Brooks Conrad
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | 32 | AAATB | 187 | .331/.435/.675 | 14 | 0 | 126 | — | .259/.323/.512 | |
| 2012 | 32 | MLBTB | 105 | .133/.183/.306 | 4 | 0 | 33 | -0.5 | ||
| 2014 | 34 | AAASD | 336 | .282/.359/.541 | 18 | 0 | 76 | — | .205/.258/.388 | |
| 2014 | 34 | MLBSD | 34 | .100/.182/.233 | 1 | 0 | 14 | -0.2 | ||
| 2015 | 35 | AAALas Vegas 51s | 307 | .194/.281/.319 | 6 | 2 | 15 | — | .138/.203/.219 | |
| 2016 | 36 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2017 | 37 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2018 | 38 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2019 | 39 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2020 | 40 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2021 | 41 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2022 | 42 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 43 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 44 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 45 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 46 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 25 | AAA | Round Rock Express | — | 483 | 418 | 110 | 22 | 3 | 21 | 52 | 104 | 4 | 12 | 3 | 263 | 350 | 481 | 831 | 218 | 300 | 22 | 11 | 360 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 25 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 94 | 77 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 234 | 372 | 416 | 788 | 182 | 267 | 16 | 17 | 357 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 26 | AAA | Round Rock Express | — | 599 | 532 | 142 | 40 | 15 | 24 | 54 | 135 | 4 | 15 | 6 | 267 | 339 | 534 | 873 | 267 | 310 | 23 | 9 | 373 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 27 | AAA | Round Rock Express | — | 605 | 533 | 116 | 36 | 3 | 22 | 63 | 144 | 5 | 12 | 3 | 218 | 306 | 420 | 726 | 203 | 254 | 24 | 10 | 321 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 28 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | — | 19 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 158 | 158 | 211 | 368 | 53 | 300 | 47 | 0 | 163 | -4 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +0 | 0.0 |
| 2008 | 28 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 517 | 465 | 113 | 29 | 5 | 28 | 46 | 127 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 243 | 314 | 508 | 821 | 265 | 272 | 25 | 9 | 355 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 29 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | — | 58 | 54 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 204 | 259 | 407 | 666 | 204 | 237 | 24 | 5 | 292 | 76 | -2 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +1 | 0.0 |
| 2009 | 29 | AAA | Gwinnett Braves | — | 469 | 399 | 107 | 25 | 0 | 12 | 52 | 108 | 7 | 13 | 1 | 268 | 362 | 421 | 783 | 153 | 330 | 23 | 11 | 345 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 30 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | — | 177 | 156 | 39 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 16 | 45 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 250 | 324 | 487 | 811 | 237 | 301 | 25 | 9 | 347 | 124 | +5 | +1 | -5 | +1 | +4 | 0.5 |
| 2011 | 31 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | — | 122 | 103 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 41 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 223 | 328 | 388 | 716 | 165 | 322 | 34 | 12 | 317 | 95 | -1 | +0 | +1 | +0 | +3 | 0.4 |
| 2012 | 32 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 105 | 98 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 133 | 183 | 306 | 489 | 173 | 173 | 41 | 6 | 215 | 33 | -8 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +2 | -0.5 |
| 2012 | 32 | AAA | Durham Bulls | — | 187 | 157 | 52 | 10 | 1 | 14 | 29 | 49 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 331 | 435 | 675 | 1.111 | 344 | 400 | 26 | 16 | 472 | 126 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 34 | MLB | San Diego Padres | — | 34 | 30 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 182 | 233 | 415 | 133 | 125 | 41 | 9 | 187 | 14 | -3 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +1 | -0.2 |
| 2014 | 34 | AAA | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 336 | 294 | 83 | 18 | 2 | 18 | 33 | 79 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 282 | 359 | 541 | 899 | 259 | 322 | 24 | 10 | 384 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 35 | AAA | Las Vegas 51s | — | 307 | 273 | 53 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 27 | 71 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 194 | 281 | 319 | 600 | 125 | 239 | 23 | 9 | 275 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 515 | 460 | 92 | 24 | 3 | 19 | 43 | 166 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 200 | 273 | 389 | 662 | 189 | 263 | 32 | 8 | 289 | 82 | -11 | +1 | -6 | +7 | +11 | 0.3 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 25 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 483 | 434 | 95 | 18 | 2 | 17 | 36 | 134 | 4 | 12 | 3 | 219 | 285 | 387 | 672 | 168 | 265 | 28 | 7 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 25 | AA MLE | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 94 | 83 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 193 | 287 | 349 | 637 | 157 | 231 | 19 | 11 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 26 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 599 | 548 | 112 | 30 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 174 | 4 | 15 | 6 | 204 | 261 | 398 | 659 | 193 | 255 | 29 | 6 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 27 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 605 | 555 | 91 | 27 | 2 | 17 | 41 | 186 | 5 | 12 | 3 | 164 | 228 | 312 | 540 | 148 | 206 | 31 | 7 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 28 | MLB MLE | Oakland Athletics | — | 19 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 158 | 158 | 211 | 368 | 53 | 300 | 47 | 0 | 163 | -4 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +0 | 0.0 |
| 2008 | 28 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 517 | 479 | 86 | 21 | 4 | 20 | 32 | 164 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 180 | 234 | 365 | 599 | 186 | 218 | 32 | 6 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 29 | MLB MLE | Atlanta Braves | — | 58 | 55 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 241 | 400 | 641 | 200 | 237 | 24 | 3 | 280 | 76 | -2 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +1 | 0.0 |
| 2009 | 29 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Braves | — | 469 | 419 | 94 | 20 | 0 | 10 | 32 | 129 | 7 | 13 | 1 | 224 | 290 | 344 | 634 | 119 | 280 | 28 | 7 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 30 | MLB MLE | Atlanta Braves | — | 177 | 156 | 39 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 45 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 250 | 324 | 500 | 824 | 250 | 301 | 25 | 9 | 351 | 124 | +5 | +1 | -5 | +1 | +4 | 0.5 |
| 2011 | 31 | MLB MLE | Atlanta Braves | — | 122 | 105 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 41 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 219 | 311 | 381 | 692 | 162 | 322 | 34 | 11 | 308 | 95 | -1 | +0 | +1 | +0 | +3 | 0.4 |
| 2012 | 32 | MLB MLE | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 105 | 98 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 133 | 183 | 306 | 489 | 173 | 173 | 41 | 6 | 218 | 33 | -8 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +2 | -0.5 |
| 2012 | 32 | AAA MLE | Durham Bulls | — | 187 | 170 | 44 | 8 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 58 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 259 | 323 | 512 | 834 | 253 | 319 | 31 | 9 | 355 | 126 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 34 | MLB MLE | San Diego Padres | — | 34 | 30 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 182 | 233 | 415 | 133 | 125 | 41 | 9 | 188 | 14 | -3 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +1 | -0.2 |
| 2014 | 34 | AAA MLE | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 336 | 307 | 63 | 12 | 1 | 14 | 20 | 102 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 205 | 258 | 388 | 646 | 182 | 246 | 30 | 6 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 35 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas 51s | — | 307 | 283 | 39 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 94 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 138 | 203 | 219 | 422 | 81 | 187 | 31 | 6 | 191 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 577 | 517 | 110 | 23 | 3 | 18 | 46 | 153 | 5 | 20 | 3 | 213 | 283 | 373 | 657 | 161 | 263 | 27 | 8 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 577 | 495 | 128 | 28 | 4 | 23 | 68 | 119 | 5 | 20 | 3 | 259 | 354 | 471 | 825 | 212 | 294 | 21 | 12 | 360 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 26 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 599 | 548 | 112 | 30 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 174 | 4 | 15 | 6 | 204 | 261 | 398 | 659 | 193 | 258 | 29 | 6 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 26 | AAA RAW | Round Rock Express | — | 599 | 532 | 142 | 40 | 15 | 24 | 54 | 135 | 4 | 15 | 6 | 267 | 339 | 534 | 873 | 267 | 310 | 23 | 9 | 373 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 27 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 605 | 555 | 91 | 27 | 2 | 17 | 41 | 186 | 5 | 12 | 3 | 164 | 228 | 312 | 540 | 148 | 208 | 31 | 7 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 27 | AAA RAW | Round Rock Express | — | 605 | 533 | 116 | 36 | 3 | 22 | 63 | 144 | 5 | 12 | 3 | 218 | 306 | 420 | 726 | 203 | 254 | 24 | 10 | 321 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 536 | 498 | 89 | 22 | 4 | 20 | 32 | 173 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 179 | 231 | 359 | 591 | 181 | 225 | 32 | 6 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 536 | 484 | 116 | 30 | 5 | 28 | 46 | 136 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 240 | 308 | 496 | 804 | 256 | 273 | 25 | 9 | 348 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 527 | 474 | 105 | 21 | 2 | 12 | 34 | 143 | 8 | 13 | 1 | 222 | 285 | 350 | 635 | 129 | 284 | 27 | 6 | 283 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 29 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 527 | 453 | 118 | 26 | 2 | 14 | 55 | 122 | 8 | 13 | 1 | 260 | 351 | 419 | 770 | 159 | 319 | 23 | 10 | 339 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 30 | MLB MLE | Atlanta Braves | — | 177 | 156 | 39 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 45 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 250 | 324 | 500 | 824 | 250 | 294 | 25 | 9 | 351 | 124 | +5 | +1 | -5 | +1 | +4 | 0.5 |
| 2010 | 30 | MLB RAW | Atlanta Braves | — | 177 | 156 | 39 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 16 | 45 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 250 | 324 | 487 | 811 | 237 | 301 | 25 | 9 | 347 | 124 | +5 | +1 | -5 | +1 | +4 | 0.5 |
| 2011 | 31 | MLB MLE | Atlanta Braves | — | 122 | 105 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 41 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 219 | 311 | 381 | 692 | 162 | 311 | 34 | 11 | 308 | 95 | -1 | +0 | +1 | +0 | +3 | 0.4 |
| 2011 | 31 | MLB RAW | Atlanta Braves | — | 122 | 103 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 41 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 223 | 328 | 388 | 716 | 165 | 322 | 34 | 12 | 317 | 95 | -1 | +0 | +1 | +0 | +3 | 0.4 |
| 2012 | 32 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 292 | 268 | 57 | 13 | 1 | 15 | 22 | 101 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 213 | 272 | 437 | 709 | 224 | 273 | 35 | 8 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 32 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 292 | 255 | 65 | 15 | 1 | 18 | 35 | 92 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 255 | 345 | 533 | 878 | 278 | 320 | 32 | 12 | 379 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 34 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 370 | 337 | 67 | 14 | 1 | 15 | 23 | 116 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 199 | 254 | 380 | 634 | 181 | 245 | 31 | 6 | 272 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 34 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 370 | 324 | 86 | 19 | 2 | 19 | 36 | 93 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 265 | 343 | 512 | 855 | 247 | 307 | 25 | 10 | 366 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 35 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas 51s | — | 307 | 283 | 39 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 94 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 138 | 203 | 219 | 422 | 81 | 188 | 31 | 6 | 191 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 35 | AAA RAW | Las Vegas 51s | — | 307 | 273 | 53 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 27 | 71 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 194 | 281 | 319 | 600 | 125 | 239 | 23 | 9 | 275 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 577 | 521 | 110 | 23 | 3 | 18 | 46 | 153 | 5 | 20 | 3 | 211 | 283 | 370 | 654 | 159 | 259 | 27 | 8 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 26 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 599 | 552 | 112 | 30 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 174 | 4 | 15 | 6 | 203 | 261 | 395 | 656 | 192 | 255 | 29 | 6 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 27 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 605 | 554 | 91 | 27 | 2 | 17 | 41 | 186 | 5 | 12 | 3 | 164 | 228 | 312 | 540 | 148 | 206 | 31 | 7 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 536 | 497 | 89 | 22 | 4 | 20 | 32 | 173 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 179 | 231 | 360 | 591 | 181 | 221 | 32 | 6 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 527 | 480 | 105 | 21 | 2 | 12 | 34 | 143 | 8 | 13 | 1 | 219 | 285 | 346 | 631 | 127 | 275 | 27 | 6 | 283 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 30 | MLB MLE | Atlanta Braves | — | 177 | 158 | 39 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 45 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 247 | 324 | 494 | 817 | 247 | 301 | 25 | 9 | 351 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 31 | MLB MLE | Atlanta Braves | — | 122 | 107 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 41 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 215 | 311 | 374 | 685 | 159 | 322 | 34 | 11 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 32 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 292 | 268 | 57 | 13 | 1 | 15 | 22 | 101 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 213 | 272 | 437 | 709 | 224 | 267 | 35 | 8 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 34 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 370 | 342 | 67 | 14 | 1 | 15 | 23 | 116 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 196 | 254 | 374 | 628 | 178 | 235 | 31 | 6 | 272 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 35 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas 51s | — | 307 | 281 | 39 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 94 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 139 | 203 | 221 | 423 | 82 | 187 | 31 | 6 | 191 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 515 | 460 | 92 | 24 | 3 | 19 | 43 | 166 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 200 | 273 | 389 | 662 | 189 | 263 | 32 | 8 | 289 | 70 | -11 | +1 | -6 | +7 | +11 | 0.3 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 581 | 116 | 30 | 4 | 24 | 54 | 210 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 200 | 273 | 389 | 662 | 189 | 262 | 32 | 8 | 289 | 70 | -14 | +1 | -7 | +9 | +14 | 0.3 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4112 | 3741 | 732 | 174 | 26 | 132 | 282 | 1226 | 34 | 73 | 21 | 196 | 258 | 362 | 620 | 166 | 248 | 30 | 7 | 271 | 70 | -11 | +1 | -6 | +7 | +11 | 0.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 591 | 116 | 28 | 4 | 21 | 45 | 194 | 5 | 12 | 3 | 196 | 259 | 364 | 623 | 168 | 249 | 30 | 7 | 271 | 70 | -14 | +1 | -7 | +9 | +14 | 0.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2015 AAALas Vegas 51s · 307 PAwOBA .267 → .191 (−76)K% 23.1% → 30.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.13% | ÷0.977 | ×1.290 | — | — | 30.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.47% | ÷1.010 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.940 | 5.59% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.95% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.940 | 1.80% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.84% | ÷0.983 | ×0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.940 | 13.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.93% | ÷1.042 | ×0.810 | ×0.970 | ×0.940 | 4.91% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.50% | ÷1.061 | ×0.810 | ×0.970 | ×0.940 | 0.34% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.97% | ÷1.099 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.940 | 1.98% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 97, 2B 108, 3B 112, K 95, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 35 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.
Result: wOBA .267 → .191; ISO .125 → .081; BABIP .239 → .187. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 336 PAwOBA .375 → .281 (−94)K% 23.5% → 30.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.51% | ÷1.002 | ×1.290 | — | — | 30.28% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.63% | ÷0.970 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.940 | 5.94% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.60% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.940 | 0.55% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.93% | ÷1.018 | ×0.900 | ×0.985 | ×0.940 | 17.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.37% | ÷1.068 | ×0.810 | ×0.985 | ×0.940 | 5.88% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.93% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.985 | ×0.940 | 0.61% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.37% | ÷0.958 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.940 | 6.41% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 104, 2B 114, 3B 130, K 100, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.
Result: wOBA .375 → .281; ISO .259 → .190; BABIP .322 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAADurham Bulls · 187 PAwOBA .458 → .355 (−103)K% 26.2% → 31.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.20% | ÷1.008 | ×1.200 | — | — | 31.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.90% | ÷1.046 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.952 | 8.73% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.952 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷0.987 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×0.952 | 21.30% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.26% | ÷0.998 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.952 | 6.97% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.93% | ÷0.942 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×0.952 | 0.86% |
| Home runs /BIP | 12.96% | ÷1.093 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.952 | 9.48% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 97, 2B 100, 3B 88, K 102, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .458 → .355; ISO .344 → .266; BABIP .400 → .319. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 AAAGwinnett Braves · 469 PAwOBA .340 → .283 (−57)K% 23.0% → 27.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.03% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 27.63% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.23% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 6.93% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.49% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 1.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.05% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.964 | ×0.982 | 21.18% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.59% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.964 | ×0.982 | 6.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.964 | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.12% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.982 | 3.40% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.964.
Result: wOBA .340 → .283; ISO .153 → .128; BABIP .330 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2008 AAASacramento River Cats · 517 PAwOBA .345 → .257 (−88)K% 24.6% → 31.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.56% | ÷1.000 | ×1.290 | — | — | 31.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.70% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.992 | 6.13% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.39% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.992 | 0.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.09% | ÷1.000 | ×0.900 | ×0.954 | ×0.992 | 12.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.58% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×0.954 | ×0.992 | 6.58% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.48% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×0.954 | ×0.992 | 1.13% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.28% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.992 | 6.41% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.954.
Result: wOBA .345 → .257; ISO .265 → .193; BABIP .272 → .218. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2007 AAARound Rock Express · 605 PAwOBA .311 → .237 (−74)K% 23.8% → 30.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.80% | ÷1.000 | ×1.290 | — | — | 30.70% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.59% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 6.83% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.83% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 0.81% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 12.12% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.25% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 7.14% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.77% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 0.60% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.66% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 4.42% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .311 → .237; ISO .203 → .151; BABIP .254 → .206. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2006 AAARound Rock Express · 599 PAwOBA .366 → .286 (−81)K% 22.5% → 29.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.54% | ÷1.000 | ×1.290 | — | — | 29.07% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.68% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 6.27% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.67% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 0.67% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.87% | ÷1.000 | ×0.900 | ×0.954 | ×1.018 | 13.87% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.08% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×0.954 | ×1.018 | 7.93% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.78% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×0.954 | ×1.018 | 2.97% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.05% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 4.80% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.954.
Result: wOBA .366 → .286; ISO .267 → .204; BABIP .310 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2005 AAARound Rock Express · 483 PAwOBA .351 → .290 (−61)K% 21.5% → 27.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.53% | ÷1.000 | ×1.290 | — | — | 27.78% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.033 | 7.44% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.83% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.033 | 0.84% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.38% | ÷1.000 | ×0.900 | ×0.991 | ×1.033 | 18.78% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.01% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×0.991 | ×1.033 | 5.81% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.96% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×0.991 | ×1.033 | 0.79% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.033 | 5.39% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.991.
Result: wOBA .351 → .290; ISO .218 → .174; BABIP .300 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).