Josh Bell
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 26 | AAAScranton/Wilk… | 210 | .226/.332/.356 | 5 | 0 | 68 | — | .214/.283/.332 |
| 2015 | 28 | AAARojos del Agu… | 132 | .239/.344/.407 | 5 | 1 | 63 | — | .198/.260/.322 |
| 2016 | 29 | INTLGigantes del … | 39 | .219/.359/.250 | 0 | 0 | 88 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 18 | ROK | GCL Dodgers | — | 178 | 157 | 50 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 33 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 318 | 399 | 395 | 794 | 76 | 398 | 19 | 11 | 362 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 19 | ROK | Ogden Raptors | — | 276 | 250 | 77 | 17 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 72 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 308 | 369 | 544 | 913 | 236 | 389 | 26 | 8 | 395 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 20 | A+ | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 79 | 75 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 173 | 205 | 307 | 512 | 133 | 200 | 24 | 4 | 224 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 20 | A | Great Lakes Loons | — | 439 | 398 | 115 | 21 | 3 | 15 | 39 | 109 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 289 | 353 | 470 | 823 | 181 | 365 | 25 | 9 | 364 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 21 | A+ | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 223 | 187 | 51 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 56 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 273 | 371 | 455 | 826 | 182 | 354 | 25 | 14 | 362 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | AA | Bowie Baysox | — | 519 | 448 | 132 | 35 | 2 | 20 | 61 | 98 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 295 | 381 | 516 | 896 | 221 | 332 | 19 | 12 | 389 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | — | 161 | 159 | 34 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 53 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 214 | 224 | 302 | 525 | 88 | 301 | 33 | 1 | 233 | 41 | -11 | -0 | +3 | +2 | +3 | -0.3 |
| 2010 | 23 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | — | 345 | 316 | 88 | 25 | 0 | 13 | 23 | 78 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 278 | 330 | 481 | 811 | 203 | 329 | 23 | 7 | 353 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | — | 65 | 61 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 164 | 215 | 164 | 379 | 278 | 38 | 6 | 182 | 9 | -7 | +0 | -2 | +2 | +1 | -0.6 | |
| 2011 | 24 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | — | 438 | 395 | 99 | 12 | 2 | 18 | 40 | 120 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 251 | 320 | 428 | 747 | 177 | 312 | 27 | 9 | 330 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 56 | 52 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 173 | 232 | 269 | 501 | 96 | 216 | 25 | 7 | 230 | 30 | -5 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +1 | -0.3 |
| 2012 | 25 | AAA | Reno Aces | — | 410 | 360 | 105 | 27 | 2 | 13 | 40 | 78 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 292 | 367 | 486 | 853 | 194 | 333 | 19 | 10 | 371 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 210 | 177 | 40 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 226 | 332 | 356 | 688 | 130 | 265 | 21 | 13 | 308 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 132 | 113 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 28 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 239 | 344 | 407 | 751 | 168 | 272 | 21 | 14 | 336 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | INTL | Gigantes del Cibao | — | 39 | 32 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 219 | 359 | 250 | 609 | 31 | 389 | 36 | 15 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 282 | 272 | 53 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 92 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 195 | 223 | 265 | 488 | 70 | 278 | 33 | 4 | 221 | 36 | -22 | -0 | +0 | +5 | +6 | -1.0 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Dodgers | — | 178 | 165 | 39 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 48 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 236 | 292 | 297 | 589 | 61 | 323 | 27 | 7 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 19 | ROK MLE | Ogden Raptors | — | 276 | 261 | 56 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 104 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 215 | 252 | 364 | 616 | 149 | 315 | 38 | 4 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 20 | A+ MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 79 | 76 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 158 | 179 | 289 | 469 | 132 | 189 | 32 | 3 | 186 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 20 | A MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 439 | 412 | 99 | 17 | 3 | 11 | 26 | 148 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 240 | 287 | 376 | 663 | 136 | 347 | 34 | 6 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 21 | A+ MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 223 | 199 | 46 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 75 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 231 | 308 | 377 | 685 | 146 | 327 | 34 | 10 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | AA MLE | Bowie Baysox | — | 519 | 467 | 127 | 32 | 2 | 16 | 43 | 119 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 272 | 336 | 452 | 788 | 180 | 322 | 23 | 8 | 342 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | MLB MLE | Baltimore Orioles | — | 161 | 159 | 34 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 53 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 214 | 224 | 302 | 525 | 88 | 301 | 33 | 1 | 229 | 41 | -11 | -0 | +3 | +2 | +3 | -0.3 |
| 2010 | 23 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 345 | 327 | 78 | 23 | 0 | 9 | 13 | 95 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 239 | 272 | 391 | 663 | 153 | 300 | 28 | 4 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | MLB MLE | Baltimore Orioles | — | 65 | 61 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 164 | 215 | 164 | 379 | 278 | 38 | 6 | 181 | 9 | -7 | +0 | -2 | +2 | +1 | -0.6 | |
| 2011 | 24 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 438 | 408 | 87 | 10 | 2 | 14 | 27 | 151 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 213 | 262 | 350 | 613 | 137 | 292 | 34 | 6 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | MLB MLE | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 56 | 53 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 170 | 214 | 264 | 478 | 94 | 216 | 25 | 5 | 212 | 30 | -5 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +1 | -0.3 |
| 2012 | 25 | AAA MLE | Reno Aces | — | 410 | 374 | 89 | 19 | 2 | 10 | 26 | 105 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 238 | 293 | 380 | 672 | 142 | 289 | 26 | 6 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 210 | 187 | 40 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 54 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 283 | 332 | 614 | 118 | 249 | 26 | 9 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA MLE | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 132 | 121 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 198 | 260 | 322 | 582 | 124 | 238 | 25 | 8 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Dodgers | — | 178 | 165 | 39 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 48 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 236 | 292 | 297 | 589 | 61 | 328 | 27 | 7 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 18 | ROK RAW | GCL Dodgers | — | 178 | 157 | 50 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 33 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 318 | 399 | 395 | 794 | 76 | 398 | 19 | 11 | 362 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 19 | ROK MLE | Ogden Raptors | — | 276 | 261 | 56 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 104 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 215 | 252 | 364 | 616 | 149 | 320 | 38 | 4 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 19 | ROK RAW | Ogden Raptors | — | 276 | 250 | 77 | 17 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 72 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 308 | 369 | 544 | 913 | 236 | 389 | 26 | 8 | 395 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 518 | 488 | 110 | 19 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 174 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 225 | 269 | 357 | 625 | 131 | 321 | 34 | 5 | 272 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 20 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 518 | 473 | 128 | 23 | 4 | 17 | 42 | 128 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 271 | 331 | 444 | 775 | 173 | 337 | 25 | 8 | 343 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 21 | A+ MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 223 | 199 | 46 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 75 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 231 | 308 | 377 | 685 | 146 | 339 | 34 | 10 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 21 | A+ RAW | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 223 | 187 | 51 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 56 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 273 | 371 | 455 | 826 | 182 | 354 | 25 | 14 | 362 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | AA MLE | Bowie Baysox | — | 519 | 467 | 127 | 32 | 2 | 16 | 43 | 119 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 272 | 336 | 452 | 788 | 180 | 327 | 23 | 8 | 342 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | AA RAW | Bowie Baysox | — | 519 | 448 | 132 | 35 | 2 | 20 | 61 | 98 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 295 | 381 | 516 | 896 | 221 | 332 | 19 | 12 | 389 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 506 | 486 | 112 | 28 | 0 | 12 | 15 | 148 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 230 | 256 | 362 | 619 | 132 | 304 | 29 | 3 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 506 | 475 | 122 | 30 | 0 | 16 | 25 | 131 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 257 | 296 | 421 | 717 | 164 | 320 | 26 | 5 | 315 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 503 | 469 | 97 | 10 | 2 | 14 | 31 | 176 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 207 | 256 | 326 | 582 | 119 | 294 | 35 | 6 | 258 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 503 | 456 | 109 | 12 | 2 | 18 | 44 | 145 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 239 | 306 | 393 | 699 | 154 | 307 | 29 | 9 | 311 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 466 | 427 | 98 | 21 | 2 | 11 | 29 | 119 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 230 | 283 | 365 | 649 | 136 | 286 | 26 | 6 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 466 | 412 | 114 | 29 | 2 | 14 | 44 | 92 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 277 | 351 | 459 | 810 | 182 | 319 | 20 | 9 | 354 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 210 | 187 | 40 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 54 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 283 | 332 | 614 | 118 | 263 | 26 | 9 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA RAW | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 210 | 177 | 40 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 226 | 332 | 356 | 688 | 130 | 265 | 21 | 13 | 308 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA MLE | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 132 | 121 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 198 | 260 | 322 | 582 | 124 | 235 | 25 | 8 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA RAW | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 132 | 113 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 28 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 239 | 344 | 407 | 751 | 168 | 272 | 21 | 14 | 336 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | INTL MLE | Gigantes del Cibao | — | 39 | 32 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 219 | 359 | 250 | 609 | 31 | 389 | 36 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | INTL RAW | Gigantes del Cibao | — | 39 | 32 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 219 | 359 | 250 | 609 | 31 | 389 | 36 | 15 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Dodgers | — | 178 | 163 | 39 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 48 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 239 | 292 | 301 | 593 | 61 | 323 | 27 | 7 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 19 | ROK MLE | Ogden Raptors | — | 276 | 261 | 56 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 104 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 215 | 252 | 364 | 616 | 149 | 315 | 38 | 4 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 518 | 484 | 110 | 19 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 174 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 227 | 269 | 360 | 628 | 132 | 323 | 34 | 5 | 272 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 21 | A+ MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 223 | 199 | 46 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 75 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 231 | 308 | 377 | 685 | 146 | 327 | 34 | 10 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | AA MLE | Bowie Baysox | — | 519 | 469 | 127 | 32 | 2 | 16 | 43 | 119 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 271 | 336 | 450 | 786 | 179 | 322 | 23 | 8 | 342 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 506 | 484 | 112 | 28 | 0 | 12 | 15 | 148 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 231 | 256 | 364 | 620 | 132 | 300 | 29 | 3 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 503 | 467 | 97 | 10 | 2 | 14 | 31 | 176 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 208 | 256 | 328 | 584 | 120 | 290 | 35 | 6 | 258 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 466 | 431 | 98 | 21 | 2 | 11 | 29 | 119 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 227 | 283 | 362 | 645 | 135 | 280 | 26 | 6 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 210 | 190 | 40 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 54 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 283 | 326 | 609 | 116 | 249 | 26 | 9 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA MLE | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 132 | 121 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 198 | 260 | 322 | 582 | 124 | 238 | 25 | 8 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 282 | 272 | 53 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 92 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 195 | 223 | 265 | 488 | 70 | 278 | 33 | 4 | 221 | 75 | -22 | -0 | +0 | +5 | +6 | -1.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 627 | 122 | 16 | 0 | 9 | 23 | 212 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 195 | 223 | 263 | 486 | 69 | 278 | 33 | 4 | 221 | 75 | -50 | -1 | +1 | +12 | +14 | -2.4 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3570 | 3302 | 756 | 147 | 14 | 89 | 226 | 1064 | 11 | 31 | 20 | 229 | 281 | 363 | 643 | 134 | 306 | 30 | 6 | 278 | 75 | -22 | -0 | +0 | +5 | +6 | -1.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 601 | 138 | 27 | 3 | 16 | 41 | 194 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 230 | 281 | 364 | 645 | 135 | 308 | 30 | 6 | 278 | 75 | -50 | -1 | +1 | +12 | +14 | -2.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2015 AAARojos del Aguila de Veracruz · 132 PAwOBA .327 → .261 (−66)K% 21.2% → 25.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.21% | ÷1.009 | ×1.200 | — | — | 25.24% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.88% | ÷1.121 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 7.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.18% | ÷0.998 | ×0.930 | ×1.003 | ×0.982 | 19.44% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.71% | ÷1.074 | ×0.830 | ×1.003 | ×0.982 | 3.58% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | ×1.003 | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.88% | ÷0.920 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 4.39% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 100, 2B 115, 3B 80, K 102, BB 124 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.
Result: wOBA .327 → .261; ISO .168 → .131; BABIP .272 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 210 PAwOBA .306 → .268 (−38)K% 21.4% → 25.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.43% | ÷1.010 | ×1.200 | — | — | 25.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.86% | ÷1.015 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 8.77% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.45% | ÷0.971 | ×0.930 | ×1.017 | ×1.003 | 19.98% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.06% | ÷1.026 | ×0.830 | ×1.017 | ×1.003 | 5.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.017 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.79% | ÷0.976 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.003 | 3.27% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 94, 2B 105, 3B 100, K 102, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.017.
Result: wOBA .306 → .268; ISO .130 → .116; BABIP .265 → .249. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAAReno Aces · 410 PAwOBA .365 → .294 (−71)K% 19.0% → 25.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.02% | ÷0.956 | ×1.290 | — | — | 25.68% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.02% | ÷1.042 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 6.26% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.73% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 0.73% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.34% | ÷0.989 | ×0.900 | ×1.009 | ×1.018 | 20.88% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.57% | ÷1.130 | ×0.810 | ×1.009 | ×1.018 | 7.05% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.71% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×1.009 | ×1.018 | 0.66% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.61% | ÷1.021 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 3.59% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 98, 2B 126, 3B 80, K 91, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.
Result: wOBA .365 → .294; ISO .194 → .147; BABIP .333 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAANorfolk Tides · 438 PAwOBA .321 → .269 (−52)K% 27.4% → 34.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.40% | ÷0.956 | ×1.200 | — | — | 34.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.45% | ÷0.966 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 6.23% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.36% | ÷1.032 | ×0.930 | ×1.037 | ×1.033 | 23.53% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.36% | ÷1.038 | ×0.830 | ×1.037 | ×1.033 | 3.74% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.73% | ÷1.127 | ×0.970 | ×1.037 | ×1.033 | 0.67% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.55% | ÷1.036 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.033 | 5.48% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 106, 2B 108, 3B 125, K 91, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.037.
Result: wOBA .321 → .269; ISO .177 → .142; BABIP .312 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAANorfolk Tides · 345 PAwOBA .343 → .287 (−56)K% 22.6% → 27.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.61% | ÷0.991 | ×1.200 | — | — | 27.37% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.80% | ÷1.062 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 3.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.58% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.57% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.01% | ÷1.055 | ×0.930 | ×1.012 | ×1.048 | 19.64% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.50% | ÷0.964 | ×0.830 | ×1.012 | ×1.048 | 9.59% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.983 | ×0.970 | ×1.012 | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.46% | ÷1.272 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.048 | 3.78% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 154, 1B 111, 2B 93, 3B 97, K 98, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.
Result: wOBA .343 → .287; ISO .203 → .156; BABIP .329 → .300. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 AABowie Baysox · 519 PAwOBA .382 → .342 (−41)K% 18.9% → 23.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.88% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.04% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.37% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 8.17% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.39% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.34% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.43% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.020 | ×1.027 | 21.78% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.860 | ×1.020 | ×1.027 | 9.01% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.57% | ÷1.000 | ×0.950 | ×1.020 | ×1.027 | 0.57% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.71% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 4.58% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.
Result: wOBA .382 → .342; ISO .221 → .189; BABIP .332 → .322. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2008 A+Inland Empire 66ers · 223 PAwOBA .355 → .299 (−56)K% 25.1% → 33.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.11% | ÷1.000 | ×1.340 | — | — | 33.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.45% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 9.67% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.66% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.042 | ×1.012 | 22.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.16% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.042 | ×1.012 | 7.92% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.53% | ÷1.000 | ×0.760 | ×1.042 | ×1.012 | 1.22% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.58% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.012 | 4.26% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.042.
Result: wOBA .355 → .299; ISO .182 → .157; BABIP .354 → .327. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2007 AGreat Lakes Loons · 439 PAwOBA .353 → .288 (−64)K% 24.8% → 33.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.83% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 33.77% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.43% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 5.90% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.23% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 0.18% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.30% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.015 | 25.78% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.27% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.015 | 6.43% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.04% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×1.015 | 1.01% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.19% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 4.21% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .353 → .288; ISO .181 → .140; BABIP .365 → .347. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .