Brock Peterson
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 29 | AAASTL | 508 | .296/.366/.531 | 25 | 1 | 86 | — | .229/.283/.395 | |
| 2013 | 29 | MLBSTL | 28 | .077/.143/.077 | 0 | 0 | -35 | -1.4 | ||
| 2014 | 30 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 552 | .294/.373/.466 | 17 | 2 | 79 | — | .227/.288/.346 | |
| 2015 | 31 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 447 | .225/.318/.390 | 14 | 1 | 49 | — | .178/.245/.297 | |
| 2016 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2017 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2018 | 34 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2019 | 35 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2020 | 36 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2021 | 37 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2022 | 38 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 39 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 40 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 41 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 42 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 21 | A+ | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 484 | 422 | 107 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 46 | 99 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 254 | 340 | 405 | 745 | 152 | 299 | 20 | 10 | 331 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 22 | A+ | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 500 | 447 | 130 | 21 | 4 | 21 | 40 | 93 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 291 | 360 | 497 | 856 | 206 | 322 | 19 | 8 | 374 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 23 | AA | New Britain Rock Cats | — | 455 | 389 | 111 | 21 | 4 | 15 | 44 | 90 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 285 | 384 | 476 | 859 | 190 | 336 | 20 | 10 | 380 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | — | 44 | 40 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 175 | 250 | 350 | 600 | 175 | 238 | 39 | 9 | 269 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | AA | New Britain Rock Cats | — | 468 | 421 | 111 | 32 | 2 | 14 | 41 | 102 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 264 | 332 | 449 | 781 | 185 | 315 | 22 | 9 | 343 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | — | 356 | 316 | 96 | 18 | 2 | 10 | 34 | 77 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 304 | 379 | 468 | 847 | 165 | 372 | 22 | 10 | 375 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | — | 502 | 437 | 107 | 21 | 3 | 19 | 51 | 131 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 245 | 336 | 437 | 773 | 192 | 302 | 26 | 10 | 342 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | INTL | Dominican Republic | — | 47 | 44 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 205 | 255 | 295 | 551 | 91 | 265 | 21 | 4 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 28 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | — | 80 | 72 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 250 | 325 | 528 | 853 | 278 | 260 | 21 | 10 | 370 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | — | 28 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 77 | 143 | 77 | 220 | 133 | 39 | 7 | 114 | -35 | -5 | +0 | -1 | -10 | +1 | -1.4 | |
| 2013 | 29 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | — | 508 | 456 | 135 | 30 | 1 | 25 | 44 | 114 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 296 | 366 | 531 | 896 | 235 | 345 | 22 | 9 | 391 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 30 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 476 | 419 | 126 | 26 | 2 | 15 | 47 | 106 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 301 | 381 | 480 | 860 | 179 | 369 | 22 | 10 | 380 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 30 | INTL | Aguilas de Mexicali | — | 76 | 68 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 250 | 329 | 382 | 711 | 132 | 357 | 32 | 11 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | — | 114 | 97 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 186 | 295 | 351 | 645 | 165 | 213 | 29 | 12 | 290 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | AA | Binghamton Mets | — | 333 | 290 | 69 | 17 | 2 | 9 | 36 | 84 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 238 | 326 | 403 | 730 | 166 | 297 | 25 | 11 | 323 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 28 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 77 | 143 | 77 | 220 | 133 | 39 | 7 | 114 | -36 | -5 | +0 | -1 | -10 | +1 | -1.4 | |||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 21 | A+ MLE | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 484 | 434 | 96 | 21 | 2 | 10 | 34 | 140 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 221 | 291 | 348 | 639 | 127 | 291 | 29 | 7 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 22 | A+ MLE | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 500 | 458 | 113 | 19 | 3 | 17 | 29 | 132 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 247 | 303 | 413 | 716 | 166 | 303 | 26 | 6 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 23 | AA MLE | New Britain Rock Cats | — | 455 | 403 | 106 | 19 | 4 | 12 | 30 | 110 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 263 | 341 | 419 | 761 | 156 | 322 | 24 | 7 | 327 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 44 | 41 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 146 | 205 | 317 | 522 | 171 | 221 | 45 | 7 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | AA MLE | New Britain Rock Cats | — | 468 | 434 | 102 | 28 | 2 | 11 | 28 | 124 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 235 | 284 | 385 | 669 | 150 | 297 | 26 | 6 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 356 | 328 | 88 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 93 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 268 | 322 | 409 | 731 | 140 | 340 | 26 | 6 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 502 | 455 | 98 | 18 | 3 | 17 | 33 | 153 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 215 | 282 | 380 | 662 | 165 | 276 | 30 | 7 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 28 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 80 | 74 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 189 | 250 | 405 | 655 | 216 | 211 | 26 | 8 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | MLB MLE | St. Louis Cardinals | — | 28 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 77 | 143 | 77 | 220 | 133 | 39 | 7 | 116 | -35 | -5 | +0 | -1 | -10 | +1 | -1.4 | |
| 2013 | 29 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 508 | 471 | 108 | 22 | 1 | 18 | 29 | 146 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 229 | 283 | 395 | 678 | 166 | 291 | 29 | 6 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 30 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 476 | 436 | 99 | 20 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 143 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 227 | 288 | 346 | 634 | 119 | 307 | 30 | 6 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 114 | 102 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 38 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 157 | 232 | 284 | 516 | 127 | 187 | 33 | 8 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | AA MLE | Binghamton Mets | — | 333 | 302 | 56 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 105 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 185 | 250 | 301 | 551 | 116 | 247 | 32 | 7 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 21 | A+ MLE | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 484 | 434 | 96 | 21 | 2 | 10 | 34 | 140 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 221 | 291 | 348 | 639 | 127 | 296 | 29 | 7 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 21 | A+ RAW | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 484 | 422 | 107 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 46 | 99 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 254 | 340 | 405 | 745 | 152 | 299 | 20 | 10 | 331 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 22 | A+ MLE | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 500 | 458 | 113 | 19 | 3 | 17 | 29 | 132 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 247 | 303 | 413 | 716 | 166 | 306 | 26 | 6 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 22 | A+ RAW | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 500 | 447 | 130 | 21 | 4 | 21 | 40 | 93 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 291 | 360 | 497 | 856 | 206 | 322 | 19 | 8 | 374 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 23 | AA MLE | New Britain Rock Cats | — | 455 | 403 | 106 | 19 | 4 | 12 | 30 | 110 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 263 | 341 | 419 | 761 | 156 | 332 | 24 | 7 | 327 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 23 | AA RAW | New Britain Rock Cats | — | 455 | 389 | 111 | 21 | 4 | 15 | 44 | 90 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 285 | 384 | 476 | 859 | 190 | 336 | 20 | 10 | 380 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 512 | 475 | 107 | 28 | 2 | 12 | 31 | 145 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 225 | 276 | 368 | 644 | 143 | 296 | 28 | 6 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 512 | 461 | 118 | 33 | 2 | 16 | 45 | 119 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 256 | 325 | 440 | 765 | 184 | 310 | 23 | 9 | 337 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 356 | 328 | 88 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 93 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 268 | 322 | 409 | 731 | 140 | 346 | 26 | 6 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | AAA RAW | Rochester Red Wings | — | 356 | 316 | 96 | 18 | 2 | 10 | 34 | 77 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 304 | 379 | 468 | 847 | 165 | 372 | 22 | 10 | 375 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 549 | 498 | 108 | 19 | 4 | 19 | 36 | 167 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 217 | 283 | 386 | 669 | 169 | 282 | 30 | 7 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 549 | 481 | 116 | 25 | 3 | 19 | 53 | 141 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 241 | 329 | 424 | 753 | 183 | 298 | 26 | 10 | 334 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 28 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 80 | 74 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 189 | 250 | 405 | 655 | 216 | 204 | 26 | 8 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 28 | AAA RAW | Memphis Redbirds | — | 80 | 72 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 250 | 325 | 528 | 853 | 278 | 260 | 21 | 10 | 370 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 536 | 497 | 110 | 22 | 1 | 18 | 31 | 157 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 221 | 275 | 378 | 654 | 157 | 284 | 29 | 6 | 286 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 536 | 482 | 137 | 30 | 1 | 25 | 46 | 125 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 284 | 354 | 506 | 860 | 222 | 335 | 23 | 9 | 377 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 30 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 552 | 508 | 115 | 23 | 2 | 11 | 34 | 166 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 226 | 284 | 344 | 629 | 118 | 311 | 30 | 6 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 30 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 552 | 487 | 143 | 29 | 2 | 17 | 55 | 130 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 294 | 373 | 466 | 840 | 172 | 367 | 24 | 10 | 372 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 447 | 404 | 72 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 33 | 144 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 178 | 245 | 297 | 542 | 119 | 241 | 32 | 7 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 447 | 387 | 87 | 18 | 2 | 14 | 50 | 117 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 225 | 318 | 390 | 708 | 165 | 278 | 26 | 11 | 314 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 21 | A+ MLE | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 484 | 438 | 96 | 21 | 2 | 10 | 34 | 140 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 219 | 291 | 345 | 636 | 126 | 291 | 29 | 7 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 22 | A+ MLE | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 500 | 459 | 113 | 19 | 3 | 17 | 29 | 132 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 246 | 303 | 412 | 715 | 166 | 303 | 26 | 6 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 23 | AA MLE | New Britain Rock Cats | — | 455 | 404 | 106 | 19 | 4 | 12 | 30 | 110 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 262 | 341 | 418 | 760 | 156 | 322 | 24 | 7 | 327 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 512 | 474 | 107 | 28 | 2 | 12 | 31 | 145 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 226 | 276 | 369 | 645 | 143 | 290 | 28 | 6 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 356 | 327 | 88 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 93 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 269 | 322 | 410 | 732 | 141 | 340 | 26 | 6 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 549 | 498 | 108 | 19 | 4 | 19 | 36 | 167 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 217 | 283 | 386 | 669 | 169 | 276 | 30 | 7 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 28 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 80 | 74 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 189 | 250 | 405 | 655 | 216 | 211 | 26 | 8 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 536 | 494 | 110 | 22 | 1 | 18 | 31 | 157 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 223 | 275 | 381 | 656 | 158 | 283 | 29 | 6 | 286 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 30 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 552 | 506 | 115 | 23 | 2 | 11 | 34 | 166 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 227 | 284 | 346 | 630 | 119 | 307 | 30 | 6 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 447 | 408 | 72 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 33 | 144 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 176 | 245 | 294 | 540 | 118 | 232 | 32 | 7 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 28 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 77 | 143 | 77 | 220 | 133 | 39 | 7 | 114 | 82 | -5 | +0 | -1 | -10 | +1 | -1.4 | ||
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 604 | 46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 46 | 255 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 76 | 142 | 76 | 218 | 132 | 39 | 7 | 114 | 82 | -105 | +0 | -15 | -222 | +14 | -33.5 | ||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4471 | 4079 | 929 | 182 | 23 | 122 | 286 | 1275 | 67 | 13 | 15 | 228 | 289 | 373 | 663 | 146 | 297 | 29 | 6 | 289 | 82 | -5 | +0 | -1 | -10 | +1 | -1.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 593 | 135 | 26 | 3 | 18 | 42 | 185 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 228 | 290 | 373 | 663 | 145 | 296 | 28 | 6 | 289 | 82 | -105 | +0 | -15 | -222 | +14 | -33.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2015 AABinghamton Mets · 333 PAwOBA .319 → .242 (−77)K% 25.2% → 31.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.23% | ÷0.974 | ×1.220 | — | — | 31.60% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.81% | ÷0.988 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 7.20% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.60% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.940 | 0.48% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.90% | ÷1.030 | ×0.970 | ×0.983 | ×0.940 | 17.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.25% | ÷1.034 | ×0.860 | ×0.983 | ×0.940 | 6.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.97% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.983 | ×0.940 | 0.95% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.37% | ÷1.088 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.940 | 2.95% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 106, 2B 107, 3B 80, K 95, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 24.8 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.
Result: wOBA .319 → .242; ISO .166 → .119; BABIP .297 → .247. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAARochester Red Wings · 114 PAwOBA .284 → .235 (−49)K% 28.9% → 33.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.95% | ÷1.030 | ×1.200 | — | — | 33.72% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.40% | ÷0.980 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.952 | 7.64% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.88% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.952 | 0.78% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.75% | ÷0.979 | ×0.930 | ×0.990 | ×0.952 | 16.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.56% | ÷0.987 | ×0.830 | ×0.990 | ×0.952 | 1.24% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.932 | ×0.970 | ×0.990 | ×0.952 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.81% | ÷0.956 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.952 | 6.53% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 96, 2B 97, 3B 86, K 106, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.
Result: wOBA .284 → .235; ISO .165 → .142; BABIP .213 → .187. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 476 PAwOBA .371 → .279 (−92)K% 22.3% → 30.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.27% | ÷0.955 | ×1.290 | — | — | 30.07% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.45% | ÷1.049 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.962 | 6.15% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.47% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.962 | 1.39% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.52% | ÷1.008 | ×0.900 | ×1.006 | ×0.962 | 22.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.31% | ÷0.982 | ×0.810 | ×1.006 | ×0.962 | 6.63% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.64% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×1.006 | ×0.962 | 0.44% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.79% | ÷1.078 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.962 | 3.34% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 102, 2B 96, 3B 130, K 91, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.
Result: wOBA .371 → .279; ISO .179 → .124; BABIP .369 → .307. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 508 PAwOBA .381 → .295 (−86)K% 22.4% → 28.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.44% | ÷1.004 | ×1.290 | — | — | 28.84% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.46% | ÷1.020 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.972 | 5.73% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.18% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.972 | 1.13% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.10% | ÷0.970 | ×0.900 | ×0.990 | ×0.972 | 20.63% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.77% | ÷1.002 | ×0.810 | ×0.990 | ×0.972 | 6.82% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.29% | ÷0.984 | ×0.810 | ×0.990 | ×0.972 | 0.23% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.31% | ÷0.988 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.972 | 5.61% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 94, 2B 100, 3B 97, K 101, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.
Result: wOBA .381 → .295; ISO .235 → .173; BABIP .345 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 80 PAwOBA .360 → .273 (−87)K% 21.2% → 26.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.25% | ÷1.033 | ×1.290 | — | — | 26.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.00% | ÷1.014 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.982 | 6.88% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.36% | ÷0.985 | ×0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.982 | 13.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.45% | ÷0.916 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.982 | 4.50% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.82% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.982 | 1.19% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.09% | ÷0.993 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.982 | 7.01% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 97, 2B 83, 3B 130, K 107, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .360 → .273; ISO .278 → .207; BABIP .260 → .211. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAARochester Red Wings · 502 PAwOBA .334 → .288 (−46)K% 26.1% → 30.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.10% | ÷1.025 | ×1.200 | — | — | 30.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.96% | ÷1.055 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 6.54% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.79% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 1.69% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.92% | ÷1.011 | ×0.930 | ×1.016 | ×1.003 | 19.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.86% | ÷1.009 | ×0.830 | ×1.016 | ×1.003 | 5.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.98% | ÷0.903 | ×0.970 | ×1.016 | ×1.003 | 1.07% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.21% | ÷0.944 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.003 | 5.54% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 102, 2B 102, 3B 81, K 105, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.
Result: wOBA .334 → .288; ISO .192 → .173; BABIP .302 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 AAARochester Red Wings · 356 PAwOBA .365 → .316 (−49)K% 21.6% → 26.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.63% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 25.96% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.71% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 6.12% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.12% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 1.08% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.62% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.992 | ×1.018 | 25.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.53% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.992 | ×1.018 | 6.31% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.84% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.992 | ×1.018 | 0.82% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.18% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 3.58% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.992.
Result: wOBA .365 → .316; ISO .165 → .141; BABIP .372 → .340. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2008 AANew Britain Rock Cats · 468 PAwOBA .335 → .288 (−48)K% 21.8% → 26.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.79% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.55% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 5.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.43% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.36% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.75% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.023 | ×0.998 | 19.55% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.03% | ÷1.000 | ×0.860 | ×1.023 | ×0.998 | 8.80% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.63% | ÷1.000 | ×0.950 | ×1.023 | ×0.998 | 0.61% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.39% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 3.42% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.
Result: wOBA .335 → .288; ISO .185 → .151; BABIP .315 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .