Christian Marrero
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 29 | AA/INTL2 orgs | 633 | .293/.400/.431 | 13 | 2 | 95 | — | .242/.320/.361 |
| 2016 | 30 | AA/INTL2 orgs | 296 | .297/.435/.483 | 10 | 0 | 106 | — | .226/.325/.340 |
| 2017 | 31 | AAA/AAPHI | 246 | .275/.388/.459 | 9 | 0 | 89 | — | .227/.310/.369 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2006 | 20 | ROK | Great Falls White Sox | — | 281 | 242 | 61 | 17 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 37 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 252 | 339 | 360 | 699 | 107 | 284 | 13 | 11 | 312 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 21 | ROK | Great Falls White Sox | — | 313 | 269 | 82 | 21 | 6 | 12 | 36 | 43 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 305 | 391 | 561 | 952 | 257 | 318 | 14 | 12 | 406 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | A | Kannapolis Intimidators | — | 505 | 436 | 119 | 29 | 5 | 10 | 54 | 89 | 6 | 11 | 5 | 273 | 361 | 431 | 792 | 158 | 316 | 18 | 11 | 349 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 257 | 229 | 69 | 15 | 1 | 11 | 18 | 50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 301 | 352 | 520 | 872 | 218 | 328 | 19 | 7 | 367 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | A+ | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 241 | 226 | 71 | 15 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 44 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 314 | 357 | 482 | 839 | 168 | 366 | 18 | 5 | 371 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 576 | 488 | 132 | 28 | 3 | 7 | 72 | 85 | 4 | 12 | 5 | 270 | 369 | 383 | 752 | 113 | 309 | 15 | 12 | 336 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | INTL | Gigantes del Cibao | — | 31 | 25 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 360 | 484 | 600 | 1.084 | 240 | 471 | 23 | 19 | 472 | 206 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 495 | 420 | 122 | 25 | 8 | 12 | 61 | 69 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 290 | 386 | 474 | 860 | 183 | 320 | 14 | 12 | 376 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | INTL | Tigres del Licey | — | 75 | 68 | 17 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 250 | 320 | 353 | 673 | 103 | 302 | 19 | 9 | 305 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | — | 255 | 216 | 52 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 34 | 44 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 241 | 347 | 384 | 731 | 144 | 280 | 17 | 13 | 327 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AA | Altoona Curve | — | 54 | 43 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 233 | 353 | 395 | 748 | 163 | 267 | 24 | 11 | 323 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AA | Mississippi Braves | — | 487 | 399 | 92 | 22 | 5 | 8 | 84 | 72 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 231 | 367 | 371 | 738 | 140 | 262 | 15 | 17 | 338 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 197 | 161 | 48 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 34 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 298 | 408 | 497 | 905 | 199 | 331 | 17 | 15 | 390 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 543 | 450 | 127 | 20 | 4 | 13 | 78 | 77 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 282 | 395 | 431 | 826 | 149 | 311 | 14 | 14 | 367 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | INTL | Bravos de Margarita | — | 90 | 79 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 354 | 427 | 430 | 857 | 76 | 483 | 24 | 11 | 384 | 146 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 30 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 244 | 195 | 55 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 46 | 38 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 282 | 424 | 462 | 885 | 179 | 313 | 16 | 19 | 397 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 30 | INTL | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 52 | 41 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 366 | 490 | 585 | 1.076 | 220 | 406 | 15 | 15 | 464 | 200 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 31 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 207 | 172 | 43 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 33 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 250 | 374 | 424 | 798 | 174 | 271 | 16 | 13 | 360 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 31 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 39 | 35 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 400 | 462 | 629 | 1.090 | 229 | 429 | 13 | 10 | 476 | 138 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2006 | 20 | ROK MLE | Great Falls White Sox | — | 281 | 254 | 46 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 53 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 181 | 241 | 252 | 493 | 71 | 212 | 19 | 6 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 21 | ROK MLE | Great Falls White Sox | — | 313 | 283 | 62 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 62 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 219 | 280 | 396 | 676 | 177 | 234 | 20 | 7 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | A MLE | Kannapolis Intimidators | — | 505 | 454 | 103 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 36 | 119 | 6 | 11 | 5 | 227 | 292 | 352 | 645 | 126 | 274 | 24 | 7 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 257 | 235 | 64 | 14 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 61 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 272 | 308 | 455 | 763 | 183 | 299 | 24 | 5 | 328 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 241 | 231 | 61 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 62 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 264 | 295 | 403 | 697 | 139 | 332 | 26 | 2 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 576 | 515 | 126 | 26 | 3 | 7 | 45 | 108 | 4 | 12 | 5 | 245 | 310 | 348 | 658 | 103 | 282 | 19 | 8 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 495 | 444 | 120 | 24 | 8 | 11 | 38 | 83 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 270 | 335 | 435 | 769 | 164 | 298 | 17 | 8 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AAA MLE | Indianapolis Indians | — | 255 | 229 | 49 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 52 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 214 | 283 | 332 | 615 | 118 | 257 | 20 | 8 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 54 | 45 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 222 | 314 | 378 | 692 | 156 | 240 | 30 | 7 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 487 | 435 | 86 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 48 | 91 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 198 | 280 | 315 | 595 | 117 | 230 | 19 | 10 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 197 | 174 | 46 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 43 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 264 | 330 | 437 | 767 | 172 | 296 | 22 | 9 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 543 | 479 | 116 | 21 | 3 | 10 | 49 | 96 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 242 | 320 | 361 | 681 | 119 | 270 | 18 | 9 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 30 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 244 | 212 | 48 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 29 | 50 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 226 | 325 | 340 | 665 | 113 | 266 | 20 | 12 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 31 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 207 | 182 | 38 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 41 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 209 | 301 | 352 | 653 | 143 | 231 | 20 | 8 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 31 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 39 | 37 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 324 | 359 | 459 | 818 | 135 | 370 | 15 | 5 | 372 | 138 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 20 | ROK MLE | Great Falls White Sox | — | 281 | 254 | 46 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 53 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 181 | 241 | 252 | 493 | 71 | 219 | 19 | 6 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 20 | ROK RAW | Great Falls White Sox | — | 281 | 242 | 61 | 17 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 37 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 252 | 339 | 360 | 699 | 107 | 284 | 13 | 11 | 312 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 21 | ROK MLE | Great Falls White Sox | — | 313 | 283 | 62 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 62 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 219 | 280 | 396 | 676 | 177 | 243 | 20 | 7 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 21 | ROK RAW | Great Falls White Sox | — | 313 | 269 | 82 | 21 | 6 | 12 | 36 | 43 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 305 | 391 | 561 | 952 | 257 | 318 | 14 | 12 | 406 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | A MLE | Kannapolis Intimidators | — | 505 | 454 | 103 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 36 | 119 | 6 | 11 | 5 | 227 | 292 | 352 | 645 | 126 | 284 | 24 | 7 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | A RAW | Kannapolis Intimidators | — | 505 | 436 | 119 | 29 | 5 | 10 | 54 | 89 | 6 | 11 | 5 | 273 | 361 | 431 | 792 | 158 | 316 | 18 | 11 | 349 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 498 | 466 | 125 | 26 | 2 | 15 | 18 | 123 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 268 | 301 | 429 | 730 | 161 | 326 | 25 | 4 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 498 | 455 | 140 | 30 | 2 | 18 | 29 | 94 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 308 | 355 | 501 | 856 | 193 | 347 | 19 | 6 | 369 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 607 | 544 | 132 | 27 | 3 | 7 | 47 | 114 | 4 | 12 | 5 | 243 | 308 | 342 | 649 | 99 | 289 | 19 | 8 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 607 | 513 | 141 | 31 | 3 | 8 | 78 | 92 | 4 | 12 | 5 | 275 | 375 | 394 | 769 | 119 | 315 | 15 | 13 | 343 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 570 | 514 | 138 | 27 | 9 | 13 | 43 | 95 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 268 | 331 | 432 | 763 | 163 | 304 | 17 | 8 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 570 | 488 | 139 | 25 | 10 | 13 | 68 | 83 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 285 | 377 | 457 | 834 | 172 | 317 | 15 | 12 | 366 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 309 | 273 | 59 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 68 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 216 | 291 | 341 | 632 | 125 | 262 | 22 | 8 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 309 | 259 | 62 | 15 | 1 | 7 | 40 | 57 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 239 | 348 | 386 | 734 | 147 | 278 | 18 | 13 | 326 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 487 | 435 | 86 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 48 | 91 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 198 | 280 | 315 | 595 | 117 | 233 | 19 | 10 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AA RAW | Mississippi Braves | — | 487 | 399 | 92 | 22 | 5 | 8 | 84 | 72 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 231 | 367 | 371 | 738 | 140 | 262 | 15 | 17 | 338 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 197 | 174 | 46 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 43 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 264 | 330 | 437 | 767 | 172 | 310 | 22 | 9 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AA RAW | Birmingham Barons | — | 197 | 161 | 48 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 34 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 298 | 408 | 497 | 905 | 199 | 331 | 17 | 15 | 390 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 633 | 559 | 134 | 24 | 4 | 11 | 58 | 111 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 240 | 318 | 356 | 674 | 116 | 276 | 18 | 9 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 633 | 529 | 155 | 24 | 5 | 13 | 88 | 99 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 293 | 400 | 431 | 831 | 138 | 334 | 16 | 14 | 370 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 30 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 296 | 255 | 58 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 35 | 60 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 227 | 330 | 341 | 671 | 114 | 272 | 20 | 12 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 30 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 296 | 236 | 70 | 14 | 0 | 10 | 54 | 46 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 297 | 435 | 483 | 918 | 186 | 330 | 16 | 18 | 409 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 31 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 246 | 219 | 50 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 47 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 228 | 310 | 370 | 680 | 142 | 259 | 19 | 7 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 31 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 246 | 207 | 57 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 30 | 38 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 275 | 388 | 459 | 847 | 184 | 298 | 15 | 12 | 378 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 20 | ROK MLE | Great Falls White Sox | — | 281 | 259 | 46 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 53 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 178 | 241 | 247 | 488 | 69 | 212 | 19 | 6 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 21 | ROK MLE | Great Falls White Sox | — | 313 | 286 | 62 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 62 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 217 | 280 | 392 | 672 | 175 | 234 | 20 | 7 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | A MLE | Kannapolis Intimidators | — | 505 | 458 | 103 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 36 | 119 | 6 | 11 | 5 | 225 | 292 | 349 | 642 | 124 | 274 | 24 | 7 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 498 | 473 | 125 | 26 | 2 | 15 | 18 | 123 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 264 | 301 | 423 | 724 | 159 | 315 | 25 | 4 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 607 | 551 | 132 | 27 | 3 | 7 | 47 | 114 | 4 | 12 | 5 | 240 | 308 | 338 | 645 | 98 | 282 | 19 | 8 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 570 | 517 | 138 | 27 | 9 | 13 | 43 | 95 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 267 | 331 | 429 | 760 | 162 | 298 | 17 | 8 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 309 | 277 | 59 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 68 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 213 | 291 | 336 | 627 | 123 | 254 | 22 | 8 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 487 | 434 | 86 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 48 | 91 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 198 | 280 | 316 | 596 | 118 | 230 | 19 | 10 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 197 | 178 | 46 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 43 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 258 | 330 | 427 | 757 | 169 | 296 | 22 | 9 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 633 | 564 | 134 | 24 | 4 | 11 | 58 | 111 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 238 | 318 | 353 | 671 | 115 | 270 | 18 | 9 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 30 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 296 | 255 | 58 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 35 | 60 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 227 | 330 | 341 | 671 | 114 | 266 | 20 | 12 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 31 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 246 | 218 | 50 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 47 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 229 | 310 | 372 | 682 | 142 | 253 | 19 | 7 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4942 | 4430 | 1039 | 221 | 33 | 97 | 386 | 986 | 46 | 59 | 34 | 235 | 303 | 365 | 668 | 130 | 277 | 20 | 8 | 292 | 84 | -96 | -2 | +0 | -88 | +107 | -8.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 583 | 136 | 29 | 4 | 13 | 51 | 130 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 233 | 302 | 364 | 666 | 130 | 275 | 20 | 8 | 292 | 84 | -13 | +0 | +0 | -12 | +14 | -1.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 207 PAwOBA .349 → .286 (−64)K% 15.9% → 19.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.94% | ÷0.961 | ×1.200 | — | — | 19.90% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.59% | ÷1.014 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.962 | 7.59% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.86% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.962 | 3.49% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.14% | ÷1.055 | ×0.930 | ×1.024 | ×0.962 | 17.49% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.04% | ÷0.969 | ×0.830 | ×1.024 | ×0.962 | 4.25% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.72% | ÷1.047 | ×0.970 | ×1.024 | ×0.962 | 0.66% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.04% | ÷1.043 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.962 | 3.90% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 111, 2B 94, 3B 109, K 92, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.024.
Result: wOBA .349 → .286; ISO .174 → .143; BABIP .271 → .231. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAReading Fightin Phils · 39 PAwOBA .457 → .372 (−85)K% 12.8% → 15.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.82% | ÷1.012 | ×1.220 | — | — | 15.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.69% | ÷1.045 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 4.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.33% | ÷1.013 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.940 | 30.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.67% | ÷0.986 | ×0.860 | — | ×0.940 | 5.46% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.063 | ×0.950 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.67% | ÷1.220 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.940 | 4.01% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 144, 1B 103, 2B 97, 3B 113, K 102, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 24.8 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .457 → .372; ISO .229 → .155; BABIP .429 → .370. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAReading Fightin Phils · 244 PAwOBA .388 → .296 (−92)K% 15.6% → 20.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.57% | ÷0.936 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.30% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 18.44% | ÷1.042 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.948 | 11.75% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.82% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.948 | 0.66% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.93% | ÷1.002 | ×0.970 | ×0.970 | ×0.948 | 20.42% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.01% | ÷0.998 | ×0.860 | ×0.970 | ×0.948 | 5.55% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×0.970 | ×0.948 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.10% | ÷1.273 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.948 | 2.96% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 155, 1B 100, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 87, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 24.8 → −5.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.
Result: wOBA .388 → .296; ISO .179 → .121; BABIP .313 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AABirmingham Barons · 543 PAwOBA .362 → .297 (−65)K% 14.2% → 17.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.18% | ÷0.981 | ×1.220 | — | — | 17.63% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.18% | ÷1.019 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.958 | 9.06% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.10% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.958 | 0.89% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.13% | ÷1.007 | ×0.920 | ×0.982 | ×0.958 | 20.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.36% | ÷0.875 | ×0.910 | ×0.982 | ×0.958 | 5.24% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.07% | ÷1.087 | ×0.880 | ×0.982 | ×0.958 | 0.82% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.49% | ÷1.102 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.958 | 2.42% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 101, 2B 75, 3B 117, K 96, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 24.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.982.
Result: wOBA .362 → .297; ISO .149 → .124; BABIP .311 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AABirmingham Barons · 197 PAwOBA .383 → .332 (−51)K% 17.3% → 22.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.26% | ÷0.955 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.05% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.71% | ÷1.057 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.968 | 8.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.62% | ÷1.021 | ×0.920 | ×1.004 | ×0.968 | 20.69% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.66% | ÷0.903 | ×0.910 | ×1.004 | ×0.968 | 8.49% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.065 | ×0.880 | ×1.004 | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.51% | ÷0.967 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.968 | 4.42% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 104, 2B 81, 3B 113, K 91, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.
Result: wOBA .383 → .332; ISO .199 → .185; BABIP .331 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAMississippi Braves · 487 PAwOBA .327 → .266 (−61)K% 14.8% → 18.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.78% | ÷0.965 | ×1.220 | — | — | 18.70% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.02% | ÷1.089 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.978 | 9.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.41% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.978 | 0.34% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.43% | ÷1.023 | ×0.920 | ×0.990 | ×0.978 | 15.17% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.73% | ÷0.921 | ×0.910 | ×0.990 | ×0.978 | 6.44% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.53% | ÷1.150 | ×0.880 | ×0.990 | ×0.978 | 1.13% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.45% | ÷1.010 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 1.90% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 105, 2B 84, 3B 130, K 93, BB 118 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.
Result: wOBA .327 → .266; ISO .140 → .125; BABIP .262 → .230. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 255 PAwOBA .317 → .275 (−42)K% 17.3% → 20.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.25% | ÷1.014 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.42% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.55% | ÷1.043 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 8.45% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.39% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.60% | ÷1.038 | ×0.930 | ×1.020 | ×1.018 | 17.31% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.14% | ÷0.945 | ×0.830 | ×1.020 | ×1.018 | 7.43% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.58% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.020 | ×1.018 | 0.51% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.91% | ÷1.095 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 2.27% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 108, 2B 89, 3B 130, K 103, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.
Result: wOBA .317 → .275; ISO .144 → .127; BABIP .280 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAAltoona Curve · 54 PAwOBA .327 → .278 (−49)K% 24.1% → 30.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.07% | ÷0.979 | ×1.220 | — | — | 30.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.11% | ÷0.943 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 8.15% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.70% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 3.11% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.33% | ÷1.018 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.988 | 21.96% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.33% | ÷1.173 | ×0.860 | — | ×0.988 | 2.41% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.026 | ×0.950 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.67% | ÷1.042 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 4.93% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 104, 2B 135, 3B 105, K 96, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .327 → .278; ISO .163 → .127; BABIP .267 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .