Tim Torres
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 31 | AAAGuerreros de … | 283 | .308/.408/.498 | 8 | 10 | 82 | — | .235/.307/.347 |
| 2016 | 32 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 359 | .326/.411/.510 | 11 | 16 | 87 | — | .265/.317/.394 |
| 2017 | 33 | AAAAcereros del … | 179 | .305/.434/.468 | 5 | 7 | 96 | — | .248/.335/.373 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2007 | 23 | A+ | Salem Avalanche | — | 162 | 145 | 38 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 37 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 262 | 340 | 434 | 774 | 172 | 320 | 23 | 10 | 345 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 23 | A | Lexington Legends | — | 275 | 223 | 65 | 11 | 1 | 9 | 48 | 58 | 1 | 22 | 3 | 291 | 419 | 471 | 890 | 179 | 359 | 21 | 17 | 395 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | A+ | Salem Avalanche | — | 545 | 475 | 129 | 36 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 97 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 272 | 358 | 421 | 779 | 149 | 323 | 18 | 11 | 346 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | AA | Jacksonville Suns | — | 253 | 224 | 51 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 58 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 228 | 305 | 295 | 600 | 67 | 298 | 23 | 9 | 274 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | A+ | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 146 | 127 | 35 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 24 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 276 | 361 | 402 | 763 | 126 | 330 | 16 | 10 | 340 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | AAA | New Orleans Zephyrs | — | 41 | 34 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 265 | 390 | 324 | 714 | 59 | 391 | 27 | 17 | 336 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | AA | Jacksonville Suns | — | 399 | 335 | 92 | 16 | 5 | 14 | 57 | 88 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 275 | 382 | 478 | 859 | 203 | 333 | 22 | 14 | 376 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 27 | AAA | New Orleans Zephyrs | — | 157 | 134 | 37 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 35 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 276 | 370 | 396 | 766 | 119 | 361 | 22 | 11 | 341 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 27 | AA | Jacksonville Suns | — | 100 | 88 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 23 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 239 | 316 | 250 | 566 | 11 | 323 | 23 | 9 | 264 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 28 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | — | 341 | 292 | 66 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 45 | 87 | 2 | 14 | 4 | 226 | 333 | 322 | 655 | 96 | 309 | 26 | 13 | 303 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | — | 151 | 140 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 45 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 207 | 255 | 307 | 562 | 100 | 284 | 30 | 6 | 251 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | — | 72 | 62 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 290 | 380 | 500 | 880 | 210 | 372 | 25 | 11 | 383 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | AAA | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 283 | 237 | 73 | 19 | 1 | 8 | 38 | 67 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 308 | 408 | 498 | 906 | 190 | 392 | 24 | 13 | 394 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 32 | AAA | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 312 | 271 | 95 | 22 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 58 | 1 | 15 | 3 | 351 | 430 | 561 | 991 | 210 | 414 | 19 | 12 | 431 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 32 | INTL | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 47 | 39 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 154 | 283 | 154 | 436 | 222 | 28 | 13 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2017 | 33 | AAA | Acereros del Norte | — | 179 | 141 | 43 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 32 | 41 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 305 | 434 | 468 | 902 | 163 | 384 | 23 | 18 | 392 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2007 | 23 | A+ MLE | Salem Avalanche | — | 162 | 151 | 33 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 52 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 219 | 272 | 351 | 623 | 132 | 300 | 32 | 7 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 23 | A MLE | Lexington Legends | — | 275 | 240 | 58 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 31 | 78 | 1 | 22 | 3 | 242 | 331 | 375 | 706 | 133 | 325 | 28 | 11 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | A+ MLE | Salem Avalanche | — | 545 | 499 | 113 | 29 | 3 | 8 | 38 | 138 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 226 | 284 | 345 | 629 | 118 | 289 | 25 | 7 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | AA MLE | Jacksonville Suns | — | 253 | 233 | 47 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 71 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 202 | 253 | 262 | 515 | 60 | 275 | 28 | 6 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | A+ MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 146 | 131 | 31 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 237 | 306 | 351 | 657 | 115 | 304 | 23 | 8 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | AAA MLE | New Orleans Zephyrs | — | 41 | 35 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 229 | 341 | 286 | 627 | 57 | 346 | 32 | 15 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | AA MLE | Jacksonville Suns | — | 399 | 358 | 89 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 104 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 249 | 316 | 425 | 740 | 176 | 309 | 26 | 9 | 319 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 27 | AAA MLE | New Orleans Zephyrs | — | 157 | 139 | 34 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 45 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 245 | 318 | 353 | 671 | 108 | 333 | 29 | 8 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 27 | AA MLE | Jacksonville Suns | — | 100 | 91 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 220 | 276 | 231 | 506 | 11 | 305 | 27 | 6 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 28 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 341 | 310 | 56 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 113 | 2 | 14 | 4 | 181 | 251 | 252 | 502 | 71 | 269 | 33 | 8 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | AAA MLE | Iowa Cubs | — | 151 | 143 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 58 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 154 | 188 | 217 | 405 | 63 | 240 | 38 | 4 | 183 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 72 | 66 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 258 | 310 | 455 | 764 | 197 | 327 | 32 | 6 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | AAA MLE | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 283 | 251 | 59 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 83 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 235 | 307 | 347 | 653 | 112 | 317 | 29 | 8 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 32 | AAA MLE | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 312 | 287 | 76 | 17 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 74 | 1 | 15 | 3 | 265 | 317 | 394 | 711 | 129 | 329 | 24 | 7 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 33 | AAA MLE | Acereros del Norte | — | 179 | 153 | 38 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 49 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 248 | 335 | 373 | 708 | 124 | 310 | 27 | 11 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 437 | 391 | 91 | 17 | 1 | 11 | 42 | 130 | 1 | 26 | 5 | 233 | 309 | 366 | 674 | 133 | 320 | 30 | 10 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 23 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 437 | 368 | 103 | 21 | 1 | 14 | 65 | 95 | 1 | 26 | 5 | 280 | 389 | 457 | 846 | 177 | 344 | 22 | 15 | 376 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | A+ MLE | Salem Avalanche | — | 545 | 499 | 113 | 29 | 3 | 8 | 38 | 138 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 226 | 284 | 345 | 629 | 118 | 295 | 25 | 7 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | A+ RAW | Salem Avalanche | — | 545 | 475 | 129 | 36 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 97 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 272 | 358 | 421 | 779 | 149 | 323 | 18 | 11 | 346 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 399 | 364 | 78 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 105 | 3 | 14 | 2 | 214 | 272 | 291 | 563 | 77 | 291 | 26 | 7 | 250 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 399 | 351 | 86 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 39 | 82 | 3 | 14 | 2 | 245 | 326 | 333 | 659 | 88 | 310 | 21 | 10 | 298 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 440 | 394 | 96 | 18 | 5 | 12 | 39 | 118 | 1 | 13 | 3 | 244 | 313 | 406 | 719 | 162 | 317 | 27 | 9 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 440 | 369 | 101 | 18 | 5 | 14 | 64 | 99 | 1 | 13 | 3 | 274 | 382 | 463 | 846 | 190 | 339 | 22 | 15 | 372 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 257 | 230 | 54 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 72 | 3 | 11 | 3 | 235 | 302 | 304 | 606 | 70 | 333 | 28 | 7 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 257 | 222 | 58 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 58 | 3 | 11 | 3 | 261 | 349 | 338 | 687 | 77 | 346 | 23 | 11 | 311 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 28 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 341 | 310 | 56 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 113 | 2 | 14 | 4 | 181 | 251 | 252 | 502 | 71 | 274 | 33 | 8 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 28 | AA RAW | Tulsa Drillers | — | 341 | 292 | 66 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 45 | 87 | 2 | 14 | 4 | 226 | 333 | 322 | 655 | 96 | 309 | 26 | 13 | 303 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 223 | 210 | 39 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 81 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 186 | 223 | 290 | 513 | 105 | 279 | 36 | 4 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 223 | 202 | 47 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 63 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 233 | 295 | 366 | 662 | 134 | 312 | 28 | 8 | 293 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | AAA MLE | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 283 | 251 | 59 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 83 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 235 | 307 | 347 | 653 | 112 | 327 | 29 | 8 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | AAA RAW | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 283 | 237 | 73 | 19 | 1 | 8 | 38 | 67 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 308 | 408 | 498 | 906 | 190 | 392 | 24 | 13 | 394 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 32 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 359 | 329 | 87 | 19 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 85 | 2 | 16 | 3 | 264 | 318 | 392 | 710 | 128 | 335 | 24 | 7 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 32 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 359 | 310 | 101 | 22 | 1 | 11 | 43 | 71 | 2 | 16 | 3 | 326 | 411 | 510 | 921 | 184 | 391 | 20 | 12 | 404 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 33 | AAA MLE | Acereros del Norte | — | 179 | 153 | 38 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 49 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 248 | 335 | 373 | 708 | 124 | 327 | 27 | 11 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 33 | AAA RAW | Acereros del Norte | — | 179 | 141 | 43 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 32 | 41 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 305 | 434 | 468 | 902 | 163 | 384 | 23 | 18 | 392 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 437 | 391 | 91 | 17 | 1 | 11 | 42 | 130 | 1 | 26 | 5 | 233 | 309 | 366 | 674 | 133 | 316 | 30 | 10 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | A+ MLE | Salem Avalanche | — | 545 | 500 | 113 | 29 | 3 | 8 | 38 | 138 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 226 | 284 | 344 | 628 | 118 | 289 | 25 | 7 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 399 | 367 | 78 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 105 | 3 | 14 | 2 | 213 | 272 | 289 | 561 | 76 | 286 | 26 | 7 | 250 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 440 | 397 | 96 | 18 | 5 | 12 | 39 | 118 | 1 | 13 | 3 | 242 | 313 | 403 | 716 | 161 | 312 | 27 | 9 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 257 | 233 | 54 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 72 | 3 | 11 | 3 | 232 | 302 | 300 | 602 | 69 | 322 | 28 | 7 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 28 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 341 | 309 | 56 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 113 | 2 | 14 | 4 | 181 | 251 | 252 | 503 | 71 | 269 | 33 | 8 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 223 | 211 | 39 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 81 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 185 | 223 | 289 | 512 | 104 | 268 | 36 | 4 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | AAA MLE | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 283 | 255 | 59 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 83 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 231 | 307 | 341 | 648 | 110 | 317 | 29 | 8 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 32 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 359 | 330 | 87 | 19 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 85 | 2 | 16 | 3 | 264 | 318 | 391 | 709 | 127 | 329 | 24 | 7 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 33 | AAA MLE | Acereros del Norte | — | 179 | 157 | 38 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 49 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 242 | 335 | 363 | 698 | 121 | 310 | 27 | 11 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3463 | 3131 | 711 | 149 | 19 | 55 | 268 | 974 | 17 | 131 | 29 | 227 | 292 | 340 | 631 | 112 | 309 | 28 | 8 | 277 | 74 | -107 | +15 | +0 | +37 | +75 | 2.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 588 | 134 | 28 | 4 | 10 | 50 | 183 | 3 | 25 | 5 | 228 | 292 | 340 | 632 | 112 | 311 | 28 | 8 | 277 | 74 | -20 | +3 | +0 | +7 | +14 | 0.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AAAAcereros del Norte · 179 PAwOBA .388 → .310 (−78)K% 22.9% → 27.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.91% | ÷0.996 | ×1.200 | — | — | 27.61% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.76% | ÷0.985 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 11.03% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.00% | ÷1.025 | ×0.930 | ×0.968 | ×0.940 | 24.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.00% | ÷0.958 | ×0.830 | ×0.968 | ×0.940 | 6.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.109 | ×0.920 | ×0.968 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.00% | ÷0.969 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 3.40% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 105, 2B 92, 3B 122, K 99, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.968.
Result: wOBA .388 → .310; ISO .163 → .128; BABIP .384 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAARieleros de Aguascalientes · 312 PAwOBA .418 → .308 (−110)K% 18.6% → 23.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.59% | ÷0.941 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.70% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.90% | ÷1.053 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.942 | 6.73% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.32% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.942 | 0.28% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.64% | ÷1.053 | ×0.930 | ×1.005 | ×0.942 | 23.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.33% | ÷1.035 | ×0.830 | ×1.005 | ×0.942 | 7.84% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.47% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.005 | ×0.942 | 0.36% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.16% | ÷1.236 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.942 | 2.75% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 147, 1B 111, 2B 107, 3B 130, K 88, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.
Result: wOBA .418 → .308; ISO .210 → .134; BABIP .414 → .329. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAGuerreros de Oaxaca · 283 PAwOBA .389 → .290 (−99)K% 23.7% → 29.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.67% | ÷0.966 | ×1.200 | — | — | 29.41% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.43% | ÷1.029 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.952 | 8.58% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.71% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.952 | 0.63% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.47% | ÷1.059 | ×0.930 | ×1.035 | ×0.952 | 22.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.18% | ÷1.117 | ×0.830 | ×1.035 | ×0.952 | 8.19% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.59% | ÷1.017 | ×0.920 | ×1.035 | ×0.952 | 0.52% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.71% | ÷1.244 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.952 | 2.52% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 149, 1B 112, 2B 123, 3B 103, K 93, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.035.
Result: wOBA .389 → .290; ISO .190 → .123; BABIP .392 → .317. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAAIowa Cubs · 151 PAwOBA .244 → .183 (−62)K% 29.8% → 38.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.80% | ÷1.004 | ×1.290 | — | — | 38.31% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.30% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.972 | 3.66% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.05% | ÷1.009 | ×0.900 | ×1.019 | ×0.972 | 18.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.32% | ÷1.050 | ×0.810 | ×1.019 | ×0.972 | 4.82% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.05% | ÷1.012 | ×0.810 | ×1.019 | ×0.972 | 0.83% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.11% | ÷1.130 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.972 | 1.41% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 102, 2B 110, 3B 102, K 101, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.
Result: wOBA .244 → .183; ISO .100 → .067; BABIP .284 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AATennessee Smokies · 72 PAwOBA .369 → .311 (−58)K% 25.0% → 31.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.00% | ÷0.968 | ×1.220 | — | — | 31.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.33% | ÷1.060 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.948 | 5.07% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.39% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.948 | 1.11% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.73% | ÷0.990 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.948 | 20.03% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.36% | ÷0.970 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.948 | 10.11% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.27% | ÷0.935 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.948 | 2.03% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.55% | ÷0.920 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.948 | 3.75% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 98, 2B 94, 3B 87, K 94, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 24.8 → −5.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .369 → .311; ISO .210 → .184; BABIP .372 → .327. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AATulsa Drillers · 341 PAwOBA .293 → .231 (−61)K% 25.5% → 33.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.51% | ÷0.939 | ×1.220 | — | — | 33.16% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.02% | ÷1.009 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.958 | 7.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.59% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.958 | 0.49% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.44% | ÷1.005 | ×0.920 | ×1.019 | ×0.958 | 20.05% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.32% | ÷1.018 | ×0.840 | ×1.019 | ×0.958 | 5.89% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.98% | ÷0.953 | ×0.940 | ×1.019 | ×0.958 | 0.94% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.46% | ÷0.929 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.958 | 1.21% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 101, 2B 104, 3B 91, K 88, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 24.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.
Result: wOBA .293 → .231; ISO .096 → .078; BABIP .309 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAANew Orleans Zephyrs · 157 PAwOBA .333 → .285 (−48)K% 22.3% → 28.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.29% | ÷1.007 | ×1.290 | — | — | 28.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.46% | ÷0.973 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.992 | 8.30% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.27% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.992 | 1.24% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.26% | ÷0.983 | ×0.900 | ×1.043 | ×0.992 | 24.88% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.08% | ÷0.971 | ×0.810 | ×1.043 | ×0.992 | 6.97% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.01% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×1.043 | ×0.992 | 0.94% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.02% | ÷0.939 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.992 | 1.66% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 97, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 101, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.043.
Result: wOBA .333 → .285; ISO .119 → .100; BABIP .361 → .333. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAJacksonville Suns · 100 PAwOBA .258 → .229 (−29)K% 23.0% → 26.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.00% | ÷1.046 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.83% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.00% | ÷1.001 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.968 | 5.92% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.968 | 0.81% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.77% | ÷0.992 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.968 | 29.01% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.54% | ÷0.935 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×0.968 | 1.52% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.936 | ×0.880 | ×1.050 | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.023 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 98, 2B 87, 3B 87, K 109, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .258 → .229; ISO .011 → .011; BABIP .323 → .305. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .