Gilberto Mejia
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 32 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 535 | .310/.392/.418 | 4 | 43 | 89 | — | .264/.322/.366 |
| 2016 | 33 | AAADelfines de C… | 458 | .265/.317/.351 | 3 | 30 | 53 | — | .235/.273/.301 |
| 2017 | 34 | AAABravos de Leon | 191 | .308/.400/.410 | 1 | 9 | 86 | — | .274/.339/.366 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 22 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | — | 239 | 211 | 40 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 56 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 190 | 266 | 261 | 527 | 71 | 243 | 23 | 8 | 240 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 22 | A+ | Lakeland Tigers | — | 284 | 260 | 69 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 64 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 265 | 323 | 335 | 657 | 69 | 345 | 23 | 7 | 298 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 23 | A+ | Lakeland Tigers | — | 528 | 455 | 113 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 55 | 88 | 5 | 25 | 14 | 248 | 336 | 354 | 690 | 105 | 295 | 17 | 10 | 307 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 29 | AAA | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 500 | 424 | 113 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 64 | 78 | 1 | 51 | 18 | 267 | 364 | 366 | 730 | 99 | 319 | 16 | 13 | 326 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 29 | INTL | Aguilas Cibaenas | — | 26 | 23 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 304 | 360 | 435 | 795 | 130 | 353 | 19 | 8 | 343 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 30 | AAA | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 507 | 427 | 126 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 56 | 90 | 7 | 36 | 10 | 295 | 386 | 412 | 798 | 117 | 358 | 18 | 11 | 349 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 30 | INTL | Caneros de los Mochis | — | 160 | 141 | 40 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 30 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 284 | 336 | 369 | 704 | 85 | 355 | 19 | 6 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 31 | AAA | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 499 | 439 | 132 | 29 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 79 | 13 | 49 | 13 | 301 | 367 | 417 | 784 | 116 | 359 | 16 | 7 | 343 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 31 | INTL | Venados de Mazatlan | — | 110 | 90 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 19 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 244 | 364 | 267 | 631 | 22 | 310 | 17 | 14 | 296 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 32 | AAA | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 490 | 422 | 133 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 47 | 73 | 12 | 43 | 16 | 315 | 399 | 434 | 833 | 118 | 370 | 15 | 10 | 369 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 32 | INTL | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 45 | 40 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 250 | 318 | 250 | 568 | 294 | 13 | 9 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2016 | 33 | AAA | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 458 | 419 | 111 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 64 | 6 | 30 | 11 | 265 | 317 | 351 | 668 | 86 | 307 | 14 | 6 | 298 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 34 | AAA | Bravos de Leon | — | 191 | 156 | 48 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 23 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 308 | 400 | 410 | 810 | 103 | 348 | 12 | 12 | 347 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 22 | AA MLE | Erie SeaWolves | — | 239 | 217 | 41 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 68 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 189 | 245 | 244 | 489 | 55 | 252 | 28 | 5 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 22 | A+ MLE | Lakeland Tigers | — | 284 | 265 | 60 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 91 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 226 | 273 | 291 | 564 | 64 | 333 | 32 | 5 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 23 | A+ MLE | Lakeland Tigers | — | 528 | 471 | 106 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 39 | 125 | 5 | 25 | 14 | 225 | 291 | 316 | 608 | 91 | 280 | 24 | 7 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 29 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 500 | 450 | 107 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 38 | 90 | 1 | 51 | 18 | 238 | 299 | 318 | 616 | 80 | 284 | 18 | 8 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 30 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 507 | 444 | 126 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 39 | 98 | 7 | 36 | 10 | 284 | 351 | 385 | 736 | 101 | 333 | 19 | 8 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 31 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 499 | 454 | 122 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 91 | 13 | 49 | 13 | 269 | 315 | 359 | 674 | 90 | 317 | 18 | 4 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 32 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 490 | 443 | 117 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 26 | 83 | 12 | 43 | 16 | 264 | 322 | 366 | 688 | 102 | 311 | 17 | 5 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 33 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 458 | 429 | 101 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 75 | 6 | 30 | 11 | 235 | 273 | 301 | 573 | 65 | 272 | 16 | 3 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 34 | AAA MLE | Bravos de Leon | — | 191 | 164 | 45 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 29 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 274 | 339 | 366 | 705 | 91 | 296 | 15 | 7 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 523 | 482 | 101 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 159 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 210 | 260 | 270 | 530 | 60 | 304 | 30 | 5 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 523 | 471 | 109 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 38 | 120 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 231 | 297 | 301 | 599 | 70 | 301 | 23 | 7 | 272 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 23 | A+ MLE | Lakeland Tigers | — | 528 | 471 | 106 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 39 | 125 | 5 | 25 | 14 | 225 | 291 | 316 | 608 | 91 | 295 | 24 | 7 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 23 | A+ RAW | Lakeland Tigers | — | 528 | 455 | 113 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 55 | 88 | 5 | 25 | 14 | 248 | 336 | 354 | 690 | 105 | 295 | 17 | 10 | 307 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 526 | 472 | 113 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 41 | 95 | 1 | 56 | 19 | 239 | 302 | 324 | 626 | 85 | 293 | 18 | 8 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 29 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 526 | 447 | 120 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 66 | 83 | 1 | 56 | 19 | 268 | 364 | 369 | 733 | 101 | 320 | 16 | 13 | 327 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 30 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 667 | 582 | 166 | 21 | 10 | 6 | 51 | 129 | 9 | 41 | 15 | 285 | 352 | 387 | 739 | 101 | 355 | 19 | 8 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 30 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 667 | 568 | 166 | 23 | 9 | 7 | 65 | 120 | 9 | 41 | 15 | 292 | 374 | 401 | 775 | 109 | 357 | 18 | 10 | 338 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 31 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 609 | 554 | 148 | 29 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 111 | 15 | 56 | 16 | 267 | 314 | 354 | 668 | 87 | 329 | 18 | 4 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 31 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 609 | 529 | 154 | 31 | 5 | 4 | 48 | 98 | 15 | 56 | 16 | 291 | 367 | 391 | 758 | 100 | 350 | 16 | 8 | 335 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 32 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 535 | 484 | 129 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 29 | 91 | 12 | 43 | 18 | 267 | 324 | 374 | 698 | 107 | 318 | 17 | 5 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 32 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 535 | 462 | 143 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 51 | 79 | 12 | 43 | 18 | 310 | 392 | 418 | 810 | 108 | 363 | 15 | 10 | 360 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 33 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 458 | 429 | 101 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 75 | 6 | 30 | 11 | 235 | 273 | 301 | 573 | 65 | 281 | 16 | 3 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 33 | AAA RAW | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 458 | 419 | 111 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 64 | 6 | 30 | 11 | 265 | 317 | 351 | 668 | 86 | 307 | 14 | 6 | 298 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 34 | AAA MLE | Bravos de Leon | — | 191 | 164 | 45 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 29 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 274 | 339 | 366 | 705 | 91 | 321 | 15 | 7 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 34 | AAA RAW | Bravos de Leon | — | 191 | 156 | 48 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 23 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 308 | 400 | 410 | 810 | 103 | 348 | 12 | 12 | 347 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 523 | 485 | 101 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 159 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 208 | 260 | 268 | 528 | 60 | 296 | 30 | 5 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 23 | A+ MLE | Lakeland Tigers | — | 528 | 479 | 106 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 39 | 125 | 5 | 25 | 14 | 221 | 291 | 311 | 602 | 90 | 280 | 24 | 7 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 526 | 479 | 113 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 41 | 95 | 1 | 56 | 19 | 236 | 302 | 319 | 621 | 84 | 284 | 18 | 8 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 30 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 667 | 602 | 166 | 21 | 10 | 6 | 51 | 129 | 9 | 41 | 15 | 276 | 352 | 374 | 726 | 98 | 333 | 19 | 8 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 31 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 609 | 566 | 148 | 29 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 111 | 15 | 56 | 16 | 261 | 314 | 346 | 660 | 85 | 317 | 18 | 4 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 32 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 535 | 489 | 129 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 29 | 91 | 12 | 43 | 18 | 264 | 324 | 370 | 694 | 106 | 311 | 17 | 5 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 33 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 458 | 433 | 101 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 75 | 6 | 30 | 11 | 233 | 273 | 298 | 571 | 65 | 272 | 16 | 3 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 34 | AAA MLE | Bravos de Leon | — | 191 | 173 | 45 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 29 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 260 | 339 | 347 | 686 | 87 | 296 | 15 | 7 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4037 | 3638 | 909 | 129 | 52 | 27 | 240 | 814 | 56 | 272 | 107 | 250 | 306 | 336 | 642 | 86 | 313 | 20 | 6 | 278 | 74 | -123 | +12 | +0 | +14 | +87 | -0.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 586 | 146 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 131 | 9 | 44 | 17 | 249 | 306 | 333 | 639 | 84 | 313 | 20 | 6 | 278 | 74 | -20 | +2 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -0.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AAABravos de Leon · 191 PAwOBA .342 → .295 (−47)K% 12.0% → 15.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.04% | ÷0.942 | ×1.200 | — | — | 15.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.99% | ÷0.968 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 7.36% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.05% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 0.93% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.82% | ÷1.036 | ×0.930 | ×1.022 | ×0.940 | 23.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.26% | ÷0.960 | ×0.830 | ×1.022 | ×0.940 | 4.37% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.26% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.022 | ×0.940 | 1.73% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.75% | ÷0.981 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 0.50% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 107, 2B 92, 3B 130, K 88, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 35 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.
Result: wOBA .342 → .295; ISO .103 → .087; BABIP .348 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAADelfines de Ciudad del Carmen · 458 PAwOBA .289 → .247 (−42)K% 14.0% → 16.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.97% | ÷1.030 | ×1.200 | — | — | 16.29% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.46% | ÷1.018 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 3.48% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.31% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 1.16% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.51% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.940 | 22.51% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.23% | ÷1.080 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.940 | 3.20% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.69% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.940 | 1.33% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.85% | ÷0.926 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 0.60% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 100, 2B 116, 3B 130, K 106, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .289 → .247; ISO .086 → .066; BABIP .307 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAADelfines de Ciudad del Carmen · 490 PAwOBA .361 → .303 (−58)K% 14.9% → 17.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.90% | ÷1.049 | ×1.200 | — | — | 17.04% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.18% | ÷1.102 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.942 | 5.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.45% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.942 | 2.17% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.65% | ÷1.095 | ×0.930 | ×1.031 | ×0.942 | 23.64% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.73% | ÷0.934 | ×0.830 | ×1.031 | ×0.942 | 4.95% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.58% | ÷0.907 | ×0.920 | ×1.031 | ×0.942 | 2.54% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.15% | ÷0.867 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.942 | 0.87% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 119, 2B 87, 3B 81, K 110, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.
Result: wOBA .361 → .303; ISO .118 → .111; BABIP .370 → .311. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAADelfines de Ciudad del Carmen · 499 PAwOBA .332 → .289 (−43)K% 15.8% → 18.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.83% | ÷1.036 | ×1.200 | — | — | 18.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.81% | ÷1.021 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.952 | 3.74% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.61% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.952 | 2.33% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.11% | ÷0.978 | ×0.930 | ×1.020 | ×0.952 | 24.11% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.06% | ÷1.015 | ×0.830 | ×1.020 | ×0.952 | 6.39% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.39% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.020 | ×0.952 | 1.08% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.11% | ÷1.079 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.952 | 0.69% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 96, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 107, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.
Result: wOBA .332 → .289; ISO .116 → .091; BABIP .359 → .317. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAADelfines de Ciudad del Carmen · 507 PAwOBA .343 → .314 (−30)K% 17.8% → 19.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.75% | ÷1.102 | ×1.200 | — | — | 19.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.05% | ÷0.969 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.962 | 7.57% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.38% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.962 | 1.25% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.19% | ÷0.967 | ×0.930 | ×1.030 | ×0.962 | 26.87% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.34% | ÷0.995 | ×0.830 | ×1.030 | ×0.962 | 4.42% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.08% | ÷0.950 | ×0.920 | ×1.030 | ×0.962 | 1.99% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.78% | ÷0.949 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.962 | 1.26% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 93, 2B 99, 3B 90, K 120, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.
Result: wOBA .343 → .314; ISO .117 → .104; BABIP .358 → .333. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAADelfines de Ciudad del Carmen · 500 PAwOBA .316 → .275 (−40)K% 15.6% → 18.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.60% | ÷1.040 | ×1.200 | — | — | 18.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.60% | ÷1.015 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 7.67% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.20% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 0.18% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.86% | ÷1.017 | ×0.930 | ×1.026 | ×0.972 | 22.67% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.34% | ÷1.073 | ×0.830 | ×1.026 | ×0.972 | 3.35% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.60% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.026 | ×0.972 | 2.39% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.87% | ÷0.889 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.972 | 0.66% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 103, 2B 114, 3B 100, K 108, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.026.
Result: wOBA .316 → .275; ISO .099 → .088; BABIP .319 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2006 A+Lakeland Tigers · 528 PAwOBA .300 → .265 (−35)K% 16.7% → 23.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.67% | ÷1.000 | ×1.420 | — | — | 23.67% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.85% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.988 | 7.30% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.95% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.988 | 0.87% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.34% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.047 | ×0.988 | 21.27% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.18% | ÷1.000 | ×0.960 | ×1.047 | ×0.988 | 5.14% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.91% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×1.047 | ×0.988 | 1.60% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.36% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 1.18% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.047.
Result: wOBA .300 → .265; ISO .105 → .094; BABIP .295 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2005 A+Lakeland Tigers · 284 PAwOBA .291 → .246 (−45)K% 22.5% → 32.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.54% | ÷1.000 | ×1.420 | — | — | 32.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.998 | 5.01% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.06% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.998 | 0.98% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.08% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 28.04% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.08% | ÷1.000 | ×0.960 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 4.11% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.02% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 0.87% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.02% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 0.90% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .291 → .246; ISO .069 → .058; BABIP .345 → .333. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .