Francisco Mendez
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 36 | AAAVaqueros de l… | 446 | .296/.425/.457 | 13 | 3 | 81 | — | .220/.303/.324 |
| 2015 | 37 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 466 | .293/.405/.452 | 14 | 1 | 79 | — | .226/.298/.334 |
| 2016 | 38 | AAAVaqueros de l… | 254 | .222/.331/.398 | 10 | 0 | 54 | — | .182/.247/.303 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 27 | AAA | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 153 | 130 | 40 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 308 | 412 | 492 | 904 | 185 | 321 | 12 | 14 | 403 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 28 | AAA | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 174 | 154 | 38 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 247 | 326 | 416 | 741 | 169 | 282 | 22 | 10 | 328 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 29 | AAA | Dorados de Chihuahua | — | 461 | 388 | 132 | 23 | 0 | 24 | 70 | 71 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 340 | 441 | 585 | 1.026 | 245 | 365 | 15 | 15 | 445 | 135 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 30 | AAA | Dorados de Chihuahua | — | 437 | 365 | 110 | 22 | 0 | 11 | 66 | 81 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 301 | 412 | 452 | 864 | 151 | 360 | 19 | 15 | 387 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 31 | AAA | Dorados de Chihuahua | — | 340 | 284 | 88 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 52 | 56 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 310 | 418 | 437 | 855 | 127 | 362 | 16 | 15 | 384 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 32 | AAA | Dorados de Chihuahua | — | 468 | 358 | 121 | 21 | 0 | 19 | 104 | 77 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 338 | 487 | 556 | 1.043 | 218 | 386 | 16 | 22 | 454 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 32 | INTL | Algodoneros de Guasave | — | 151 | 123 | 36 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 38 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 293 | 420 | 472 | 892 | 179 | 383 | 25 | 17 | 397 | 155 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 33 | AAA | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 366 | 298 | 81 | 13 | 0 | 11 | 60 | 61 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 272 | 404 | 426 | 830 | 154 | 307 | 17 | 16 | 376 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 33 | INTL | Algodoneros de Guasave | — | 80 | 68 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 103 | 208 | 221 | 428 | 118 | 102 | 22 | 11 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 34 | AAA | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 197 | 165 | 38 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 47 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 230 | 345 | 345 | 691 | 115 | 299 | 24 | 15 | 314 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 35 | AAA | Vaqueros de la Laguna | — | 229 | 190 | 47 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 33 | 60 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 247 | 364 | 421 | 785 | 174 | 323 | 26 | 14 | 348 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 35 | INTL | Aguilas de Mexicali | — | 61 | 55 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 279 | 218 | 497 | 18 | 268 | 23 | 10 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 36 | AAA | Vaqueros de la Laguna | — | 446 | 361 | 107 | 19 | 0 | 13 | 80 | 103 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 296 | 425 | 457 | 882 | 161 | 379 | 23 | 18 | 394 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 37 | AAA | Vaqueros de la Laguna | — | 432 | 361 | 107 | 19 | 0 | 13 | 66 | 93 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 296 | 408 | 457 | 865 | 161 | 364 | 22 | 15 | 386 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 37 | INTL | Aguilas de Mexicali | — | 34 | 28 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 364 | 393 | 756 | 143 | 333 | 29 | 15 | 335 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 38 | AAA | Vaqueros de la Laguna | — | 254 | 216 | 48 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 34 | 66 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 222 | 331 | 398 | 729 | 176 | 266 | 26 | 13 | 326 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 27 | AAA MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 153 | 138 | 37 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 268 | 340 | 391 | 731 | 123 | 292 | 14 | 9 | 330 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 28 | AAA MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 174 | 161 | 34 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 262 | 329 | 591 | 118 | 263 | 26 | 6 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 29 | AAA MLE | Dorados de Chihuahua | — | 461 | 417 | 124 | 21 | 0 | 17 | 41 | 85 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 297 | 360 | 470 | 830 | 173 | 334 | 18 | 9 | 367 | 135 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 30 | AAA MLE | Dorados de Chihuahua | — | 437 | 390 | 101 | 19 | 0 | 8 | 41 | 97 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 259 | 334 | 369 | 703 | 110 | 318 | 22 | 9 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 31 | AAA MLE | Dorados de Chihuahua | — | 340 | 303 | 81 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 33 | 67 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 267 | 341 | 360 | 701 | 92 | 322 | 20 | 10 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 32 | AAA MLE | Dorados de Chihuahua | — | 468 | 403 | 107 | 19 | 0 | 13 | 59 | 89 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 266 | 359 | 409 | 769 | 144 | 303 | 19 | 13 | 342 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 33 | AAA MLE | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 366 | 320 | 76 | 12 | 0 | 8 | 38 | 72 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 237 | 330 | 350 | 680 | 112 | 275 | 20 | 10 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 34 | AAA MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 197 | 176 | 33 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 57 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 188 | 263 | 267 | 530 | 80 | 247 | 29 | 9 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 35 | AAA MLE | Vaqueros de la Laguna | — | 229 | 203 | 38 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 76 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 187 | 267 | 300 | 567 | 113 | 264 | 33 | 9 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 36 | AAA MLE | Vaqueros de la Laguna | — | 446 | 395 | 87 | 14 | 0 | 9 | 46 | 128 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 220 | 303 | 324 | 627 | 104 | 298 | 29 | 10 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 37 | AAA MLE | Vaqueros de la Laguna | — | 432 | 389 | 88 | 15 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 117 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 226 | 298 | 334 | 633 | 108 | 292 | 27 | 9 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 38 | AAA MLE | Vaqueros de la Laguna | — | 254 | 231 | 42 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 80 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 182 | 247 | 303 | 550 | 121 | 234 | 31 | 7 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 27 | AAA MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 153 | 138 | 37 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 268 | 340 | 391 | 731 | 123 | 295 | 14 | 9 | 330 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 27 | AAA RAW | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 153 | 130 | 40 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 308 | 412 | 492 | 904 | 185 | 321 | 12 | 14 | 403 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 28 | AAA MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 174 | 161 | 34 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 262 | 329 | 591 | 118 | 261 | 26 | 6 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 28 | AAA RAW | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 174 | 154 | 38 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 247 | 326 | 416 | 741 | 169 | 282 | 22 | 10 | 328 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 29 | AAA MLE | Dorados de Chihuahua | — | 461 | 417 | 124 | 21 | 0 | 17 | 41 | 85 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 297 | 360 | 470 | 830 | 173 | 336 | 18 | 9 | 367 | 135 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 29 | AAA RAW | Dorados de Chihuahua | — | 461 | 388 | 132 | 23 | 0 | 24 | 70 | 71 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 340 | 441 | 585 | 1.026 | 245 | 365 | 15 | 15 | 445 | 135 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 30 | AAA MLE | Dorados de Chihuahua | — | 437 | 390 | 101 | 19 | 0 | 8 | 41 | 97 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 259 | 334 | 369 | 703 | 110 | 324 | 22 | 9 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 30 | AAA RAW | Dorados de Chihuahua | — | 437 | 365 | 110 | 22 | 0 | 11 | 66 | 81 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 301 | 412 | 452 | 864 | 151 | 360 | 19 | 15 | 387 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 31 | AAA MLE | Dorados de Chihuahua | — | 340 | 303 | 81 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 33 | 67 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 267 | 341 | 360 | 701 | 92 | 325 | 20 | 10 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 31 | AAA RAW | Dorados de Chihuahua | — | 340 | 284 | 88 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 52 | 56 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 310 | 418 | 437 | 855 | 127 | 362 | 16 | 15 | 384 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 32 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 619 | 533 | 141 | 25 | 0 | 17 | 78 | 118 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 265 | 359 | 407 | 767 | 143 | 309 | 19 | 13 | 342 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 32 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 619 | 481 | 157 | 28 | 0 | 24 | 130 | 115 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 326 | 471 | 534 | 1.005 | 208 | 386 | 19 | 21 | 440 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 33 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 446 | 389 | 91 | 14 | 0 | 9 | 46 | 88 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 234 | 324 | 339 | 664 | 105 | 278 | 20 | 10 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 33 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 446 | 366 | 88 | 15 | 0 | 13 | 69 | 79 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 240 | 370 | 388 | 758 | 148 | 271 | 18 | 15 | 343 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 34 | AAA MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 197 | 176 | 33 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 57 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 188 | 263 | 267 | 530 | 80 | 261 | 29 | 9 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 34 | AAA RAW | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 197 | 165 | 38 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 47 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 230 | 345 | 345 | 691 | 115 | 299 | 24 | 15 | 314 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 35 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 290 | 259 | 49 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 96 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 189 | 266 | 301 | 567 | 112 | 273 | 33 | 9 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 35 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 290 | 245 | 58 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 39 | 74 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 237 | 346 | 376 | 722 | 139 | 310 | 26 | 13 | 325 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 36 | AAA MLE | Vaqueros de la Laguna | — | 446 | 395 | 87 | 14 | 0 | 9 | 46 | 128 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 220 | 303 | 324 | 627 | 104 | 299 | 29 | 10 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 36 | AAA RAW | Vaqueros de la Laguna | — | 446 | 361 | 107 | 19 | 0 | 13 | 80 | 103 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 296 | 425 | 457 | 882 | 161 | 379 | 23 | 18 | 394 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 37 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 466 | 419 | 94 | 16 | 0 | 9 | 41 | 126 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 224 | 297 | 327 | 624 | 103 | 295 | 27 | 9 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 37 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 466 | 389 | 114 | 20 | 0 | 14 | 71 | 103 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 293 | 405 | 452 | 857 | 159 | 362 | 22 | 15 | 382 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 38 | AAA MLE | Vaqueros de la Laguna | — | 254 | 231 | 42 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 80 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 182 | 247 | 303 | 550 | 121 | 238 | 31 | 7 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 38 | AAA RAW | Vaqueros de la Laguna | — | 254 | 216 | 48 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 34 | 66 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 222 | 331 | 398 | 729 | 176 | 266 | 26 | 13 | 326 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 27 | AAA MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 153 | 137 | 37 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 270 | 340 | 394 | 734 | 124 | 292 | 14 | 9 | 330 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 28 | AAA MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 174 | 161 | 34 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 262 | 329 | 591 | 118 | 263 | 26 | 6 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 29 | AAA MLE | Dorados de Chihuahua | — | 461 | 417 | 124 | 21 | 0 | 17 | 41 | 85 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 297 | 360 | 470 | 830 | 173 | 334 | 18 | 9 | 367 | 135 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 30 | AAA MLE | Dorados de Chihuahua | — | 437 | 390 | 101 | 19 | 0 | 8 | 41 | 97 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 259 | 334 | 369 | 703 | 110 | 318 | 22 | 9 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 31 | AAA MLE | Dorados de Chihuahua | — | 340 | 303 | 81 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 33 | 67 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 267 | 341 | 360 | 701 | 92 | 322 | 20 | 10 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 32 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 619 | 535 | 141 | 25 | 0 | 17 | 78 | 118 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 264 | 359 | 406 | 765 | 142 | 303 | 19 | 13 | 342 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 33 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 446 | 391 | 91 | 14 | 0 | 9 | 46 | 88 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 233 | 324 | 338 | 662 | 105 | 275 | 20 | 10 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 34 | AAA MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 197 | 177 | 33 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 57 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 186 | 263 | 266 | 528 | 79 | 247 | 29 | 9 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 35 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 290 | 261 | 49 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 96 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 188 | 266 | 299 | 565 | 111 | 264 | 33 | 9 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 36 | AAA MLE | Vaqueros de la Laguna | — | 446 | 396 | 87 | 14 | 0 | 9 | 46 | 128 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 220 | 303 | 323 | 626 | 104 | 298 | 29 | 10 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 37 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 466 | 420 | 94 | 16 | 0 | 9 | 41 | 126 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 224 | 297 | 326 | 623 | 102 | 292 | 27 | 9 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 38 | AAA MLE | Vaqueros de la Laguna | — | 254 | 232 | 42 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 80 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 181 | 247 | 302 | 549 | 121 | 234 | 31 | 7 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4283 | 3811 | 914 | 156 | 2 | 97 | 413 | 1010 | 18 | 7 | 10 | 240 | 317 | 358 | 675 | 118 | 299 | 24 | 10 | 303 | 91 | -46 | -3 | +0 | -76 | +93 | -3.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 578 | 139 | 24 | 0 | 15 | 63 | 153 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 240 | 319 | 360 | 679 | 119 | 299 | 24 | 10 | 303 | 91 | -7 | -1 | +0 | -12 | +14 | -0.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2016 AAAVaqueros de la Laguna · 254 PAwOBA .317 → .248 (−68)K% 26.0% → 31.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.98% | ÷0.986 | ×1.200 | — | — | 31.63% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.20% | ÷1.051 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 7.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.39% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 0.35% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷0.963 | ×0.930 | ×1.018 | ×0.940 | 18.49% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.33% | ÷0.992 | ×0.830 | ×1.018 | ×0.940 | 4.27% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.046 | ×0.920 | ×1.018 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.67% | ÷0.929 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 4.72% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 93, 2B 98, 3B 109, K 97, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 38 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (10.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.018.
Result: wOBA .317 → .248; ISO .176 → .131; BABIP .266 → .234. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAVaqueros de la Laguna · 432 PAwOBA .377 → .280 (−97)K% 21.5% → 27.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.53% | ÷0.955 | ×1.200 | — | — | 27.06% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.58% | ÷1.084 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 8.73% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.46% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 0.41% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.99% | ÷1.049 | ×0.930 | ×0.999 | ×0.940 | 23.30% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.09% | ÷1.046 | ×0.830 | ×0.999 | ×0.940 | 5.28% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.080 | ×0.920 | ×0.999 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.85% | ÷1.006 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 3.17% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 110, 2B 109, 3B 116, K 91, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 37 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (9.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.
Result: wOBA .377 → .280; ISO .161 → .113; BABIP .364 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAVaqueros de la Laguna · 446 PAwOBA .383 → .288 (−94)K% 23.1% → 28.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.09% | ÷0.966 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.37% | ÷1.025 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 10.36% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.22% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 0.20% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.07% | ÷1.055 | ×0.930 | ×0.986 | ×0.940 | 23.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.36% | ÷1.060 | ×0.830 | ×0.986 | ×0.940 | 5.35% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.953 | ×0.920 | ×0.986 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.04% | ÷0.976 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 3.40% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 111, 2B 112, 3B 91, K 93, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 36 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (8.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.
Result: wOBA .383 → .288; ISO .161 → .117; BABIP .379 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAAVaqueros de la Laguna · 229 PAwOBA .339 → .257 (−83)K% 26.2% → 33.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.20% | ÷0.949 | ×1.200 | — | — | 33.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.10% | ÷0.989 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 8.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.87% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 0.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.77% | ÷0.999 | ×0.930 | ×1.012 | ×0.940 | 18.39% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.00% | ÷1.098 | ×0.830 | ×1.012 | ×0.940 | 7.19% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.77% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.012 | ×0.940 | 0.59% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.62% | ÷0.991 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 3.06% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 100, 2B 120, 3B 130, K 90, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 35 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.
Result: wOBA .339 → .257; ISO .174 → .122; BABIP .323 → .264. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAASultanes de Monterrey · 197 PAwOBA .306 → .235 (−71)K% 23.9% → 29.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.86% | ÷0.984 | ×1.200 | — | — | 29.09% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.71% | ÷0.984 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 9.03% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.19% | ÷1.015 | ×0.930 | ×1.018 | ×0.940 | 18.57% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.47% | ÷1.092 | ×0.830 | ×1.018 | ×0.940 | 6.16% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.128 | ×0.920 | ×1.018 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.54% | ÷1.081 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 1.55% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 103, 2B 118, 3B 126, K 97, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.018.
Result: wOBA .306 → .235; ISO .115 → .080; BABIP .299 → .247. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAARojos del Aguila de Veracruz · 366 PAwOBA .368 → .300 (−68)K% 16.7% → 19.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.67% | ÷1.017 | ×1.200 | — | — | 19.66% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.12% | ÷1.016 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.942 | 10.31% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.64% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.942 | 1.45% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.05% | ÷0.963 | ×0.930 | ×1.019 | ×0.942 | 22.29% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.49% | ÷0.941 | ×0.830 | ×1.019 | ×0.942 | 4.64% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | ×1.019 | ×0.942 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.64% | ÷1.007 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.942 | 3.04% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 93, 2B 88, 3B 80, K 103, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.
Result: wOBA .368 → .300; ISO .154 → .116; BABIP .307 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAADorados de Chihuahua · 468 PAwOBA .439 → .342 (−97)K% 16.5% → 19.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.45% | ÷1.038 | ×1.200 | — | — | 19.03% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 19.87% | ÷1.039 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.952 | 12.56% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.952 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.83% | ÷1.072 | ×0.930 | ×0.978 | ×0.952 | 23.29% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.47% | ÷0.961 | ×0.830 | ×0.978 | ×0.952 | 6.01% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.028 | ×0.920 | ×0.978 | ×0.952 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.76% | ÷1.129 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.952 | 3.99% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 114, 2B 92, 3B 106, K 108, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.
Result: wOBA .439 → .342; ISO .218 → .161; BABIP .386 → .303. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 AAADorados de Chihuahua · 340 PAwOBA .376 → .314 (−62)K% 16.5% → 19.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.47% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 19.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.71% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.962 | 9.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.29% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.962 | 0.27% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.39% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.022 | ×0.962 | 26.87% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.70% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.022 | ×0.962 | 4.65% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.44% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.022 | ×0.962 | 0.40% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.07% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.962 | 2.07% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.
Result: wOBA .376 → .314; ISO .127 → .098; BABIP .362 → .322. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .