Vinny Rottino
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | 32 | AAACLE | 420 | .297/.362/.455 | 9 | 14 | 80 | — | .247/.289/.362 | |
| 2012 | 32 | MLBCleveland Ind… | 71 | .148/.235/.328 | 3 | 4 | 44 | -0.6 | ||
| 2015 | 35 | AAANew Orleans Z… | 514 | .266/.350/.390 | 10 | 2 | 61 | — | .213/.273/.300 | |
| 2016 | 36 | AAACWS | 266 | .208/.322/.279 | 3 | 0 | 38 | — | .176/.258/.239 | |
| 2017 | 37 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2018 | 38 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2019 | 39 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2020 | 40 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2021 | 41 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2022 | 42 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 43 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 44 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 45 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 46 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 25 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | — | 32 | 29 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 345 | 406 | 483 | 889 | 138 | 409 | 19 | 9 | 397 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 25 | AA | Huntsville Stars | — | 516 | 469 | 139 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 40 | 68 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 296 | 354 | 403 | 757 | 107 | 333 | 13 | 8 | 337 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 26 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | — | 15 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 214 | 267 | 286 | 552 | 71 | 250 | 13 | 7 | 253 | 57 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +0 | 0.2 |
| 2006 | 26 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | — | 452 | 398 | 125 | 25 | 2 | 7 | 40 | 74 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 314 | 384 | 440 | 823 | 126 | 366 | 16 | 9 | 362 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 27 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | — | 430 | 377 | 109 | 17 | 3 | 12 | 37 | 58 | 9 | 15 | 9 | 289 | 366 | 446 | 812 | 156 | 312 | 13 | 9 | 358 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 28 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | — | 478 | 431 | 112 | 30 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 72 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 260 | 318 | 392 | 710 | 132 | 292 | 15 | 6 | 312 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 29 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 484 | 414 | 108 | 18 | 0 | 4 | 62 | 53 | 2 | 13 | 2 | 261 | 360 | 333 | 693 | 72 | 287 | 11 | 13 | 318 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 30 | AA | Jacksonville Suns | — | 493 | 433 | 133 | 27 | 1 | 8 | 53 | 51 | 3 | 22 | 2 | 307 | 387 | 430 | 816 | 122 | 332 | 10 | 11 | 365 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 31 | AAA | New Orleans Zephyrs | — | 524 | 467 | 142 | 31 | 2 | 10 | 50 | 62 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 304 | 375 | 443 | 818 | 139 | 333 | 12 | 10 | 364 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 31 | INTL | Tigres de Aragua | — | 166 | 142 | 38 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 268 | 366 | 352 | 718 | 85 | 303 | 14 | 11 | 328 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 32 | MLB | Cleveland Indians | — | 71 | 61 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 148 | 235 | 328 | 563 | 180 | 143 | 24 | 10 | 244 | 44 | -5 | +1 | +1 | -5 | +2 | -0.6 |
| 2012 | 32 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 420 | 374 | 111 | 28 | 2 | 9 | 34 | 53 | 4 | 14 | 6 | 297 | 362 | 455 | 816 | 158 | 319 | 13 | 8 | 357 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 35 | AAA | New Orleans Zephyrs | — | 514 | 451 | 120 | 24 | 1 | 10 | 54 | 97 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 266 | 350 | 390 | 740 | 124 | 315 | 19 | 11 | 332 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 36 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 266 | 226 | 47 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 32 | 58 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 208 | 322 | 279 | 601 | 71 | 265 | 22 | 12 | 284 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 86 | 75 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 160 | 241 | 320 | 561 | 160 | 167 | 22 | 9 | 245 | 52 | -5 | +1 | +2 | -4 | +2 | -0.4 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 25 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 32 | 30 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 300 | 344 | 433 | 777 | 133 | 373 | 25 | 6 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 25 | AA MLE | Huntsville Stars | — | 516 | 483 | 130 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 83 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 269 | 309 | 360 | 669 | 91 | 309 | 16 | 5 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 26 | MLB MLE | Milwaukee Brewers | — | 15 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 214 | 267 | 286 | 552 | 71 | 250 | 13 | 7 | 253 | 57 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +0 | 0.2 |
| 2006 | 26 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 452 | 410 | 112 | 21 | 2 | 6 | 28 | 95 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 273 | 327 | 378 | 705 | 105 | 327 | 21 | 6 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 27 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 430 | 388 | 91 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 75 | 9 | 15 | 9 | 235 | 298 | 348 | 646 | 113 | 261 | 17 | 6 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 28 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 478 | 441 | 96 | 24 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 93 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 218 | 264 | 315 | 580 | 98 | 255 | 19 | 5 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 29 | AA MLE | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 484 | 436 | 103 | 17 | 0 | 3 | 40 | 65 | 2 | 13 | 2 | 236 | 303 | 296 | 599 | 60 | 262 | 13 | 8 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 30 | AA MLE | Jacksonville Suns | — | 493 | 455 | 120 | 26 | 1 | 7 | 31 | 61 | 3 | 22 | 2 | 264 | 315 | 371 | 686 | 108 | 285 | 12 | 6 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 31 | AAA MLE | New Orleans Zephyrs | — | 524 | 483 | 123 | 25 | 2 | 8 | 34 | 80 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 255 | 308 | 364 | 672 | 110 | 287 | 15 | 6 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 32 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Indians | — | 71 | 62 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 145 | 221 | 323 | 543 | 177 | 143 | 24 | 8 | 234 | 44 | -5 | +1 | +1 | -5 | +2 | -0.6 |
| 2012 | 32 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 420 | 389 | 96 | 23 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 65 | 4 | 14 | 6 | 247 | 289 | 362 | 651 | 116 | 269 | 15 | 5 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 35 | AAA MLE | New Orleans Zephyrs | — | 514 | 470 | 100 | 18 | 1 | 7 | 35 | 123 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 213 | 273 | 300 | 573 | 87 | 266 | 24 | 7 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 36 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 266 | 238 | 42 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 66 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 176 | 258 | 239 | 497 | 63 | 225 | 25 | 8 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 548 | 512 | 138 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 29 | 91 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 270 | 311 | 361 | 673 | 92 | 314 | 17 | 5 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 548 | 498 | 149 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 43 | 74 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 299 | 357 | 408 | 765 | 108 | 336 | 14 | 8 | 341 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 467 | 424 | 115 | 22 | 2 | 6 | 29 | 97 | 5 | 13 | 7 | 271 | 325 | 375 | 700 | 104 | 334 | 21 | 6 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 467 | 412 | 128 | 26 | 2 | 7 | 41 | 76 | 5 | 13 | 7 | 311 | 380 | 434 | 814 | 124 | 362 | 16 | 9 | 359 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 27 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 430 | 388 | 91 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 75 | 9 | 15 | 9 | 235 | 298 | 348 | 646 | 113 | 266 | 17 | 6 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 27 | AAA RAW | Nashville Sounds | — | 430 | 377 | 109 | 17 | 3 | 12 | 37 | 58 | 9 | 15 | 9 | 289 | 366 | 446 | 812 | 156 | 312 | 13 | 9 | 358 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 28 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 478 | 441 | 96 | 24 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 93 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 218 | 264 | 315 | 580 | 98 | 259 | 19 | 5 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 28 | AAA RAW | Nashville Sounds | — | 478 | 431 | 112 | 30 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 72 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 260 | 318 | 392 | 710 | 132 | 292 | 15 | 6 | 312 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 29 | AA MLE | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 484 | 436 | 103 | 17 | 0 | 3 | 40 | 65 | 2 | 13 | 2 | 236 | 303 | 296 | 599 | 60 | 267 | 13 | 8 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 29 | AA RAW | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 484 | 414 | 108 | 18 | 0 | 4 | 62 | 53 | 2 | 13 | 2 | 261 | 360 | 333 | 693 | 72 | 287 | 11 | 13 | 318 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 30 | AA MLE | Jacksonville Suns | — | 493 | 455 | 120 | 26 | 1 | 7 | 31 | 61 | 3 | 22 | 2 | 264 | 315 | 371 | 686 | 108 | 290 | 12 | 6 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 30 | AA RAW | Jacksonville Suns | — | 493 | 433 | 133 | 27 | 1 | 8 | 53 | 51 | 3 | 22 | 2 | 307 | 387 | 430 | 816 | 122 | 332 | 10 | 11 | 365 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 31 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 690 | 634 | 162 | 33 | 2 | 11 | 44 | 105 | 6 | 18 | 11 | 256 | 310 | 366 | 676 | 110 | 290 | 15 | 6 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 31 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 690 | 609 | 180 | 37 | 2 | 12 | 69 | 85 | 6 | 18 | 11 | 296 | 373 | 422 | 795 | 126 | 326 | 12 | 10 | 355 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 32 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 491 | 451 | 105 | 25 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 82 | 4 | 18 | 6 | 233 | 279 | 357 | 636 | 124 | 260 | 17 | 5 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 32 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 491 | 435 | 120 | 30 | 2 | 12 | 41 | 70 | 4 | 18 | 6 | 276 | 344 | 437 | 781 | 161 | 298 | 14 | 8 | 340 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 35 | AAA MLE | New Orleans Zephyrs | — | 514 | 470 | 100 | 18 | 1 | 7 | 35 | 123 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 213 | 273 | 300 | 573 | 87 | 270 | 24 | 7 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 35 | AAA RAW | New Orleans Zephyrs | — | 514 | 451 | 120 | 24 | 1 | 10 | 54 | 97 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 266 | 350 | 390 | 740 | 124 | 315 | 19 | 11 | 332 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 36 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 266 | 238 | 42 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 66 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 176 | 258 | 239 | 497 | 63 | 229 | 25 | 8 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 36 | AAA RAW | Charlotte Knights | — | 266 | 226 | 47 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 32 | 58 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 208 | 322 | 279 | 601 | 71 | 265 | 22 | 12 | 284 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 548 | 512 | 138 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 29 | 91 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 270 | 311 | 361 | 673 | 92 | 313 | 17 | 5 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 467 | 430 | 115 | 22 | 2 | 6 | 29 | 97 | 5 | 13 | 7 | 267 | 325 | 370 | 695 | 102 | 325 | 21 | 6 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 27 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 430 | 392 | 91 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 75 | 9 | 15 | 9 | 232 | 298 | 344 | 642 | 112 | 261 | 17 | 6 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 28 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 478 | 447 | 96 | 24 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 93 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 215 | 264 | 311 | 575 | 96 | 255 | 19 | 5 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 29 | AA MLE | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 484 | 439 | 103 | 17 | 0 | 3 | 40 | 65 | 2 | 13 | 2 | 235 | 303 | 294 | 597 | 59 | 262 | 13 | 8 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 30 | AA MLE | Jacksonville Suns | — | 493 | 456 | 120 | 26 | 1 | 7 | 31 | 61 | 3 | 22 | 2 | 263 | 315 | 371 | 686 | 107 | 285 | 12 | 6 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 31 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 690 | 635 | 162 | 33 | 2 | 11 | 44 | 105 | 6 | 18 | 11 | 255 | 310 | 365 | 675 | 110 | 287 | 15 | 6 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 32 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 491 | 459 | 105 | 25 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 82 | 4 | 18 | 6 | 229 | 279 | 351 | 630 | 122 | 251 | 17 | 5 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 35 | AAA MLE | New Orleans Zephyrs | — | 514 | 470 | 100 | 18 | 1 | 7 | 35 | 123 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 213 | 273 | 300 | 573 | 87 | 266 | 24 | 7 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 36 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 266 | 238 | 42 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 66 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 176 | 258 | 239 | 497 | 63 | 225 | 25 | 8 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 86 | 75 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 160 | 241 | 320 | 561 | 160 | 167 | 22 | 9 | 245 | 76 | -5 | +1 | +2 | -4 | +2 | -0.4 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 567 | 91 | 23 | 0 | 23 | 60 | 144 | 0 | 38 | 0 | 160 | 241 | 323 | 564 | 162 | 167 | 22 | 9 | 245 | 76 | -37 | +8 | +13 | -27 | +14 | -3.0 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4861 | 4449 | 1072 | 203 | 17 | 66 | 301 | 858 | 47 | 112 | 44 | 241 | 296 | 339 | 635 | 98 | 281 | 18 | 6 | 280 | 76 | -5 | +1 | +2 | -4 | +2 | -0.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 595 | 143 | 27 | 2 | 9 | 40 | 115 | 6 | 15 | 6 | 240 | 295 | 338 | 633 | 97 | 280 | 18 | 6 | 280 | 76 | -37 | +8 | +13 | -27 | +14 | -3.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2016 AAACharlotte Knights · 266 PAwOBA .277 → .225 (−51)K% 21.8% → 24.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.80% | ÷1.053 | ×1.200 | — | — | 24.85% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.65% | ÷0.990 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 7.64% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.26% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 1.99% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.02% | ÷1.031 | ×0.930 | ×1.015 | ×0.940 | 18.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.17% | ÷0.974 | ×0.830 | ×1.015 | ×0.940 | 3.39% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.926 | ×0.970 | ×1.015 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.79% | ÷0.950 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.940 | 1.48% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 106, 2B 95, 3B 85, K 111, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 36 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (8.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.
Result: wOBA .277 → .225; ISO .071 → .060; BABIP .265 → .225. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAANew Orleans Zephyrs · 514 PAwOBA .326 → .258 (−68)K% 18.9% → 24.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.87% | ÷1.016 | ×1.290 | — | — | 23.96% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.12% | ÷0.997 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.940 | 6.77% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.78% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.940 | 0.72% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.01% | ÷0.969 | ×0.900 | ×1.004 | ×0.940 | 21.04% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.78% | ÷1.012 | ×0.810 | ×1.004 | ×0.940 | 5.12% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.28% | ÷0.985 | ×0.810 | ×1.004 | ×0.940 | 0.22% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.82% | ÷0.975 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.940 | 2.13% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 94, 2B 102, 3B 97, K 103, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 35 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.
Result: wOBA .326 → .258; ISO .124 → .093; BABIP .315 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAAColumbus Clippers · 420 PAwOBA .350 → .287 (−63)K% 12.6% → 15.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.62% | ÷0.974 | ×1.200 | — | — | 15.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.90% | ÷0.998 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.952 | 4.54% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.95% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.952 | 0.85% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.43% | ÷1.002 | ×0.930 | ×0.991 | ×0.952 | 19.64% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.72% | ÷0.999 | ×0.830 | ×0.991 | ×0.952 | 6.84% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.62% | ÷1.101 | ×0.970 | ×0.991 | ×0.952 | 0.52% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.80% | ÷1.178 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.952 | 1.90% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 136, 1B 100, 2B 100, 3B 120, K 95, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.991.
Result: wOBA .350 → .287; ISO .158 → .121; BABIP .319 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAANew Orleans Zephyrs · 524 PAwOBA .354 → .294 (−60)K% 11.8% → 15.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.83% | ÷1.007 | ×1.290 | — | — | 15.16% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.16% | ÷0.973 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.962 | 6.43% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.57% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.962 | 0.54% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.44% | ÷0.983 | ×0.900 | ×1.005 | ×0.962 | 21.63% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.65% | ÷0.971 | ×0.810 | ×1.005 | ×0.962 | 6.17% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.49% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×1.005 | ×0.962 | 0.43% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.47% | ÷0.939 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.962 | 1.97% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 97, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 101, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.
Result: wOBA .354 → .294; ISO .139 → .113; BABIP .333 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAJacksonville Suns · 493 PAwOBA .356 → .299 (−56)K% 10.3% → 12.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.34% | ÷1.030 | ×1.220 | — | — | 12.26% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.14% | ÷1.037 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.948 | 6.30% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.61% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.948 | 0.48% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.39% | ÷1.030 | ×0.920 | ×1.004 | ×0.948 | 21.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.07% | ÷0.953 | ×0.910 | ×1.004 | ×0.948 | 6.42% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.26% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×1.004 | ×0.948 | 0.24% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.09% | ÷0.955 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.948 | 1.66% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 106, 2B 91, 3B 80, K 106, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 24.8 → −5.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.
Result: wOBA .356 → .299; ISO .122 → .110; BABIP .332 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 AAChattanooga Lookouts · 484 PAwOBA .314 → .270 (−43)K% 11.0% → 13.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.95% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 13.36% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.60% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.958 | 8.21% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.41% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.958 | 0.33% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.82% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.040 | ×0.958 | 21.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.99% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.040 | ×0.958 | 4.52% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | ×1.040 | ×0.958 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.11% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.958 | 0.85% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 24.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.040.
Result: wOBA .314 → .270; ISO .072 → .065; BABIP .287 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2008 AAANashville Sounds · 478 PAwOBA .309 → .258 (−51)K% 15.1% → 19.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.06% | ÷1.000 | ×1.290 | — | — | 19.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.49% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.992 | 4.57% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.26% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.992 | 1.22% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.06% | ÷1.000 | ×0.900 | ×1.015 | ×0.992 | 18.17% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.36% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×1.015 | ×0.992 | 6.81% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.84% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×1.015 | ×0.992 | 0.68% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.95% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.992 | 1.51% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.
Result: wOBA .309 → .258; ISO .132 → .105; BABIP .292 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2007 AAANashville Sounds · 430 PAwOBA .351 → .287 (−65)K% 13.5% → 17.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.49% | ÷1.000 | ×1.290 | — | — | 17.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.60% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 6.13% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.09% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 2.06% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.900 | ×0.956 | ×1.003 | 20.82% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×0.956 | ×1.003 | 4.14% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.94% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×0.956 | ×1.003 | 0.73% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 2.94% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.956.
Result: wOBA .351 → .287; ISO .156 → .122; BABIP .312 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .