Luis Flores
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 29 | AAASultanes de M… | 195 | .214/.302/.387 | 5 | 0 | 42 | — | .176/.233/.295 |
| 2017 | 30 | AAASultanes de M… | 72 | .217/.239/.391 | 3 | 0 | 19 | — | .171/.183/.286 |
| 2019 | 32 | AAATecos de los … | 129 | .283/.328/.517 | 6 | 0 | 68 | — | .220/.250/.374 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 21 | A | Peoria Chiefs | — | 126 | 106 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 189 | 295 | 245 | 540 | 57 | 216 | 15 | 10 | 251 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A+ | Daytona Cubs | — | 166 | 142 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 31 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 169 | 263 | 204 | 467 | 35 | 211 | 19 | 10 | 218 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A | Peoria Chiefs | — | 64 | 48 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 208 | 387 | 458 | 845 | 250 | 229 | 17 | 19 | 367 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | A+ | Daytona Cubs | — | 24 | 23 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 304 | 333 | 522 | 855 | 217 | 333 | 8 | 4 | 370 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | A | Peoria Chiefs | — | 153 | 134 | 29 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 216 | 300 | 358 | 658 | 142 | 236 | 17 | 9 | 293 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | — | 121 | 102 | 28 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 275 | 378 | 578 | 957 | 304 | 259 | 13 | 12 | 407 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | A+ | Daytona Cubs | — | 34 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 161 | 212 | 258 | 470 | 97 | 167 | 21 | 6 | 209 | -4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | — | 92 | 72 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 326 | 250 | 576 | 83 | 186 | 14 | 17 | 273 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | — | 217 | 191 | 39 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 32 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 204 | 296 | 325 | 621 | 120 | 219 | 15 | 11 | 284 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | — | 118 | 87 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 253 | 440 | 356 | 796 | 103 | 278 | 11 | 23 | 370 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | — | 125 | 107 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 252 | 344 | 383 | 727 | 131 | 293 | 19 | 11 | 323 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | INTL | Estrellas de Oriente | — | 20 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 125 | 300 | 125 | 425 | 182 | 25 | 10 | 234 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 176 | 150 | 38 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 253 | 345 | 407 | 752 | 153 | 287 | 18 | 10 | 330 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 195 | 168 | 36 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 302 | 387 | 688 | 173 | 231 | 16 | 11 | 300 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | AAA | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 72 | 69 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 217 | 239 | 391 | 631 | 174 | 222 | 17 | 3 | 273 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 32 | AAA | Tecos de los Dos Laredos | — | 129 | 120 | 34 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 283 | 328 | 517 | 845 | 233 | 295 | 16 | 6 | 366 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 21 | A MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 126 | 110 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 164 | 246 | 218 | 464 | 55 | 187 | 21 | 6 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A+ MLE | Daytona Cubs | — | 166 | 146 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 44 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 144 | 219 | 178 | 397 | 34 | 189 | 27 | 7 | 182 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 64 | 52 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 173 | 306 | 385 | 691 | 212 | 191 | 23 | 12 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | A+ MLE | Daytona Cubs | — | 24 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 261 | 292 | 435 | 726 | 174 | 283 | 12 | 4 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | A MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 153 | 139 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 35 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 180 | 240 | 288 | 528 | 108 | 199 | 23 | 6 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 121 | 107 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 234 | 311 | 486 | 797 | 252 | 227 | 17 | 7 | 340 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | A+ MLE | Daytona Cubs | — | 34 | 32 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 125 | 152 | 219 | 370 | 94 | 146 | 26 | 3 | 162 | -4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 92 | 77 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 156 | 270 | 234 | 503 | 78 | 170 | 17 | 12 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA MLE | Iowa Cubs | — | 217 | 198 | 31 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 41 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 157 | 227 | 232 | 459 | 76 | 181 | 19 | 7 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA MLE | Iowa Cubs | — | 118 | 99 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 202 | 319 | 283 | 602 | 81 | 224 | 14 | 13 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 125 | 113 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 204 | 262 | 292 | 554 | 88 | 247 | 24 | 6 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA MLE | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 176 | 157 | 31 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 41 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 197 | 263 | 293 | 556 | 96 | 233 | 23 | 6 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 195 | 176 | 31 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 233 | 295 | 528 | 119 | 196 | 20 | 7 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | AAA MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 72 | 70 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 171 | 183 | 286 | 469 | 114 | 184 | 21 | 1 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 32 | AAA MLE | Tecos de los Dos Laredos | — | 129 | 123 | 27 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 220 | 250 | 374 | 624 | 154 | 232 | 19 | 4 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 21 | A MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 126 | 110 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 164 | 246 | 218 | 464 | 55 | 200 | 21 | 6 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 21 | A RAW | Peoria Chiefs | — | 126 | 106 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 189 | 295 | 245 | 540 | 57 | 216 | 15 | 10 | 251 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 230 | 198 | 30 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 59 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 152 | 243 | 232 | 476 | 81 | 200 | 26 | 9 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 230 | 190 | 34 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 42 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 179 | 297 | 268 | 566 | 89 | 215 | 18 | 12 | 260 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 177 | 162 | 30 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 185 | 241 | 302 | 544 | 117 | 220 | 21 | 6 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 177 | 157 | 36 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 229 | 305 | 382 | 687 | 153 | 252 | 16 | 8 | 303 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 155 | 139 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 209 | 276 | 424 | 701 | 216 | 210 | 19 | 6 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 155 | 133 | 33 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 16 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 248 | 342 | 504 | 846 | 256 | 238 | 15 | 10 | 364 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 92 | 77 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 156 | 270 | 234 | 503 | 78 | 180 | 17 | 12 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AA RAW | Tennessee Smokies | — | 92 | 72 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 326 | 250 | 576 | 83 | 186 | 14 | 17 | 273 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA MLE | Iowa Cubs | — | 217 | 198 | 31 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 41 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 157 | 227 | 232 | 459 | 76 | 181 | 19 | 7 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA RAW | Iowa Cubs | — | 217 | 191 | 39 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 32 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 204 | 296 | 325 | 621 | 120 | 219 | 15 | 11 | 284 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 263 | 228 | 48 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 51 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 302 | 307 | 609 | 96 | 247 | 19 | 10 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 263 | 210 | 51 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 43 | 42 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 243 | 384 | 352 | 736 | 110 | 279 | 16 | 16 | 337 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA MLE | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 176 | 157 | 31 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 41 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 197 | 263 | 293 | 556 | 96 | 246 | 23 | 6 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA RAW | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 176 | 150 | 38 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 253 | 345 | 407 | 752 | 153 | 287 | 18 | 10 | 330 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 195 | 176 | 31 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 233 | 295 | 528 | 119 | 206 | 20 | 7 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA RAW | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 195 | 168 | 36 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 302 | 387 | 688 | 173 | 231 | 16 | 11 | 300 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | AAA MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 72 | 70 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 171 | 183 | 286 | 469 | 114 | 189 | 21 | 1 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | AAA RAW | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 72 | 69 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 217 | 239 | 391 | 631 | 174 | 222 | 17 | 3 | 273 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 32 | AAA MLE | Tecos de los Dos Laredos | — | 129 | 123 | 27 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 220 | 250 | 374 | 624 | 154 | 240 | 19 | 4 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 32 | AAA RAW | Tecos de los Dos Laredos | — | 129 | 120 | 34 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 283 | 328 | 517 | 845 | 233 | 295 | 16 | 6 | 366 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 21 | A MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 126 | 113 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 159 | 246 | 212 | 458 | 53 | 187 | 21 | 6 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 230 | 204 | 30 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 59 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 147 | 243 | 225 | 469 | 78 | 190 | 26 | 9 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 177 | 163 | 30 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 184 | 241 | 301 | 542 | 117 | 210 | 21 | 6 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 155 | 141 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 206 | 276 | 418 | 695 | 213 | 209 | 19 | 6 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 92 | 80 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 150 | 270 | 225 | 495 | 75 | 170 | 17 | 12 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA MLE | Iowa Cubs | — | 217 | 197 | 31 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 41 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 157 | 227 | 234 | 460 | 76 | 181 | 19 | 7 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 263 | 231 | 48 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 51 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 208 | 302 | 303 | 605 | 95 | 236 | 19 | 10 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA MLE | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 176 | 160 | 31 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 41 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 194 | 263 | 287 | 551 | 94 | 233 | 23 | 6 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 195 | 180 | 31 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 172 | 233 | 289 | 522 | 117 | 196 | 20 | 7 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | AAA MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 72 | 71 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 169 | 183 | 282 | 465 | 113 | 184 | 21 | 1 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 32 | AAA MLE | Tecos de los Dos Laredos | — | 129 | 123 | 27 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 220 | 250 | 374 | 624 | 154 | 232 | 19 | 4 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1832 | 1638 | 299 | 69 | 3 | 34 | 129 | 380 | 25 | 3 | 4 | 183 | 253 | 291 | 543 | 108 | 213 | 21 | 7 | 238 | 47 | -115 | -1 | +0 | +33 | +40 | -4.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 581 | 105 | 24 | 1 | 12 | 46 | 135 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 181 | 252 | 287 | 539 | 107 | 211 | 21 | 7 | 238 | 47 | -41 | -0 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -1.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAATecos de los Dos Laredos · 129 PAwOBA .358 → .268 (−90)K% 15.5% → 18.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.50% | ÷0.994 | ×1.200 | — | — | 18.72% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.20% | ÷1.019 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.942 | 3.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.942 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.00% | ÷0.956 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×0.942 | 15.68% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.00% | ÷1.103 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.942 | 6.74% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.942 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.00% | ÷0.919 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.942 | 4.31% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 91, 2B 120, 3B 130, K 99, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .358 → .268; ISO .233 → .163; BABIP .295 → .232. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAASultanes de Monterrey · 72 PAwOBA .265 → .196 (−68)K% 16.7% → 21.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.67% | ÷0.946 | ×1.200 | — | — | 21.14% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.78% | ÷1.060 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.962 | 1.74% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.962 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.79% | ÷0.978 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×0.962 | 13.73% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.26% | ÷0.992 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.962 | 4.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.962 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.26% | ÷1.043 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.962 | 3.40% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 96, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 89, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .265 → .196; ISO .174 → .114; BABIP .222 → .184. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAASultanes de Monterrey · 195 PAwOBA .295 → .231 (−64)K% 15.9% → 19.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.90% | ÷0.961 | ×1.200 | — | — | 19.85% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.77% | ÷1.118 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 6.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 12.41% | ÷1.036 | ×0.930 | ×1.009 | ×0.972 | 10.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.22% | ÷0.979 | ×0.830 | ×1.009 | ×0.972 | 8.50% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | ×1.009 | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.65% | ÷1.051 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.972 | 2.36% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 107, 2B 96, 3B 80, K 92, BB 124 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.
Result: wOBA .295 → .231; ISO .173 → .133; BABIP .231 → .196. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAADiablos Rojos del Mexico · 176 PAwOBA .323 → .243 (−80)K% 17.6% → 23.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.61% | ÷0.900 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.48% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.66% | ÷1.204 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 5.44% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.27% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 2.10% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.01% | ÷1.045 | ×0.930 | ×0.984 | ×0.982 | 18.06% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.72% | ÷1.122 | ×0.830 | ×0.984 | ×0.982 | 4.80% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.123 | ×0.920 | ×0.984 | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.20% | ÷1.043 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 2.77% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 109, 2B 124, 3B 125, K 80, BB 141 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.
Result: wOBA .323 → .243; ISO .153 → .106; BABIP .287 → .233. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AATennessee Smokies · 125 PAwOBA .314 → .257 (−56)K% 19.2% → 23.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.20% | ÷0.980 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.90% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.60% | ÷0.948 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.968 | 6.66% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.80% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.968 | 0.65% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.89% | ÷0.958 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.968 | 20.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.02% | ÷1.140 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×0.968 | 4.42% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.065 | ×0.880 | ×0.950 | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.61% | ÷1.009 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.968 | 2.78% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 92, 2B 128, 3B 113, K 96, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .314 → .257; ISO .131 → .102; BABIP .293 → .247. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAIowa Cubs · 118 PAwOBA .360 → .278 (−82)K% 11.0% → 14.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.02% | ÷0.996 | ×1.290 | — | — | 14.27% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 22.03% | ÷1.249 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.992 | 12.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.69% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.992 | 1.65% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.97% | ÷1.021 | ×0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 19.09% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.05% | ÷1.111 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 2.79% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.70% | ÷0.929 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.992 | 2.25% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 104, 2B 122, 3B 130, K 99, BB 150 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .360 → .278; ISO .103 → .093; BABIP .278 → .224. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAAIowa Cubs · 217 PAwOBA .279 → .215 (−63)K% 14.7% → 19.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.75% | ÷1.004 | ×1.290 | — | — | 18.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.60% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 7.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.92% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 0.91% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.35% | ÷1.009 | ×0.900 | ×0.965 | ×1.003 | 14.11% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.03% | ÷1.050 | ×0.810 | ×0.965 | ×1.003 | 3.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.012 | ×0.810 | ×0.965 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.14% | ÷1.130 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 2.18% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 102, 2B 110, 3B 102, K 101, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.965.
Result: wOBA .279 → .215; ISO .120 → .085; BABIP .219 → .181. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AATennessee Smokies · 92 PAwOBA .270 → .225 (−45)K% 14.1% → 17.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.13% | ÷0.976 | ×1.220 | — | — | 17.66% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.39% | ÷0.983 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.988 | 11.88% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.09% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 0.90% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.56% | ÷0.991 | ×0.920 | ×1.011 | ×0.988 | 12.57% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.08% | ÷1.033 | ×0.910 | ×1.011 | ×0.988 | 4.47% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.082 | ×0.880 | ×1.011 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.69% | ÷1.028 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 1.30% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 98, 2B 107, 3B 116, K 95, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.
Result: wOBA .270 → .225; ISO .083 → .074; BABIP .186 → .170. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .