Javier Herrera

PosCF

B/TR/R

Born1985-04-09

Age (2027)42

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AALAST SEASON 2015

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2013	28	AA/INTL2 orgs	649	.281/.371/.457	17	24	96	—	.260/.319/.412
2014	29	AAACOL	36	.273/.306/.394	0	0	48	—	.200/.222/.286
2015	30	AASF	127	.211/.304/.275	1	0	34	—	.183/.248/.243

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2005	20	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	15	12	5	1	0	1	1	1	2	1	0	417	533	750	1.283	333	400	7	7	550	209	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	20	A	Kane County Cougars	—	424	360	99	18	2	13	47	110	12	26	5	275	375	444	820	169	358	26	11	365	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	22	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	79	71	18	5	0	3	4	13	3	1	0	254	321	451	771	197	268	16	5	338	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	22	A+	Stockton Ports	—	279	252	69	17	0	9	19	60	6	11	7	274	339	448	788	175	324	22	7	348	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	23	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	281	255	68	13	2	9	22	71	2	8	4	267	330	439	769	173	337	25	8	339	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	27	INTL	Tiburones de La Guaira	—	107	95	33	3	0	8	9	25	0	2	0	347	400	632	1.032	284	391	23	8	436	181	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	28	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	559	481	142	37	3	16	57	117	7	23	8	295	374	484	858	189	358	21	10	373	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	28	INTL	Tiburones de La Guaira	—	90	68	12	3	0	1	18	17	1	1	2	176	356	265	621	88	220	19	20	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	29	AAA	Fresno Grizzlies	—	36	33	9	2	1	0	2	9	0	0	1	273	306	394	699	121	375	25	6	306	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	30	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	127	109	23	2	1	1	14	38	1	0	3	211	304	275	579	64	310	30	11	267	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2005	20	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	—	15	12	5	1	0	1	1	1	2	1	0	417	533	750	1.283	333	362	7	7	477	209	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	20	A MLE	Kane County Cougars	—	424	377	86	15	2	10	32	150	12	26	5	228	309	358	667	130	334	35	8	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	22	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	—	79	72	16	4	0	2	3	16	3	1	0	222	282	361	643	139	252	20	4	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	22	A+ MLE	Stockton Ports	—	279	258	58	13	0	8	13	80	6	11	7	225	278	368	646	143	288	29	5	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	23	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	—	281	261	62	11	2	7	16	87	2	8	4	238	287	375	662	138	325	31	6	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	28	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	559	507	132	32	3	13	37	147	7	23	8	260	319	412	732	152	329	26	7	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	29	AAA MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	36	35	7	1	1	0	1	12	0	0	1	200	222	286	508	86	323	33	3	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	30	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	127	115	21	2	1	1	9	46	1	0	3	183	248	243	491	61	283	36	7	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	439	389	90	15	2	11	33	151	14	27	5	231	314	365	679	134	343	34	8	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	439	372	104	19	2	14	48	111	14	27	5	280	381	454	835	175	360	25	11	371	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	358	330	75	18	0	10	16	96	9	12	7	227	282	373	654	145	286	27	4	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	358	323	87	22	0	12	23	73	9	12	7	269	335	449	784	180	311	20	6	346	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	23	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	—	281	261	62	11	2	7	16	87	2	8	4	238	287	375	662	138	329	31	6	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	23	AA RAW	Midland RockHounds	—	281	255	68	13	2	9	22	71	2	8	4	267	330	439	769	173	337	25	8	339	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	27	INTL MLE	Tiburones de La Guaira	—	107	95	33	3	0	8	9	25	0	2	0	347	400	632	1.032	284	391	23	8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	27	INTL RAW	Tiburones de La Guaira	—	107	95	33	3	0	8	9	25	0	2	0	347	400	632	1.032	284	391	23	8	436	181	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	28	AA MLE	2 teams	—	649	587	152	37	3	15	43	171	8	24	10	259	318	409	727	150	338	26	7	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	28	AA RAW	2 teams	—	649	549	154	40	3	17	75	134	8	24	10	281	371	457	829	177	341	21	12	362	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	29	AAA MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	36	35	7	1	1	0	1	12	0	0	1	200	222	286	508	86	304	33	3	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	29	AAA RAW	Fresno Grizzlies	—	36	33	9	2	1	0	2	9	0	0	1	273	306	394	699	121	375	25	6	306	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	30	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	127	115	21	2	1	1	9	46	1	0	3	183	248	243	491	61	290	36	7	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	30	AA RAW	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	127	109	23	2	1	1	14	38	1	0	3	211	304	275	579	64	310	30	11	267	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	439	389	90	15	2	11	33	151	14	27	5	231	314	365	679	134	335	34	8	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	358	330	75	18	0	10	16	96	9	12	7	227	282	373	654	145	280	27	4	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	23	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	—	281	261	62	11	2	7	16	87	2	8	4	238	287	375	662	138	325	31	6	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	28	AA MLE	2 teams	—	649	593	152	37	3	15	43	171	8	24	10	256	318	405	723	148	329	26	7	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	29	AAA MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	36	35	7	1	1	0	1	12	0	0	1	200	222	286	508	86	323	33	3	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	30	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	127	116	21	2	1	1	9	46	1	0	3	181	248	241	489	60	283	36	7	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	1997	1812	440	87	9	52	127	588	34	73	30	243	304	387	691	144	327	29	6	276	73	-64	+3	+0	+7	+43	-1.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	590	143	28	3	17	41	191	11	24	10	242	303	386	690	144	326	29	6	276	73	-21	+1	+0	+2	+14	-0.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2015 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 127 PAwOBA .263 → .219 (−44)K% 29.9% → 36.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	29.92%	÷1.003	×1.220	—	—	36.41%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.02%	÷0.992	×0.700	—	×0.948	7.37%
HBP% /PA	0.79%	—	×0.850	—	×0.948	0.63%
Singles /BIP	26.76%	÷1.013	×0.970	×1.019	×0.948	24.76%
Doubles /BIP	2.82%	÷0.998	×0.860	×1.019	×0.948	2.35%
Triples /BIP	1.41%	÷1.025	×0.950	×1.019	×0.948	1.26%
Home runs /BIP	1.41%	÷0.860	×0.780	—	×0.948	1.21%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 72, 1B 103, 2B 100, 3B 105, K 101, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 24.8 → −5.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.

Result: wOBA .263 → .219; ISO .064 → .055; BABIP .310 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAAFresno Grizzlies · 36 PAwOBA .298 → .239 (−59)K% 25.0% → 32.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.00%	÷0.994	×1.290	—	—	32.44%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.56%	÷1.005	×0.710	—	×0.982	3.85%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.980	—	×0.982	0.00%
Singles /BIP	25.00%	÷1.002	×0.900	—	×0.982	22.06%
Doubles /BIP	8.33%	÷1.014	×0.810	—	×0.982	6.54%
Triples /BIP	4.17%	÷0.900	×0.810	—	×0.982	3.68%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.045	×0.780	—	×0.982	0.00%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 100, 2B 103, 3B 80, K 99, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .298 → .239; ISO .121 → .097; BABIP .375 → .323. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 559 PAwOBA .366 → .313 (−52)K% 20.9% → 26.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.93%	÷0.969	×1.220	—	—	26.35%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.20%	÷1.036	×0.700	—	×0.968	6.67%
HBP% /PA	1.25%	—	×0.850	—	×0.968	1.03%
Singles /BIP	23.63%	÷1.018	×0.970	×1.045	×0.968	22.75%
Doubles /BIP	10.16%	÷1.030	×0.860	×1.045	×0.968	8.59%
Triples /BIP	0.82%	÷1.011	×0.950	×1.045	×0.968	0.78%
Home runs /BIP	4.40%	÷0.934	×0.780	—	×0.968	3.55%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 104, 2B 106, 3B 102, K 94, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.045.

Result: wOBA .366 → .313; ISO .189 → .160; BABIP .358 → .329. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2008 AAMidland RockHounds · 281 PAwOBA .330 → .286 (−43)K% 25.3% → 30.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.27%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	30.83%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.83%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.027	5.63%
HBP% /PA	0.71%	—	×0.870	—	×1.027	0.64%
Singles /BIP	23.91%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.050	×1.027	23.72%
Doubles /BIP	7.07%	÷1.000	×0.840	×1.050	×1.027	6.40%
Triples /BIP	1.09%	÷1.000	×0.940	×1.050	×1.027	1.10%
Home runs /BIP	4.89%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×1.027	4.02%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .330 → .286; ISO .173 → .143; BABIP .337 → .325. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2007 A+Stockton Ports · 279 PAwOBA .340 → .281 (−59)K% 21.5% → 28.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.51%	÷1.000	×1.340	—	—	28.82%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.45%	÷1.000	×0.710	—	×1.012	4.64%
HBP% /PA	2.15%	—	×0.790	—	×1.012	1.72%
Singles /BIP	22.40%	÷1.000	×0.910	×0.997	×1.012	20.56%
Doubles /BIP	8.85%	÷1.000	×0.820	×0.997	×1.012	7.32%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.760	×0.997	×1.012	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.69%	÷1.000	×0.920	—	×1.012	4.36%

Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.

Result: wOBA .340 → .281; ISO .175 → .147; BABIP .324 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2007 AAMidland RockHounds · 79 PAwOBA .333 → .294 (−39)K% 16.5% → 20.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.46%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	20.08%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.06%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.042	3.69%
HBP% /PA	3.80%	—	×0.870	—	×1.042	3.44%
Singles /BIP	17.24%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.018	×1.042	16.82%
Doubles /BIP	8.62%	÷1.000	×0.840	×1.018	×1.042	7.68%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.940	×1.018	×1.042	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.17%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×1.042	4.31%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.018.

Result: wOBA .333 → .294; ISO .197 → .167; BABIP .268 → .252. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2005 AKane County Cougars · 424 PAwOBA .357 → .291 (−66)K% 25.9% → 35.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.94%	÷1.000	×1.360	—	—	35.28%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.61%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.030	7.54%
HBP% /PA	2.83%	—	×0.780	—	×1.030	2.27%
Singles /BIP	26.40%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.015	×1.030	25.40%
Doubles /BIP	7.20%	÷1.000	×0.830	×1.015	×1.030	6.25%
Triples /BIP	0.80%	÷1.000	×0.910	×1.015	×1.030	0.76%
Home runs /BIP	5.20%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×1.030	4.28%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.

Result: wOBA .357 → .291; ISO .169 → .133; BABIP .358 → .334. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2005 AAASacramento River Cats · 15 PAwOBA .535 → .477 (−58)K% 6.7% → 8.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	6.67%	÷1.000	×1.290	—	—	8.60%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.67%	÷1.000	×0.710	—	×1.050	4.97%
HBP% /PA	13.33%	—	×0.980	—	×1.050	13.72%
Singles /BIP	27.27%	÷1.000	×0.900	—	×1.050	25.77%
Doubles /BIP	9.09%	÷1.000	×0.810	—	×1.050	7.73%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.810	—	×1.050	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	9.09%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.050	7.45%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .535 → .477; ISO .333 → .273; BABIP .400 → .362. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .