	-21	+3	-7	-19	+14	-3.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2017 AAAPiratas de Campeche · 321 PAwOBA .326 → .294 (−32)K% 5.9% → 6.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	5.92%	÷1.024	×1.200	—	—	6.94%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.61%	÷0.986	×0.690	—	×0.940	3.69%
HBP% /PA	0.93%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	0.83%
Singles /BIP	32.22%	÷1.003	×0.930	×1.046	×0.940	29.38%
Doubles /BIP	1.85%	÷0.953	×0.830	×1.046	×0.940	1.59%
Triples /BIP	0.37%	÷0.959	×0.920	×1.046	×0.940	0.35%
Home runs /BIP	0.74%	÷1.263	×0.700	—	×0.940	0.39%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 153, 1B 101, 2B 91, 3B 92, K 105, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.046.

Result: wOBA .326 → .294; ISO .045 → .034; BABIP .344 → .312. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAAToros de Tijuana · 491 PAwOBA .335 → .298 (−37)K% 5.7% → 6.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	5.70%	÷1.062	×1.200	—	—	6.45%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.41%	÷1.055	×0.690	—	×0.942	7.03%
HBP% /PA	0.81%	—	×0.940	—	×0.942	0.72%
Singles /BIP	25.77%	÷0.967	×0.930	×1.022	×0.942	23.85%
Doubles /BIP	4.64%	÷0.926	×0.830	×1.022	×0.942	4.00%
Triples /BIP	0.77%	÷0.941	×0.920	×1.022	×0.942	0.73%
Home runs /BIP	0.52%	÷1.278	×0.700	—	×0.942	0.27%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 156, 1B 93, 2B 85, 3B 88, K 112, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.

Result: wOBA .335 → .298; ISO .072 → .063; BABIP .309 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAATigres de Quintana Roo · 473 PAwOBA .393 → .355 (−38)K% 7.4% → 9.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	7.40%	÷0.990	×1.200	—	—	8.97%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.03%	÷1.081	×0.690	—	×0.982	5.03%
HBP% /PA	1.90%	—	×0.940	—	×0.982	1.76%
Singles /BIP	29.21%	÷0.963	×0.930	×1.024	×0.982	28.38%
Doubles /BIP	5.26%	÷0.915	×0.830	×1.024	×0.982	4.80%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.059	×0.920	×1.024	×0.982	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.68%	÷1.018	×0.700	—	×0.982	2.49%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 93, 2B 83, 3B 112, K 98, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.024.

Result: wOBA .393 → .355; ISO .149 → .118; BABIP .354 → .337. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAJacksonville Suns · 404 PAwOBA .355 → .314 (−41)K% 9.4% → 11.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	9.41%	÷1.046	×1.220	—	—	10.97%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.67%	÷1.001	×0.680	—	×0.968	5.05%
HBP% /PA	2.72%	—	×0.840	—	×0.968	2.21%
Singles /BIP	24.13%	÷0.992	×0.920	×0.999	×0.968	21.64%
Doubles /BIP	6.67%	÷0.935	×0.910	×0.999	×0.968	6.28%
Triples /BIP	0.95%	÷0.936	×0.880	×0.999	×0.968	0.87%
Home runs /BIP	2.22%	÷1.023	×0.800	—	×0.968	1.68%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 98, 2B 87, 3B 87, K 109, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.

Result: wOBA .355 → .314; ISO .136 → .122; BABIP .321 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAANew Orleans Zephyrs · 61 PAwOBA .356 → .302 (−53)K% 14.8% → 18.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.75%	÷1.007	×1.290	—	—	18.91%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.92%	÷0.973	×0.710	—	×0.992	3.56%
HBP% /PA	3.28%	—	×0.980	—	×0.992	3.19%
Singles /BIP	31.91%	÷0.983	×0.900	—	×0.992	28.98%
Doubles /BIP	8.51%	÷0.971	×0.810	—	×0.992	7.04%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.810	—	×0.992	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.939	×0.780	—	×0.992	0.00%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 97, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 101, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .356 → .302; ISO .071 → .057; BABIP .404 → .360. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AAMississippi Braves · 190 PAwOBA .316 → .270 (−45)K% 7.4% → 9.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	7.37%	÷0.973	×1.220	—	—	9.24%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.00%	÷0.978	×0.680	—	×0.978	6.80%
HBP% /PA	0.53%	—	×0.840	—	×0.978	0.43%
Singles /BIP	23.84%	÷1.100	×0.920	×1.044	×0.978	20.36%
Doubles /BIP	5.30%	÷1.017	×0.910	×1.044	×0.978	4.84%
Triples /BIP	0.66%	÷1.150	×0.880	×1.044	×0.978	0.52%
Home runs /BIP	0.66%	÷0.951	×0.800	—	×0.978	0.54%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 120, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 95, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.044.

Result: wOBA .316 → .270; ISO .079 → .072; BABIP .296 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AAAGwinnett Braves · 63 PAwOBA .222 → .193 (−29)K% 15.9% → 19.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.87%	÷0.964	×1.200	—	—	19.77%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.76%	÷1.026	×0.690	—	×1.003	3.21%
HBP% /PA	1.59%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	1.50%
Singles /BIP	18.75%	÷1.032	×0.930	×1.011	×1.003	17.12%
Doubles /BIP	2.08%	÷0.968	×0.830	×1.011	×1.003	1.81%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.970	×1.011	×1.003	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.08%	÷0.921	×0.840	—	×1.003	1.91%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 106, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 93, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.

Result: wOBA .222 → .193; ISO .069 → .062; BABIP .213 → .193. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2009 AAAReno Aces · 317 PAwOBA .382 → .343 (−39)K% 8.2% → 10.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	8.20%	÷1.000	×1.290	—	—	10.58%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.83%	÷1.000	×0.710	—	×1.018	6.38%
HBP% /PA	0.95%	—	×0.980	—	×1.018	0.94%
Singles /BIP	28.46%	÷1.000	×0.900	×1.025	×1.018	26.74%
Doubles /BIP	7.91%	÷1.000	×0.810	×1.025	×1.018	6.68%
Triples /BIP	1.19%	÷1.000	×0.810	×1.025	×1.018	1.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.79%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.018	0.63%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.025.

Result: wOBA .382 → .343; ISO .115 → .099; BABIP .374 → .342. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .