Brian Burgamy
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 34 | AAA/AA/INTL3 orgs | 508 | .270/.374/.440 | 17 | 0 | 103 | — | .208/.278/.323 |
| 2016 | 35 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 569 | .292/.415/.491 | 18 | 9 | 97 | — | .229/.303/.337 |
| 2017 | 36 | INTLGigantes del … | 33 | .143/.250/.250 | 0 | 0 | 41 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 24 | AA | Mobile BayBears | — | 205 | 176 | 35 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 45 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 199 | 305 | 290 | 595 | 91 | 256 | 22 | 13 | 276 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 24 | A+ | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 265 | 234 | 69 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 47 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 295 | 365 | 470 | 835 | 175 | 341 | 18 | 9 | 363 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 25 | AA | Reading Phillies | — | 39 | 31 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 194 | 342 | 258 | 600 | 65 | 231 | 15 | 18 | 283 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 25 | A+ | Clearwater Threshers | — | 535 | 441 | 121 | 21 | 5 | 13 | 88 | 96 | 2 | 24 | 8 | 274 | 397 | 433 | 830 | 159 | 324 | 18 | 16 | 372 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 26 | AA | Reading Phillies | — | 213 | 183 | 35 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 47 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 191 | 299 | 279 | 577 | 87 | 239 | 22 | 12 | 270 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 26 | A+ | Clearwater Threshers | — | 308 | 260 | 68 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 44 | 52 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 262 | 368 | 454 | 822 | 192 | 289 | 17 | 14 | 362 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 27 | A+ | St. Lucie Mets | — | 38 | 30 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 300 | 432 | 367 | 799 | 67 | 409 | 24 | 16 | 364 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 30 | INTL | Canberra Cavalry | — | 200 | 164 | 67 | 8 | 0 | 12 | 34 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 409 | 513 | 677 | 1.189 | 268 | 414 | 10 | 17 | 511 | 232 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 31 | INTL | Venados de Mazatlan | — | 63 | 57 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 274 | 246 | 520 | 35 | 245 | 13 | 8 | 240 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 32 | AAA | Piratas de Campeche | — | 201 | 167 | 56 | 5 | 0 | 15 | 30 | 35 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 335 | 442 | 635 | 1.077 | 299 | 347 | 17 | 15 | 461 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 32 | INTL | Caneros de los Mochis | — | 284 | 231 | 67 | 13 | 0 | 15 | 50 | 56 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 290 | 420 | 541 | 962 | 251 | 323 | 20 | 18 | 421 | 171 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 33 | AA | Binghamton Mets | — | 527 | 450 | 124 | 32 | 1 | 23 | 71 | 101 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 276 | 378 | 504 | 882 | 229 | 307 | 19 | 13 | 387 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 33 | INTL | Toros del Este | — | 219 | 178 | 42 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 37 | 55 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 236 | 370 | 315 | 685 | 79 | 331 | 25 | 17 | 319 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 34 | AAA | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 52 | 46 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 152 | 250 | 217 | 467 | 65 | 212 | 25 | 12 | 224 | -9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 34 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | — | 256 | 220 | 59 | 11 | 0 | 9 | 32 | 52 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 268 | 366 | 441 | 807 | 173 | 311 | 20 | 12 | 359 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 34 | INTL | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 200 | 168 | 51 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 30 | 40 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 304 | 415 | 500 | 915 | 196 | 358 | 20 | 15 | 407 | 161 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 35 | AAA | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 464 | 379 | 112 | 24 | 3 | 12 | 77 | 99 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 296 | 418 | 470 | 888 | 174 | 370 | 21 | 17 | 394 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 35 | INTL | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 105 | 87 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 276 | 400 | 586 | 986 | 310 | 310 | 22 | 17 | 426 | 174 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 36 | INTL | Gigantes del Cibao | — | 33 | 28 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 250 | 250 | 500 | 107 | 200 | 27 | 12 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 24 | AA MLE | Mobile BayBears | — | 205 | 185 | 33 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 55 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 178 | 251 | 265 | 516 | 86 | 236 | 27 | 9 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 24 | A+ MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 265 | 242 | 62 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 63 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 256 | 308 | 397 | 704 | 140 | 310 | 24 | 6 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 25 | AA MLE | Reading Phillies | — | 39 | 33 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 289 | 242 | 532 | 61 | 223 | 18 | 13 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 25 | A+ MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 535 | 467 | 104 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 62 | 136 | 2 | 24 | 8 | 223 | 316 | 351 | 668 | 128 | 283 | 25 | 12 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 26 | AA MLE | Reading Phillies | — | 213 | 191 | 32 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 57 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 168 | 246 | 230 | 477 | 63 | 223 | 27 | 8 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 26 | A+ MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 308 | 273 | 59 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 31 | 74 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 216 | 296 | 366 | 662 | 150 | 256 | 24 | 10 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 27 | A+ MLE | St. Lucie Mets | — | 38 | 32 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 351 | 312 | 664 | 62 | 363 | 34 | 11 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 32 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 201 | 177 | 49 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 20 | 42 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 277 | 357 | 486 | 843 | 209 | 299 | 21 | 10 | 358 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 33 | AA MLE | Binghamton Mets | — | 527 | 476 | 108 | 25 | 1 | 17 | 45 | 122 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 227 | 298 | 391 | 688 | 164 | 264 | 23 | 9 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 34 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 52 | 48 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 104 | 173 | 146 | 319 | 42 | 172 | 33 | 8 | 155 | -9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 34 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 256 | 231 | 53 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 21 | 64 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 229 | 299 | 359 | 659 | 130 | 279 | 25 | 8 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 35 | AAA MLE | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 464 | 415 | 95 | 20 | 2 | 7 | 41 | 126 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 229 | 303 | 337 | 640 | 108 | 303 | 27 | 9 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 470 | 427 | 95 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 35 | 118 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 222 | 283 | 340 | 623 | 117 | 287 | 25 | 7 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 24 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 470 | 410 | 104 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 92 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 254 | 339 | 393 | 732 | 139 | 305 | 20 | 11 | 325 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 25 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 574 | 501 | 110 | 19 | 5 | 11 | 66 | 144 | 2 | 24 | 8 | 220 | 313 | 343 | 656 | 124 | 284 | 25 | 11 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 25 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 574 | 472 | 127 | 21 | 6 | 13 | 95 | 102 | 2 | 24 | 8 | 269 | 394 | 422 | 815 | 153 | 318 | 18 | 17 | 366 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 26 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 521 | 464 | 92 | 19 | 2 | 11 | 49 | 131 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 198 | 278 | 319 | 597 | 121 | 248 | 25 | 9 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 26 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 521 | 443 | 103 | 21 | 3 | 13 | 70 | 99 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 233 | 340 | 381 | 721 | 149 | 269 | 19 | 13 | 324 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 27 | A+ MLE | St. Lucie Mets | — | 38 | 32 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 351 | 312 | 664 | 62 | 400 | 34 | 11 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 27 | A+ RAW | St. Lucie Mets | — | 38 | 30 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 300 | 432 | 367 | 799 | 67 | 409 | 24 | 16 | 364 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 30 | INTL MLE | Canberra Cavalry | — | 200 | 164 | 67 | 8 | 0 | 12 | 34 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 409 | 513 | 677 | 1.189 | 268 | 414 | 10 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 30 | INTL RAW | Canberra Cavalry | — | 200 | 164 | 67 | 8 | 0 | 12 | 34 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 409 | 513 | 677 | 1.189 | 268 | 414 | 10 | 17 | 511 | 232 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 31 | INTL MLE | Venados de Mazatlan | — | 63 | 57 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 274 | 246 | 520 | 35 | 245 | 13 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 31 | INTL RAW | Venados de Mazatlan | — | 63 | 57 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 274 | 246 | 520 | 35 | 245 | 13 | 8 | 240 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 32 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 485 | 430 | 117 | 10 | 0 | 25 | 48 | 102 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 272 | 351 | 470 | 820 | 198 | 302 | 21 | 10 | 358 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 32 | INTL RAW | 2 teams | — | 485 | 398 | 123 | 18 | 0 | 30 | 80 | 91 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 309 | 429 | 580 | 1.010 | 271 | 333 | 19 | 16 | 437 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 33 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 746 | 673 | 152 | 36 | 1 | 24 | 63 | 172 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 226 | 296 | 389 | 685 | 163 | 267 | 23 | 8 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 33 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 746 | 628 | 166 | 38 | 2 | 25 | 108 | 156 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 264 | 376 | 451 | 826 | 186 | 313 | 21 | 14 | 367 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 34 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 508 | 461 | 95 | 18 | 0 | 11 | 41 | 134 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 206 | 277 | 317 | 593 | 111 | 264 | 26 | 8 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 34 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 508 | 434 | 117 | 21 | 1 | 17 | 68 | 105 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 270 | 374 | 440 | 814 | 171 | 318 | 21 | 13 | 364 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 35 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 569 | 510 | 115 | 24 | 3 | 8 | 51 | 155 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 225 | 300 | 331 | 631 | 106 | 307 | 27 | 9 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 35 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 569 | 466 | 136 | 31 | 4 | 18 | 95 | 122 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 292 | 415 | 491 | 906 | 200 | 360 | 21 | 17 | 400 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 36 | INTL MLE | Gigantes del Cibao | — | 33 | 28 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 250 | 250 | 500 | 107 | 200 | 27 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 36 | INTL RAW | Gigantes del Cibao | — | 33 | 28 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 250 | 250 | 500 | 107 | 200 | 27 | 12 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 470 | 431 | 95 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 35 | 118 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 220 | 283 | 336 | 619 | 116 | 278 | 25 | 7 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 25 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 574 | 501 | 110 | 19 | 5 | 11 | 66 | 144 | 2 | 24 | 8 | 220 | 313 | 343 | 656 | 124 | 279 | 25 | 11 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 26 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 521 | 465 | 92 | 19 | 2 | 11 | 49 | 131 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 198 | 278 | 318 | 596 | 120 | 243 | 25 | 9 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 27 | A+ MLE | St. Lucie Mets | — | 38 | 33 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 242 | 351 | 303 | 654 | 61 | 363 | 34 | 11 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 32 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 485 | 430 | 117 | 10 | 0 | 25 | 48 | 102 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 272 | 351 | 470 | 820 | 198 | 299 | 21 | 10 | 358 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 33 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 746 | 673 | 152 | 36 | 1 | 24 | 63 | 172 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 226 | 296 | 389 | 685 | 163 | 264 | 23 | 8 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 34 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 508 | 458 | 95 | 18 | 0 | 11 | 41 | 134 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 207 | 277 | 319 | 595 | 111 | 261 | 26 | 8 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 35 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 569 | 510 | 115 | 24 | 3 | 8 | 51 | 155 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 225 | 300 | 331 | 631 | 106 | 303 | 27 | 9 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4207 | 3747 | 867 | 157 | 16 | 110 | 400 | 1006 | 22 | 62 | 35 | 231 | 309 | 370 | 679 | 139 | 286 | 24 | 10 | 270 | 69 | -155 | -2 | +0 | -45 | +91 | -11.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 579 | 133 | 24 | 2 | 17 | 62 | 155 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 230 | 307 | 366 | 674 | 136 | 283 | 24 | 10 | 270 | 69 | -24 | +0 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -1.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2016 AAARieleros de Aguascalientes · 464 PAwOBA .379 → .287 (−92)K% 21.3% → 27.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.34% | ÷0.941 | ×1.200 | — | — | 27.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.44% | ÷1.053 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 8.89% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.65% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 0.57% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.07% | ÷1.053 | ×0.930 | ×1.031 | ×0.940 | 22.31% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.57% | ÷1.035 | ×0.830 | ×1.031 | ×0.940 | 6.66% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.07% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.031 | ×0.940 | 0.83% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.29% | ÷1.236 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 2.28% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 147, 1B 111, 2B 107, 3B 130, K 88, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 35 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.
Result: wOBA .379 → .287; ISO .174 → .118; BABIP .370 → .303. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AATulsa Drillers · 256 PAwOBA .351 → .286 (−65)K% 20.3% → 25.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.31% | ÷0.989 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.06% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.11% | ÷0.976 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 8.17% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.78% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.940 | 0.64% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.21% | ÷0.938 | ×0.920 | ×1.024 | ×0.940 | 21.90% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.55% | ÷1.006 | ×0.840 | ×1.024 | ×0.940 | 5.26% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×1.024 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.36% | ÷1.039 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.940 | 3.88% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 88, 2B 101, 3B 80, K 98, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 24.8 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (9.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.024.
Result: wOBA .351 → .286; ISO .173 → .130; BABIP .311 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAOklahoma City Dodgers · 52 PAwOBA .219 → .155 (−64)K% 25.0% → 32.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.00% | ÷0.984 | ×1.290 | — | — | 32.77% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.54% | ÷1.095 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.940 | 7.03% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 12.12% | ÷1.028 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.940 | 9.98% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷0.965 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.940 | 7.17% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.941 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.866 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 106, 2B 93, 3B 88, K 97, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .219 → .155; ISO .065 → .049; BABIP .212 → .172. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AABinghamton Mets · 527 PAwOBA .378 → .300 (−78)K% 19.2% → 23.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.17% | ÷1.011 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.28% | ÷1.032 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 8.47% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.57% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.940 | 0.45% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.48% | ÷0.990 | ×0.970 | ×1.006 | ×0.940 | 18.04% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.17% | ÷1.050 | ×0.860 | ×1.006 | ×0.940 | 7.10% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.29% | ÷1.036 | ×0.950 | ×1.006 | ×0.940 | 0.25% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.59% | ÷1.009 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.940 | 4.79% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 98, 2B 110, 3B 107, K 102, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 24.8 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (8.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.
Result: wOBA .378 → .300; ISO .229 → .175; BABIP .307 → .264. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAAPiratas de Campeche · 201 PAwOBA .449 → .358 (−91)K% 17.4% → 21.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.41% | ÷0.996 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.43% | ÷0.959 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.952 | 9.88% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.952 | 0.89% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.27% | ÷0.990 | ×0.930 | ×1.016 | ×0.952 | 24.78% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.79% | ÷0.994 | ×0.830 | ×1.016 | ×0.952 | 3.06% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.016 | ×0.952 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 11.36% | ÷0.988 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.952 | 7.67% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 98, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 99, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.
Result: wOBA .449 → .358; ISO .299 → .214; BABIP .347 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2008 A+St. Lucie Mets · 38 PAwOBA .365 → .297 (−69)K% 23.7% → 33.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.68% | ÷1.000 | ×1.420 | — | — | 33.63% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.79% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.958 | 11.34% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.63% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.958 | 2.34% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.958 | 29.38% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.52% | ÷1.000 | ×0.960 | — | ×0.958 | 8.76% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.958 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.958 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 22.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .365 → .297; ISO .067 → .058; BABIP .409 → .363. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2007 A+Clearwater Threshers · 308 PAwOBA .355 → .292 (−63)K% 16.9% → 24.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.88% | ÷1.000 | ×1.420 | — | — | 23.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.96% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.968 | 10.14% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.71% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.999 | ×0.968 | 17.53% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.73% | ÷1.000 | ×0.960 | ×0.999 | ×0.968 | 6.25% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.44% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×0.999 | ×0.968 | 1.13% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.81% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.968 | 4.10% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.
Result: wOBA .355 → .292; ISO .192 → .162; BABIP .289 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2007 AAReading Phillies · 213 PAwOBA .265 → .221 (−44)K% 22.1% → 26.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.07% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.21% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 8.44% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.94% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 0.79% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.38% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.004 | ×0.988 | 17.69% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.15% | ÷1.000 | ×0.860 | ×1.004 | ×0.988 | 4.39% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.950 | ×1.004 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.21% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 1.70% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.
Result: wOBA .265 → .221; ISO .087 → .071; BABIP .239 → .223. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .