Josh Johnson

Pos2B

B/TS/R

Born1986-01-11

Age (2027)41

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2015

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2013	27	AAA/AA2 orgs	300	.293/.390/.458	8	10	111	—	.286/.352/.430
2014	28	AAASyracuse Chie…	318	.236/.350/.279	0	6	58	—	.224/.304/.261
2015	29	AAASyracuse Chie…	227	.251/.350/.309	1	3	62	—	.230/.300/.280

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2005	19	ROK	Idaho Falls Chukars	—	299	241	60	13	6	3	48	49	3	10	7	249	380	390	770	141	298	16	16	344	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	20	A	Burlington Bees	—	497	381	92	8	5	3	93	72	2	18	9	241	393	312	705	71	289	14	19	321	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	21	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	307	262	66	11	2	1	41	49	1	4	7	252	355	321	676	69	305	16	13	312	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	459	359	91	13	4	3	85	76	3	14	12	253	400	337	737	84	312	17	19	338	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	164	132	25	3	0	0	29	24	1	2	2	189	340	212	552	23	231	15	18	273	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	40	36	12	3	1	0	3	6	0	3	1	333	385	472	857	139	387	15	8	370	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	258	223	64	16	2	5	29	37	3	5	5	287	376	444	820	157	324	14	11	363	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	A+	Potomac Nationals	—	113	94	29	8	0	2	17	17	0	3	1	309	414	457	872	149	351	15	15	385	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	537	447	109	24	3	8	67	91	6	21	12	244	350	365	715	121	289	17	12	317	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	AAA	Syracuse Chiefs	—	277	234	54	8	0	0	35	30	1	6	7	231	333	265	598	34	265	11	13	278	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	43	38	15	5	1	1	5	5	0	2	1	395	465	658	1.123	263	438	12	12	485	174	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	AAA	Syracuse Chiefs	—	111	88	30	6	1	1	18	12	1	6	0	341	458	466	924	125	387	11	16	402	139	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	189	161	43	7	1	7	21	29	0	4	2	267	350	453	803	186	286	15	11	345	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	AAA	Syracuse Chiefs	—	318	258	61	7	2	0	45	42	0	6	5	236	350	279	629	43	275	13	14	285	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	AAA	Syracuse Chiefs	—	227	191	48	6	1	1	29	33	0	3	3	251	350	309	659	58	292	15	13	299	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2005	19	ROK MLE	Idaho Falls Chukars	—	299	259	51	10	5	2	30	71	3	10	7	197	288	297	585	100	247	24	10	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	20	A MLE	Burlington Bees	—	497	408	97	8	5	3	66	98	2	18	9	238	347	304	651	66	284	20	13	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	21	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	307	277	62	9	2	1	26	70	1	4	7	224	293	282	574	58	289	23	8	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	459	390	93	12	4	3	54	108	3	14	12	238	336	313	648	74	304	24	12	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	164	140	26	3	0	0	21	29	1	2	2	186	296	207	503	21	227	18	13	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	40	37	10	2	1	0	2	9	0	3	1	270	308	378	686	108	348	22	5	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	258	233	64	16	2	4	19	46	3	5	5	275	337	412	749	137	322	18	7	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	A+ MLE	Potomac Nationals	—	113	100	27	6	0	2	11	25	0	3	1	270	342	390	732	120	324	22	10	324	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	537	468	113	23	3	7	46	110	6	21	12	241	317	348	666	107	288	20	9	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	AAA MLE	Syracuse Chiefs	—	277	244	55	7	0	0	25	37	1	6	7	225	300	254	554	29	261	13	9	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	43	40	14	4	1	1	3	6	0	2	1	350	395	575	970	225	409	14	7	425	174	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	AAA MLE	Syracuse Chiefs	—	111	95	32	6	1	1	11	15	1	6	0	337	411	453	864	116	374	14	10	374	139	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	189	168	43	7	1	6	15	34	0	4	2	256	317	417	734	161	278	18	8	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	AAA MLE	Syracuse Chiefs	—	318	272	61	6	2	0	31	52	0	6	5	224	304	261	565	37	255	16	10	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	AAA MLE	Syracuse Chiefs	—	227	200	46	5	1	1	20	38	0	3	3	230	300	280	580	50	263	17	9	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	19	ROK MLE	Idaho Falls Chukars	—	299	259	51	10	5	2	30	71	3	10	7	197	288	297	585	100	261	24	10	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	19	ROK RAW	Idaho Falls Chukars	—	299	241	60	13	6	3	48	49	3	10	7	249	380	390	770	141	298	16	16	344	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	20	A MLE	Burlington Bees	—	497	408	97	8	5	3	66	98	2	18	9	238	347	304	651	66	304	20	13	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	20	A RAW	Burlington Bees	—	497	381	92	8	5	3	93	72	2	18	9	241	393	312	705	71	289	14	19	321	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	21	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	307	277	62	9	2	1	26	70	1	4	7	224	293	282	574	58	295	23	8	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	21	A+ RAW	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	307	262	66	11	2	1	41	49	1	4	7	252	355	321	676	69	305	16	13	312	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	459	390	93	12	4	3	54	108	3	14	12	238	336	313	648	74	320	24	12	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	A+ RAW	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	459	359	91	13	4	3	85	76	3	14	12	253	400	337	737	84	312	17	19	338	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	204	177	36	5	1	0	23	38	1	5	3	203	299	243	541	40	257	19	11	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	204	168	37	6	1	0	32	30	1	5	3	220	348	268	616	48	266	15	16	292	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	371	332	91	22	2	6	31	71	3	8	6	274	342	407	748	133	329	19	8	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	371	317	93	24	2	7	46	54	3	8	6	293	388	448	836	155	332	15	12	370	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	537	468	113	23	3	7	46	110	6	21	12	241	317	348	666	107	300	20	9	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AA RAW	Harrisburg Senators	—	537	447	109	24	3	8	67	91	6	21	12	244	350	365	715	121	289	17	12	317	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	320	284	71	12	1	1	28	43	1	8	8	250	319	310	629	60	292	13	9	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	320	272	69	13	1	1	40	35	1	8	8	254	351	320	671	66	288	11	12	306	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	AA MLE	2 teams	—	300	263	75	13	2	7	26	49	1	10	2	285	352	430	781	144	327	16	9	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	AA RAW	2 teams	—	300	249	73	13	2	8	39	41	1	10	2	293	390	458	847	165	323	14	13	366	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	AAA MLE	Syracuse Chiefs	—	318	272	61	6	2	0	31	52	0	6	5	224	304	261	565	37	270	16	10	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	AAA RAW	Syracuse Chiefs	—	318	258	61	7	2	0	45	42	0	6	5	236	350	279	629	43	275	13	14	285	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	AAA MLE	Syracuse Chiefs	—	227	200	46	5	1	1	20	38	0	3	3	230	300	280	580	50	273	17	9	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	AAA RAW	Syracuse Chiefs	—	227	191	48	6	1	1	29	33	0	3	3	251	350	309	659	58	292	15	13	299	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	19	ROK MLE	Idaho Falls Chukars	—	299	264	51	10	5	2	30	71	3	10	7	193	288	292	579	98	247	24	10	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	20	A MLE	Burlington Bees	—	497	426	97	8	5	3	66	98	2	18	9	228	347	291	638	63	284	20	13	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	21	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	307	277	62	9	2	1	26	70	1	4	7	224	293	282	574	58	289	23	8	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	459	399	93	12	4	3	54	108	3	14	12	233	336	306	641	73	304	24	12	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	204	178	36	5	1	0	23	38	1	5	3	202	299	242	540	39	251	19	11	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	371	334	91	22	2	6	31	71	3	8	6	272	342	404	746	132	323	19	8	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	537	480	113	23	3	7	46	110	6	21	12	235	317	340	657	104	288	20	9	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	320	288	71	12	1	1	28	43	1	8	8	247	319	306	625	59	281	13	9	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	AA MLE	2 teams	—	300	270	75	13	2	7	26	49	1	10	2	278	352	419	770	141	314	16	9	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	AAA MLE	Syracuse Chiefs	—	318	284	61	6	2	0	31	52	0	6	5	215	304	250	554	35	255	16	10	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	AAA MLE	Syracuse Chiefs	—	227	205	46	5	1	1	20	38	0	3	3	224	300	273	573	49	263	17	9	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	3839	3330	796	125	28	31	381	748	21	107	74	239	321	321	642	82	297	19	10	282	77	-106	-8	+0	+14	+83	-1.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	564	135	21	5	5	65	127	4	18	13	239	323	321	644	82	298	20	10	282	77	-18	-2	+0	+2	+14	-0.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2015 AAASyracuse Chiefs · 227 PAwOBA .295 → .260 (−35)K% 14.5% → 16.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.54%	÷1.043	×1.200	—	—	16.73%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.33%	÷0.938	×0.690	—	×0.982	8.91%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.982	0.00%
Singles /BIP	25.32%	÷1.010	×0.930	×1.016	×0.982	23.25%
Doubles /BIP	3.80%	÷1.088	×0.830	×1.016	×0.982	2.89%
Triples /BIP	0.63%	÷0.947	×0.970	×1.016	×0.982	0.65%
Home runs /BIP	0.63%	÷1.183	×0.840	—	×0.982	0.44%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 102, 2B 118, 3B 89, K 109, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.

Result: wOBA .295 → .260; ISO .058 → .049; BABIP .292 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAASyracuse Chiefs · 318 PAwOBA .283 → .254 (−29)K% 13.2% → 16.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.21%	÷0.965	×1.200	—	—	16.42%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.84%	÷0.972	×0.690	—	×0.992	9.74%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.992	0.00%
Singles /BIP	24.07%	÷1.003	×0.930	×1.022	×0.992	22.64%
Doubles /BIP	3.24%	÷1.027	×0.830	×1.022	×0.992	2.66%
Triples /BIP	0.93%	÷1.063	×0.970	×1.022	×0.992	0.86%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.985	×0.840	—	×0.992	0.00%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 101, 2B 105, 3B 113, K 93, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.

Result: wOBA .283 → .254; ISO .043 → .040; BABIP .275 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAHarrisburg Senators · 189 PAwOBA .337 → .308 (−30)K% 15.3% → 17.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.34%	÷1.043	×1.220	—	—	17.95%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.11%	÷0.990	×0.700	—	×0.978	7.68%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.850	—	×0.978	0.00%
Singles /BIP	21.21%	÷1.011	×0.970	×1.050	×0.978	20.90%
Doubles /BIP	5.30%	÷0.883	×0.860	×1.050	×0.978	5.30%
Triples /BIP	0.76%	÷1.150	×0.950	×1.050	×0.978	0.64%
Home runs /BIP	5.30%	÷1.012	×0.780	—	×0.978	4.00%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 102, 2B 77, 3B 130, K 109, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .337 → .308; ISO .186 → .162; BABIP .286 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAASyracuse Chiefs · 111 PAwOBA .387 → .374 (−13)K% 10.8% → 13.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	10.81%	÷0.979	×1.200	—	—	13.26%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.41%	÷0.966	×0.690	—	×1.003	10.33%
HBP% /PA	0.90%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	0.85%
Singles /BIP	28.95%	÷0.991	×0.930	×1.050	×1.003	28.60%
Doubles /BIP	7.89%	÷0.979	×0.830	×1.050	×1.003	7.05%
Triples /BIP	1.32%	÷1.055	×0.970	×1.050	×1.003	1.27%
Home runs /BIP	1.32%	÷0.914	×0.840	—	×1.003	1.21%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 98, 2B 96, 3B 111, K 96, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .387 → .374; ISO .125 → .126; BABIP .387 → .374. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAASyracuse Chiefs · 277 PAwOBA .272 → .252 (−20)K% 10.8% → 13.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	10.83%	÷0.964	×1.200	—	—	13.48%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.64%	÷0.984	×0.690	—	×1.018	9.02%
HBP% /PA	0.36%	—	×0.940	—	×1.018	0.35%
Singles /BIP	22.55%	÷0.992	×0.930	×1.050	×1.018	22.60%
Doubles /BIP	3.92%	÷1.002	×0.830	×1.050	×1.018	3.47%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.008	×0.970	×1.050	×1.018	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.925	×0.840	—	×1.018	0.00%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 98, 2B 100, 3B 102, K 93, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .272 → .252; ISO .034 → .032; BABIP .265 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAHarrisburg Senators · 43 PAwOBA .467 → .425 (−41)K% 11.6% → 14.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.63%	÷1.006	×1.220	—	—	14.10%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.30%	÷0.989	×0.700	—	×0.988	6.50%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.850	—	×0.988	0.00%
Singles /BIP	24.24%	÷0.967	×0.970	—	×0.988	24.04%
Doubles /BIP	15.15%	÷0.982	×0.860	—	×0.988	13.11%
Triples /BIP	3.03%	÷1.015	×0.950	—	×0.988	2.80%
Home runs /BIP	3.03%	÷0.976	×0.780	—	×0.988	2.39%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 93, 2B 96, 3B 103, K 101, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .467 → .425; ISO .263 → .233; BABIP .438 → .409. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAHarrisburg Senators · 537 PAwOBA .311 → .288 (−23)K% 16.9% → 20.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.95%	÷1.014	×1.220	—	—	20.39%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.48%	÷1.023	×0.700	—	×0.998	8.52%
HBP% /PA	1.12%	—	×0.850	—	×0.998	0.95%
Singles /BIP	20.79%	÷0.981	×0.970	×1.040	×0.998	21.33%
Doubles /BIP	6.74%	÷0.976	×0.860	×1.040	×0.998	6.17%
Triples /BIP	0.84%	÷0.934	×0.950	×1.040	×0.998	0.89%
Home runs /BIP	2.25%	÷0.936	×0.780	—	×0.998	1.87%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 96, 2B 95, 3B 87, K 103, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.040.

Result: wOBA .311 → .288; ISO .121 → .114; BABIP .289 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AAHarrisburg Senators · 258 PAwOBA .355 → .323 (−32)K% 14.3% → 18.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.34%	÷0.971	×1.220	—	—	18.01%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.24%	÷1.066	×0.700	—	×1.012	7.47%
HBP% /PA	1.16%	—	×0.850	—	×1.012	1.00%
Singles /BIP	22.04%	÷1.016	×0.970	×1.050	×1.012	22.36%
Doubles /BIP	8.60%	÷0.930	×0.860	×1.050	×1.012	8.45%
Triples /BIP	1.08%	÷1.150	×0.950	×1.050	×1.012	0.94%
Home runs /BIP	2.69%	÷1.033	×0.780	—	×1.012	2.05%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 103, 2B 86, 3B 130, K 94, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .355 → .323; ISO .157 → .140; BABIP .324 → .322. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).