David Adams
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 27 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 421 | .255/.329/.399 | 9 | 3 | 77 | — | .237/.290/.356 |
| 2015 | 28 | AA/INTL2 orgs | 677 | .273/.374/.387 | 11 | 5 | 93 | — | .261/.336/.343 |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 302 | .222/.328/.333 | 4 | 4 | 63 | — | .213/.280/.296 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 22 | A+ | Tampa Yankees | — | 265 | 231 | 65 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 26 | 39 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 281 | 364 | 498 | 862 | 216 | 309 | 15 | 10 | 373 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 304 | 259 | 75 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 35 | 49 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 290 | 389 | 394 | 783 | 104 | 352 | 16 | 12 | 354 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | AA | Trenton Thunder | — | 173 | 152 | 47 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 31 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 309 | 393 | 507 | 900 | 197 | 373 | 18 | 10 | 397 | 125 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | A+ | Tampa Yankees | — | 57 | 52 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 308 | 368 | 365 | 734 | 58 | 364 | 14 | 7 | 336 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | ROK | GCL Yankees | — | 64 | 56 | 24 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 429 | 484 | 643 | 1.127 | 214 | 489 | 16 | 8 | 477 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AA | Trenton Thunder | — | 383 | 327 | 100 | 23 | 0 | 8 | 38 | 53 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 306 | 393 | 450 | 843 | 144 | 336 | 14 | 10 | 370 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | INTL | Scottsdale Scorpions | — | 98 | 84 | 24 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 286 | 388 | 524 | 912 | 238 | 309 | 13 | 14 | 399 | 156 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | MLB | New York Yankees | — | 152 | 140 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 43 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 193 | 252 | 286 | 537 | 93 | 263 | 28 | 6 | 244 | 51 | -9 | +0 | +4 | +1 | +3 | -0.1 |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 255 | 220 | 59 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 29 | 43 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 268 | 366 | 405 | 771 | 136 | 314 | 17 | 11 | 348 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | — | 78 | 70 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 295 | 371 | 666 | 157 | 283 | 28 | 8 | 300 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AA | Bowie Baysox | — | 343 | 306 | 81 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 47 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 265 | 336 | 405 | 742 | 141 | 290 | 14 | 8 | 329 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AA | Jacksonville Suns | — | 443 | 371 | 109 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 63 | 53 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 294 | 402 | 391 | 793 | 97 | 327 | 12 | 14 | 360 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | INTL | Aguilas del Zulia | — | 234 | 205 | 48 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 234 | 320 | 380 | 701 | 146 | 250 | 12 | 9 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | — | 236 | 206 | 50 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 46 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 243 | 339 | 350 | 688 | 107 | 304 | 19 | 12 | 316 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | INTL | Tigres de Aragua | — | 66 | 55 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 145 | 288 | 273 | 561 | 127 | 143 | 17 | 11 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 152 | 140 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 43 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 193 | 252 | 286 | 537 | 93 | 263 | 28 | 6 | 244 | 52 | -9 | +0 | +4 | +1 | +3 | -0.0 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 22 | A+ MLE | Tampa Yankees | — | 265 | 238 | 58 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 55 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 244 | 310 | 429 | 739 | 185 | 278 | 21 | 7 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 304 | 271 | 67 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 66 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 247 | 322 | 332 | 654 | 85 | 315 | 22 | 8 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | AA MLE | Trenton Thunder | — | 173 | 158 | 47 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 37 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 297 | 358 | 481 | 839 | 184 | 368 | 21 | 7 | 353 | 125 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | A+ MLE | Tampa Yankees | — | 57 | 53 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 283 | 333 | 340 | 673 | 57 | 342 | 19 | 5 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | ROK MLE | GCL Yankees | — | 64 | 58 | 18 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 310 | 355 | 466 | 820 | 155 | 363 | 22 | 5 | 345 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AA MLE | Trenton Thunder | — | 383 | 337 | 97 | 19 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 65 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 288 | 358 | 407 | 765 | 119 | 318 | 17 | 7 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | MLB MLE | New York Yankees | — | 152 | 140 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 43 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 193 | 252 | 286 | 537 | 93 | 263 | 28 | 6 | 243 | 51 | -9 | +0 | +4 | +1 | +3 | -0.1 |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 255 | 229 | 56 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 51 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 245 | 319 | 354 | 673 | 109 | 300 | 20 | 8 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 78 | 72 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 181 | 244 | 292 | 535 | 111 | 261 | 33 | 5 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AA MLE | Bowie Baysox | — | 343 | 316 | 79 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 59 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 250 | 301 | 370 | 671 | 120 | 281 | 17 | 5 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AA MLE | Jacksonville Suns | — | 443 | 394 | 103 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 40 | 67 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 261 | 336 | 343 | 678 | 81 | 296 | 15 | 9 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 236 | 216 | 46 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 59 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 213 | 280 | 296 | 576 | 83 | 286 | 25 | 8 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 569 | 509 | 125 | 35 | 7 | 6 | 42 | 121 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 246 | 317 | 377 | 694 | 132 | 307 | 21 | 7 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 569 | 490 | 140 | 40 | 8 | 7 | 61 | 88 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 286 | 377 | 443 | 820 | 157 | 332 | 15 | 11 | 363 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | AA MLE | Trenton Thunder | — | 173 | 158 | 47 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 37 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 297 | 358 | 481 | 839 | 184 | 373 | 21 | 7 | 353 | 125 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | AA RAW | Trenton Thunder | — | 173 | 152 | 47 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 31 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 309 | 393 | 507 | 900 | 197 | 373 | 18 | 10 | 397 | 125 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 121 | 111 | 32 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 288 | 336 | 396 | 733 | 108 | 356 | 21 | 5 | 319 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 121 | 108 | 40 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 370 | 429 | 509 | 938 | 139 | 429 | 15 | 7 | 411 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 481 | 428 | 121 | 24 | 0 | 8 | 35 | 82 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 283 | 350 | 395 | 744 | 112 | 327 | 17 | 7 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 481 | 411 | 124 | 30 | 2 | 11 | 52 | 66 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 302 | 392 | 465 | 857 | 163 | 330 | 14 | 11 | 376 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 407 | 369 | 83 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 94 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 225 | 294 | 328 | 622 | 103 | 286 | 23 | 7 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 407 | 360 | 86 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 38 | 86 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 239 | 323 | 358 | 682 | 119 | 296 | 21 | 9 | 309 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 421 | 388 | 92 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 84 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 237 | 290 | 356 | 646 | 119 | 283 | 20 | 5 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 421 | 376 | 96 | 19 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 69 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 255 | 329 | 399 | 727 | 144 | 289 | 16 | 8 | 324 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 677 | 598 | 158 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 62 | 102 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 264 | 342 | 349 | 692 | 85 | 305 | 15 | 9 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 677 | 576 | 157 | 25 | 4 | 11 | 84 | 82 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 273 | 374 | 387 | 761 | 115 | 300 | 12 | 12 | 344 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 302 | 273 | 59 | 19 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 76 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 216 | 291 | 308 | 599 | 92 | 292 | 25 | 8 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 302 | 261 | 58 | 17 | 0 | 4 | 36 | 57 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 222 | 328 | 333 | 661 | 111 | 270 | 19 | 12 | 306 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 569 | 511 | 125 | 35 | 7 | 6 | 42 | 121 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 245 | 317 | 376 | 692 | 131 | 298 | 21 | 7 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | AA MLE | Trenton Thunder | — | 173 | 156 | 47 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 37 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 301 | 358 | 487 | 846 | 186 | 368 | 21 | 7 | 353 | 125 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 121 | 112 | 32 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 286 | 336 | 393 | 729 | 107 | 353 | 21 | 5 | 319 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 481 | 434 | 121 | 24 | 0 | 8 | 35 | 82 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 279 | 350 | 389 | 739 | 111 | 318 | 17 | 7 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 407 | 368 | 83 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 94 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 226 | 294 | 329 | 623 | 103 | 286 | 23 | 7 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 421 | 389 | 92 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 84 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 237 | 290 | 355 | 645 | 118 | 277 | 20 | 5 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 677 | 601 | 158 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 62 | 102 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 263 | 342 | 348 | 690 | 85 | 296 | 15 | 9 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 302 | 270 | 59 | 19 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 76 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 219 | 291 | 311 | 603 | 93 | 286 | 25 | 8 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 152 | 140 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 43 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 193 | 252 | 286 | 537 | 93 | 263 | 28 | 6 | 244 | 89 | -9 | +0 | +4 | +1 | +3 | -0.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 599 | 115 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 38 | 184 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 192 | 251 | 285 | 536 | 93 | 261 | 28 | 6 | 244 | 89 | -38 | +0 | +15 | +6 | +14 | -0.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3151 | 2834 | 717 | 149 | 22 | 41 | 230 | 621 | 55 | 34 | 21 | 253 | 321 | 365 | 686 | 112 | 308 | 20 | 7 | 300 | 89 | -9 | +0 | +4 | +1 | +3 | -0.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 585 | 148 | 31 | 5 | 8 | 47 | 128 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 253 | 320 | 364 | 684 | 111 | 308 | 20 | 7 | 300 | 89 | -38 | +0 | +15 | +6 | +14 | -0.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2016 AAABuffalo Bisons · 236 PAwOBA .309 → .259 (−49)K% 19.5% → 25.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.49% | ÷0.937 | ×1.200 | — | — | 24.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.29% | ÷1.034 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 8.06% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.42% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 0.39% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.008 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.982 | 19.03% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.00% | ÷0.917 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.982 | 9.33% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.25% | ÷1.164 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.982 | 0.89% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 133, 1B 102, 2B 83, 3B 130, K 87, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .309 → .259; ISO .107 → .091; BABIP .304 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAJacksonville Suns · 443 PAwOBA .353 → .301 (−51)K% 12.0% → 15.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.96% | ÷0.964 | ×1.220 | — | — | 15.14% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.00% | ÷1.017 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.968 | 9.06% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.90% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.968 | 0.73% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.67% | ÷0.990 | ×0.920 | ×1.012 | ×0.968 | 25.20% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.77% | ÷1.012 | ×0.910 | ×1.012 | ×0.968 | 3.32% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.94% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×1.012 | ×0.968 | 0.90% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.89% | ÷0.973 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.968 | 1.50% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 98, 2B 102, 3B 80, K 93, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.
Result: wOBA .353 → .301; ISO .097 → .086; BABIP .327 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AABowie Baysox · 343 PAwOBA .323 → .291 (−31)K% 13.7% → 17.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.70% | ÷0.980 | ×1.220 | — | — | 17.05% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.29% | ÷1.082 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 4.61% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.04% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.978 | 1.70% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.24% | ÷0.972 | ×0.970 | ×1.019 | ×0.978 | 21.11% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.18% | ÷0.969 | ×0.860 | ×1.019 | ×0.978 | 5.47% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.16% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.019 | ×0.978 | 1.22% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.70% | ÷0.919 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.978 | 2.24% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 94, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 96, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.
Result: wOBA .323 → .291; ISO .141 → .126; BABIP .290 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAANorfolk Tides · 78 PAwOBA .293 → .241 (−52)K% 28.2% → 33.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.21% | ÷1.025 | ×1.200 | — | — | 33.04% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.69% | ÷1.025 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 5.20% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.56% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 2.42% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.75% | ÷1.027 | ×0.930 | ×1.019 | ×1.003 | 17.36% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷0.899 | ×0.830 | ×1.019 | ×1.003 | 5.90% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.08% | ÷1.007 | ×0.970 | ×1.019 | ×1.003 | 2.05% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.17% | ÷1.223 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.003 | 2.87% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 145, 1B 105, 2B 80, 3B 101, K 105, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.
Result: wOBA .293 → .241; ISO .157 → .123; BABIP .283 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 255 PAwOBA .339 → .302 (−37)K% 16.9% → 20.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.86% | ÷1.010 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.03% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.37% | ÷1.015 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 7.87% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.96% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 1.88% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.16% | ÷0.971 | ×0.930 | ×1.016 | ×1.018 | 22.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.21% | ÷1.026 | ×0.830 | ×1.016 | ×1.018 | 5.20% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.13% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.016 | ×1.018 | 1.13% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.82% | ÷0.976 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 2.48% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 94, 2B 105, 3B 100, K 102, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.
Result: wOBA .339 → .302; ISO .136 → .121; BABIP .314 → .300. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AATrenton Thunder · 383 PAwOBA .368 → .332 (−36)K% 13.8% → 17.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.84% | ÷0.990 | ×1.220 | — | — | 17.05% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.92% | ÷0.955 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 7.26% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.35% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 1.99% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.18% | ÷0.980 | ×0.970 | ×1.010 | ×0.998 | 25.12% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.39% | ÷1.058 | ×0.860 | ×1.010 | ×0.998 | 6.88% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.010 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.92% | ÷0.975 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 2.33% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 96, 2B 112, 3B 80, K 98, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.
Result: wOBA .368 → .332; ISO .144 → .120; BABIP .336 → .318. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 ROKGCL Yankees · 64 PAwOBA .479 → .345 (−134)K% 15.6% → 22.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.62% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 22.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.81% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.955 | 4.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.56% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 1.07% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.43% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.955 | 23.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 19.57% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 13.45% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.17% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.955 | 1.62% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 19.5 → −4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .479 → .345; ISO .214 → .150; BABIP .489 → .363. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 A+Tampa Yankees · 57 PAwOBA .327 → .289 (−38)K% 14.0% → 19.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.04% | ÷1.034 | ×1.420 | — | — | 19.27% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.02% | ÷0.950 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.988 | 5.47% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.75% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.988 | 1.61% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.55% | ÷0.978 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 27.47% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.82% | ÷0.962 | ×0.960 | — | ×0.988 | 6.72% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.971 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.911 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 96, 2B 92, 3B 94, K 107, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .327 → .289; ISO .058 → .054; BABIP .364 → .342. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .