Eddy Rodriguez
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 29 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 188 | .170/.207/.261 | 3 | 0 | -7 | — | .135/.163/.197 |
| 2016 | 30 | AAAScranton/Wilk… | 153 | .214/.267/.329 | 3 | 0 | 22 | — | .169/.213/.246 |
| 2017 | 31 | AAAScranton/Wilk… | 293 | .176/.228/.298 | 8 | 1 | -8 | — | .122/.155/.186 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2006 | 20 | ROK | GCL Reds | — | 20 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 316 | 529 | 845 | 294 | 250 | 25 | 5 | 349 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 21 | A | Dayton Dragons | — | 303 | 280 | 66 | 15 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 61 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 236 | 286 | 354 | 639 | 118 | 279 | 20 | 5 | 286 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 28 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 240 | 321 | 520 | 841 | 280 | 267 | 29 | 7 | 368 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | A+ | Sarasota Reds | — | 248 | 229 | 46 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 63 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 201 | 256 | 297 | 553 | 96 | 253 | 25 | 6 | 250 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AAA | Tucson Padres | — | 21 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 158 | 238 | 316 | 554 | 158 | 154 | 24 | 10 | 252 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AA | San Antonio Missions | — | 72 | 67 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 209 | 264 | 299 | 562 | 90 | 271 | 25 | 6 | 257 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | A+ | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 175 | 158 | 43 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 12 | 41 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 272 | 331 | 487 | 819 | 215 | 318 | 23 | 7 | 354 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AAA | Tucson Padres | — | 53 | 50 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 180 | 226 | 320 | 546 | 140 | 222 | 25 | 4 | 245 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | A+ | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 353 | 328 | 73 | 13 | 0 | 13 | 19 | 100 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 223 | 271 | 381 | 653 | 159 | 275 | 28 | 5 | 288 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA | Tucson Padres | — | 85 | 81 | 17 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 210 | 247 | 395 | 642 | 185 | 283 | 31 | 5 | 282 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AA | San Antonio Missions | — | 214 | 200 | 48 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 58 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 240 | 283 | 365 | 648 | 125 | 314 | 27 | 6 | 287 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA | Durham Bulls | — | 49 | 46 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 152 | 204 | 239 | 443 | 87 | 214 | 35 | 2 | 205 | -6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 72 | 67 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 179 | 214 | 239 | 453 | 60 | 267 | 33 | 4 | 201 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AA | Trenton Thunder | — | 116 | 109 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 29 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 165 | 202 | 275 | 477 | 110 | 190 | 25 | 3 | 211 | -6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 30 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 153 | 140 | 30 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 60 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 214 | 267 | 329 | 595 | 114 | 346 | 39 | 5 | 264 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 31 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 293 | 272 | 48 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 134 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 176 | 228 | 298 | 525 | 121 | 305 | 46 | 6 | 235 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2006 | 20 | ROK MLE | GCL Reds | — | 20 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 263 | 412 | 675 | 235 | 181 | 35 | 5 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 21 | A MLE | Dayton Dragons | — | 303 | 286 | 56 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 83 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 196 | 236 | 290 | 526 | 94 | 247 | 27 | 4 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | AA MLE | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 28 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 231 | 286 | 500 | 786 | 269 | 245 | 36 | 4 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | A+ MLE | Sarasota Reds | — | 248 | 233 | 37 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 90 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 159 | 203 | 236 | 439 | 77 | 232 | 36 | 4 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AAA MLE | Tucson Padres | — | 21 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 150 | 190 | 300 | 490 | 150 | 136 | 33 | 5 | 186 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 72 | 69 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 159 | 194 | 232 | 426 | 72 | 217 | 32 | 3 | 183 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | A+ MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 175 | 162 | 33 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 60 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 204 | 250 | 377 | 627 | 173 | 265 | 34 | 5 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AAA MLE | Tucson Padres | — | 53 | 51 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 137 | 170 | 255 | 425 | 118 | 187 | 32 | 2 | 179 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | A+ MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 353 | 334 | 57 | 9 | 0 | 11 | 13 | 135 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 171 | 209 | 296 | 505 | 126 | 236 | 38 | 4 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA MLE | Tucson Padres | — | 85 | 82 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 134 | 165 | 244 | 409 | 110 | 231 | 42 | 4 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 214 | 204 | 39 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 71 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 191 | 222 | 284 | 506 | 93 | 266 | 33 | 4 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA MLE | Durham Bulls | — | 49 | 47 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 128 | 163 | 213 | 376 | 85 | 189 | 39 | 0 | 160 | -6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 72 | 68 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 147 | 171 | 191 | 363 | 44 | 227 | 40 | 3 | 157 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AA MLE | Trenton Thunder | — | 116 | 110 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 37 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 127 | 158 | 200 | 358 | 73 | 170 | 32 | 2 | 160 | -6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 30 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 153 | 142 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 72 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 169 | 213 | 246 | 460 | 77 | 303 | 47 | 4 | 201 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 31 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 293 | 279 | 34 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 162 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 122 | 155 | 186 | 342 | 65 | 259 | 55 | 3 | 156 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 20 | ROK MLE | GCL Reds | — | 20 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 263 | 412 | 675 | 235 | 200 | 35 | 5 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 20 | ROK RAW | GCL Reds | — | 20 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 316 | 529 | 845 | 294 | 250 | 25 | 5 | 349 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 21 | A MLE | Dayton Dragons | — | 303 | 286 | 56 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 83 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 196 | 236 | 290 | 526 | 94 | 255 | 27 | 4 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 21 | A RAW | Dayton Dragons | — | 303 | 280 | 66 | 15 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 61 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 236 | 286 | 354 | 639 | 118 | 279 | 20 | 5 | 286 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 276 | 258 | 42 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 99 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 163 | 212 | 248 | 460 | 85 | 239 | 36 | 4 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 276 | 254 | 52 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 71 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 205 | 263 | 319 | 582 | 114 | 254 | 26 | 6 | 262 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 268 | 251 | 46 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 11 | 90 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 183 | 226 | 327 | 553 | 143 | 242 | 34 | 4 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 268 | 244 | 60 | 13 | 0 | 10 | 18 | 64 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 306 | 422 | 728 | 176 | 292 | 24 | 7 | 320 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 406 | 385 | 65 | 12 | 0 | 12 | 14 | 152 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 169 | 206 | 294 | 499 | 125 | 237 | 37 | 3 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 406 | 378 | 82 | 17 | 0 | 14 | 21 | 113 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 217 | 266 | 373 | 639 | 156 | 268 | 28 | 5 | 283 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 299 | 287 | 51 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 107 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 178 | 205 | 286 | 491 | 108 | 260 | 36 | 3 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 299 | 281 | 65 | 20 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 84 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 231 | 273 | 374 | 646 | 142 | 306 | 28 | 5 | 285 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA MLE | Durham Bulls | — | 49 | 47 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 128 | 163 | 213 | 376 | 85 | 185 | 39 | 0 | 160 | -6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA RAW | Durham Bulls | — | 49 | 46 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 152 | 204 | 239 | 443 | 87 | 214 | 35 | 2 | 205 | -6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 188 | 178 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 66 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 140 | 168 | 208 | 376 | 67 | 202 | 35 | 2 | 159 | -6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 188 | 176 | 30 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 53 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 170 | 207 | 261 | 468 | 91 | 218 | 28 | 3 | 207 | -6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 30 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 153 | 142 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 72 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 169 | 213 | 246 | 460 | 77 | 319 | 47 | 4 | 201 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 30 | AAA RAW | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 153 | 140 | 30 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 60 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 214 | 267 | 329 | 595 | 114 | 346 | 39 | 5 | 264 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 31 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 293 | 279 | 34 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 162 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 122 | 155 | 186 | 342 | 65 | 263 | 55 | 3 | 156 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 31 | AAA RAW | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 293 | 272 | 48 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 134 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 176 | 228 | 298 | 525 | 121 | 305 | 46 | 6 | 235 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 20 | ROK MLE | GCL Reds | — | 20 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 263 | 389 | 652 | 222 | 181 | 35 | 5 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 21 | A MLE | Dayton Dragons | — | 303 | 285 | 56 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 83 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 196 | 236 | 291 | 527 | 95 | 247 | 27 | 4 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 276 | 258 | 42 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 99 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 163 | 212 | 248 | 460 | 85 | 233 | 36 | 4 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 268 | 252 | 46 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 11 | 90 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 183 | 226 | 325 | 552 | 143 | 242 | 34 | 4 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 406 | 385 | 65 | 12 | 0 | 12 | 14 | 152 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 169 | 206 | 294 | 499 | 125 | 230 | 37 | 3 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 299 | 287 | 51 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 107 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 178 | 205 | 286 | 491 | 108 | 256 | 36 | 3 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA MLE | Durham Bulls | — | 49 | 47 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 128 | 163 | 213 | 376 | 85 | 189 | 39 | 0 | 160 | -6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 188 | 180 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 66 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 139 | 168 | 206 | 374 | 67 | 192 | 35 | 2 | 159 | -6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 30 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 153 | 144 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 72 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 167 | 213 | 243 | 456 | 76 | 303 | 47 | 4 | 201 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 31 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 293 | 280 | 34 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 162 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 121 | 155 | 186 | 341 | 64 | 259 | 55 | 3 | 156 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2255 | 2130 | 352 | 71 | 2 | 46 | 79 | 857 | 23 | 4 | 5 | 165 | 203 | 265 | 469 | 100 | 246 | 38 | 4 | 203 | 24 | -205 | -1 | +0 | +40 | +49 | -11.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 614 | 101 | 20 | 1 | 13 | 23 | 247 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 164 | 204 | 264 | 468 | 99 | 245 | 38 | 4 | 203 | 24 | -59 | -0 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -3.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 293 PAwOBA .229 → .156 (−73)K% 45.7% → 55.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 45.73% | ÷0.995 | ×1.200 | — | — | 55.16% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.80% | ÷1.105 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.952 | 3.45% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.34% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.952 | 0.31% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.46% | ÷0.980 | ×0.930 | ×0.978 | ×0.952 | 19.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.52% | ÷0.951 | ×0.830 | ×0.978 | ×0.952 | 5.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.978 | ×0.952 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.80% | ÷1.247 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.952 | 3.72% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 149, 1B 96, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 99, BB 121 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.
Result: wOBA .229 → .156; ISO .121 → .073; BABIP .305 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 153 PAwOBA .258 → .201 (−58)K% 39.2% → 47.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 39.22% | ÷0.994 | ×1.200 | — | — | 47.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.23% | ÷0.977 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.962 | 3.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.31% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.962 | 1.18% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷0.991 | ×0.930 | ×1.020 | ×0.962 | 23.03% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.75% | ÷1.059 | ×0.830 | ×1.020 | ×0.962 | 6.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.020 | ×0.962 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.75% | ÷0.996 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.962 | 3.04% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 98, 2B 112, 3B 80, K 99, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.
Result: wOBA .258 → .201; ISO .114 → .083; BABIP .346 → .303. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AATrenton Thunder · 116 PAwOBA .209 → .160 (−49)K% 25.0% → 32.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.00% | ÷0.950 | ×1.220 | — | — | 32.10% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.59% | ÷1.067 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.948 | 1.61% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.72% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.948 | 1.39% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.00% | ÷0.977 | ×0.970 | ×0.988 | ×0.948 | 13.94% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.75% | ÷0.978 | ×0.860 | ×0.988 | ×0.948 | 3.09% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | ×0.948 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.75% | ÷1.153 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.948 | 2.41% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 131, 1B 95, 2B 96, 3B 130, K 90, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 24.8 → −5.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.
Result: wOBA .209 → .160; ISO .110 → .071; BABIP .190 → .170. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 72 PAwOBA .201 → .157 (−44)K% 33.3% → 40.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.33% | ÷0.991 | ×1.200 | — | — | 40.38% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.17% | ÷1.139 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 2.45% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.60% | ÷1.011 | ×0.930 | ×0.952 | ×0.972 | 15.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.30% | ÷0.903 | ×0.830 | ×0.952 | ×0.972 | 7.92% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.952 | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.878 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 102, 2B 81, 3B 130, K 98, BB 128 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.952.
Result: wOBA .201 → .157; ISO .060 → .049; BABIP .267 → .227. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAADurham Bulls · 49 PAwOBA .189 → .160 (−29)K% 34.7% → 38.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 34.69% | ÷1.070 | ×1.200 | — | — | 38.93% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷0.950 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.08% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 3.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.24% | ÷1.005 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.982 | 15.68% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.45% | ÷1.023 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.982 | 2.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.45% | ÷1.046 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.982 | 2.72% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 101, 2B 105, 3B 80, K 114, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .189 → .160; ISO .087 → .067; BABIP .214 → .189. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AASan Antonio Missions · 214 PAwOBA .282 → .222 (−60)K% 27.1% → 33.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.10% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 33.06% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.61% | ÷1.047 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.968 | 3.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.54% | ÷0.983 | ×0.920 | ×0.974 | ×0.968 | 19.89% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.75% | ÷1.053 | ×0.840 | ×0.974 | ×0.968 | 5.83% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.70% | ÷1.056 | ×0.940 | ×0.974 | ×0.968 | 0.59% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.82% | ÷0.872 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.968 | 2.50% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 97, 2B 111, 3B 111, K 100, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.974.
Result: wOBA .282 → .222; ISO .125 → .098; BABIP .314 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAATucson Padres · 85 PAwOBA .274 → .189 (−84)K% 30.6% → 42.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.59% | ÷0.933 | ×1.290 | — | — | 42.29% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.71% | ÷1.045 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.992 | 3.17% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 10.91% | ÷1.023 | ×0.900 | ×0.964 | ×0.992 | 9.18% |
| Doubles /BIP | 16.36% | ÷0.963 | ×0.810 | ×0.964 | ×0.992 | 13.17% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.964 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.64% | ÷0.901 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.992 | 3.12% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 105, 2B 93, 3B 130, K 87, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.964.
Result: wOBA .274 → .189; ISO .185 → .129; BABIP .283 → .231. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 A+Lake Elsinore Storm · 353 PAwOBA .282 → .218 (−64)K% 28.3% → 38.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.33% | ÷0.993 | ×1.340 | — | — | 38.22% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.38% | ÷0.979 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.958 | 3.74% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.85% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.958 | 0.64% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.61% | ÷0.973 | ×0.910 | ×0.996 | ×0.958 | 18.39% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.70% | ÷1.036 | ×0.820 | ×0.996 | ×0.958 | 4.31% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.993 | ×0.760 | ×0.996 | ×0.958 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.70% | ÷0.930 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.958 | 5.40% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 95, 2B 107, 3B 99, K 99, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 22.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.
Result: wOBA .282 → .218; ISO .159 → .127; BABIP .275 → .236. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).