Ali Solis

PosC

B/TR/R

Born1987-09-29

Age (2027)39

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

INTLPROSPECT

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR
2023	35	INTLTomateros de …	101	.094/.130/.135	1	0	-30	—
2024	36	INTLTomateros de …	129	.190/.254/.233	0	1	38	—
2025	37	INTLMexico Verde	130	.207/.246/.241	0	2	29	—

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2006	18	ROK	AZL Padres	—	63	56	14	5	0	0	7	10	0	0	0	250	333	339	673	89	304	16	11	309	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	19	ROK	AZL Padres	—	95	79	20	4	0	0	11	21	3	0	0	253	366	304	669	51	339	22	12	310	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	20	A	Fort Wayne Wizards	—	130	113	18	6	0	2	14	40	0	0	0	159	252	265	517	106	222	31	11	236	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	21	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	28	27	4	0	0	0	1	10	0	0	0	148	179	148	327		235	36	4	154	-29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	21	A+	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	152	138	28	4	3	2	7	37	2	1	0	203	252	319	571	116	257	24	5	248	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	21	A	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	54	48	10	2	0	4	4	14	1	0	0	208	283	500	783	292	194	26	7	334	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	22	AAA	Tigres de Quintana Roo	—	73	68	26	5	1	3	4	12	0	0	2	382	417	618	1.034	235	426	16	5	445	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	22	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	19	18	2	0	0	0	0	5	1	0	0	111	158	111	269		154	26	0	134	-33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	22	A+	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	39	37	10	1	0	4	2	10	0	0	0	270	308	622	929	351	261	26	5	398	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	22	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	127	115	35	6	0	2	9	33	1	0	0	304	360	409	769	104	402	26	7	341	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	23	AAA	Tucson Padres	—	39	38	8	2	0	0	1	14	0	0	0	211	231	263	494	53	333	36	3	223	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	23	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	274	255	67	14	1	6	12	65	5	0	0	263	309	396	705	133	330	24	4	313	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	23	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	179	166	43	8	0	5	10	50	0	2	0	259	301	398	699	139	339	28	6	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	343	329	93	25	1	6	11	77	1	1	1	283	308	419	727	137	352	22	3	320	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	105	96	18	2	0	0	7	24	1	0	0	188	250	208	458	21	250	23	7	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	25	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	26	23	5	0	0	0	2	4	0	0	0	217	280	217	497		250	15	8	228	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	25	AA	Altoona Curve	—	66	61	10	3	0	0	3	17	1	2	0	164	215	213	428	49	227	26	5	197	-7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	25	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	199	175	46	9	0	7	16	47	0	1	0	263	321	434	756	171	320	24	8	324	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	26	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	267	251	51	7	2	3	6	75	4	0	1	203	233	283	516	80	273	28	2	228	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	26	INTL	Mexico	—	163	147	30	2	0	5	8	33	4	3	4	204	264	320	584	116	227	20	5	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	27	AAA	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	16	14	2	1	0	0	2	5	0	0	0	143	250	214	464	71	222	31	12	224	-7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	27	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	234	220	32	8	0	1	7	61	1	0	0	145	175	195	371	50	195	26	3	166	-23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	27	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	198	184	40	7	1	3	5	53	2	1	1	217	246	315	561	98	285	27	3	243	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	28	AAA	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	40	37	10	1	0	1	1	5	0	0	0	270	289	378	668	108	273	12	2	283	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	28	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	70	62	9	1	0	1	6	11	0	0	1	145	221	210	430	65	154	16	9	198	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	28	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	48	42	9	3	0	0	3	13	1	1	0	214	283	286	568	71	300	27	6	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	29	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	168	158	40	13	0	3	8	48	2	1	0	253	298	392	690	139	346	29	5	308	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	29	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	157	146	31	5	0	2	7	39	0	3	1	212	248	288	536	75	276	25	4	237	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	30	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	69	66	12	2	0	1	1	24	0	0	0	182	194	258	452	76	262	35	1	196	-22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	30	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	159	138	37	4	0	4	13	37	1	3	0	268	336	384	720	116	330	23	8	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	31	AAA	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	370	342	91	20	1	18	22	88	2	2	0	266	314	488	803	222	307	24	6	348	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	31	INTL	Mexico	—	148	134	35	4	0	1	4	38	4	4	3	261	303	313	616	52	358	26	3	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	33	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	66	62	17	2	0	1	1	15	0	0	0	274	286	355	641	81	340	23	2	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	34	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	146	136	29	11	0	4	4	38	0	1	0	213	236	382	618	169	258	26	3	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	35	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	101	96	9	1	0	1	3	38	1	0	0	94	130	135	265	42	140	38	3	124	-30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	36	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	129	116	22	5	0	0	5	35	5	1	2	190	254	233	487	43	272	27	4	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	37	INTL	Mexico Verde	—	130	116	24	4	0	0	6	38	0	2	0	207	246	241	487	34	293	29	5	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2006	18	ROK MLE	AZL Padres	—	63	59	10	3	0	0	4	14	0	0	0	169	222	220	443	51	228	22	6	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	19	ROK MLE	AZL Padres	—	95	83	16	3	0	0	7	30	3	0	0	193	280	229	508	36	279	32	7	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	20	A MLE	Fort Wayne Wizards	—	130	117	13	4	0	1	10	54	0	0	0	111	181	171	352	60	196	42	8	175	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	21	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	28	27	3	0	0	0	1	12	0	0	0	111	143	111	254		226	43	4	125	-29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	21	A+ MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	152	140	24	3	2	2	5	50	2	1	0	171	211	264	475	93	229	33	3	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	21	A MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	54	49	8	2	0	3	3	19	1	0	0	163	226	388	614	224	167	35	6	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	22	AAA MLE	Tigres de Quintana Roo	—	73	69	23	4	1	2	3	14	0	0	2	333	361	507	868	174	385	19	4	368	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	22	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	19	18	2	0	0	0	0	6	1	0	0	111	158	111	269		152	32	0	119	-33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	22	A+ MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	39	38	9	1	0	4	1	14	0	0	0	237	256	579	835	342	237	36	3	338	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	23	AAA MLE	Tucson Padres	—	39	38	5	1	0	0	1	19	0	0	0	132	154	158	312	26	301	49	3	155	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	23	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	274	261	55	11	1	5	6	84	5	0	0	211	243	318	561	107	281	31	2	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	343	333	80	21	1	5	7	93	1	1	1	240	258	354	612	114	318	27	2	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	25	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	26	24	5	0	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	208	240	208	448		242	19	4	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	25	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	66	62	8	2	0	0	2	23	1	2	0	129	169	161	331	32	214	35	3	158	-7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	26	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	267	254	44	5	2	2	4	84	4	0	1	173	198	232	431	59	240	31	1	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	27	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	16	15	2	1	0	0	1	7	0	0	0	133	188	200	388	67	189	44	6	158	-7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	27	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	—	234	223	28	6	0	1	4	75	1	0	0	126	145	166	311	40	178	32	2	134	-23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	28	AAA MLE	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	40	37	10	1	0	1	1	6	0	0	0	270	289	378	668	108	257	15	2	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	28	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	70	64	8	1	0	1	4	14	0	0	1	125	176	188	364	62	135	20	6	155	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	29	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	—	168	160	33	10	0	2	6	57	2	1	0	206	244	306	550	100	302	34	4	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	30	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	—	69	66	9	1	0	1	1	31	0	0	0	136	149	197	346	61	209	45	1	136	-22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	31	AAA MLE	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	370	350	65	12	1	11	14	115	2	2	0	186	221	320	541	134	236	31	4	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	18	ROK MLE	AZL Padres	—	63	59	10	3	0	0	4	14	0	0	0	169	222	220	443	51	222	22	6	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	18	ROK RAW	AZL Padres	—	63	56	14	5	0	0	7	10	0	0	0	250	333	339	673	89	304	16	11	309	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	19	ROK MLE	AZL Padres	—	95	83	16	3	0	0	7	30	3	0	0	193	280	229	508	36	296	32	7	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	19	ROK RAW	AZL Padres	—	95	79	20	4	0	0	11	21	3	0	0	253	366	304	669	51	339	22	12	310	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	20	A MLE	Fort Wayne Wizards	—	130	117	13	4	0	1	10	54	0	0	0	111	181	171	352	60	190	42	8	175	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	20	A RAW	Fort Wayne Wizards	—	130	113	18	6	0	2	14	40	0	0	0	159	252	265	517	106	222	31	11	236	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	21	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	234	217	35	5	2	5	8	81	3	1	0	161	202	272	474	111	224	35	3	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	21	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	234	213	42	6	3	6	12	61	3	1	0	197	250	338	588	141	242	26	5	257	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	22	INTL MLE	4 teams	—	258	245	67	9	2	12	8	67	2	0	2	273	302	473	775	200	325	26	3	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	22	INTL RAW	4 teams	—	258	238	73	12	1	9	15	60	2	0	2	307	353	479	832	172	372	23	6	364	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	492	471	95	19	2	8	11	162	5	2	0	202	228	301	529	100	287	33	2	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	23	AA RAW	3 teams	—	492	459	118	24	1	11	23	129	5	2	0	257	300	386	685	129	333	26	5	303	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	448	434	105	28	1	7	9	122	2	1	1	242	261	359	620	118	320	27	2	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	448	425	111	27	1	6	18	101	2	1	1	261	294	372	666	111	329	23	4	296	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	25	INTL MLE	3 teams	—	291	272	43	8	0	0	10	89	1	3	0	158	191	188	378	29	232	31	3	173	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	25	INTL RAW	3 teams	—	291	259	61	12	0	7	21	68	1	3	0	236	293	363	656	127	290	23	7	286	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	430	406	72	9	3	4	7	135	8	3	5	177	207	244	450	67	251	31	2	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	430	398	81	9	2	8	14	108	8	3	5	204	245	296	541	93	255	25	3	240	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	27	AA MLE	3 teams	—	448	423	53	13	0	1	9	147	3	1	1	125	149	163	313	38	187	33	2	136	-22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	27	AA RAW	3 teams	—	448	418	74	16	1	4	14	119	3	1	1	177	209	249	458	72	235	27	3	202	-22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	28	AA MLE	3 teams	—	158	144	26	3	0	2	7	28	1	1	1	181	224	243	467	62	202	18	4	197	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	28	AA RAW	3 teams	—	158	141	28	5	0	2	10	29	1	1	1	199	257	277	533	78	226	18	6	236	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	325	308	63	18	0	5	11	111	2	4	1	205	237	312	548	107	302	34	3	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	29	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	325	304	71	18	0	5	15	87	2	4	1	234	274	342	616	109	311	27	5	274	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	30	INTL MLE	2 teams	—	228	216	28	4	0	2	2	103	1	3	0	130	142	176	317	46	226	45	1	136	-22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	30	INTL RAW	2 teams	—	228	204	49	6	0	5	14	61	1	3	0	240	292	343	635	103	310	27	6	276	-22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	31	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	518	483	92	17	1	16	19	161	6	6	3	190	230	329	560	139	247	31	4	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	31	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	518	476	126	24	1	19	26	126	6	6	3	265	311	439	750	174	321	24	5	326	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	33	INTL MLE	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	66	62	17	2	0	1	1	15	0	0	0	274	286	355	641	81	340	23	2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	33	INTL RAW	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	66	62	17	2	0	1	1	15	0	0	0	274	286	355	641	81	340	23	2	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	34	INTL MLE	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	146	136	29	11	0	4	4	38	0	1	0	213	236	382	618	169	258	26	3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	34	INTL RAW	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	146	136	29	11	0	4	4	38	0	1	0	213	236	382	618	169	258	26	3	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	35	INTL MLE	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	101	96	9	1	0	1	3	38	1	0	0	94	130	135	265	42	140	38	3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	35	INTL RAW	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	101	96	9	1	0	1	3	38	1	0	0	94	130	135	265	42	140	38	3	124	-30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	36	INTL MLE	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	129	116	22	5	0	0	5	35	5	1	2	190	254	233	487	43	272	27	4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	36	INTL RAW	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	129	116	22	5	0	0	5	35	5	1	2	190	254	233	487	43	272	27	4	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	37	INTL MLE	Mexico Verde	—	130	116	24	4	0	0	6	38	0	2	0	207	246	241	487	34	293	29	5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	37	INTL RAW	Mexico Verde	—	130	116	24	4	0	0	6	38	0	2	0	207	246	241	487	34	293	29	5	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	18	ROK MLE	AZL Padres	—	63	59	10	3	0	0	4	14	0	0	0	169	222	220	443	51	228	22	6	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	19	ROK MLE	AZL Padres	—	95	85	16	3	0	0	7	30	3	0	0	188	280	224	503	35	279	32	7	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	20	A MLE	Fort Wayne Wizards	—	130	119	13	4	0	1	10	54	0	0	0	109	181	168	349	59	196	42	8	175	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	21	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	234	221	35	5	2	5	8	81	3	1	0	158	202	267	469	109	214	35	3	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	22	INTL MLE	4 teams	—	258	246	67	9	2	12	8	67	2	0	2	272	302	472	774	199	307	26	3	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	492	473	95	19	2	8	11	162	5	2	0	201	228	300	528	99	283	33	2	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	448	434	105	28	1	7	9	122	2	1	1	242	261	359	620	118	318	27	2	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	25	INTL MLE	3 teams	—	291	278	43	8	0	0	10	89	1	3	0	155	191	183	374	29	222	31	3	173	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	430	412	72	9	3	4	7	135	8	3	5	175	207	240	447	66	240	31	2	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	27	AA MLE	3 teams	—	448	433	53	13	0	1	9	147	3	1	1	122	149	159	309	37	179	33	2	136	-22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	28	AA MLE	3 teams	—	158	149	26	3	0	2	7	28	1	1	1	174	224	235	459	60	179	18	4	197	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	325	309	63	18	0	5	11	111	2	4	1	204	237	311	547	107	302	34	3	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	30	INTL MLE	2 teams	—	228	223	28	4	0	2	2	103	1	3	0	126	142	170	312	45	209	45	1	136	-22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	31	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	518	488	92	17	1	16	19	161	6	6	3	189	230	326	556	137	236	31	4	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	4690	4404	819	166	11	69	141	1468	43	29	16	186	219	276	494	90	258	31	3	187	13	-487	-1	+1	+84	+102	-30.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	610	114	23	2	10	20	203	6	4	2	187	220	280	500	93	259	31	3	187	13	-67	+0	+0	+12	+14	-4.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2019 AAASultanes de Monterrey · 370 PAwOBA .339 → .235 (−105)K% 23.8% → 31.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.78%	÷0.922	×1.200	—	—	30.97%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.95%	÷1.058	×0.690	—	×0.952	3.69%
HBP% /PA	0.54%	—	×0.940	—	×0.952	0.48%
Singles /BIP	20.47%	÷1.002	×0.930	×0.950	×0.952	17.19%
Doubles /BIP	7.87%	÷1.149	×0.830	×0.950	×0.952	5.15%
Triples /BIP	0.39%	÷1.091	×0.920	×0.950	×0.952	0.30%
Home runs /BIP	7.09%	÷0.997	×0.700	—	×0.952	4.74%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 100, 2B 130, 3B 118, K 84, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .339 → .235; ISO .222 → .140; BABIP .307 → .236. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AAAIowa Cubs · 69 PAwOBA .193 → .136 (−57)K% 34.8% → 45.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	34.78%	÷0.993	×1.290	—	—	45.19%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	1.45%	÷1.116	×0.710	—	×0.962	0.89%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.980	—	×0.962	0.00%
Singles /BIP	21.43%	÷1.033	×0.900	×0.985	×0.962	17.69%
Doubles /BIP	4.76%	÷1.091	×0.810	×0.985	×0.962	3.35%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.024	×0.810	×0.985	×0.962	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.38%	÷0.919	×0.780	—	×0.962	1.94%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 107, 2B 118, 3B 105, K 99, BB 123 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.

Result: wOBA .193 → .136; ISO .076 → .052; BABIP .262 → .209. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAAIowa Cubs · 168 PAwOBA .299 → .240 (−59)K% 28.6% → 34.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	28.57%	÷1.083	×1.290	—	—	34.04%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.76%	÷0.965	×0.710	—	×0.972	3.40%
HBP% /PA	1.19%	—	×0.980	—	×0.972	1.13%
Singles /BIP	21.82%	÷0.991	×0.900	×1.050	×0.972	20.22%
Doubles /BIP	11.82%	÷1.056	×0.810	×1.050	×0.972	9.25%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.042	×0.810	×1.050	×0.972	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.73%	÷0.899	×0.780	—	×0.972	2.30%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 98, 2B 111, 3B 108, K 117, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .299 → .240; ISO .139 → .105; BABIP .346 → .302. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 70 PAwOBA .199 → .155 (−45)K% 15.7% → 19.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.71%	÷0.985	×1.220	—	—	19.46%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.57%	÷1.050	×0.700	—	×0.958	5.48%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.850	—	×0.958	0.00%
Singles /BIP	13.73%	÷1.040	×0.970	×1.002	×0.958	12.28%
Doubles /BIP	1.96%	÷0.997	×0.860	×1.002	×0.958	1.62%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.031	×0.950	×1.002	×0.958	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.96%	÷1.371	×0.780	—	×0.958	1.07%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 174, 1B 108, 2B 99, 3B 106, K 97, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 24.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.

Result: wOBA .199 → .155; ISO .065 → .041; BABIP .154 → .135. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAAPawtucket Red Sox · 40 PAwOBA .289 → .271 (−18)K% 12.5% → 15.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.50%	÷0.979	×1.200	—	—	15.32%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	2.50%	÷1.007	×0.690	—	×0.982	1.68%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.982	0.00%
Singles /BIP	25.00%	÷0.957	×0.930	—	×0.982	23.85%
Doubles /BIP	3.12%	÷0.923	×0.830	—	×0.982	2.76%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.912	×0.970	—	×0.982	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.12%	÷0.994	×0.840	—	×0.982	2.59%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 91, 2B 85, 3B 82, K 96, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .289 → .271; ISO .108 → .095; BABIP .273 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AATulsa Drillers · 234 PAwOBA .157 → .134 (−24)K% 26.1% → 32.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	26.07%	÷0.989	×1.220	—	—	32.16%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	2.14%	÷0.976	×0.700	—	×0.968	1.48%
HBP% /PA	0.43%	—	×0.870	—	×0.968	0.36%
Singles /BIP	14.47%	÷0.938	×0.920	×1.000	×0.968	13.73%
Doubles /BIP	5.03%	÷1.006	×0.840	×1.000	×0.968	4.07%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.940	×1.000	×0.968	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.63%	÷1.039	×0.800	—	×0.968	0.47%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 88, 2B 101, 3B 80, K 98, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.000.

Result: wOBA .157 → .134; ISO .050 → .038; BABIP .195 → .178. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAAOklahoma City Dodgers · 16 PAwOBA .219 → .158 (−62)K% 31.2% → 41.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	31.25%	÷0.984	×1.290	—	—	40.96%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.50%	÷1.095	×0.710	—	×0.992	8.04%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.980	—	×0.992	0.00%
Singles /BIP	11.11%	÷1.028	×0.900	—	×0.992	9.65%
Doubles /BIP	11.11%	÷0.965	×0.810	—	×0.992	9.25%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.941	×0.810	—	×0.992	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.866	×0.780	—	×0.992	0.00%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 106, 2B 93, 3B 88, K 97, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .219 → .158; ISO .071 → .054; BABIP .222 → .189. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAADurham Bulls · 267 PAwOBA .224 → .193 (−31)K% 28.1% → 31.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	28.09%	÷1.070	×1.200	—	—	31.52%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	2.25%	÷0.950	×0.690	—	×1.003	1.64%
HBP% /PA	1.50%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	1.41%
Singles /BIP	22.16%	÷1.005	×0.930	×0.962	×1.003	19.79%
Doubles /BIP	3.98%	÷1.023	×0.830	×0.962	×1.003	3.11%
Triples /BIP	1.14%	÷0.900	×0.970	×0.962	×1.003	1.18%
Home runs /BIP	1.70%	÷1.046	×0.840	—	×1.003	1.37%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 101, 2B 105, 3B 80, K 114, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.962.

Result: wOBA .224 → .193; ISO .080 → .067; BABIP .273 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .