Said Gutierrez

PosC

B/TR/R

Born1980-03-26

Age (2027)47

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2017

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2015	35	AAA/INTL2 orgs	214	.212/.284/.339	6	41	—	.167/.212/.231
2016	36	AAA/INTL2 orgs	259	.250/.301/.341	6	37	—	.221/.251/.284
2017	37	AAASultanes de M…	206	.323/.373/.446	6	84	—	.279/.318/.363

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2005	25	AAA	Leones de Yucatan	—	209	188	44	7	1	7	11	30	5	1	1	234	294	394	688	160	245	14	5	300	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	26	AAA	Leones de Yucatan	—	177	154	38	6	0	5	17	29	2	1	3	247	329	383	713	136	273	16	10	316	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	27	AAA	Leones de Yucatan	—	349	312	97	20	1	8	27	35	2	2	0	311	370	458	828	147	327	10	8	360	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	28	AAA	Leones de Yucatan	—	226	206	66	14	0	11	15	29	4	1	1	320	378	549	926	228	329	13	7	404	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	29	AAA	Leones de Yucatan	—	364	320	92	15	0	9	24	56	4	0	1	287	345	419	764	131	318	15	7	328	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	30	AAA	Leones de Yucatan	—	316	277	77	11	0	13	31	53	2	2	1	278	355	458	813	181	298	17	10	355	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	30	INTL	Yaquis de Obregon	—	124	118	35	4	0	5	4	30	0	0	1	297	320	458	777	161	357	24	3	338	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	31	AAA	Leones de Yucatan	—	283	243	65	14	0	8	27	50	4	1	2	267	350	424	774	156	303	18	10	337	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	31	INTL	Mexico	—	101	94	17	2	0	2	4	22	0	0	0	181	214	266	480	85	208	22	4	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	32	INTL	Yaquis de Obregon	—	63	60	14	4	0	1	2	15	1	0	0	233	270	350	620	117	295	24	3	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	33	AAA	Leones de Yucatan	—	214	188	51	14	0	4	16	28	3	2	0	271	338	410	748	138	296	13	7	325	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	33	INTL	Yaquis de Obregon	—	115	108	22	3	0	5	4	26	1	0	0	204	239	370	609	167	218	23	3	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	34	AAA	Vaqueros de la Laguna	—	393	351	102	9	0	14	26	51	4	2	0	291	346	436	782	145	301	13	7	339	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	34	INTL	Yaquis de Obregon	—	206	185	41	6	0	6	13	37	2	1	0	222	280	351	631	130	243	18	6	277	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	35	AAA	Olmecas de Tabasco	—	170	150	30	5	0	3	13	27	2	0	0	200	273	293	566	93	223	16	8	254	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	35	INTL	Yaquis de Obregon	—	44	39	10	1	0	3	4	6	0	0	1	256	326	513	838	256	233	14	9	358	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	36	AAA	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	241	217	58	3	0	6	11	43	3	0	3	267	312	364	676	97	304	18	5	293	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	36	INTL	Yaquis de Obregon	—	18	15	0	0	0	0	2	5	1	0	0		167		167			28	11	118	-34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	37	AAA	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	206	186	60	5	0	6	10	29	5	0	0	323	373	446	819	124	353	14	5	359	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2005	25	AAA MLE	Leones de Yucatan	—	209	192	40	6	1	5	7	36	5	1	1	208	255	328	583	120	224	17	3	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	26	AAA MLE	Leones de Yucatan	—	177	159	35	5	0	4	12	35	2	1	3	220	283	327	610	107	248	20	7	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	27	AAA MLE	Leones de Yucatan	—	349	320	89	17	1	6	19	42	2	2	0	278	323	394	716	116	294	12	5	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	28	AAA MLE	Leones de Yucatan	—	226	212	58	12	0	8	9	35	4	1	1	274	316	443	759	170	287	15	4	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	29	AAA MLE	Leones de Yucatan	—	364	328	86	13	0	7	16	67	4	0	1	262	305	366	670	104	285	18	4	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	30	AAA MLE	Leones de Yucatan	—	316	291	67	9	0	10	17	67	2	2	1	230	277	364	642	134	255	21	5	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	31	AAA MLE	Leones de Yucatan	—	283	253	59	12	0	7	17	58	4	1	2	233	292	364	656	130	256	20	6	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	33	AAA MLE	Leones de Yucatan	—	214	194	44	11	0	3	10	35	3	2	0	227	275	330	605	103	246	16	5	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	34	AAA MLE	Vaqueros de la Laguna	—	393	360	85	7	0	10	17	63	4	2	0	236	278	339	617	103	247	16	4	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	35	AAA MLE	Olmecas de Tabasco	—	170	156	26	4	0	2	7	33	2	0	0	167	212	231	443	64	187	19	4	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	36	AAA MLE	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	241	222	49	2	0	4	6	54	3	0	3	221	251	284	535	63	256	22	2	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	37	AAA MLE	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	206	190	53	4	0	4	6	37	5	0	0	279	318	363	682	84	313	18	3	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	25	AAA MLE	Leones de Yucatan	—	209	192	40	6	1	5	7	36	5	1	1	208	255	328	583	120	232	17	3	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	25	AAA RAW	Leones de Yucatan	—	209	188	44	7	1	7	11	30	5	1	1	234	294	394	688	160	245	14	5	300	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	26	AAA MLE	Leones de Yucatan	—	177	159	35	5	0	4	12	35	2	1	3	220	283	327	610	107	256	20	7	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	26	AAA RAW	Leones de Yucatan	—	177	154	38	6	0	5	17	29	2	1	3	247	329	383	713	136	273	16	10	316	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	27	AAA MLE	Leones de Yucatan	—	349	320	89	17	1	6	19	42	2	2	0	278	323	394	716	116	302	12	5	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	27	AAA RAW	Leones de Yucatan	—	349	312	97	20	1	8	27	35	2	2	0	311	370	458	828	147	327	10	8	360	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	28	AAA MLE	Leones de Yucatan	—	226	212	58	12	0	8	9	35	4	1	1	274	316	443	759	170	294	15	4	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	28	AAA RAW	Leones de Yucatan	—	226	206	66	14	0	11	15	29	4	1	1	320	378	549	926	228	329	13	7	404	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	29	AAA MLE	Leones de Yucatan	—	364	328	86	13	0	7	16	67	4	0	1	262	305	366	670	104	304	18	4	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	29	AAA RAW	Leones de Yucatan	—	364	320	92	15	0	9	24	56	4	0	1	287	345	419	764	131	318	15	7	328	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	30	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	440	406	93	12	0	14	24	93	2	2	2	229	275	362	638	133	260	21	5	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	30	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	440	395	112	15	0	18	35	83	2	2	2	284	345	458	803	175	314	19	8	350	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	31	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	384	345	80	16	0	10	23	78	4	1	2	232	288	365	653	133	267	20	6	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	31	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	384	337	82	16	0	10	31	72	4	1	2	243	315	380	694	136	277	19	8	304	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	32	INTL MLE	Yaquis de Obregon	—	63	60	14	4	0	1	2	15	1	0	0	233	270	350	620	117	295	24	3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	32	INTL RAW	Yaquis de Obregon	—	63	60	14	4	0	1	2	15	1	0	0	233	270	350	620	117	295	24	3	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	33	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	329	301	68	18	0	5	15	54	4	2	0	226	272	336	607	110	256	16	5	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	33	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	329	296	73	17	0	9	20	54	4	2	0	247	303	395	698	149	270	16	6	304	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	34	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	599	550	130	11	0	15	25	96	6	3	0	236	277	338	615	102	257	16	4	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	34	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	599	536	143	15	0	20	39	88	6	3	0	267	324	407	730	140	282	15	7	318	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	35	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	214	197	33	5	0	3	9	42	2	0	1	168	212	239	450	71	196	20	4	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	35	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	214	189	40	6	0	6	17	33	2	0	1	212	284	339	622	127	225	15	8	275	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	36	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	259	239	53	3	0	4	6	58	4	0	3	222	253	285	538	63	272	22	2	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	36	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	259	232	58	3	0	6	13	48	4	0	3	250	301	341	642	91	287	19	5	281	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	37	AAA MLE	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	206	190	53	4	0	4	6	37	5	0	0	279	318	363	682	84	325	18	3	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	37	AAA RAW	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	206	186	60	5	0	6	10	29	5	0	0	323	373	446	819	124	353	14	5	359	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	25	AAA MLE	Leones de Yucatan	—	209	195	40	6	1	5	7	36	5	1	1	205	255	323	578	118	224	17	3	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	26	AAA MLE	Leones de Yucatan	—	177	161	35	5	0	4	12	35	2	1	3	217	283	323	606	106	248	20	7	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	27	AAA MLE	Leones de Yucatan	—	349	325	89	17	1	6	19	42	2	2	0	274	323	388	710	114	294	12	5	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	28	AAA MLE	Leones de Yucatan	—	226	211	58	12	0	8	9	35	4	1	1	275	316	445	761	171	287	15	4	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	29	AAA MLE	Leones de Yucatan	—	364	341	86	13	0	7	16	67	4	0	1	252	305	352	657	100	285	18	4	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	30	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	440	411	93	12	0	14	24	93	2	2	2	226	275	358	633	131	255	21	5	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	31	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	384	354	80	16	0	10	23	78	4	1	2	226	288	356	644	130	256	20	6	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	33	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	329	307	68	18	0	5	15	54	4	2	0	221	272	329	601	107	246	16	5	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	34	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	599	563	130	11	0	15	25	96	6	3	0	231	277	330	607	99	247	16	4	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	35	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	214	201	33	5	0	3	9	42	2	0	1	164	212	234	445	70	187	20	4	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	36	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	259	247	53	3	0	4	6	58	4	0	3	215	253	275	528	61	256	22	2	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	37	AAA MLE	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	206	193	53	4	0	4	6	37	5	0	0	275	318	358	676	83	313	18	3	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	3819	3499	832	126	2	86	173	688	45	13	14	238	282	349	631	111	270	18	5	268	67	-149	-3	+0	+68	+83	-0.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	596	141	21	0	15	29	117	8	2	2	237	282	347	629	111	268	18	4	268	67	-25	-0	+0	+12	+14	-0.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2017 AAASultanes de Monterrey · 206 PAwOBA .351 → .293 (−58)K% 14.1% → 17.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.08%	÷0.946	×1.200	—	—	17.85%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.37%	÷1.060	×0.690	—	×0.940	2.67%
HBP% /PA	2.43%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	2.14%
Singles /BIP	31.21%	÷0.978	×0.930	×1.016	×0.940	28.37%
Doubles /BIP	3.18%	÷0.992	×0.830	×1.016	×0.940	2.55%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.920	×1.016	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.82%	÷1.043	×0.700	—	×0.940	2.41%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 96, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 89, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 37 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (9.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.

Result: wOBA .351 → .293; ISO .124 → .084; BABIP .353 → .313. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAASultanes de Monterrey · 241 PAwOBA .287 → .231 (−56)K% 17.8% → 22.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.84%	÷0.961	×1.200	—	—	22.28%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.15%	÷1.118	×0.690	—	×0.940	2.41%
HBP% /PA	1.24%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	1.10%
Singles /BIP	28.16%	÷1.036	×0.930	×1.013	×0.940	24.07%
Doubles /BIP	1.72%	÷0.979	×0.830	×1.013	×0.940	1.39%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.920	×1.013	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.45%	÷1.051	×0.700	—	×0.940	2.16%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 107, 2B 96, 3B 80, K 92, BB 124 — applied at half strength. Age: age 36 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (8.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.

Result: wOBA .287 → .231; ISO .097 → .065; BABIP .304 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAAOlmecas de Tabasco · 170 PAwOBA .243 → .196 (−48)K% 15.9% → 19.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.88%	÷0.969	×1.200	—	—	19.67%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.47%	÷0.986	×0.690	—	×0.940	4.26%
HBP% /PA	1.18%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	1.04%
Singles /BIP	17.89%	÷1.017	×0.930	×1.004	×0.940	15.43%
Doubles /BIP	4.07%	÷1.011	×0.830	×1.004	×0.940	3.15%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.986	×0.920	×1.004	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.44%	÷1.011	×0.700	—	×0.940	1.59%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 103, 2B 102, 3B 97, K 94, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 35 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.

Result: wOBA .243 → .196; ISO .093 → .067; BABIP .223 → .187. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAAVaqueros de la Laguna · 393 PAwOBA .335 → .264 (−70)K% 13.0% → 16.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.98%	÷0.966	×1.200	—	—	16.12%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.62%	÷1.025	×0.690	—	×0.940	4.19%
HBP% /PA	1.02%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	0.90%
Singles /BIP	26.33%	÷1.055	×0.930	×1.014	×0.940	22.12%
Doubles /BIP	3.00%	÷1.060	×0.830	×1.014	×0.940	2.24%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.953	×0.920	×1.014	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.67%	÷0.976	×0.700	—	×0.940	3.15%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 111, 2B 112, 3B 91, K 93, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.

Result: wOBA .335 → .264; ISO .145 → .103; BABIP .301 → .247. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAALeones de Yucatan · 214 PAwOBA .319 → .264 (−55)K% 13.1% → 16.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.08%	÷0.964	×1.200	—	—	16.29%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.01%	÷0.987	×0.690	—	×0.942	4.62%
HBP% /PA	1.40%	—	×0.940	—	×0.942	1.24%
Singles /BIP	20.62%	÷1.019	×0.930	×0.999	×0.942	17.71%
Doubles /BIP	8.75%	÷0.992	×0.830	×0.999	×0.942	6.89%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.955	×0.920	×0.999	×0.942	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.50%	÷0.866	×0.700	—	×0.942	1.90%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 104, 2B 98, 3B 91, K 93, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.

Result: wOBA .319 → .264; ISO .138 → .112; BABIP .296 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAALeones de Yucatan · 283 PAwOBA .328 → .282 (−46)K% 17.7% → 20.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.67%	÷1.041	×1.200	—	—	20.36%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.48%	÷0.949	×0.690	—	×0.962	5.93%
HBP% /PA	1.41%	—	×0.940	—	×0.962	1.28%
Singles /BIP	22.28%	÷1.021	×0.930	×0.991	×0.962	19.35%
Doubles /BIP	7.25%	÷1.006	×0.830	×0.991	×0.962	5.71%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.920	×0.991	×0.962	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.15%	÷0.794	×0.700	—	×0.962	3.51%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 59, 1B 104, 2B 101, 3B 130, K 108, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.991.

Result: wOBA .328 → .282; ISO .156 → .137; BABIP .303 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AAALeones de Yucatan · 316 PAwOBA .345 → .284 (−61)K% 16.8% → 21.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.77%	÷0.949	×1.200	—	—	21.21%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.23%	÷1.004	×0.690	—	×0.972	5.50%
HBP% /PA	0.63%	—	×0.940	—	×0.972	0.58%
Singles /BIP	23.66%	÷0.991	×0.930	×0.969	×0.972	20.91%
Doubles /BIP	4.91%	÷0.995	×0.830	×0.969	×0.972	3.86%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.920	×0.969	×0.972	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.80%	÷0.886	×0.700	—	×0.972	4.46%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 98, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 90, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.969.

Result: wOBA .345 → .284; ISO .181 → .143; BABIP .298 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2009 AAALeones de Yucatan · 364 PAwOBA .323 → .282 (−41)K% 15.4% → 18.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.38%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	18.46%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.32%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×0.982	4.28%
HBP% /PA	1.10%	—	×0.940	—	×0.982	1.01%
Singles /BIP	25.76%	÷1.000	×0.930	×1.011	×0.982	23.78%
Doubles /BIP	5.68%	÷1.000	×0.830	×1.011	×0.982	4.68%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.011	×0.982	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.41%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×0.982	2.34%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.

Result: wOBA .323 → .282; ISO .131 → .102; BABIP .318 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .