Denis Phipps

PosRF

B/TR/R

Born1985-07-22

Age (2027)42

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

INTLLAST SEASON 2022

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR
2019	34	INTLCaribes de An…	156	.306/.449/.581	9	3	190	—
2021	36	INTLTigres de Ara…	195	.247/.349/.386	5	1	109	—
2022	37	INTLTigres de Ara…	154	.293/.450/.500	6	1	163	—

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2006	21	ROK	Billings Mustangs	—	238	218	63	13	1	4	13	50	3	7	6	289	338	413	750	124	355	21	5	330	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	22	A	Dayton Dragons	—	505	450	107	14	2	9	41	98	10	18	6	238	315	338	653	100	282	19	8	297	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	23	A	Dayton Dragons	—	518	474	121	19	4	7	34	113	4	10	10	255	311	357	667	101	317	22	7	298	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	24	A+	Sarasota Reds	—	540	493	118	32	5	10	31	108	5	18	8	239	291	385	677	146	283	20	6	295	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	25	AA	Carolina Mudcats	—	411	372	85	22	3	4	32	86	4	8	9	228	297	336	633	108	285	21	8	286	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	25	A+	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	103	93	31	10	1	8	10	19	0	9	1	333	398	720	1.118	387	348	18	10	475	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	25	INTL	Estrellas de Oriente	—	30	27	6	1	0	0	3	11	0	0	0	222	300	259	559	37	375	37	10	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	26	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	173	158	60	12	2	5	13	41	1	4	1	380	430	576	1.006	196	487	24	8	439	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	26	AA	Carolina Mudcats	—	338	305	100	22	5	7	27	83	2	10	6	328	386	502	888	174	425	25	8	387	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	26	INTL	Dominican Republic	—	127	109	32	8	0	2	16	22	2	0	1	294	394	422	816	128	353	17	13	370	136	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	27	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	398	357	79	19	0	15	33	103	4	4	2	221	294	401	695	179	266	26	8	307	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	27	ROK	AZL Reds	—	21	20	8	0	1	2	0	5	1	0	0	400	429	800	1.229	400	462	24	0	526	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	27	INTL	Estrellas de Oriente	—	80	68	12	2	1	2	9	21	2	1	0	176	291	324	615	147	217	26	11	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	28	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	482	423	105	27	2	9	48	99	6	14	3	248	333	385	719	137	302	21	10	322	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	28	INTL	Estrellas de Oriente	—	42	35	3	0	0	1	4	10	1	1	1	86	200	171	371	86	80	24	10	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	29	AAA	Broncos de Reynosa	—	106	96	17	6	0	1	6	27	3	2	0	177	248	271	518	94	232	25	6	238	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	29	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	45	41	9	2	0	0	2	12	2	0	0	220	289	268	557	49	310	27	4	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	30	INTL	Caribes de Anzoategui	—	110	95	30	4	0	6	12	24	1	0	0	316	398	547	946	232	358	22	11	408	162	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	31	AAA	Acereros del Norte	—	174	163	36	8	2	8	8	51	1	3	0	221	262	442	703	221	269	29	5	303	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	31	INTL	Venezuela	—	260	233	74	15	0	12	25	55	0	1	2	318	384	536	920	219	369	21	10	401	157	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	32	INTL	Caribes de Anzoategui	—	85	73	9	3	0	0	9	25	1	4	1	123	229	164	393	41	180	29	11	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	33	INTL	Cardenales de Lara	—	87	76	15	3	0	1	11	23	0	0	0	197	299	276	575	79	269	26	13	271	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	34	INTL	Caribes de Anzoategui	—	156	124	38	7	0	9	29	36	3	3	1	306	449	581	1.029	274	367	23	19	449	190	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	36	INTL	Tigres de Aragua	—	195	166	41	6	1	5	22	47	4	1	1	247	349	386	735	139	310	24	11	330	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	37	INTL	Tigres de Aragua	—	154	116	34	4	1	6	32	35	1	1	2	293	450	500	950	207	350	23	21	410	163	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2006	21	ROK MLE	Billings Mustangs	—	238	223	46	8	1	3	8	72	3	7	6	206	244	291	535	85	275	30	3	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	22	A MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	505	464	93	11	2	7	27	133	10	18	6	200	259	278	537	78	256	26	5	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	23	A MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	518	485	102	15	3	5	23	154	4	10	10	210	252	285	536	74	288	30	4	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	24	A+ MLE	Sarasota Reds	—	540	501	99	28	4	8	23	153	5	18	8	198	240	317	557	120	255	28	4	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	25	AA MLE	Carolina Mudcats	—	411	384	72	18	2	3	20	109	4	8	9	188	235	268	504	81	249	27	5	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	25	A+ MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	103	97	24	7	1	6	6	28	0	9	1	247	291	526	817	278	282	27	6	340	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	26	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	173	163	51	10	2	4	8	51	1	4	1	313	349	472	821	160	424	29	5	355	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	26	AA MLE	Carolina Mudcats	—	338	313	86	19	4	6	19	104	2	10	6	275	320	419	739	144	378	31	6	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	27	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	398	368	64	15	0	11	22	128	4	4	2	174	228	304	533	130	228	32	6	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	27	ROK MLE	AZL Reds	—	21	20	5	0	1	1	0	7	1	0	0	250	286	500	786	250	335	33	0	331	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	28	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	482	441	94	23	2	7	30	123	6	14	3	213	273	322	595	109	273	26	6	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	29	AAA MLE	Broncos de Reynosa	—	106	98	14	5	0	1	4	32	3	2	0	143	200	224	424	82	191	30	4	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	31	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	174	166	27	6	1	5	5	62	1	3	0	163	192	301	493	139	221	36	3	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	21	ROK MLE	Billings Mustangs	—	238	223	46	8	1	3	8	72	3	7	6	206	244	291	535	85	287	30	3	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	21	ROK RAW	Billings Mustangs	—	238	218	63	13	1	4	13	50	3	7	6	289	338	413	750	124	355	21	5	330	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	22	A MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	505	464	93	11	2	7	27	133	10	18	6	200	259	278	537	78	262	26	5	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	22	A RAW	Dayton Dragons	—	505	450	107	14	2	9	41	98	10	18	6	238	315	338	653	100	282	19	8	297	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	23	A MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	518	485	102	15	3	5	23	154	4	10	10	210	252	285	536	74	292	30	4	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	23	A RAW	Dayton Dragons	—	518	474	121	19	4	7	34	113	4	10	10	255	311	357	667	101	317	22	7	298	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	24	A+ MLE	Sarasota Reds	—	540	501	99	28	4	8	23	153	5	18	8	198	240	317	557	120	263	28	4	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	24	A+ RAW	Sarasota Reds	—	540	493	118	32	5	10	31	108	5	18	8	239	291	385	677	146	283	20	6	295	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	25	AA MLE	3 teams	—	544	509	102	27	3	10	28	144	4	17	10	200	248	324	572	124	258	26	5	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	25	AA RAW	3 teams	—	544	492	122	33	4	12	45	116	4	17	10	248	316	404	721	157	301	21	8	320	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	26	AA MLE	3 teams	—	638	594	170	36	7	12	34	194	5	14	8	286	330	431	761	145	402	30	5	329	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	26	AA RAW	3 teams	—	638	572	192	42	7	14	56	146	5	14	8	336	400	507	907	171	427	23	9	398	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	27	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	499	460	84	18	1	15	27	161	7	5	2	183	239	324	563	141	240	32	5	240	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	27	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	499	445	99	21	2	19	42	129	7	5	2	222	300	407	706	184	267	26	8	312	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	524	478	102	25	2	8	32	134	7	15	4	213	273	324	597	111	276	26	6	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	28	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	524	458	108	27	2	10	52	109	7	15	4	236	323	369	692	133	286	21	10	310	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	151	139	19	6	0	1	6	45	5	2	0	137	200	201	401	65	191	30	4	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	29	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	151	137	26	8	0	1	8	39	5	2	0	190	260	270	530	80	255	26	5	245	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	30	INTL MLE	Caribes de Anzoategui	—	110	95	30	4	0	6	12	24	1	0	0	316	398	547	946	232	358	22	11	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	30	INTL RAW	Caribes de Anzoategui	—	110	95	30	4	0	6	12	24	1	0	0	316	398	547	946	232	358	22	11	408	162	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	31	INTL MLE	2 teams	—	434	416	70	15	4	14	13	155	1	4	2	168	195	325	520	156	225	36	3	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	31	INTL RAW	2 teams	—	434	396	110	23	2	20	33	106	1	4	2	278	335	497	832	220	331	24	8	362	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	32	INTL MLE	Caribes de Anzoategui	—	85	73	9	3	0	0	9	25	1	4	1	123	229	164	393	41	180	29	11	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	32	INTL RAW	Caribes de Anzoategui	—	85	73	9	3	0	0	9	25	1	4	1	123	229	164	393	41	180	29	11	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	33	INTL MLE	Cardenales de Lara	—	87	76	15	3	0	1	11	23	0	0	0	197	299	276	575	79	269	26	13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	33	INTL RAW	Cardenales de Lara	—	87	76	15	3	0	1	11	23	0	0	0	197	299	276	575	79	269	26	13	271	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	34	INTL MLE	Caribes de Anzoategui	—	156	124	38	7	0	9	29	36	3	3	1	306	449	581	1.029	274	367	23	19	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	34	INTL RAW	Caribes de Anzoategui	—	156	124	38	7	0	9	29	36	3	3	1	306	449	581	1.029	274	367	23	19	449	190	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	36	INTL MLE	Tigres de Aragua	—	195	166	41	6	1	5	22	47	4	1	1	247	349	386	735	139	310	24	11	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	36	INTL RAW	Tigres de Aragua	—	195	166	41	6	1	5	22	47	4	1	1	247	349	386	735	139	310	24	11	330	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	37	INTL MLE	Tigres de Aragua	—	154	116	34	4	1	6	32	35	1	1	2	293	450	500	950	207	350	23	21	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	37	INTL RAW	Tigres de Aragua	—	154	116	34	4	1	6	32	35	1	1	2	293	450	500	950	207	350	23	21	410	163	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	21	ROK MLE	Billings Mustangs	—	238	225	46	8	1	3	8	72	3	7	6	204	244	289	532	84	275	30	3	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	22	A MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	505	463	93	11	2	7	27	133	10	18	6	201	259	279	538	78	256	26	5	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	23	A MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	518	486	102	15	3	5	23	154	4	10	10	210	252	284	536	74	288	30	4	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	24	A+ MLE	Sarasota Reds	—	540	507	99	28	4	8	23	153	5	18	8	195	240	314	554	118	255	28	4	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	25	AA MLE	3 teams	—	544	507	102	27	3	10	28	144	4	17	10	201	248	325	573	124	256	26	5	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	26	AA MLE	3 teams	—	638	594	170	36	7	12	34	194	5	14	8	286	330	431	761	145	394	30	5	329	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	27	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	499	462	84	18	1	15	27	161	7	5	2	182	239	323	561	141	233	32	5	240	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	524	480	102	25	2	8	32	134	7	15	4	212	273	323	596	110	273	26	6	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	151	139	19	6	0	1	6	45	5	2	0	137	200	201	401	65	191	30	4	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	31	INTL MLE	2 teams	—	434	417	70	15	4	14	13	155	1	4	2	168	195	324	519	156	221	36	3	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	5378	4919	1054	216	29	110	336	1535	61	119	61	214	273	337	610	123	284	29	6	214	31	-442	-1	-1	-58	+117	-39.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	595	127	26	4	13	41	186	7	14	7	213	273	336	609	123	284	29	6	214	31	-53	+0	-0	-7	+14	-4.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2016 AAAAcereros del Norte · 174 PAwOBA .294 → .217 (−77)K% 29.3% → 35.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	29.31%	÷0.989	×1.200	—	—	35.55%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.60%	÷1.059	×0.690	—	×0.962	2.88%
HBP% /PA	0.57%	—	×0.940	—	×0.962	0.52%
Singles /BIP	16.07%	÷1.011	×0.930	×0.988	×0.962	14.04%
Doubles /BIP	7.14%	÷1.013	×0.830	×0.988	×0.962	5.56%
Triples /BIP	1.79%	÷1.124	×0.920	×0.988	×0.962	1.39%
Home runs /BIP	7.14%	÷0.941	×0.700	—	×0.962	5.11%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 102, 2B 103, 3B 125, K 98, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.

Result: wOBA .294 → .217; ISO .221 → .154; BABIP .269 → .221. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAABroncos de Reynosa · 106 PAwOBA .234 → .183 (−51)K% 25.5% → 30.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.47%	÷1.016	×1.200	—	—	30.07%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.66%	÷1.048	×0.690	—	×0.982	3.66%
HBP% /PA	2.83%	—	×0.940	—	×0.982	2.61%
Singles /BIP	14.49%	÷1.065	×0.930	×1.003	×0.982	12.46%
Doubles /BIP	8.70%	÷1.061	×0.830	×1.003	×0.982	6.70%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.920	×1.003	×0.982	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.45%	÷0.912	×0.700	—	×0.982	1.09%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 113, 2B 112, 3B 130, K 103, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.

Result: wOBA .234 → .183; ISO .094 → .070; BABIP .232 → .191. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAALouisville Bats · 482 PAwOBA .315 → .263 (−52)K% 20.5% → 25.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.54%	÷0.961	×1.200	—	—	25.64%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.75%	÷1.075	×0.690	—	×0.992	6.21%
HBP% /PA	1.24%	—	×0.940	—	×0.992	1.16%
Singles /BIP	20.68%	÷1.000	×0.930	×1.003	×0.992	19.13%
Doubles /BIP	8.33%	÷0.960	×0.830	×1.003	×0.992	7.17%
Triples /BIP	0.62%	÷0.900	×0.970	×1.003	×0.992	0.66%
Home runs /BIP	2.78%	÷1.038	×0.840	—	×0.992	2.23%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 100, 2B 92, 3B 80, K 92, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.

Result: wOBA .315 → .263; ISO .137 → .116; BABIP .302 → .273. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAALouisville Bats · 398 PAwOBA .300 → .235 (−66)K% 25.9% → 32.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.88%	÷0.967	×1.200	—	—	32.11%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.29%	÷1.034	×0.690	—	×1.003	5.55%
HBP% /PA	1.01%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	0.95%
Singles /BIP	17.72%	÷1.046	×0.930	×0.995	×1.003	15.73%
Doubles /BIP	7.48%	÷1.002	×0.830	×0.995	×1.003	6.19%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.970	×0.995	×1.003	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.91%	÷1.087	×0.840	—	×1.003	4.58%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 109, 2B 100, 3B 80, K 93, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.

Result: wOBA .300 → .235; ISO .179 → .136; BABIP .266 → .228. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 ROKAZL Reds · 21 PAwOBA .509 → .331 (−178)K% 23.8% → 34.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.81%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	34.29%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×0.940	0.00%
HBP% /PA	4.76%	—	×0.720	—	×0.940	3.22%
Singles /BIP	33.33%	÷1.000	×0.820	—	×0.940	25.69%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×0.940	0.00%
Triples /BIP	6.67%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×0.940	4.51%
Home runs /BIP	13.33%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×0.940	9.78%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 19.5 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .509 → .331; ISO .400 → .252; BABIP .462 → .335. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AACarolina Mudcats · 338 PAwOBA .381 → .315 (−66)K% 24.6% → 30.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.56%	÷0.969	×1.220	—	—	30.93%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.99%	÷0.968	×0.680	—	×0.988	5.54%
HBP% /PA	0.59%	—	×0.840	—	×0.988	0.49%
Singles /BIP	29.73%	÷1.018	×0.920	×1.012	×0.988	26.86%
Doubles /BIP	9.91%	÷1.012	×0.910	×1.012	×0.988	8.91%
Triples /BIP	2.25%	÷1.150	×0.880	×1.012	×0.988	1.72%
Home runs /BIP	3.15%	÷0.941	×0.800	—	×0.988	2.65%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 104, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 94, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.

Result: wOBA .381 → .315; ISO .174 → .142; BABIP .425 → .378. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAALouisville Bats · 173 PAwOBA .429 → .355 (−75)K% 23.7% → 29.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.70%	÷0.966	×1.200	—	—	29.44%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.51%	÷1.070	×0.690	—	×1.018	4.93%
HBP% /PA	0.58%	—	×0.940	—	×1.018	0.55%
Singles /BIP	35.04%	÷1.033	×0.930	×0.961	×1.018	30.86%
Doubles /BIP	10.26%	÷0.972	×0.830	×0.961	×1.018	8.57%
Triples /BIP	1.71%	÷0.924	×0.970	×0.961	×1.018	1.76%
Home runs /BIP	4.27%	÷0.944	×0.840	—	×1.018	3.87%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 107, 2B 94, 3B 85, K 93, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.961.

Result: wOBA .429 → .355; ISO .196 → .169; BABIP .487 → .424. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AACarolina Mudcats · 411 PAwOBA .278 → .225 (−52)K% 20.9% → 26.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.92%	÷0.968	×1.220	—	—	26.39%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.30%	÷1.014	×0.680	—	×0.998	4.89%
HBP% /PA	0.97%	—	×0.840	—	×0.998	0.82%
Singles /BIP	19.58%	÷0.986	×0.920	×0.963	×0.998	17.57%
Doubles /BIP	7.69%	÷1.057	×0.910	×0.963	×0.998	6.37%
Triples /BIP	1.05%	÷1.063	×0.880	×0.963	×0.998	0.83%
Home runs /BIP	1.40%	÷0.959	×0.800	—	×0.998	1.16%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 97, 2B 111, 3B 113, K 94, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.963.

Result: wOBA .278 → .225; ISO .108 → .086; BABIP .285 → .249. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .