Chris Johnson

Pos3B

B/TR/R

Born1984-10-01

Age (2027)42

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2017

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2015	30	MLBCleveland Ind…	255	.255/.287/.337	3	2	75	-0.8
2016	31	MLBMIA	264	.222/.281/.329	5	0	76	-0.9
2017	32	AAABAL	264	.301/.333/.506	10	1	85	—	.254/.280/.429
2018	33	No MLB games played
2019	34	No MLB games played
2020	35	No MLB games played
2021	36	No MLB games played
2022	37	No MLB games played
2023	38	No MLB games played
2024	39	No MLB games played
2025	40	No MLB games played
2026	41	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR -1.8

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2015-2016

Avg EV58

xwOBA45

Barrel%26

Speed23

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2007	22	A+	Salem Avalanche	—	240	224	59	11	0	6	8	41	3	1	0	263	298	393	691	129	291	17	3	302	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	22	A	Lexington Legends	—	277	255	66	14	0	8	17	38	1	3	4	259	308	408	716	149	274	14	6	314	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	23	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	107	101	22	2	1	1	5	25	0	0	0	218	255	287	542	69	276	23	5	243	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	23	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	358	330	107	24	0	12	20	61	3	5	0	324	368	506	874	182	364	17	6	380	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	24	MLB	Houston Astros	—	23	22	2	0	0	0	1	6	0	0	0	91	130	91	221		125	26	4	109	-40	-4	+0	-1	+2	+0	-0.3
2009	24	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	412	384	108	20	5	13	21	90	4	2	1	281	325	461	786	180	335	22	5	344	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	24	A+	Lancaster JetHawks	—	17	16	7	5	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	438	471	750	1.221	312	538	18	6	525	152	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	25	MLB	Houston Astros	—	362	341	105	22	2	11	15	91	2	3	0	308	341	481	822	173	387	25	4	358	124	+10	+1	-9	+2	+8	1.2
2010	25	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	163	149	49	10	1	8	9	23	1	0	0	329	371	570	942	242	336	14	6	400	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	26	MLB	Houston Astros	—	405	378	95	21	3	7	16	97	7	2	2	251	294	378	673	127	317	24	4	298	82	-9	-0	-12	+2	+9	-1.1
2011	26	AAA	Oklahoma City RedHawks	—	94	81	22	7	0	4	10	25	3	1	1	272	372	506	879	235	346	27	11	388	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	27	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	528	488	137	28	5	15	31	132	4	5	1	281	329	451	780	170	354	25	6	342	109	+5	+1	-4	+2	+11	1.6
2013	28	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	547	514	165	34	0	12	29	116	2	0	0	321	360	457	817	136	394	21	5	362	127	+17	+0	-0	+2	+12	3.2
2014	29	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	611	582	153	27	0	10	23	159	2	6	0	263	293	361	654	98	345	26	4	291	82	-13	+1	+0	+2	+13	0.4
2015	30	MLB	Cleveland Indians	—	255	243	62	11	0	3	10	74	1	2	1	255	287	337	625	82	353	29	4	280	75	-8	+0	-1	-5	+6	-0.8
2016	31	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	264	243	54	11	0	5	19	78	1	0	0	222	281	329	611	107	306	30	7	276	76	-8	+0	-3	-5	+6	-0.9
2017	32	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	264	249	75	17	2	10	11	75	1	1	0	301	333	506	839	205	389	28	4	363	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	2995	2811	773	154	10	63	144	753	19	18	4	275	315	404	719	129	353	25	5	318	102	+6	+2	-30	+2	+65	4.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2007	22	A+ MLE	Salem Avalanche	—	240	228	52	9	0	5	4	58	3	1	0	228	251	333	584	105	269	24	2	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	22	A MLE	Lexington Legends	—	277	261	57	11	0	6	11	51	1	3	4	218	253	330	582	111	242	18	4	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	23	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	107	102	20	2	1	1	4	32	0	0	0	196	226	265	491	69	261	30	4	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	23	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	358	336	96	20	0	10	14	74	3	5	0	286	320	435	755	149	330	21	4	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	24	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	23	22	2	0	0	0	1	6	0	0	0	91	130	91	221		125	26	4	109	-40	-4	+0	-1	+2	+0	-0.3
2009	24	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	412	390	91	16	4	10	15	116	4	2	1	233	269	372	641	138	298	28	4	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	24	A+ MLE	Lancaster JetHawks	—	17	16	6	4	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	375	412	625	1.037	250	445	24	6	393	152	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	25	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	362	343	104	21	2	11	13	91	2	3	0	303	332	472	805	169	387	25	4	351	124	+10	+1	-9	+2	+8	1.2
2010	25	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	163	153	43	8	1	6	5	31	1	0	0	281	308	464	772	183	299	19	3	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	26	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	405	381	94	20	3	7	13	97	7	2	2	247	284	370	654	123	317	24	3	289	82	-9	-0	-12	+2	+9	-1.1
2011	26	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City RedHawks	—	94	85	18	6	0	3	6	33	3	1	1	212	287	388	675	176	306	35	6	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	27	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	528	490	134	26	4	15	29	132	4	5	1	273	319	435	754	161	354	25	5	329	109	+5	+1	-4	+2	+11	1.6
2013	28	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	547	519	164	32	0	13	24	116	2	0	0	316	349	453	801	137	394	21	4	355	127	+17	+0	-0	+2	+12	3.2
2014	29	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	611	584	153	26	0	11	21	159	2	6	0	262	290	363	653	101	345	26	3	289	82	-13	+1	+0	+2	+13	0.4
2015	30	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	255	243	62	11	0	3	10	74	1	2	1	255	287	337	625	82	353	29	4	279	75	-8	+0	-1	-5	+6	-0.8
2016	31	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	264	245	56	12	0	5	17	78	1	0	0	229	281	339	620	110	306	30	6	280	76	-8	+0	-3	-5	+6	-0.9
2017	32	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	—	264	252	64	13	2	9	8	91	1	1	0	254	280	429	708	175	341	34	3	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	517	489	110	20	0	12	15	109	4	4	4	225	254	339	593	115	261	21	3	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	517	479	125	25	0	14	25	79	4	4	4	261	303	401	704	140	282	15	5	308	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	465	438	115	22	1	10	18	107	3	5	0	263	296	386	682	123	322	23	4	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	465	431	129	26	1	13	25	86	3	5	0	299	342	455	797	155	344	18	5	349	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	24	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	452	428	98	19	4	10	17	126	4	2	1	229	265	362	627	133	298	28	4	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	24	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	452	422	117	25	5	13	23	99	4	2	1	277	321	453	773	175	332	22	5	339	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	525	496	147	29	3	17	18	122	3	3	0	296	325	470	795	173	356	23	3	345	120	+12	+1	-9	+2	+11	1.8
2010	25	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	525	490	154	32	3	19	24	114	3	3	0	314	350	508	858	194	370	22	5	371	120	+12	+1	-9	+2	+11	1.8
2011	26	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	499	466	112	26	3	10	19	130	10	3	3	240	285	373	658	133	309	26	4	291	83	-10	-1	-12	+2	+11	-1.1
2011	26	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	499	459	117	28	3	11	26	122	10	3	3	255	309	401	710	146	321	24	5	315	83	-10	-1	-12	+2	+11	-1.1
2012	27	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	528	490	134	26	4	15	29	132	4	5	1	273	319	435	754	161	343	25	5	329	109	+5	+1	-4	+2	+11	1.6
2012	27	MLB RAW	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	528	488	137	28	5	15	31	132	4	5	1	281	329	451	780	170	354	25	6	342	109	+5	+1	-4	+2	+11	1.6
2013	28	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	547	519	164	32	0	13	24	116	2	0	0	316	349	453	801	137	385	21	4	355	127	+17	+0	-0	+2	+12	3.2
2013	28	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	—	547	514	165	34	0	12	29	116	2	0	0	321	360	457	817	136	394	21	5	362	127	+17	+0	-0	+2	+12	3.2
2014	29	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	611	584	153	26	0	11	21	159	2	6	0	262	290	363	653	101	341	26	3	289	82	-13	+1	+0	+2	+13	0.4
2014	29	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	—	611	582	153	27	0	10	23	159	2	6	0	263	293	361	654	98	345	26	4	291	82	-13	+1	+0	+2	+13	0.4
2015	30	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	255	243	62	11	0	3	10	74	1	2	1	255	287	337	625	82	353	29	4	279	75	-8	+0	-1	-5	+6	-0.8
2015	30	MLB RAW	Cleveland Indians	—	255	243	62	11	0	3	10	74	1	2	1	255	287	337	625	82	353	29	4	280	75	-8	+0	-1	-5	+6	-0.8
2016	31	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	264	245	56	12	0	5	17	78	1	0	0	229	281	339	620	110	315	30	6	280	76	-8	+0	-3	-5	+6	-0.9
2016	31	MLB RAW	Miami Marlins	—	264	243	54	11	0	5	19	78	1	0	0	222	281	329	611	107	306	30	7	276	76	-8	+0	-3	-5	+6	-0.9
2017	32	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	—	264	252	64	13	2	9	8	91	1	1	0	254	280	429	708	175	355	34	3	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	32	AAA RAW	Norfolk Tides	—	264	249	75	17	2	10	11	75	1	1	0	301	333	506	839	205	389	28	4	363	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	517	493	110	20	0	12	15	109	4	4	4	223	254	337	591	114	255	21	3	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	465	441	115	22	1	10	18	107	3	5	0	261	296	383	680	122	314	23	4	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	24	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	452	428	98	19	4	10	17	126	4	2	1	229	265	362	627	133	295	28	4	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	525	499	147	29	3	17	18	122	3	3	0	295	325	467	792	172	360	23	3	345	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	26	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	499	467	112	26	3	10	19	130	10	3	3	240	285	373	657	133	315	26	4	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	27	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	528	490	134	26	4	15	29	132	4	5	1	273	319	435	754	161	354	25	5	329	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	28	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	547	516	164	32	0	13	24	116	2	0	0	318	349	455	804	138	394	21	4	355	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	29	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	611	583	153	26	0	11	21	159	2	6	0	262	290	364	654	101	345	26	3	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	30	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	255	242	62	11	0	3	10	74	1	2	1	256	287	339	626	83	353	29	4	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	31	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	264	244	56	12	0	5	17	78	1	0	0	230	281	340	622	111	306	30	6	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	32	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	—	264	253	64	13	2	9	8	91	1	1	0	253	280	427	707	174	341	34	3	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2995	2811	773	154	10	63	144	753	19	18	4	275	315	404	719	129	353	25	5	318	90	+6	+2	-30	+2	+65	4.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	610	167	33	2	14	31	163	4	4	1	274	313	403	716	130	350	25	5	318	90	+1	+0	-6	+0	+14	1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	4927	4650	1215	236	17	115	196	1244	35	31	10	261	296	394	690	132	330	25	4	302	90	+6	+2	-30	+2	+65	4.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	613	160	31	2	15	26	164	5	4	1	261	297	392	688	131	330	25	4	302	90	+1	+0	-6	+0	+14	1.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2017 AAANorfolk Tides · 264 PAwOBA .357 → .294 (−63)K% 28.4% → 34.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	28.41%	÷0.995	×1.200	—	—	34.27%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.17%	÷0.948	×0.690	—	×0.942	2.86%
HBP% /PA	0.38%	—	×0.940	—	×0.942	0.34%
Singles /BIP	26.44%	÷0.989	×0.930	×1.029	×0.942	24.09%
Doubles /BIP	9.77%	÷1.001	×0.830	×1.029	×0.942	7.86%
Triples /BIP	1.15%	÷1.150	×0.970	×1.029	×0.942	0.94%
Home runs /BIP	5.75%	÷0.866	×0.840	—	×0.942	5.25%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 98, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 99, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.029.

Result: wOBA .357 → .294; ISO .205 → .169; BABIP .389 → .341. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAAOklahoma City RedHawks · 94 PAwOBA .374 → .300 (−74)K% 26.6% → 35.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	26.60%	÷0.979	×1.290	—	—	35.05%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.57%	÷1.025	×0.710	—	×1.003	6.65%
HBP% /PA	3.19%	—	×0.980	—	×1.003	3.14%
Singles /BIP	19.64%	÷1.002	×0.900	×0.986	×1.003	17.45%
Doubles /BIP	12.50%	÷0.885	×0.810	×0.986	×1.003	11.31%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.974	×0.810	×0.986	×1.003	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	7.14%	÷0.934	×0.780	—	×1.003	5.98%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 100, 2B 77, 3B 95, K 96, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.

Result: wOBA .374 → .300; ISO .235 → .187; BABIP .346 → .306. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AAARound Rock Express · 163 PAwOBA .395 → .332 (−63)K% 14.1% → 19.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.11%	÷0.954	×1.290	—	—	19.08%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.29%	÷1.077	×0.710	—	×1.018	2.88%
HBP% /PA	0.61%	—	×0.980	—	×1.018	0.61%
Singles /BIP	23.81%	÷0.990	×0.900	×1.024	×1.018	22.55%
Doubles /BIP	7.94%	÷1.068	×0.810	×1.024	×1.018	6.27%
Triples /BIP	0.79%	÷1.150	×0.810	×1.024	×1.018	0.58%
Home runs /BIP	6.35%	÷1.058	×0.780	—	×1.018	4.77%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 98, 2B 114, 3B 130, K 91, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.024.

Result: wOBA .395 → .332; ISO .242 → .184; BABIP .336 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2009 AAARound Rock Express · 412 PAwOBA .336 → .275 (−61)K% 21.8% → 28.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.84%	÷1.000	×1.290	—	—	28.18%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.85%	÷1.000	×0.710	—	×1.033	3.56%
HBP% /PA	0.97%	—	×0.980	—	×1.033	0.98%
Singles /BIP	23.81%	÷1.000	×0.900	×0.993	×1.033	21.99%
Doubles /BIP	6.80%	÷1.000	×0.810	×0.993	×1.033	5.65%
Triples /BIP	1.70%	÷1.000	×0.810	×0.993	×1.033	1.41%
Home runs /BIP	4.42%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.033	3.56%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.

Result: wOBA .336 → .275; ISO .180 → .138; BABIP .335 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2009 A+Lancaster JetHawks · 17 PAwOBA .510 → .393 (−118)K% 17.6% → 23.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.65%	÷1.000	×1.340	—	—	23.65%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.88%	÷1.000	×0.710	—	×0.978	4.08%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.790	—	×0.978	0.00%
Singles /BIP	15.38%	÷1.000	×0.910	—	×0.978	13.69%
Doubles /BIP	38.46%	÷1.000	×0.820	—	×0.978	30.84%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.760	—	×0.978	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.920	—	×0.978	0.00%

Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .510 → .393; ISO .312 → .237; BABIP .538 → .445. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2008 AACorpus Christi Hooks · 358 PAwOBA .374 → .323 (−51)K% 17.0% → 20.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.04%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	20.79%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.59%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.012	3.96%
HBP% /PA	0.84%	—	×0.870	—	×1.012	0.74%
Singles /BIP	26.39%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.006	×1.012	24.71%
Doubles /BIP	8.92%	÷1.000	×0.840	×1.006	×1.012	7.63%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.940	×1.006	×1.012	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.46%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×1.012	3.61%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.

Result: wOBA .374 → .323; ISO .182 → .149; BABIP .364 → .330. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2008 AAARound Rock Express · 107 PAwOBA .239 → .204 (−35)K% 23.4% → 30.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.36%	÷1.000	×1.290	—	—	30.14%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.67%	÷1.000	×0.710	—	×1.048	3.48%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.980	—	×1.048	0.00%
Singles /BIP	23.68%	÷1.000	×0.900	×1.019	×1.048	22.77%
Doubles /BIP	2.63%	÷1.000	×0.810	×1.019	×1.048	2.28%
Triples /BIP	1.32%	÷1.000	×0.810	×1.019	×1.048	1.14%
Home runs /BIP	1.32%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.048	1.08%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.

Result: wOBA .239 → .204; ISO .069 → .055; BABIP .276 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2007 ALexington Legends · 277 PAwOBA .309 → .256 (−53)K% 13.7% → 18.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.72%	÷1.000	×1.340	—	—	18.38%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.14%	÷1.000	×0.660	—	×0.990	4.01%
HBP% /PA	0.36%	—	×0.770	—	×0.990	0.28%
Singles /BIP	20.28%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.005	×0.990	18.57%
Doubles /BIP	6.45%	÷1.000	×0.820	×1.005	×0.990	5.27%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.940	×1.005	×0.990	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.69%	÷1.000	×0.820	—	×0.990	2.99%

Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.

Result: wOBA .309 → .256; ISO .149 → .120; BABIP .274 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).