Lou Marson
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 27 | AAACLE | 23 | .100/.217/.100 | 0 | 0 | -24 | — | .095/.174/.095 |
| 2014 | 28 | AAMIA | 29 | .217/.379/.217 | 0 | 1 | 49 | — | .200/.310/.200 |
| 2015 | 29 | AAMIA | 21 | .263/.333/.368 | 0 | 0 | 65 | — | .250/.286/.350 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2006 | 20 | A | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 410 | 350 | 85 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 49 | 82 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 243 | 344 | 351 | 695 | 109 | 306 | 20 | 12 | 315 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 21 | A+ | Clearwater Threshers | — | 457 | 393 | 113 | 24 | 1 | 7 | 52 | 80 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 288 | 378 | 407 | 785 | 120 | 340 | 18 | 11 | 351 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | AA | Reading Phillies | — | 395 | 322 | 101 | 18 | 0 | 5 | 68 | 70 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 314 | 436 | 416 | 852 | 102 | 384 | 18 | 17 | 387 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | MLB | Cleveland Indians | — | 72 | 61 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 352 | 361 | 713 | 115 | 366 | 29 | 14 | 322 | 104 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +8 | +2 | 0.8 |
| 2009 | 23 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 357 | 314 | 87 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 40 | 59 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 277 | 362 | 360 | 722 | 83 | 335 | 17 | 11 | 331 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | MLB | Cleveland Indians | — | 294 | 262 | 51 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 55 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 195 | 275 | 286 | 561 | 92 | 234 | 19 | 9 | 258 | 60 | -14 | +1 | -8 | +8 | +6 | -0.7 |
| 2010 | 24 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 147 | 124 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 24 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 202 | 327 | 371 | 697 | 169 | 219 | 16 | 15 | 318 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | MLB | Cleveland Indians | — | 272 | 243 | 56 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 68 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 230 | 302 | 296 | 599 | 66 | 312 | 25 | 9 | 273 | 71 | -9 | +0 | -11 | +5 | +6 | -1.0 |
| 2012 | 26 | MLB | Cleveland Indians | — | 235 | 195 | 44 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 44 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 226 | 349 | 287 | 636 | 62 | 289 | 19 | 15 | 298 | 89 | -3 | +0 | -10 | +4 | +5 | -0.3 |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 23 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 217 | 100 | 317 | 167 | 35 | 13 | 170 | -24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2014 | 28 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 29 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 217 | 379 | 217 | 597 | 250 | 10 | 21 | 300 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2015 | 29 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 21 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 263 | 333 | 368 | 702 | 105 | 294 | 10 | 10 | 318 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 873 | 761 | 166 | 39 | 4 | 4 | 96 | 188 | 5 | 16 | 5 | 218 | 310 | 296 | 605 | 78 | 282 | 22 | 11 | 279 | 75 | -26 | +1 | -31 | +25 | +19 | -1.3 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2006 | 20 | A MLE | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 410 | 366 | 81 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 33 | 110 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 221 | 295 | 311 | 606 | 90 | 297 | 27 | 8 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 21 | A+ MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 457 | 407 | 108 | 24 | 1 | 6 | 38 | 114 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 265 | 336 | 373 | 709 | 108 | 339 | 25 | 8 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | AA MLE | Reading Phillies | — | 395 | 342 | 106 | 17 | 0 | 4 | 48 | 85 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 310 | 398 | 395 | 793 | 85 | 398 | 22 | 12 | 358 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Indians | — | 72 | 61 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 352 | 361 | 713 | 115 | 366 | 29 | 14 | 322 | 104 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +8 | +2 | 0.8 |
| 2009 | 23 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 357 | 326 | 86 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 71 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 264 | 326 | 337 | 663 | 74 | 331 | 20 | 8 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Indians | — | 294 | 262 | 51 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 55 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 195 | 275 | 286 | 561 | 92 | 234 | 19 | 9 | 256 | 60 | -14 | +1 | -8 | +8 | +6 | -0.7 |
| 2010 | 24 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 147 | 130 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 29 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 177 | 272 | 308 | 580 | 131 | 201 | 20 | 11 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Indians | — | 272 | 243 | 56 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 68 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 230 | 302 | 296 | 599 | 66 | 312 | 25 | 9 | 274 | 71 | -9 | +0 | -11 | +5 | +6 | -1.0 |
| 2012 | 26 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Indians | — | 235 | 195 | 44 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 44 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 226 | 349 | 287 | 636 | 62 | 289 | 19 | 15 | 300 | 89 | -3 | +0 | -10 | +4 | +5 | -0.3 |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 23 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 95 | 174 | 95 | 269 | 159 | 39 | 9 | 132 | -24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2014 | 28 | AA MLE | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 29 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 200 | 310 | 200 | 510 | 229 | 14 | 14 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2015 | 29 | AA MLE | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 21 | 20 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 286 | 350 | 636 | 100 | 266 | 10 | 5 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 20 | A MLE | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 410 | 366 | 81 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 33 | 110 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 221 | 295 | 311 | 606 | 90 | 307 | 27 | 8 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 20 | A RAW | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 410 | 350 | 85 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 49 | 82 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 243 | 344 | 351 | 695 | 109 | 306 | 20 | 12 | 315 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 21 | A+ MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 457 | 407 | 108 | 24 | 1 | 6 | 38 | 114 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 265 | 336 | 373 | 709 | 108 | 348 | 25 | 8 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 21 | A+ RAW | Clearwater Threshers | — | 457 | 393 | 113 | 24 | 1 | 7 | 52 | 80 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 288 | 378 | 407 | 785 | 120 | 340 | 18 | 11 | 351 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | AA MLE | Reading Phillies | — | 395 | 342 | 106 | 17 | 0 | 4 | 48 | 85 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 310 | 398 | 395 | 793 | 85 | 398 | 22 | 12 | 358 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | AA RAW | Reading Phillies | — | 395 | 322 | 101 | 18 | 0 | 5 | 68 | 70 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 314 | 436 | 416 | 852 | 102 | 384 | 18 | 17 | 387 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 429 | 387 | 101 | 23 | 1 | 2 | 38 | 92 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 261 | 330 | 341 | 671 | 80 | 336 | 21 | 9 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 429 | 375 | 102 | 25 | 1 | 2 | 50 | 80 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 272 | 361 | 360 | 721 | 88 | 339 | 19 | 12 | 329 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 441 | 392 | 73 | 21 | 1 | 6 | 42 | 84 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 186 | 272 | 291 | 563 | 105 | 221 | 19 | 10 | 259 | 61 | -20 | +2 | -8 | +8 | +10 | -0.9 |
| 2010 | 24 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 441 | 386 | 76 | 22 | 1 | 7 | 48 | 79 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 197 | 292 | 313 | 606 | 117 | 229 | 18 | 11 | 278 | 61 | -20 | +2 | -8 | +8 | +10 | -0.9 |
| 2011 | 25 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Indians | — | 272 | 243 | 56 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 68 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 230 | 302 | 296 | 599 | 66 | 312 | 25 | 9 | 274 | 71 | -9 | +0 | -11 | +5 | +6 | -1.0 |
| 2011 | 25 | MLB RAW | Cleveland Indians | — | 272 | 243 | 56 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 68 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 230 | 302 | 296 | 599 | 66 | 312 | 25 | 9 | 273 | 71 | -9 | +0 | -11 | +5 | +6 | -1.0 |
| 2012 | 26 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Indians | — | 235 | 195 | 44 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 44 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 226 | 349 | 287 | 636 | 62 | 289 | 19 | 15 | 300 | 89 | -3 | +0 | -10 | +4 | +5 | -0.3 |
| 2012 | 26 | MLB RAW | Cleveland Indians | — | 235 | 195 | 44 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 44 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 226 | 349 | 287 | 636 | 62 | 289 | 19 | 15 | 298 | 89 | -3 | +0 | -10 | +4 | +5 | -0.3 |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 23 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 95 | 174 | 95 | 269 | 167 | 39 | 9 | 132 | -24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA RAW | Columbus Clippers | — | 23 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 217 | 100 | 317 | 167 | 35 | 13 | 170 | -24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2014 | 28 | AA MLE | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 29 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 200 | 310 | 200 | 510 | 238 | 14 | 14 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2014 | 28 | AA RAW | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 29 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 217 | 379 | 217 | 597 | 250 | 10 | 21 | 300 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2015 | 29 | AA MLE | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 21 | 20 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 286 | 350 | 636 | 100 | 278 | 10 | 5 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AA RAW | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 21 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 263 | 333 | 368 | 702 | 105 | 294 | 10 | 10 | 318 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 20 | A MLE | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 410 | 369 | 81 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 33 | 110 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 220 | 295 | 309 | 603 | 89 | 297 | 27 | 8 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 21 | A+ MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 457 | 411 | 108 | 24 | 1 | 6 | 38 | 114 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 263 | 336 | 370 | 705 | 107 | 339 | 25 | 8 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | AA MLE | Reading Phillies | — | 395 | 342 | 106 | 17 | 0 | 4 | 48 | 85 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 310 | 398 | 395 | 793 | 85 | 398 | 22 | 12 | 358 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 429 | 386 | 101 | 23 | 1 | 2 | 38 | 92 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 262 | 330 | 342 | 672 | 80 | 337 | 21 | 9 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 441 | 392 | 73 | 21 | 1 | 6 | 42 | 84 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 186 | 272 | 291 | 563 | 105 | 223 | 19 | 10 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Indians | — | 272 | 245 | 56 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 68 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 229 | 302 | 294 | 596 | 65 | 312 | 25 | 9 | 274 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Indians | — | 235 | 196 | 44 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 44 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 224 | 349 | 286 | 635 | 61 | 289 | 19 | 15 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 23 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 95 | 174 | 95 | 269 | 159 | 39 | 9 | 132 | -24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2014 | 28 | AA MLE | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 29 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 200 | 310 | 200 | 510 | 229 | 14 | 14 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2015 | 29 | AA MLE | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 21 | 20 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 286 | 350 | 636 | 100 | 266 | 10 | 5 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 873 | 761 | 166 | 39 | 4 | 4 | 96 | 188 | 5 | 16 | 5 | 218 | 310 | 296 | 605 | 78 | 282 | 22 | 11 | 279 | 85 | -26 | +1 | -31 | +25 | +19 | -1.3 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 567 | 124 | 29 | 3 | 3 | 71 | 140 | 4 | 12 | 4 | 219 | 310 | 296 | 606 | 78 | 283 | 22 | 11 | 279 | 85 | -20 | +1 | -23 | +18 | +14 | -0.9 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2712 | 2398 | 581 | 118 | 12 | 22 | 266 | 612 | 20 | 36 | 10 | 242 | 323 | 329 | 652 | 87 | 314 | 23 | 10 | 294 | 85 | -26 | +1 | -31 | +25 | +19 | -1.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 575 | 139 | 28 | 3 | 5 | 64 | 147 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 242 | 323 | 327 | 650 | 85 | 314 | 23 | 10 | 294 | 85 | -20 | +1 | -23 | +18 | +14 | -0.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2015 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos · 21 PAwOBA .310 → .264 (−46)K% 9.5% → 11.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.52% | ÷0.979 | ×1.220 | — | — | 11.87% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.52% | ÷1.087 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.958 | 5.71% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.958 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.65% | ÷0.965 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.958 | 16.12% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.76% | ÷0.979 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.958 | 10.48% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.903 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.958 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.037 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.958 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 93, 2B 96, 3B 81, K 96, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 24.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .310 → .264; ISO .105 → .095; BABIP .294 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos · 29 PAwOBA .294 → .240 (−55)K% 10.3% → 12.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.34% | ÷1.014 | ×1.220 | — | — | 12.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 20.69% | ÷1.051 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.968 | 12.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷0.971 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.968 | 22.94% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.012 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.970 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 94, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 103, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .294 → .240; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .250 → .229. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAAColumbus Clippers · 23 PAwOBA .167 → .132 (−34)K% 34.8% → 41.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 34.78% | ÷1.013 | ×1.200 | — | — | 41.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.04% | ÷0.986 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 9.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷0.980 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.003 | 15.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.933 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.111 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 96, 2B 87, 3B 80, K 103, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .167 → .132; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .167 → .159. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAAColumbus Clippers · 147 PAwOBA .310 → .264 (−46)K% 16.3% → 19.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.33% | ÷1.007 | ×1.200 | — | — | 19.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.97% | ÷1.004 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 10.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.68% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.67% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.00% | ÷1.035 | ×0.930 | ×1.008 | ×1.048 | 12.34% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.00% | ÷1.038 | ×0.830 | ×1.008 | ×1.048 | 5.91% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.008 | ×1.048 | 1.14% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.00% | ÷1.038 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.048 | 3.39% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 107, 2B 108, 3B 80, K 101, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.
Result: wOBA .310 → .264; ISO .169 → .150; BABIP .219 → .201. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 AAAColumbus Clippers · 357 PAwOBA .322 → .297 (−25)K% 16.5% → 19.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.53% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 19.83% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.92% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 7.91% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.56% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.55% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.037 | ×1.050 | 26.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.06% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.037 | ×1.050 | 6.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.39% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.037 | ×1.050 | 0.41% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.78% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.050 | 0.69% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.037.
Result: wOBA .322 → .297; ISO .083 → .076; BABIP .335 → .331. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2008 AAReading Phillies · 395 PAwOBA .380 → .358 (−21)K% 17.7% → 21.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.72% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.71% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.042 | 12.19% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.51% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.042 | 0.45% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.95% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.042 | 32.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.860 | ×1.050 | ×1.042 | 6.72% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.98% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.042 | 1.61% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .380 → .358; ISO .102 → .093; BABIP .384 → .398. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2007 A+Clearwater Threshers · 457 PAwOBA .345 → .314 (−31)K% 17.5% → 24.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.51% | ÷1.000 | ×1.420 | — | — | 24.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.94% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.027 | 8.43% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.09% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×1.027 | 1.04% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 25.67% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.960 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 7.94% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.32% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 0.28% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.24% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.027 | 2.02% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .345 → .314; ISO .120 → .111; BABIP .340 → .339. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2006 ALakewood BlueClaws · 410 PAwOBA .307 → .267 (−40)K% 20.0% → 26.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.00% | ÷1.000 | ×1.340 | — | — | 26.80% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.71% | ÷1.000 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.030 | 7.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.22% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.030 | 0.97% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.39% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.030 | 22.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.97% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×1.030 | 5.29% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.87% | ÷1.000 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×1.030 | 1.90% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.49% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.030 | 1.26% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .307 → .267; ISO .109 → .097; BABIP .306 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).