Danny Espinosa
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 30 | MLBTB | 295 | .173/.247/.278 | 6 | 4 | 47 | -1.0 | ||
| 2018 | 31 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 383 | .211/.286/.349 | 11 | 6 | 58 | — | .160/.196/.253 | |
| 2019 | 32 | AAANYM | 542 | .256/.341/.440 | 20 | 17 | 64 | — | .198/.262/.340 | |
| 2020 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2021 | 34 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2022 | 35 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 36 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 37 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 38 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 39 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 22 | A+ | Potomac Nationals | — | 577 | 474 | 125 | 31 | 4 | 18 | 74 | 129 | 13 | 29 | 11 | 264 | 377 | 460 | 837 | 196 | 322 | 22 | 13 | 364 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | MLB | Washington Nationals | — | 112 | 103 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 214 | 277 | 447 | 723 | 233 | 239 | 27 | 8 | 317 | 98 | -0 | -1 | +3 | +3 | +2 | 0.7 |
| 2010 | 23 | AAA | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 108 | 95 | 28 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 295 | 356 | 463 | 819 | 168 | 338 | 20 | 7 | 350 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | — | 435 | 386 | 101 | 16 | 4 | 18 | 33 | 94 | 10 | 20 | 8 | 262 | 335 | 464 | 799 | 202 | 301 | 22 | 8 | 349 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | INTL | Leones de Ponce | — | 99 | 89 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 27 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 281 | 347 | 483 | 830 | 202 | 377 | 27 | 5 | 362 | 131 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | MLB | Washington Nationals | — | 658 | 573 | 135 | 29 | 5 | 21 | 57 | 166 | 19 | 17 | 6 | 236 | 325 | 414 | 739 | 178 | 292 | 25 | 9 | 327 | 106 | +4 | +1 | +4 | +2 | +14 | 2.6 |
| 2012 | 25 | MLB | Washington Nationals | — | 658 | 594 | 147 | 37 | 2 | 17 | 46 | 189 | 13 | 20 | 6 | 247 | 315 | 402 | 718 | 155 | 333 | 29 | 7 | 319 | 99 | -1 | +2 | +9 | +2 | +14 | 2.7 |
| 2013 | 26 | MLB | Washington Nationals | — | 167 | 158 | 25 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 47 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 158 | 194 | 272 | 466 | 114 | 202 | 28 | 2 | 207 | 25 | -15 | +0 | +3 | +2 | +4 | -0.6 |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 313 | 283 | 61 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 101 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 216 | 282 | 286 | 568 | 71 | 324 | 32 | 6 | 259 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | MLB | Washington Nationals | — | 364 | 333 | 73 | 14 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 122 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 219 | 284 | 351 | 635 | 132 | 319 | 34 | 5 | 287 | 75 | -11 | +1 | +4 | +1 | +8 | 0.4 |
| 2015 | 28 | MLB | Washington Nationals | — | 412 | 367 | 88 | 21 | 1 | 13 | 33 | 106 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 240 | 313 | 409 | 722 | 169 | 299 | 26 | 8 | 318 | 95 | -2 | +0 | +5 | +1 | +9 | 1.4 |
| 2016 | 29 | MLB | Washington Nationals | — | 601 | 516 | 108 | 15 | 0 | 24 | 54 | 174 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 209 | 308 | 378 | 686 | 169 | 261 | 29 | 9 | 306 | 84 | -12 | +1 | +3 | +6 | +13 | 1.2 |
| 2017 | 30 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 295 | 266 | 46 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 109 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 173 | 247 | 278 | 525 | 105 | 261 | 37 | 7 | 240 | 47 | -19 | -1 | +2 | +1 | +6 | -1.0 |
| 2018 | 31 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 240 | 221 | 43 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 69 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 195 | 243 | 312 | 555 | 118 | 248 | 29 | 4 | 245 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 31 | INTL | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 143 | 120 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 38 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 242 | 359 | 417 | 776 | 175 | 308 | 27 | 13 | 349 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 32 | AAA | Syracuse Mets | — | 542 | 473 | 121 | 27 | 0 | 20 | 51 | 132 | 10 | 17 | 4 | 256 | 341 | 440 | 781 | 184 | 310 | 24 | 9 | 344 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 3267 | 2910 | 644 | 139 | 12 | 98 | 242 | 943 | 78 | 64 | 24 | 221 | 298 | 378 | 677 | 157 | 290 | 29 | 7 | 302 | 90 | -38 | +3 | +32 | +19 | +71 | 9.0 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 22 | A+ MLE | Potomac Nationals | — | 577 | 503 | 114 | 26 | 3 | 16 | 46 | 183 | 13 | 29 | 11 | 227 | 308 | 386 | 694 | 159 | 301 | 32 | 8 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | MLB MLE | Washington Nationals | — | 112 | 104 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 212 | 268 | 442 | 710 | 231 | 239 | 27 | 7 | 313 | 98 | -0 | -1 | +3 | +3 | +2 | 0.7 |
| 2010 | 23 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 108 | 99 | 28 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 283 | 317 | 414 | 731 | 131 | 338 | 25 | 4 | 329 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 435 | 398 | 97 | 16 | 3 | 14 | 22 | 118 | 10 | 20 | 8 | 244 | 300 | 405 | 705 | 161 | 301 | 27 | 5 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | MLB MLE | Washington Nationals | — | 658 | 577 | 136 | 29 | 6 | 21 | 53 | 166 | 19 | 17 | 6 | 236 | 320 | 416 | 736 | 180 | 292 | 25 | 8 | 324 | 106 | +4 | +1 | +4 | +2 | +14 | 2.6 |
| 2012 | 25 | MLB MLE | Washington Nationals | — | 658 | 598 | 146 | 36 | 2 | 17 | 42 | 189 | 13 | 20 | 6 | 244 | 308 | 396 | 704 | 152 | 333 | 29 | 6 | 315 | 99 | -1 | +2 | +9 | +2 | +14 | 2.7 |
| 2013 | 26 | MLB MLE | Washington Nationals | — | 167 | 158 | 25 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 47 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 158 | 194 | 272 | 466 | 114 | 202 | 28 | 2 | 206 | 25 | -15 | +0 | +3 | +2 | +4 | -0.6 |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 313 | 288 | 51 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 124 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 177 | 233 | 236 | 469 | 59 | 294 | 40 | 4 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | MLB MLE | Washington Nationals | — | 364 | 338 | 74 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 122 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 219 | 273 | 355 | 628 | 136 | 319 | 34 | 4 | 279 | 75 | -11 | +1 | +4 | +1 | +8 | 0.4 |
| 2015 | 28 | MLB MLE | Washington Nationals | — | 412 | 372 | 88 | 21 | 1 | 13 | 28 | 106 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 237 | 300 | 403 | 704 | 167 | 299 | 26 | 7 | 309 | 95 | -2 | +0 | +5 | +1 | +9 | 1.4 |
| 2016 | 29 | MLB MLE | Washington Nationals | — | 601 | 528 | 108 | 15 | 0 | 24 | 42 | 174 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 205 | 288 | 369 | 657 | 165 | 261 | 29 | 7 | 292 | 84 | -12 | +1 | +3 | +6 | +13 | 1.2 |
| 2017 | 30 | MLB MLE | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 295 | 267 | 45 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 109 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 169 | 240 | 273 | 513 | 105 | 261 | 37 | 7 | 238 | 47 | -19 | -1 | +2 | +1 | +6 | -1.0 |
| 2018 | 31 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 240 | 225 | 36 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 86 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 160 | 196 | 253 | 449 | 93 | 223 | 36 | 2 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 32 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Mets | — | 542 | 491 | 97 | 19 | 0 | 17 | 33 | 156 | 10 | 17 | 4 | 198 | 262 | 340 | 602 | 143 | 241 | 29 | 6 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A+ MLE | Potomac Nationals | — | 577 | 503 | 114 | 26 | 3 | 16 | 46 | 183 | 13 | 29 | 11 | 227 | 308 | 386 | 694 | 159 | 317 | 32 | 8 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A+ RAW | Potomac Nationals | — | 577 | 474 | 125 | 31 | 4 | 18 | 74 | 129 | 13 | 29 | 11 | 264 | 377 | 460 | 837 | 196 | 322 | 22 | 13 | 364 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | AA MLE | 4 teams | — | 754 | 689 | 170 | 25 | 7 | 27 | 40 | 201 | 15 | 34 | 13 | 247 | 302 | 421 | 723 | 174 | 307 | 27 | 5 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | AA RAW | 4 teams | — | 754 | 673 | 176 | 28 | 9 | 30 | 55 | 173 | 15 | 34 | 13 | 262 | 331 | 464 | 794 | 202 | 307 | 23 | 7 | 346 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | MLB MLE | Washington Nationals | — | 658 | 577 | 136 | 29 | 6 | 21 | 53 | 166 | 19 | 17 | 6 | 236 | 320 | 416 | 736 | 180 | 292 | 25 | 8 | 324 | 106 | +4 | +1 | +4 | +2 | +14 | 2.6 |
| 2011 | 24 | MLB RAW | Washington Nationals | — | 658 | 573 | 135 | 29 | 5 | 21 | 57 | 166 | 19 | 17 | 6 | 236 | 325 | 414 | 739 | 178 | 292 | 25 | 9 | 327 | 106 | +4 | +1 | +4 | +2 | +14 | 2.6 |
| 2012 | 25 | MLB MLE | Washington Nationals | — | 658 | 598 | 146 | 36 | 2 | 17 | 42 | 189 | 13 | 20 | 6 | 244 | 308 | 396 | 704 | 152 | 327 | 29 | 6 | 315 | 99 | -1 | +2 | +9 | +2 | +14 | 2.7 |
| 2012 | 25 | MLB RAW | Washington Nationals | — | 658 | 594 | 147 | 37 | 2 | 17 | 46 | 189 | 13 | 20 | 6 | 247 | 315 | 402 | 718 | 155 | 333 | 29 | 7 | 319 | 99 | -1 | +2 | +9 | +2 | +14 | 2.7 |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 480 | 446 | 76 | 18 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 171 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 170 | 219 | 249 | 468 | 78 | 260 | 36 | 4 | 209 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 480 | 441 | 86 | 21 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 148 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 195 | 251 | 281 | 532 | 86 | 278 | 31 | 5 | 241 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | MLB MLE | Washington Nationals | — | 364 | 338 | 74 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 122 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 219 | 273 | 355 | 628 | 136 | 316 | 34 | 4 | 279 | 75 | -11 | +1 | +4 | +1 | +8 | 0.4 |
| 2014 | 27 | MLB RAW | Washington Nationals | — | 364 | 333 | 73 | 14 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 122 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 219 | 284 | 351 | 635 | 132 | 319 | 34 | 5 | 287 | 75 | -11 | +1 | +4 | +1 | +8 | 0.4 |
| 2015 | 28 | MLB MLE | Washington Nationals | — | 412 | 372 | 88 | 21 | 1 | 13 | 28 | 106 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 237 | 300 | 403 | 704 | 167 | 293 | 26 | 7 | 309 | 95 | -2 | +0 | +5 | +1 | +9 | 1.4 |
| 2015 | 28 | MLB RAW | Washington Nationals | — | 412 | 367 | 88 | 21 | 1 | 13 | 33 | 106 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 240 | 313 | 409 | 722 | 169 | 299 | 26 | 8 | 318 | 95 | -2 | +0 | +5 | +1 | +9 | 1.4 |
| 2016 | 29 | MLB MLE | Washington Nationals | — | 601 | 528 | 108 | 15 | 0 | 24 | 42 | 174 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 205 | 288 | 369 | 657 | 165 | 251 | 29 | 7 | 292 | 84 | -12 | +1 | +3 | +6 | +13 | 1.2 |
| 2016 | 29 | MLB RAW | Washington Nationals | — | 601 | 516 | 108 | 15 | 0 | 24 | 54 | 174 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 209 | 308 | 378 | 686 | 169 | 261 | 29 | 9 | 306 | 84 | -12 | +1 | +3 | +6 | +13 | 1.2 |
| 2017 | 30 | MLB MLE | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 295 | 267 | 45 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 109 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 169 | 240 | 273 | 513 | 105 | 253 | 37 | 7 | 238 | 47 | -19 | -1 | +2 | +1 | +6 | -1.0 |
| 2017 | 30 | MLB RAW | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 295 | 266 | 46 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 109 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 173 | 247 | 278 | 525 | 105 | 261 | 37 | 7 | 240 | 47 | -19 | -1 | +2 | +1 | +6 | -1.0 |
| 2018 | 31 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 383 | 360 | 59 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 9 | 137 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 164 | 202 | 258 | 460 | 94 | 233 | 36 | 2 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 31 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 383 | 341 | 72 | 12 | 1 | 11 | 28 | 107 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 211 | 286 | 349 | 635 | 138 | 269 | 28 | 7 | 284 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 32 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Mets | — | 542 | 491 | 97 | 19 | 0 | 17 | 33 | 156 | 10 | 17 | 4 | 198 | 262 | 340 | 602 | 143 | 248 | 29 | 6 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 32 | AAA RAW | Syracuse Mets | — | 542 | 473 | 121 | 27 | 0 | 20 | 51 | 132 | 10 | 17 | 4 | 256 | 341 | 440 | 781 | 184 | 310 | 24 | 9 | 344 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A+ MLE | Potomac Nationals | — | 577 | 513 | 114 | 26 | 3 | 16 | 46 | 183 | 13 | 29 | 11 | 222 | 308 | 378 | 686 | 156 | 301 | 32 | 8 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | AA MLE | 4 teams | — | 754 | 693 | 170 | 25 | 7 | 27 | 40 | 201 | 15 | 34 | 13 | 245 | 302 | 418 | 721 | 173 | 296 | 27 | 5 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | MLB MLE | Washington Nationals | — | 658 | 581 | 136 | 29 | 6 | 21 | 53 | 166 | 19 | 17 | 6 | 234 | 320 | 413 | 734 | 179 | 292 | 25 | 8 | 324 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | MLB MLE | Washington Nationals | — | 658 | 598 | 146 | 36 | 2 | 17 | 42 | 189 | 13 | 20 | 6 | 244 | 308 | 396 | 704 | 152 | 333 | 29 | 6 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 480 | 449 | 76 | 18 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 171 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 169 | 219 | 247 | 467 | 78 | 262 | 36 | 4 | 209 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | MLB MLE | Washington Nationals | — | 364 | 336 | 74 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 122 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 220 | 273 | 357 | 630 | 137 | 319 | 34 | 4 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | MLB MLE | Washington Nationals | — | 412 | 375 | 88 | 21 | 1 | 13 | 28 | 106 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 235 | 300 | 400 | 700 | 165 | 299 | 26 | 7 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | MLB MLE | Washington Nationals | — | 601 | 534 | 108 | 15 | 0 | 24 | 42 | 174 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 202 | 288 | 365 | 653 | 163 | 261 | 29 | 7 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | MLB MLE | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 295 | 268 | 45 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 109 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 168 | 240 | 272 | 512 | 104 | 261 | 37 | 7 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 31 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 383 | 363 | 59 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 9 | 137 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 163 | 202 | 256 | 458 | 94 | 223 | 36 | 2 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 32 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Mets | — | 542 | 494 | 97 | 19 | 0 | 17 | 33 | 156 | 10 | 17 | 4 | 196 | 262 | 338 | 600 | 142 | 241 | 29 | 6 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 3267 | 2910 | 644 | 139 | 12 | 98 | 242 | 943 | 78 | 64 | 24 | 221 | 298 | 378 | 677 | 157 | 290 | 29 | 7 | 302 | 77 | -38 | +3 | +32 | +19 | +71 | 9.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 579 | 128 | 28 | 2 | 19 | 48 | 188 | 16 | 13 | 5 | 221 | 299 | 375 | 673 | 154 | 291 | 29 | 7 | 302 | 77 | -8 | +1 | +6 | +4 | +14 | 1.8 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 5724 | 5169 | 1113 | 223 | 24 | 162 | 344 | 1714 | 131 | 156 | 52 | 215 | 281 | 362 | 643 | 146 | 285 | 30 | 6 | 283 | 77 | -38 | +3 | +32 | +19 | +71 | 9.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 587 | 126 | 25 | 3 | 18 | 39 | 195 | 15 | 18 | 6 | 215 | 281 | 359 | 640 | 145 | 286 | 30 | 6 | 283 | 77 | -8 | +1 | +6 | +4 | +14 | 1.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAASyracuse Mets · 542 PAwOBA .335 → .263 (−73)K% 24.4% → 28.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.35% | ÷1.020 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.66% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.86% | ÷0.966 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.952 | 6.02% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.85% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.952 | 1.65% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.70% | ÷1.042 | ×0.930 | ×0.954 | ×0.952 | 17.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.92% | ÷1.060 | ×0.830 | ×0.954 | ×0.952 | 5.63% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.954 | ×0.952 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.87% | ÷0.960 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.952 | 4.89% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 108, 2B 112, 3B 80, K 104, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.954.
Result: wOBA .335 → .263; ISO .184 → .148; BABIP .310 → .241. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 240 PAwOBA .238 → .198 (−39)K% 28.7% → 35.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.75% | ÷0.962 | ×1.200 | — | — | 35.85% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.33% | ÷0.932 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.962 | 2.37% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.67% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.962 | 1.51% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.08% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.030 | ×0.962 | 17.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.26% | ÷0.971 | ×0.830 | ×1.030 | ×0.962 | 4.46% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.030 | ×0.962 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.95% | ÷0.954 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.962 | 3.34% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 100, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 92, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.
Result: wOBA .238 → .198; ISO .118 → .095; BABIP .248 → .223. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAASyracuse Chiefs · 313 PAwOBA .255 → .210 (−44)K% 32.3% → 39.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.27% | ÷0.979 | ×1.200 | — | — | 39.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.07% | ÷0.966 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 4.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.24% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 2.14% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.27% | ÷0.991 | ×0.930 | ×0.969 | ×1.018 | 23.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.59% | ÷0.979 | ×0.830 | ×0.969 | ×1.018 | 5.52% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.55% | ÷1.055 | ×0.970 | ×0.969 | ×1.018 | 0.50% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.10% | ÷0.914 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 1.03% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 98, 2B 96, 3B 111, K 96, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.969.
Result: wOBA .255 → .210; ISO .071 → .057; BABIP .324 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAHarrisburg Senators · 435 PAwOBA .341 → .300 (−41)K% 21.6% → 27.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.61% | ÷0.971 | ×1.220 | — | — | 27.14% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.59% | ÷1.066 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 5.11% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.30% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 2.01% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.58% | ÷1.016 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 22.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.48% | ÷0.930 | ×0.860 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 5.46% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.37% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 1.22% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.16% | ÷1.033 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 4.78% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 103, 2B 86, 3B 130, K 94, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .341 → .300; ISO .202 → .165; BABIP .301 → .301. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAASyracuse Chiefs · 108 PAwOBA .341 → .329 (−12)K% 20.4% → 25.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.37% | ÷0.980 | ×1.200 | — | — | 24.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.56% | ÷1.027 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 3.92% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.93% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.91% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.77% | ÷0.999 | ×0.930 | ×1.040 | ×1.050 | 29.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.74% | ÷1.043 | ×0.830 | ×1.040 | ×1.050 | 2.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.37% | ÷0.918 | ×0.970 | ×1.040 | ×1.050 | 1.58% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.48% | ÷1.055 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.050 | 4.58% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 100, 2B 109, 3B 84, K 96, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.040.
Result: wOBA .341 → .329; ISO .168 → .154; BABIP .338 → .338. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 A+Potomac Nationals · 577 PAwOBA .357 → .298 (−59)K% 22.4% → 31.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.36% | ÷1.000 | ×1.420 | — | — | 31.75% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.48% | ÷1.000 | ×0.630 | — | ×1.012 | 7.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.25% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×1.012 | 1.96% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.87% | ÷1.000 | ×0.940 | ×1.028 | ×1.012 | 20.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.99% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.028 | ×1.012 | 7.76% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.16% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | ×1.028 | ×1.012 | 0.96% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.22% | ÷1.000 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.012 | 4.75% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.028.
Result: wOBA .357 → .298; ISO .196 → .170; BABIP .322 → .301. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .