Matt Bush
Matt Bush
P
Frisco RoughRiders
Age 40
RHP
5'10" / 193 lbs
AA
peak 0.2 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 47 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 111103vR 95
ERA4.15
FIP4.11
K%25.4%
BB%9.1%
K-BB%16.3%
ROS IP47
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 47 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
SL-1.5
FB-3.0
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips:
RAW = as recorded ·
CTX = with park/league context ·
A+C = actual + context combined ·
MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 30 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 70 | 0 | 79 | 306 | 79 | 18 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.7% | 6.0% | 18.7% | 2.0% | 2.52 | 2.87 | +1.6 |
| 2016 | 30 | MIX RAW | 2 levels | 70 | 0 | 79 | 306 | 79 | 18 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.8% | 5.9% | 19.9% | 2.0% | 2.52 | 2.77 | +1.7 |
| 2017 | 31 | MLB MLE | Texas Rangers | 57 | 0 | 52 | 240 | 58 | 19 | 7 | 0% | 0.9 | 24.2% | 7.9% | 16.2% | 2.8% | 3.78 | 3.60 | +0.6 |
| 2017 | 31 | MLB RAW | Texas Rangers | 57 | 0 | 52 | 240 | 58 | 19 | 7 | 0% | 0.9 | 24.2% | 7.9% | 16.2% | 2.9% | 3.78 | 3.71 | +0.5 |
| 2018 | 32 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 29 | 0 | 32 | 148 | 33 | 18 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.6% | 13.0% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 3.94 | 4.72 | -0.1 |
| 2018 | 32 | MIX RAW | 2 levels | 29 | 0 | 32 | 148 | 33 | 18 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.3% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 2.0% | 3.94 | 3.94 | +0.2 |
| 2019 | 33 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | 9 | 0 | 9 | 31 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.6% | 6.5% | 16.1% | 3.2% | 1.04 | 3.78 | — |
| 2019 | 33 | AA RAW | Frisco RoughRiders | 9 | 0 | 9 | 31 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.6% | 6.5% | 16.1% | 3.2% | 1.04 | 3.68 | — |
| 2021 | 35 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 8 | 0 | 7 | 32 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0% | 0.9 | 25.0% | 15.6% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 3.86 | 8.11 | -0.3 |
| 2021 | 35 | MIX RAW | 2 levels | 8 | 0 | 7 | 32 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0% | 0.9 | 25.0% | 15.6% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 3.86 | 8.53 | -0.3 |
| 2022 | 36 | MLB MLE | Milwaukee Brewers | 65 | 6 | 60 | 244 | 74 | 16 | 11 | 9% | 0.9 | 30.3% | 6.6% | 23.8% | 4.3% | 3.47 | 3.73 | +0.6 |
| 2022 | 36 | MLB RAW | Milwaukee Brewers | 65 | 6 | 60 | 244 | 74 | 16 | 11 | 9% | 0.9 | 30.3% | 6.6% | 23.8% | 4.5% | 3.47 | 3.82 | +0.5 |
| 2023 | 37 | MIX MLE | 3 levels | 42 | 3 | 46 | 188 | 54 | 18 | 9 | 7% | 1.1 | 26.2% | 8.7% | 17.5% | 3.3% | 3.91 | 3.79 | +0.4 |
| 2023 | 37 | MIX MLE | 3 levels | 42 | 3 | 46 | 188 | 54 | 18 | 9 | 7% | 1.1 | 26.2% | 8.7% | 17.5% | 3.3% | 3.91 | 3.79 | +0.4 |
| 2023 | 37 | MIX RAW | 3 levels | 42 | 3 | 46 | 188 | 54 | 18 | 9 | 7% | 1.1 | 28.7% | 9.6% | 19.1% | 4.8% | 3.91 | 4.47 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded) | |||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | 217 | 6 | 211 | 900 | 227 | 70 | 33 | 3% | 1.0 | 25.2% | 7.8% | 17.4% | 3.7% | 3.75 | 3.98 | +1.4 | ||
| ▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 40 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 25.4% | 9.1% | 16.3% | 3.0% | 4.15 | 4.11 | — |
| ▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 41 | MLB MLE | MIL | 39 | 0 | 41 | 172 | 42 | 17 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.3% | 9.8% | 14.5% | 3.4% | 4.38 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 41 | MLB CTX | MIL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 24.3% | 9.8% | 14.5% | 3.4% | 4.38 | 4.54 | — |
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | RAW | 217 | 6 | 211 | 900 | 227 | 70 | 33 | 3% | 1.0 | 25.2% | 7.8% | 17.4% | 3.7% | 3.75 | 3.97 | +1.5 | |
| / 200 IP | — | RAW | 206 | 6 | 200 | 853 | 215 | 66 | 31 | 3% | 1.0 | 25.2% | 7.8% | 17.4% | 3.7% | 3.75 | 3.97 | +1.4 | |
| Career | — | MLE | 280 | 9 | 284 | 1189 | 298 | 96 | 37 | 3% | 1.0 | 25.1% | 8.1% | 17.0% | 3.1% | 3.32 | 3.73 | +1.4 | |
| / 200 IP | — | MLE | 197 | 6 | 200 | 836 | 210 | 68 | 26 | 3% | 1.0 | 25.1% | 8.1% | 17.0% | 3.1% | 3.32 | 3.73 | +1.1 | |
Career Comps
Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).
| Player | 162s | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 1.5 | 50 | 25.1% | 8.4% | 1.36 | 3.90 |
| Shawn Tolleson ('16) | 1.1 | 54 | 23.1% | 8.3% | 1.28 | 3.92 |
| Blake Parker ('21) | 1.7 | 58 | 26.7% | 7.9% | 1.30 | 3.47 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 1.5 | 59 | 24.8% | 9.4% | 1.42 | 4.21 |
| Ryan Tepera ('23) | 1.8 | 52 | 24.3% | 8.8% | 1.13 | 3.62 |
| Chris Hatcher ('18) | 1.3 | 53 | 22.9% | 8.4% | 1.32 | 4.65 |
| Trevor May ('23) | 2.3 | 50 | 26.8% | 8.5% | 1.20 | 4.24 |