Erik Kratz

PosC

B/TR/R

Born1980-06-15

Age (2027)47

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

MLBLAST SEASON 2020

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2018	38	AAAScranton/Wilk…	61	.269/.350/.538	4	0	84	—	.214/.267/.411
2018	38	MLBMIL	219	.236/.282/.355	6	1	78	1.7
2019	39	AAAScranton/Wilk…	176	.299/.379/.500	7	1	83	—	.236/.293/.379
2019	39	MLBTB	53	.102/.170/.204	1	0	6	0.0
2020	40	MLBNYY	30	.321/.367/.393	0	0	119	0.4
2021	41	No MLB games played
2022	42	No MLB games played
2023	43	No MLB games played
2024	44	No MLB games played
2025	45	No MLB games played
2026	46	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR 2.1

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2018-2020

Avg EV43

xwOBA15

Barrel%13

Speed10

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2005	25	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	332	292	60	10	0	11	27	86	6	2	0	205	286	353	639	147	246	26	8	284	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	26	AAA	Syracuse SkyChiefs	—	47	40	10	2	0	1	5	4	0	0	0	250	333	375	708	125	243	9	11	308	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	26	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	284	258	58	10	0	6	16	54	8	1	0	225	291	333	624	109	261	19	6	283	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	27	AAA	Syracuse Chiefs	—	124	112	24	2	0	5	8	28	1	0	1	214	273	366	639	152	241	23	6	280	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	27	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	182	160	40	15	1	8	12	33	5	0	0	250	322	506	828	256	262	18	7	352	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	28	AAA	Syracuse Chiefs	—	158	145	34	11	1	9	9	33	2	1	0	234	288	510	799	276	240	21	6	342	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	28	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	121	102	25	5	0	7	13	26	4	2	0	245	353	500	853	255	254	21	11	370	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	29	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	353	319	87	30	0	11	31	72	1	7	0	273	339	470	809	197	319	20	9	355	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	30	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	36	34	4	0	0	0	2	9	0	0	0	118	167	118	284		160	25	6	139	-19	-5	+0	+4	+6	+1	0.6
2010	30	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	274	230	63	22	1	9	32	54	9	1	2	274	384	496	879	222	318	20	12	385	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	31	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	409	358	103	19	0	15	38	72	11	2	0	288	373	466	840	179	322	18	9	373	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	32	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	—	157	141	35	9	0	9	11	34	2	0	0	248	312	504	815	255	257	22	7	349	112	+2	+0	+13	+5	+3	2.5
2012	32	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	141	124	33	10	0	8	10	20	3	0	0	266	336	540	876	274	250	14	7	371	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	33	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	—	218	197	42	7	0	9	18	45	1	0	0	213	282	386	668	173	228	21	8	296	74	-7	+0	+6	+4	+5	0.9
2014	34	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	115	110	24	4	0	5	4	22	0	0	0	218	246	391	637	173	226	19	3	277	75	-3	+0	+5	+4	+2	0.8
2014	34	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	100	87	26	10	0	3	9	18	0	0	1	299	365	517	882	218	333	18	9	371	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	35	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	—	28	26	5	2	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	192	222	269	491	77	227	18	4	214	32	-2	+0	-1	+4	+1	0.2
2015	35	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	202	172	44	14	1	7	26	34	1	1	0	256	357	471	828	215	276	17	13	361	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	36	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	87	85	8	2	0	1	1	32	0	0	0	94	105	153	258	59	135	37	1	113	-36	-14	+0	+3	+4	+2	-0.6
2016	36	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	109	97	18	4	0	0	8	23	3	0	0	186	269	227	495	41	243	21	7	235	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	37	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	324	282	76	16	1	13	32	64	8	5	1	270	360	472	832	202	306	20	10	367	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	38	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	219	203	48	6	0	6	6	40	7	1	0	236	282	355	637	118	264	18	3	284	78	-6	+0	+12	+5	+5	1.7
2018	38	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	61	52	14	2	0	4	7	10	0	0	0	269	350	538	888	269	263	16	11	377	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	39	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	53	49	5	2	0	1	2	14	2	0	0	102	170	204	374	102	118	26	4	176	6	-6	+0	+1	+4	+1	0.0
2019	39	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	176	154	46	10	0	7	17	21	3	1	0	299	379	500	879	201	305	12	10	385	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	40	MLB	New York Yankees	—	30	28	9	2	0	0	2	6	0	0	0	321	367	393	760	71	409	20	7	343	119	+1	+0	+2	+1	+1	0.4
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	943	873	180	34	0	31	47	207	12	1	0	206	256	352	608	145	231	22	5	269	68	-36	+0	+46	+36	+20	6.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2005	25	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	332	301	55	9	0	8	18	105	6	2	0	183	243	292	535	110	233	32	5	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	26	AAA MLE	Syracuse SkyChiefs	—	47	41	10	2	0	1	4	5	0	0	0	244	311	366	677	122	225	11	9	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	26	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	284	263	51	8	0	5	11	66	8	1	0	194	248	281	530	87	235	23	4	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	27	AAA MLE	Syracuse Chiefs	—	124	114	22	2	0	4	6	34	1	0	1	193	240	316	555	123	225	27	5	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	27	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	182	165	34	12	1	6	7	40	5	0	0	206	260	400	660	194	222	22	4	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	28	AAA MLE	Syracuse Chiefs	—	158	148	29	9	1	7	6	40	2	1	0	196	237	412	649	216	204	25	4	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	28	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	121	107	22	4	0	5	8	32	4	2	0	206	286	383	669	178	229	26	7	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	29	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	353	330	75	24	0	9	20	86	1	7	0	227	274	382	655	155	278	24	6	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	30	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	36	34	4	0	0	0	2	9	0	0	0	118	167	118	284		160	25	6	140	-19	-5	+0	+4	+6	+1	0.6
2010	30	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	274	241	52	18	1	7	21	67	9	1	2	216	303	386	688	170	257	24	8	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	31	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	409	374	86	16	0	13	22	86	11	2	0	230	292	377	669	147	261	21	5	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	32	MLB MLE	Philadelphia Phillies	—	157	143	34	9	0	8	9	34	2	0	0	238	292	469	761	231	257	22	6	334	112	+2	+0	+13	+5	+3	2.5
2012	32	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	141	129	27	8	0	5	5	23	3	0	0	209	255	388	643	178	201	16	4	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	33	MLB MLE	Philadelphia Phillies	—	218	201	41	7	0	8	14	45	1	0	0	204	259	358	617	154	228	21	6	278	74	-7	+0	+6	+4	+5	0.9
2014	34	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	—	115	111	24	4	0	5	3	22	0	0	0	216	237	387	624	171	226	19	3	280	75	-3	+0	+5	+4	+2	0.8
2014	34	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	100	90	22	8	0	2	6	23	0	0	1	244	292	400	692	156	289	23	6	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	35	MLB MLE	Philadelphia Phillies	—	28	26	5	2	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	192	222	269	491	77	227	18	4	215	32	-2	+0	-1	+4	+1	0.2
2015	35	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	202	181	36	8	1	7	17	40	1	1	0	199	271	370	642	171	206	20	8	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	36	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	87	85	8	2	0	1	1	32	0	0	0	94	105	153	258	59	135	37	1	114	-36	-14	+0	+3	+4	+2	-0.6
2016	36	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	109	100	15	3	0	0	5	29	3	0	0	150	213	180	393	30	207	27	5	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	37	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	324	296	62	12	1	8	18	78	8	5	1	209	273	338	611	128	252	24	6	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	38	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	219	203	48	6	0	6	6	40	7	1	0	236	282	355	637	118	264	18	3	284	78	-6	+0	+12	+5	+5	1.7
2018	38	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	61	56	12	2	0	3	4	12	0	0	0	214	267	411	677	196	214	20	7	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	39	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	—	53	49	5	2	0	1	2	14	2	0	0	102	170	204	374	102	118	26	4	177	6	-6	+0	+1	+4	+1	0.0
2019	39	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	176	161	38	8	0	5	10	25	3	1	0	236	293	379	672	143	239	14	6	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	40	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	—	30	28	9	2	0	0	2	6	0	0	0	321	367	393	760	71	409	20	7	344	119	+1	+0	+2	+1	+1	0.4
2005	25	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	332	301	55	9	0	8	18	105	6	2	0	183	243	292	535	110	245	32	5	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	25	AA RAW	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	332	292	60	10	0	11	27	86	6	2	0	205	286	353	639	147	246	26	8	284	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	331	304	60	10	0	5	15	71	8	1	0	197	254	280	533	82	238	21	5	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	26	AA RAW	2 teams	—	331	298	68	12	0	7	21	58	8	1	0	228	297	339	636	111	258	18	6	287	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	27	AA MLE	2 teams	—	306	279	56	14	1	10	13	74	6	0	1	201	252	366	617	165	232	24	4	265	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	27	AA RAW	2 teams	—	306	272	64	17	1	13	20	61	6	0	1	235	302	449	751	213	254	20	7	323	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	279	255	51	13	1	13	14	71	6	3	0	200	258	412	670	212	218	25	5	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	28	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	279	247	59	16	1	16	22	59	6	3	0	239	316	506	822	267	246	21	8	354	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	29	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	353	330	75	24	0	9	20	86	1	7	0	227	274	382	655	155	278	24	6	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	29	AAA RAW	Indianapolis Indians	—	353	319	87	30	0	11	31	72	1	7	0	273	339	470	809	197	319	20	9	355	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	30	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	310	275	56	18	1	7	23	76	9	1	2	204	287	353	639	149	251	25	7	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	30	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	310	264	67	22	1	9	34	63	9	1	2	254	358	447	805	193	297	20	11	357	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	31	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	409	374	86	16	0	13	22	86	11	2	0	230	292	377	669	147	264	21	5	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	31	AAA RAW	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	409	358	103	19	0	15	38	72	11	2	0	288	373	466	840	179	322	18	9	373	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	32	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	298	272	62	17	0	14	14	57	5	0	0	228	278	445	723	217	231	19	5	311	96	-1	+0	+13	+5	+6	2.4
2012	32	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	298	265	68	19	0	17	21	54	5	0	0	257	323	521	844	264	254	18	7	359	96	-1	+0	+13	+5	+6	2.4
2013	33	MLB MLE	Philadelphia Phillies	—	218	201	41	7	0	8	14	45	1	0	0	204	259	358	617	154	220	21	6	278	74	-7	+0	+6	+4	+5	0.9
2013	33	MLB RAW	Philadelphia Phillies	—	218	197	42	7	0	9	18	45	1	0	0	213	282	386	668	173	228	21	8	296	74	-7	+0	+6	+4	+5	0.9
2014	34	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	215	201	48	12	0	8	9	45	0	0	1	239	271	418	689	179	263	21	4	294	85	-4	-0	+5	+4	+5	1.0
2014	34	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	215	197	50	14	0	8	13	40	0	0	1	254	300	447	747	193	275	19	6	321	85	-4	-0	+5	+4	+5	1.0
2015	35	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	230	207	41	10	1	7	18	45	1	1	0	198	265	357	623	159	214	20	8	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	35	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	230	198	49	16	1	7	27	39	1	1	0	247	341	444	785	197	269	17	12	343	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	36	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	196	185	23	5	0	1	6	61	3	0	0	124	165	168	333	43	179	31	3	151	-11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	36	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	196	182	26	6	0	1	9	55	3	0	0	143	196	192	388	49	198	28	5	181	-11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	37	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	324	296	62	12	1	8	18	78	8	5	1	209	273	338	611	128	256	24	6	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	37	AAA RAW	Columbus Clippers	—	324	282	76	16	1	13	32	64	8	5	1	270	360	472	832	202	306	20	10	367	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	38	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	280	259	60	8	0	9	10	52	7	1	0	232	279	367	646	135	255	19	4	286	80	-7	+0	+12	+5	+6	1.7
2018	38	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	280	255	62	8	0	10	13	50	7	1	0	243	297	392	689	149	264	18	5	304	80	-7	+0	+12	+5	+6	1.7
2019	39	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	229	210	42	10	0	6	12	39	5	1	0	200	260	333	593	133	216	17	5	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	39	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	229	203	51	12	0	8	19	35	5	1	0	251	330	429	759	177	265	15	8	336	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	40	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	—	30	28	9	2	0	0	2	6	0	0	0	321	367	393	760	71	409	20	7	344	119	+1	+0	+2	+1	+1	0.4
2020	40	MLB RAW	New York Yankees	—	30	28	9	2	0	0	2	6	0	0	0	321	367	393	760	71	409	20	7	343	119	+1	+0	+2	+1	+1	0.4
2005	25	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	332	305	55	9	0	8	18	105	6	2	0	180	243	289	532	108	233	32	5	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	331	305	60	10	0	5	15	71	8	1	0	197	254	279	533	82	234	21	5	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	27	AA MLE	2 teams	—	306	284	56	14	1	10	13	74	6	0	1	197	252	359	611	162	223	24	4	265	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	279	257	51	13	1	13	14	71	6	3	0	198	258	409	667	210	215	25	5	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	29	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	353	329	75	24	0	9	20	86	1	7	0	228	274	383	656	155	278	24	6	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	30	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	310	275	56	18	1	7	23	76	9	1	2	204	287	353	639	149	246	25	7	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	31	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	409	373	86	16	0	13	22	86	11	2	0	231	292	378	670	147	261	21	5	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	32	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	298	277	62	17	0	14	14	57	5	0	0	224	278	437	715	213	231	19	5	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	33	MLB MLE	Philadelphia Phillies	—	218	201	41	7	0	8	14	45	1	0	0	204	259	358	617	154	228	21	6	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	34	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	215	204	48	12	0	8	9	45	0	0	1	235	271	412	683	176	255	21	4	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	35	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	230	209	41	10	1	7	18	45	1	1	0	196	265	354	620	158	209	20	8	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	36	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	196	185	23	5	0	1	6	61	3	0	0	124	165	168	333	43	175	31	3	151	-11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	37	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	324	295	62	12	1	8	18	78	8	5	1	210	273	339	612	129	252	24	6	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	38	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	280	261	60	8	0	9	10	52	7	1	0	230	279	364	643	134	253	19	4	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	39	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	229	210	42	10	0	6	12	39	5	1	0	200	260	333	593	133	211	17	5	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	40	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	—	30	28	9	2	0	0	2	6	0	0	0	321	367	393	760	71	409	20	7	344	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	943	873	180	34	0	31	47	207	12	1	0	206	256	352	608	145	231	22	5	269	69	-36	+0	+46	+36	+20	6.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	602	123	23	0	21	32	143	8	1	0	204	253	347	601	143	230	22	5	269	69	-24	+0	+32	+25	+14	4.7
Career	—	MLE		—	4340	3977	827	187	5	126	228	997	77	24	5	208	264	353	617	145	242	23	5	270	69	-36	+0	+46	+36	+20	6.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	596	124	28	1	19	34	149	12	4	1	208	265	354	619	146	242	23	5	270	69	-24	+0	+32	+25	+14	4.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2019 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 176 PAwOBA .379 → .291 (−87)K% 11.9% → 14.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.93%	÷1.007	×1.200	—	—	14.22%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.66%	÷1.066	×0.690	—	×0.940	5.88%
HBP% /PA	1.70%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	1.51%
Singles /BIP	21.80%	÷1.019	×0.930	×0.950	×0.940	17.77%
Doubles /BIP	7.52%	÷1.009	×0.830	×0.950	×0.940	5.52%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.938	×0.970	×0.950	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.26%	÷1.087	×0.840	—	×0.940	3.82%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 104, 2B 102, 3B 88, K 101, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 39 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (11.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .379 → .291; ISO .201 → .152; BABIP .305 → .239. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 61 PAwOBA .367 → .293 (−74)K% 16.4% → 19.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.39%	÷1.002	×1.200	—	—	19.64%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.48%	÷1.034	×0.690	—	×0.940	7.20%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	0.00%
Singles /BIP	19.05%	÷1.032	×0.930	—	×0.940	16.14%
Doubles /BIP	4.76%	÷1.004	×0.830	—	×0.940	3.70%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.130	×0.970	—	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	9.52%	÷1.046	×0.840	—	×0.940	7.19%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 106, 2B 101, 3B 126, K 100, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 38 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (10.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .367 → .293; ISO .269 → .217; BABIP .263 → .214. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAAColumbus Clippers · 324 PAwOBA .357 → .270 (−86)K% 19.8% → 24.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.75%	÷0.989	×1.200	—	—	23.97%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.26%	÷1.089	×0.690	—	×0.940	5.52%
HBP% /PA	2.47%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	2.18%
Singles /BIP	21.10%	÷0.945	×0.930	×0.950	×0.940	18.54%
Doubles /BIP	7.34%	÷1.018	×0.830	×0.950	×0.940	5.34%
Triples /BIP	0.46%	÷0.900	×0.970	×0.950	×0.940	0.44%
Home runs /BIP	5.96%	÷1.231	×0.840	—	×0.940	3.82%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 146, 1B 89, 2B 104, 3B 80, K 98, BB 118 — applied at half strength. Age: age 37 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (9.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .357 → .270; ISO .202 → .139; BABIP .306 → .252. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAABuffalo Bisons · 109 PAwOBA .229 → .181 (−49)K% 21.1% → 27.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.10%	÷0.937	×1.200	—	—	27.01%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.34%	÷1.034	×0.690	—	×0.940	4.61%
HBP% /PA	2.75%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	2.43%
Singles /BIP	18.92%	÷1.008	×0.930	×0.988	×0.940	16.20%
Doubles /BIP	5.41%	÷0.917	×0.830	×0.988	×0.940	4.54%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.970	×0.988	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.164	×0.840	—	×0.940	0.00%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 133, 1B 102, 2B 83, 3B 130, K 87, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 36 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (8.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.

Result: wOBA .229 → .181; ISO .041 → .034; BABIP .243 → .207. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 202 PAwOBA .357 → .277 (−80)K% 16.8% → 19.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.83%	÷1.019	×1.200	—	—	19.82%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.87%	÷1.013	×0.690	—	×0.940	8.24%
HBP% /PA	0.50%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	0.44%
Singles /BIP	15.94%	÷0.991	×0.930	×0.965	×0.940	13.57%
Doubles /BIP	10.14%	÷1.314	×0.830	×0.965	×0.940	5.81%
Triples /BIP	0.72%	÷0.921	×0.970	×0.965	×0.940	0.69%
Home runs /BIP	5.07%	÷0.845	×0.840	—	×0.940	4.74%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 98, 2B 163, 3B 84, K 104, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 35 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.965.

Result: wOBA .357 → .277; ISO .215 → .180; BABIP .276 → .206. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAABuffalo Bisons · 100 PAwOBA .372 → .311 (−62)K% 18.0% → 22.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.00%	÷0.942	×1.200	—	—	22.94%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.00%	÷1.041	×0.690	—	×0.940	5.61%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	0.00%
Singles /BIP	18.84%	÷0.968	×0.930	×1.023	×0.940	17.40%
Doubles /BIP	14.49%	÷0.985	×0.830	×1.023	×0.940	11.74%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.970	×1.023	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.35%	÷1.006	×0.840	—	×0.940	3.41%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 94, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 88, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.

Result: wOBA .372 → .311; ISO .218 → .181; BABIP .333 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 141 PAwOBA .366 → .285 (−81)K% 14.2% → 16.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.18%	÷1.057	×1.200	—	—	16.10%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.67%	÷1.157	×0.690	—	×0.952	3.22%
HBP% /PA	2.13%	—	×0.940	—	×0.952	1.90%
Singles /BIP	14.42%	÷0.984	×0.930	×0.967	×0.952	12.55%
Doubles /BIP	9.62%	÷1.005	×0.830	×0.967	×0.952	7.31%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.970	×0.967	×0.952	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	7.69%	÷1.249	×0.840	—	×0.952	4.92%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 150, 1B 97, 2B 101, 3B 130, K 111, BB 131 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.967.

Result: wOBA .366 → .285; ISO .274 → .198; BABIP .250 → .201. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 409 PAwOBA .361 → .293 (−68)K% 17.6% → 21.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.60%	÷1.003	×1.200	—	—	21.07%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.07%	÷0.993	×0.690	—	×0.962	5.40%
HBP% /PA	2.69%	—	×0.940	—	×0.962	2.43%
Singles /BIP	24.13%	÷1.081	×0.930	×0.988	×0.962	19.74%
Doubles /BIP	6.64%	÷0.967	×0.830	×0.988	×0.962	5.42%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.970	×0.988	×0.962	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.24%	÷0.973	×0.840	—	×0.962	4.36%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 116, 2B 93, 3B 80, K 101, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.

Result: wOBA .361 → .293; ISO .179 → .150; BABIP .322 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).