Dustin Pedroia

Pos2B

B/TR/R

Born1983-08-17

Age (2027)43

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

MLBLAST SEASON 2019

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2017	33	MLBBOS	463	.293/.372/.392	7	4	109	1.7
2018	34	AAAPawtucket Red…	17	.071/.235/.071	0	0	-32	—	.067/.176/.067
2019	35	AAA/AA2 orgs	38	.189/.211/.189	0	0	-10	—	.162/.184/.162
2019	35	MLBBOS	21	.100/.143/.100	0	0	-34	-0.3
2020	36	No MLB games played
2021	37	No MLB games played
2022	38	No MLB games played
2023	39	No MLB games played
2024	40	No MLB games played
2025	41	No MLB games played
2026	42	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR 1.4

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2017-2019

xwOBA57

Barrel%10

Avg EV10

Speed10

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2005	21	AAA	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	240	204	52	9	1	5	24	17	9	1	0	255	359	382	741	127	255	7	10	335	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	21	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	298	256	83	19	2	8	34	26	4	7	3	324	412	508	919	184	335	9	11	402	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	22	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	98	89	17	4	0	2	7	7	1	0	1	191	258	303	561	112	188	7	7	254	58	-5	-0	-4	+2	+2	-0.5
2006	22	AAA	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	493	423	129	30	3	5	48	27	9	1	4	305	388	426	813	121	314	5	10	357	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	23	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	581	520	165	39	1	8	47	42	7	7	1	317	382	442	824	125	333	7	8	365	132	+22	+1	+5	+2	+13	4.4
2008	24	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	726	653	213	54	2	17	50	52	7	20	1	326	380	493	873	167	331	7	7	378	142	+36	+4	+12	+3	+16	7.1
2009	25	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	714	626	185	48	1	15	74	45	5	20	8	296	374	447	822	152	297	6	10	363	130	+25	+1	+11	+3	+15	5.6
2010	26	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	351	302	87	24	1	12	37	38	4	9	1	288	373	493	867	205	291	11	11	374	132	+13	+1	+6	+1	+8	3.0
2011	27	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	731	635	195	37	3	21	86	85	1	26	8	307	391	474	865	167	325	12	12	380	135	+30	+2	+21	+3	+16	7.3
2012	28	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	623	563	163	39	3	15	48	60	5	20	6	290	351	449	800	160	300	10	8	352	116	+12	+2	+10	+2	+13	4.0
2013	29	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	724	641	193	42	2	9	73	75	3	17	5	301	375	415	790	114	326	10	10	353	116	+14	+1	+10	+3	+16	4.5
2014	30	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	609	551	153	33	0	7	51	75	1	6	6	278	340	376	716	98	307	12	8	321	96	-3	-1	+18	+2	+13	3.0
2015	31	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	425	381	111	19	1	12	38	51	2	2	2	291	359	441	800	150	308	12	9	354	120	+10	-0	+1	+2	+9	2.2
2016	32	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	698	633	201	36	1	15	61	73	0	7	4	318	378	449	826	131	339	10	9	367	129	+24	-0	-3	+2	+15	3.9
2017	33	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	463	406	119	19	0	7	49	48	2	4	3	293	372	392	764	99	315	10	11	343	109	+5	-0	+1	+2	+10	1.7
2018	34	AAA	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	17	14	1	0	0	0	3	3	0	0	0	71	235	71	307		91	18	18	176	-32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	35	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	21	20	2	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	100	143	100	243		111	10	5	119	-34	-3	+0	-1	+0	+0	-0.3
2019	35	AAA	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	20	19	3	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	158	200	158	358		200	20	5	171	-18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	35	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	18	18	4	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	222	222	222	444		267	17	0	201	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	6764	6020	1804	394	15	140	622	653	38	138	46	300	369	440	809	140	315	10	9	358	128	+227	+9	+87	+26	+147	50.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2005	21	AAA MLE	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	240	211	50	8	1	5	17	20	9	1	0	237	321	355	676	118	238	8	7	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	21	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	298	267	84	18	2	7	23	32	4	7	3	315	378	476	853	161	326	11	8	365	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	22	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	98	89	17	4	0	2	7	7	1	0	1	191	258	303	561	112	188	7	7	254	58	-5	-0	-4	+2	+2	-0.5
2006	22	AAA MLE	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	493	436	128	27	3	5	35	33	9	1	4	294	358	404	762	110	297	7	7	329	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	23	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	581	521	165	39	1	8	46	42	7	7	1	317	380	441	821	125	333	7	8	364	132	+22	+1	+5	+2	+13	4.4
2008	24	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	726	654	213	54	2	17	49	52	7	20	1	326	379	492	871	167	331	7	7	377	142	+36	+4	+12	+3	+16	7.1
2009	25	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	714	629	185	48	1	15	71	45	5	20	8	294	370	445	815	151	297	6	10	360	130	+25	+1	+11	+3	+15	5.6
2010	26	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	351	303	83	21	1	12	36	38	4	9	1	274	359	469	827	195	291	11	10	363	132	+13	+1	+6	+1	+8	3.0
2011	27	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	731	641	190	33	3	22	80	85	1	26	8	296	375	460	836	164	325	12	11	367	135	+30	+2	+21	+3	+16	7.3
2012	28	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	623	566	157	35	3	15	45	60	5	20	6	277	336	429	765	152	300	10	7	339	116	+12	+2	+10	+2	+13	4.0
2013	29	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	724	645	186	37	2	9	69	75	3	17	5	288	360	394	754	105	326	10	10	340	116	+14	+1	+10	+3	+16	4.5
2014	30	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	609	552	147	29	0	7	50	75	1	6	6	266	328	357	685	91	307	12	8	310	96	-3	-1	+18	+2	+13	3.0
2015	31	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	425	382	108	17	1	12	37	51	2	2	2	283	349	427	776	144	308	12	9	345	120	+10	-0	+1	+2	+9	2.2
2016	32	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	698	633	195	32	1	15	61	73	0	7	4	308	369	433	802	125	339	10	9	359	129	+24	-0	-3	+2	+15	3.9
2017	33	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	463	410	116	17	0	7	45	48	2	4	3	283	357	376	732	93	315	10	10	329	109	+5	-0	+1	+2	+10	1.7
2018	34	AAA MLE	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	17	15	1	0	0	0	2	4	0	0	0	67	176	67	243		79	24	12	121	-32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	35	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	21	20	2	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	100	143	100	243		111	10	5	118	-34	-3	+0	-1	+0	+0	-0.3
2019	35	AAA MLE	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	20	19	3	0	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	158	200	158	358		183	25	5	141	-18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	35	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	18	18	3	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	167	167	167	333		239	22	0	167	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	538	477	133	26	3	11	41	52	13	8	3	279	352	415	767	136	292	10	8	336	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	21	AA RAW	2 teams	—	538	460	135	28	3	13	58	43	13	8	3	293	388	452	840	159	299	8	11	372	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	22	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	591	525	145	31	3	7	42	40	10	1	5	276	341	387	728	110	286	7	7	317	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	22	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	591	512	146	34	3	7	55	34	10	1	5	285	366	404	770	119	293	6	9	340	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	23	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	581	521	165	39	1	8	46	42	7	7	1	317	380	441	821	125	332	7	8	364	132	+22	+1	+5	+2	+13	4.4
2007	23	MLB RAW	Boston Red Sox	—	581	520	165	39	1	8	47	42	7	7	1	317	382	442	824	125	333	7	8	365	132	+22	+1	+5	+2	+13	4.4
2008	24	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	726	654	213	54	2	17	49	52	7	20	1	326	379	492	871	167	330	7	7	377	142	+36	+4	+12	+3	+16	7.1
2008	24	MLB RAW	Boston Red Sox	—	726	653	213	54	2	17	50	52	7	20	1	326	380	493	873	167	331	7	7	378	142	+36	+4	+12	+3	+16	7.1
2009	25	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	714	629	185	48	1	15	71	45	5	20	8	294	370	445	815	151	296	6	10	360	130	+25	+1	+11	+3	+15	5.6
2009	25	MLB RAW	Boston Red Sox	—	714	626	185	48	1	15	74	45	5	20	8	296	374	447	822	152	297	6	10	363	130	+25	+1	+11	+3	+15	5.6
2010	26	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	351	303	83	21	1	12	36	38	4	9	1	274	359	469	827	195	274	11	10	363	132	+13	+1	+6	+1	+8	3.0
2010	26	MLB RAW	Boston Red Sox	—	351	302	87	24	1	12	37	38	4	9	1	288	373	493	867	205	291	11	11	374	132	+13	+1	+6	+1	+8	3.0
2011	27	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	731	641	190	33	3	22	80	85	1	26	8	296	375	460	836	164	311	12	11	367	135	+30	+2	+21	+3	+16	7.3
2011	27	MLB RAW	Boston Red Sox	—	731	635	195	37	3	21	86	85	1	26	8	307	391	474	865	167	325	12	12	380	135	+30	+2	+21	+3	+16	7.3
2012	28	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	623	566	157	35	3	15	45	60	5	20	6	277	336	429	765	152	286	10	7	339	116	+12	+2	+10	+2	+13	4.0
2012	28	MLB RAW	Boston Red Sox	—	623	563	163	39	3	15	48	60	5	20	6	290	351	449	800	160	300	10	8	352	116	+12	+2	+10	+2	+13	4.0
2013	29	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	724	645	186	37	2	9	69	75	3	17	5	288	360	394	754	105	312	10	10	340	116	+14	+1	+10	+3	+16	4.5
2013	29	MLB RAW	Boston Red Sox	—	724	641	193	42	2	9	73	75	3	17	5	301	375	415	790	114	326	10	10	353	116	+14	+1	+10	+3	+16	4.5
2014	30	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	609	552	147	29	0	7	50	75	1	6	6	266	328	357	685	91	294	12	8	310	96	-3	-1	+18	+2	+13	3.0
2014	30	MLB RAW	Boston Red Sox	—	609	551	153	33	0	7	51	75	1	6	6	278	340	376	716	98	307	12	8	321	96	-3	-1	+18	+2	+13	3.0
2015	31	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	425	382	108	17	1	12	37	51	2	2	2	283	349	427	776	144	298	12	9	345	120	+10	-0	+1	+2	+9	2.2
2015	31	MLB RAW	Boston Red Sox	—	425	381	111	19	1	12	38	51	2	2	2	291	359	441	800	150	308	12	9	354	120	+10	-0	+1	+2	+9	2.2
2016	32	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	698	633	195	32	1	15	61	73	0	7	4	308	369	433	802	125	328	10	9	359	129	+24	-0	-3	+2	+15	3.9
2016	32	MLB RAW	Boston Red Sox	—	698	633	201	36	1	15	61	73	0	7	4	318	378	449	826	131	339	10	9	367	129	+24	-0	-3	+2	+15	3.9
2017	33	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	463	410	116	17	0	7	45	48	2	4	3	283	357	376	732	93	304	10	10	329	109	+5	-0	+1	+2	+10	1.7
2017	33	MLB RAW	Boston Red Sox	—	463	406	119	19	0	7	49	48	2	4	3	293	372	392	764	99	315	10	11	343	109	+5	-0	+1	+2	+10	1.7
2018	34	AAA MLE	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	17	15	1	0	0	0	2	4	0	0	0	67	176	67	243		91	24	12	121	-32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	34	AAA RAW	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	17	14	1	0	0	0	3	3	0	0	0	71	235	71	307		91	18	18	176	-32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	35	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	59	57	8	0	0	0	2	10	0	0	0	140	169	140	310		170	17	3	141	-19	-8	+0	-1	+0	+1	-0.8
2019	35	MLB RAW	3 teams	—	59	57	9	0	0	0	2	9	0	0	0	158	186	158	344		188	15	3	162	-19	-8	+0	-1	+0	+1	-0.8
2005	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	538	479	133	26	3	11	41	52	13	8	3	278	352	413	766	136	287	10	8	336	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	22	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	591	534	145	31	3	7	42	40	10	1	5	272	341	380	722	109	279	7	7	317	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	23	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	581	523	165	39	1	8	46	42	7	7	1	315	380	440	820	124	333	7	8	364	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	24	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	726	664	213	54	2	17	49	52	7	20	1	321	379	485	864	164	331	7	7	377	142	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	25	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	714	632	185	48	1	15	71	45	5	20	8	293	370	443	813	150	297	6	10	360	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	26	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	351	308	83	21	1	12	36	38	4	9	1	269	359	461	820	192	291	11	10	363	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	27	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	731	644	190	33	3	22	80	85	1	26	8	295	375	458	833	163	325	12	11	367	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	28	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	623	568	157	35	3	15	45	60	5	20	6	276	336	428	764	151	300	10	7	339	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	29	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	724	646	186	37	2	9	69	75	3	17	5	288	360	393	753	105	326	10	10	340	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	30	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	609	553	147	29	0	7	50	75	1	6	6	266	328	356	685	90	307	12	8	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	31	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	425	383	108	17	1	12	37	51	2	2	2	282	349	426	775	144	308	12	9	345	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	32	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	698	632	195	32	1	15	61	73	0	7	4	309	369	434	802	125	339	10	9	359	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	33	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	463	413	116	17	0	7	45	48	2	4	3	281	357	373	730	92	315	10	10	329	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	34	AAA MLE	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	17	15	1	0	0	0	2	4	0	0	0	67	176	67	243		79	24	12	121	-32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	35	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	59	57	8	0	0	0	2	10	0	0	0	140	169	140	310		174	17	3	141	-19	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	6764	6020	1804	394	15	140	622	653	38	138	46	300	369	440	809	140	315	10	9	358	120	+227	+9	+87	+26	+147	50.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	173	38	1	13	60	63	4	13	4	299	369	435	804	136	314	10	9	358	120	+22	+1	+8	+3	+14	4.9
Career	—	MLE		—	7850	7010	2032	419	21	157	676	750	60	147	53	290	357	423	780	133	304	10	9	346	120	+227	+9	+87	+26	+147	50.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	169	35	2	13	56	62	5	12	4	291	359	426	785	134	305	10	9	346	120	+22	+1	+8	+3	+14	4.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2019 AAAPawtucket Red Sox · 20 PAwOBA .167 → .141 (−26)K% 20.0% → 24.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.00%	÷1.002	×1.200	—	—	23.96%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.00%	÷0.963	×0.690	—	×0.940	3.37%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	0.00%
Singles /BIP	20.00%	÷0.953	×0.930	—	×0.940	18.34%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷0.896	×0.830	—	×0.940	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.970	—	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.038	×0.840	—	×0.940	0.00%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 91, 2B 79, 3B 80, K 100, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 36 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (8.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .167 → .141; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .200 → .183. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 18 PAwOBA .196 → .167 (−28)K% 16.7% → 20.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.67%	÷0.991	×1.220	—	—	20.52%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	0.00%	÷0.997	×0.700	—	×0.940	0.00%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.850	—	×0.940	0.00%
Singles /BIP	26.67%	÷1.016	×0.970	—	×0.940	23.93%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.158	×0.860	—	×0.940	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.950	—	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.953	×0.780	—	×0.940	0.00%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 103, 2B 132, 3B 130, K 98, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 36 vs a level average of 24.8 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (11.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .196 → .167; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .267 → .239. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AAAPawtucket Red Sox · 17 PAwOBA .174 → .121 (−53)K% 17.6% → 21.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.65%	÷0.994	×1.200	—	—	21.30%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	17.65%	÷1.082	×0.690	—	×0.940	10.58%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	0.00%
Singles /BIP	9.09%	÷1.000	×0.930	—	×0.940	7.95%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.067	×0.830	—	×0.940	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.970	—	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.342	×0.840	—	×0.940	0.00%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 168, 1B 100, 2B 113, 3B 80, K 99, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 35 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .174 → .121; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .091 → .079. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2006 AAAPawtucket Red Sox · 493 PAwOBA .351 → .329 (−22)K% 5.5% → 6.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	5.48%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	6.57%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.74%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.050	7.05%
HBP% /PA	1.83%	—	×0.940	—	×1.050	1.80%
Singles /BIP	22.98%	÷1.000	×0.930	×0.996	×1.050	22.35%
Doubles /BIP	7.58%	÷1.000	×0.830	×0.996	×1.050	6.58%
Triples /BIP	0.76%	÷1.000	×0.970	×0.996	×1.050	0.77%
Home runs /BIP	1.26%	÷1.000	×0.840	—	×1.050	1.11%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.

Result: wOBA .351 → .329; ISO .121 → .113; BABIP .314 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2005 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 298 PAwOBA .392 → .365 (−27)K% 8.7% → 10.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	8.72%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	10.64%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.74%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.042	7.83%
HBP% /PA	1.34%	—	×0.850	—	×1.042	1.19%
Singles /BIP	23.48%	÷1.000	×0.970	×0.997	×1.042	23.67%
Doubles /BIP	8.26%	÷1.000	×0.860	×0.997	×1.042	7.38%
Triples /BIP	0.87%	÷1.000	×0.950	×0.997	×1.042	0.86%
Home runs /BIP	3.48%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.042	2.83%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.

Result: wOBA .392 → .365; ISO .184 → .164; BABIP .335 → .326. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2005 AAAPawtucket Red Sox · 240 PAwOBA .329 → .299 (−31)K% 7.1% → 8.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	7.08%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	8.50%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.00%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.050	7.25%
HBP% /PA	3.75%	—	×0.940	—	×1.050	3.70%
Singles /BIP	19.79%	÷1.000	×0.930	×0.977	×1.050	18.87%
Doubles /BIP	4.81%	÷1.000	×0.830	×0.977	×1.050	4.10%
Triples /BIP	0.53%	÷1.000	×0.970	×0.977	×1.050	0.53%
Home runs /BIP	2.67%	÷1.000	×0.840	—	×1.050	2.36%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.977.

Result: wOBA .329 → .299; ISO .127 → .116; BABIP .255 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).