Grégor Blanco

PosCF
B/TL/L
Born1983-12-24
Age (2027)43
No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.
Overview
AAALAST SEASON 2019
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
201733MLBARI256.246/.337/.357315940.7
201834AAA/INTL2 orgs253.247/.345/.3704367—.202/.264/.298
201834MLBSF203.217/.264/.3172664-1.1
201935AAANYM426.246/.344/.406131160—.192/.262/.318
202036No MLB games played
202137No MLB games played
202238No MLB games played
202339No MLB games played
202440No MLB games played
202541No MLB games played
202642No MLB games played
Last 3 seasons WAR -0.3
Contract
No contract data on file.
Skills · percentileStatcast 2016-2018
Speed73
xwOBA25
Barrel%10
Avg EV10

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
200521 AAMississippi Braves — 486401 10111126 731242 2812 252370384754 132347 2615 337 87 — — — — — —
200622 AAARichmond Braves — 327269 791210 52530 149 294408346754 52366 1616 346 102 — — — — — —
200622 AAMississippi Braves — 302251 721630 43573 176 287397375772 88371 1914 350 99 — — — — — —
200723 AAARichmond Braves — 545464 1311853 63852 2318 282371362733 80339 1612 326 95 — — — — — —
200824 MLBAtlanta Braves — 519430 1081441 74996 135 251369309678 58321 1914 314 97 -2 +1 -1 -6 +11 0.3
200925 MLBAtlanta Braves — 4843 8010 490 20 186255233488 47235 198 224 38 -4 +0 -1 +2 +1 -0.1
200925 AAAGwinnett Braves — 397333 76912 50701 103 228331279610 51277 1813 279 58 — — — — — —
201026 MLBKansas City Royals — 269237 67941 29500 114 283361367728 84353 1911 328 107 +2 +1 +1 +2 +6 1.2
201026 AAAGwinnett Braves — 187154 44801 23281 91 286382357739 71344 1512 325 84 — — — — — —
201026 INTLTiburones de La Guaira — 191149 42611 35302 114 282425356780 74347 1618 356 127 — — — — — —
201127 AAASyracuse Chiefs — 252199 401223 44502 242 201351327678 126252 2017 309 64 — — — — — —
201127 INTLTiburones de La Guaira — 252196 661454 47466 187 337478520998 184425 1819 438 183 — — — — — —
201228 MLBSan Francisco Giants — 453393 961455 511042 266 244334344678 99318 2311 306 94 -3 +3 +2 -6 +10 0.5
201228 INTLTiburones de La Guaira — 8070 23111 10180 42 329412414827 86431 2212 376 140 — — — — — —
201329 MLBSan Francisco Giants — 511452 1201763 52951 149 265343350692 84328 1910 313 97 -2 -1 +5 +2 +11 1.6
201430 MLBSan Francisco Giants — 444393 1021865 41773 165 260334374708 115311 179 315 101 +1 +1 +2 +2 +10 1.5
201531 MLBSan Francisco Giants — 372327 951935 40592 135 291371413784 122338 1611 351 118 +8 +1 -4 +1 +8 1.4
201632 MLBSan Francisco Giants — 274241 541041 29511 63 224309311620 87279 1911 283 73 -9 +0 -4 -3 +6 -1.0
201733 MLBArizona Diamondbacks — 256224 551033 31590 151 246337357694 112321 2312 316 94 -2 +3 -0 +1 +6 0.7
201733 A+Visalia Rawhide — 2018 7100 250 40 389450444894 56538 2510 405 80 — — — — — —
201834 MLBSan Francisco Giants — 203189 41732 12580 62 217264317581 101300 296 259 64 -9 +0 -2 -5 +4 -1.1
201834 AAASacramento River Cats — 194170 42724 23400 21 247337382719 135302 2112 324 54 — — — — — —
201834 INTLTiburones de La Guaira — 5949 12210 10100 13 245373327699 82308 1717 327 108 — — — — — —
201935 AAASyracuse Mets — 426362 8913313 52942 118 246344406750 160291 2212 330 60 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 33492929 7461183926 36366115 12240 255340348688 94319 2011 311 97 -13 +8 -2 -9 +73 5.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
200521 AA MLEMississippi Braves — 486423 10111125 511512 2812 239324357681 118343 3110 297 87 — — — — — —
200622 AAA MLERichmond Braves — 327284 841210 37630 149 296377345722 49369 1911 319 102 — — — — — —
200622 AA MLEMississippi Braves — 302264 731630 30693 176 277357360717 83367 2310 315 99 — — — — — —
200723 AAA MLERichmond Braves — 545481 1381763 461022 2318 287352366718 79342 198 308 95 — — — — — —
200824 MLB MLEAtlanta Braves — 519432 1081441 72996 135 250365308673 58321 1914 312 97 -2 +1 -1 -6 +11 0.3
200925 MLB MLEAtlanta Braves — 4843 8010 490 20 186255233488 47235 198 224 38 -4 +0 -1 +2 +1 -0.1
200925 AAA MLEGwinnett Braves — 397348 78812 35841 103 224297270567 46271 219 254 58 — — — — — —
201026 MLB MLEKansas City Royals — 269238 67941 28500 114 282357366723 84353 1910 326 107 +2 +1 +1 +2 +6 1.2
201026 AAA MLEGwinnett Braves — 187161 45801 16351 91 280348348696 68323 199 292 84 — — — — — —
201127 AAA MLESyracuse Chiefs — 252213 401123 30612 242 188294300594 113236 2412 263 64 — — — — — —
201228 MLB MLESan Francisco Giants — 453395 971455 491042 266 246332344676 99318 2311 307 94 -3 +3 +2 -6 +10 0.5
201329 MLB MLESan Francisco Giants — 511456 1211763 48951 149 265337349685 83328 199 311 97 -2 -1 +5 +2 +11 1.6
201430 MLB MLESan Francisco Giants — 444394 1031865 40773 165 261334376710 114311 179 318 101 +1 +1 +2 +2 +10 1.5
201531 MLB MLESan Francisco Giants — 372334 961935 33592 135 287355407762 120338 169 343 118 +8 +1 -4 +1 +8 1.4
201632 MLB MLESan Francisco Giants — 274246 551041 25511 63 224298309607 85279 199 276 73 -9 +0 -4 -3 +6 -1.0
201733 MLB MLEArizona Diamondbacks — 256224 53923 31590 151 237329335664 98321 2312 307 94 -2 +3 -0 +1 +6 0.7
201733 A+ MLEVisalia Rawhide — 2019 6100 170 40 316350368718 53446 355 286 80 — — — — — —
201834 MLB MLESan Francisco Giants — 203189 41732 12580 62 217264317581 101300 296 263 64 -9 +0 -2 -5 +4 -1.1
201834 AAA MLESacramento River Cats — 194178 36613 15480 21 202264298562 96256 258 248 54 — — — — — —
201935 AAA MLESyracuse Mets — 426380 739311 341112 118 192262318580 126227 268 257 60 — — — — — —
200521 AA MLEMississippi Braves — 486423 10111125 511512 2812 239324357681 118356 3110 297 87 — — — — — —
200521 AA RAWMississippi Braves — 486401 10111126 731242 2812 252370384754 132347 2615 337 87 — — — — — —
200622 AAA MLE2 teams — 629548 1572840 671333 3115 286367352720 66378 2111 317 101 — — — — — —
200622 AAA RAW2 teams — 629520 1512840 951103 3115 290403360763 69368 1715 348 101 — — — — — —
200723 AAA MLERichmond Braves — 545481 1381763 461022 2318 287352366718 79357 198 308 95 — — — — — —
200723 AAA RAWRichmond Braves — 545464 1311853 63852 2318 282371362733 80339 1612 326 95 — — — — — —
200824 MLB MLEAtlanta Braves — 519432 1081441 72996 135 250365308673 58319 1914 312 97 -2 +1 -1 -6 +11 0.3
200824 MLB RAWAtlanta Braves — 519430 1081441 74996 135 251369309678 58321 1914 314 97 -2 +1 -1 -6 +11 0.3
200925 AAA MLE2 teams — 445391 86822 39931 123 220292266558 46278 219 251 56 — — — — — —
200925 AAA RAW2 teams — 445376 84922 54791 123 223323274596 51272 1812 273 56 — — — — — —
201026 MLB MLE3 teams — 647565 1592453 621203 319 281356358713 76352 1910 312 97 -2 +3 +1 +2 +14 1.8
201026 MLB RAW3 teams — 647540 1532353 871083 319 283386361747 78349 1713 336 97 -2 +3 +1 +2 +14 1.8
201127 AAA MLE2 teams — 504427 812256 591228 429 190300307606 117250 2412 263 64 — — — — — —
201127 AAA RAW2 teams — 504395 1062677 91968 429 268415423838 154338 1918 374 64 — — — — — —
201228 MLB MLE2 teams — 533466 1141666 581222 308 245331343674 99318 2311 307 94 -4 +3 +2 -6 +12 0.7
201228 MLB RAW2 teams — 533463 1191566 611222 308 257346354700 97335 2311 317 94 -4 +3 +2 -6 +12 0.7
201329 MLB MLESan Francisco Giants — 511456 1211763 48951 149 265337349685 83327 199 311 97 -2 -1 +5 +2 +11 1.6
201329 MLB RAWSan Francisco Giants — 511452 1201763 52951 149 265343350692 84328 1910 313 97 -2 -1 +5 +2 +11 1.6
201430 MLB MLESan Francisco Giants — 444394 1031865 40773 165 261334376710 114313 179 318 101 +1 +1 +2 +2 +10 1.5
201430 MLB RAWSan Francisco Giants — 444393 1021865 41773 165 260334374708 115311 179 315 101 +1 +1 +2 +2 +10 1.5
201531 MLB MLESan Francisco Giants — 372334 961935 33592 135 287355407762 120333 169 343 118 +8 +1 -4 +1 +8 1.4
201531 MLB RAWSan Francisco Giants — 372327 951935 40592 135 291371413784 122338 1611 351 118 +8 +1 -4 +1 +8 1.4
201632 MLB MLESan Francisco Giants — 274246 551041 25511 63 224298309607 85277 199 276 73 -9 +0 -4 -3 +6 -1.0
201632 MLB RAWSan Francisco Giants — 274241 541041 29511 63 224309311620 87279 1911 283 73 -9 +0 -4 -3 +6 -1.0
201733 MLB MLE2 teams — 276243 581023 32660 191 239327333661 95316 2412 305 93 -2 +3 -0 +1 +6 0.8
201733 MLB RAW2 teams — 276242 621133 33640 191 256345364709 107337 2312 322 93 -2 +3 -0 +1 +6 0.8
201834 MLB MLE3 teams — 456422 891556 311220 96 211265313578 102281 277 256 59 -22 -1 -2 -5 +10 -2.0
201834 MLB RAW3 teams — 456408 951666 451080 96 233309346655 113302 2410 295 59 -22 -1 -2 -5 +10 -2.0
201935 AAA MLESyracuse Mets — 426380 739311 341112 118 192262318580 126235 268 257 60 — — — — — —
201935 AAA RAWSyracuse Mets — 426362 8913313 52942 118 246344406750 160291 2212 330 60 — — — — — —
200521 AA MLEMississippi Braves — 486430 10111125 511512 2812 235324351675 116343 3110 297 87 — — — — — —
200622 AAA MLE2 teams — 629554 1572840 671333 3115 283367348716 65368 2111 317 101 — — — — — —
200723 AAA MLERichmond Braves — 545492 1381763 461022 2318 280352358709 77342 198 308 95 — — — — — —
200824 MLB MLEAtlanta Braves — 519436 1081441 72996 135 248365305670 57321 1914 312 97 — — — — — —
200925 AAA MLE2 teams — 445402 86822 39931 123 214292259551 45267 219 251 56 — — — — — —
201026 MLB MLE3 teams — 647577 1592453 621203 319 276356350706 75341 1910 312 97 — — — — — —
201127 AAA MLE2 teams — 504432 812256 591228 429 188300303603 116236 2412 263 64 — — — — — —
201228 MLB MLE2 teams — 533468 1141666 581222 308 244331342673 98318 2311 307 94 — — — — — —
201329 MLB MLESan Francisco Giants — 511457 1211763 48951 149 265337348685 83328 199 311 97 — — — — — —
201430 MLB MLESan Francisco Giants — 444398 1031865 40773 165 259334372706 113311 179 318 101 — — — — — —
201531 MLB MLESan Francisco Giants — 372334 961935 33592 135 287355407762 120338 169 343 118 — — — — — —
201632 MLB MLESan Francisco Giants — 274246 551041 25511 63 224298309607 85279 199 276 73 — — — — — —
201733 MLB MLE2 teams — 276242 581023 32660 191 240327335662 95330 2412 305 93 — — — — — —
201834 MLB MLE3 teams — 456422 891556 311220 96 211265313578 102278 277 256 59 — — — — — —
201935 AAA MLESyracuse Mets — 426387 739311 341112 118 189262313575 124227 268 257 60 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 33492929 7461183926 36366115 12240 255340348688 94319 2011 311 87 -13 +8 -2 -9 +73 5.7
/ 162G— A+C — 650568 1452385 701283 248 255340350690 95320 2011 311 87 -2 +2 -0 -2 +14 1.1
Career— MLE — 70676208 15392387360 697152336 298116 248327339666 91318 2210 297 87 -13 +8 -2 -9 +73 5.7
/ 162G— MLE — 650571 1422276 641403 2711 249328343671 95318 2210 297 87 -2 +2 -0 -2 +14 1.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2019 AAASyracuse Mets · 426 PAwOBA .325 → .257 (−69)K% 22.1% → 26.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.07%÷1.020×1.200——25.97%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.97%÷0.966×0.690—×0.9408.04%
HBP% /PA0.47%—×0.940—×0.9400.41%
Singles /BIP22.39%÷1.042×0.930×0.950×0.94017.85%
Doubles /BIP4.85%÷1.060×0.830×0.950×0.9403.39%
Triples /BIP1.12%÷0.900×0.970×0.950×0.9401.08%
Home runs /BIP4.85%÷0.960×0.840—×0.9403.99%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 108, 2B 112, 3B 80, K 104, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 36 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (8.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .325 → .257; ISO .160 → .135; BABIP .291 → .227. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AAASacramento River Cats · 194 PAwOBA .316 → .248 (−68)K% 20.6% → 24.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.62%÷1.071×1.290——24.83%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.86%÷1.043×0.710—×0.9407.59%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.980—×0.9400.00%
Singles /BIP22.31%÷0.963×0.900×0.997×0.94019.52%
Doubles /BIP5.38%÷0.910×0.810×0.997×0.9404.49%
Triples /BIP1.54%÷1.150×0.810×0.997×0.9401.02%
Home runs /BIP3.08%÷0.998×0.780—×0.9402.26%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 93, 2B 82, 3B 130, K 114, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 35 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.

Result: wOBA .316 → .248; ISO .135 → .103; BABIP .302 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 A+Visalia Rawhide · 20 PAwOBA .395 → .286 (−109)K% 25.0% → 35.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.00%÷0.952×1.340——35.18%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.00%÷0.996×0.710—×0.9406.70%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.790—×0.9400.00%
Singles /BIP46.15%÷1.016×0.910—×0.94038.85%
Doubles /BIP7.69%÷1.038×0.820—×0.9405.71%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.760—×0.9400.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.048×0.920—×0.9400.00%

Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 103, 2B 108, 3B 80, K 90, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 22.8 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (11.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .395 → .286; ISO .056 → .037; BABIP .538 → .446. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAASyracuse Chiefs · 252 PAwOBA .303 → .263 (−40)K% 19.8% → 24.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.84%÷0.986×1.200——24.16%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.46%÷1.012×0.690—×0.99211.81%
HBP% /PA0.79%—×0.940—×0.9920.74%
Singles /BIP15.44%÷1.000×0.930×1.050×0.99214.96%
Doubles /BIP8.05%÷1.018×0.830×1.050×0.9926.84%
Triples /BIP1.34%÷0.900×0.970×1.050×0.9921.51%
Home runs /BIP2.01%÷0.921×0.840—×0.9921.82%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 100, 2B 104, 3B 80, K 97, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .303 → .263; ISO .126 → .123; BABIP .252 → .236. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AAAGwinnett Braves · 187 PAwOBA .317 → .292 (−26)K% 15.0% → 18.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.97%÷0.964×1.200——18.65%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.30%÷1.026×0.690—×1.0038.29%
HBP% /PA0.53%—×0.940—×1.0030.50%
Singles /BIP27.78%÷1.032×0.930×1.050×1.00326.36%
Doubles /BIP6.35%÷0.968×0.830×1.050×1.0035.74%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.970×1.050×1.0030.00%
Home runs /BIP0.79%÷0.921×0.840—×1.0030.73%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 106, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 93, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .317 → .292; ISO .071 → .070; BABIP .344 → .323. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2009 AAAGwinnett Braves · 397 PAwOBA .277 → .254 (−23)K% 17.6% → 21.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.63%÷1.000×1.200——21.16%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.59%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0188.85%
HBP% /PA0.25%—×0.940—×1.0180.24%
Singles /BIP24.33%÷1.000×0.930×1.045×1.01824.08%
Doubles /BIP3.42%÷1.000×0.830×1.045×1.0183.02%
Triples /BIP0.38%÷1.000×0.970×1.045×1.0180.39%
Home runs /BIP0.76%÷1.000×0.840—×1.0180.65%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.045.

Result: wOBA .277 → .254; ISO .051 → .048; BABIP .277 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2007 AAARichmond Braves · 545 PAwOBA .320 → .308 (−12)K% 15.6% → 18.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.60%÷1.000×1.200——18.72%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.56%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0488.36%
HBP% /PA0.37%—×0.940—×1.0480.36%
Singles /BIP27.70%÷1.000×0.930×1.050×1.04828.35%
Doubles /BIP4.75%÷1.000×0.830×1.050×1.0484.34%
Triples /BIP1.32%÷1.000×0.970×1.050×1.0481.41%
Home runs /BIP0.79%÷1.000×0.840—×1.0480.70%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .320 → .308; ISO .080 → .079; BABIP .339 → .342. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2006 AAARichmond Braves · 327 PAwOBA .337 → .319 (−18)K% 16.2% → 19.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.21%÷1.000×1.200——19.45%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.60%÷1.000×0.690—×1.05011.30%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×1.0500.00%
Singles /BIP30.56%÷1.000×0.930×1.050×1.05031.33%
Doubles /BIP5.56%÷1.000×0.830×1.050×1.0505.08%
Triples /BIP0.46%÷1.000×0.970×1.050×1.0500.50%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.840—×1.0500.00%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .337 → .319; ISO .052 → .051; BABIP .366 → .369. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .