Joseph Dunigan
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 27 | AAA/ROK2 orgs | 130 | .229/.295/.492 | 8 | 3 | 36 | — | .156/.209/.327 |
| 2014 | 28 | INTLSenadores de … | 70 | .231/.275/.508 | 5 | 1 | 113 | — | |
| 2015 | 29 | INTLPerth Heat | 56 | .160/.250/.280 | 2 | 2 | 54 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 22 | A | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 480 | 437 | 105 | 31 | 3 | 14 | 30 | 142 | 8 | 28 | 4 | 240 | 300 | 421 | 721 | 181 | 320 | 30 | 6 | 317 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | A+ | High Desert Mavericks | — | 506 | 456 | 134 | 28 | 4 | 30 | 43 | 129 | 2 | 20 | 8 | 294 | 357 | 570 | 927 | 276 | 347 | 25 | 8 | 398 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AA | West Tenn Diamond Jaxx | — | 312 | 280 | 60 | 14 | 0 | 10 | 28 | 110 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 214 | 290 | 371 | 662 | 157 | 311 | 35 | 9 | 296 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | ROK | AZL Mariners | — | 36 | 33 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 364 | 417 | 576 | 992 | 212 | 571 | 33 | 6 | 433 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AA | Jackson Generals | — | 200 | 172 | 37 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 81 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 215 | 318 | 413 | 731 | 198 | 353 | 40 | 13 | 324 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | A+ | High Desert Mavericks | — | 118 | 106 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 12 | 59 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 236 | 314 | 547 | 861 | 311 | 405 | 50 | 10 | 372 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AA | Jackson Generals | — | 469 | 426 | 108 | 25 | 3 | 25 | 38 | 175 | 4 | 15 | 5 | 254 | 321 | 502 | 823 | 249 | 366 | 37 | 8 | 359 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 100 | 88 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 44 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 193 | 283 | 375 | 658 | 182 | 317 | 44 | 10 | 293 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | ROK | AZL Mariners | — | 30 | 30 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 333 | 333 | 833 | 1.167 | 500 | 400 | 37 | 0 | 495 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | INTL | Senadores de San Juan | — | 70 | 65 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 231 | 275 | 508 | 783 | 277 | 278 | 36 | 4 | 335 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | INTL | Perth Heat | — | 56 | 50 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 160 | 250 | 280 | 530 | 120 | 222 | 38 | 7 | 247 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 22 | A MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 480 | 447 | 82 | 23 | 2 | 10 | 21 | 193 | 8 | 28 | 4 | 183 | 233 | 311 | 544 | 128 | 289 | 40 | 4 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | A+ MLE | High Desert Mavericks | — | 506 | 471 | 114 | 22 | 3 | 26 | 28 | 173 | 2 | 20 | 8 | 242 | 287 | 467 | 755 | 225 | 311 | 34 | 6 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AA MLE | West Tenn Diamond Jaxx | — | 312 | 288 | 50 | 13 | 0 | 8 | 20 | 135 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 174 | 232 | 302 | 534 | 128 | 283 | 43 | 6 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | ROK MLE | AZL Mariners | — | 36 | 34 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 235 | 278 | 382 | 660 | 147 | 420 | 47 | 3 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AA MLE | Jackson Generals | — | 200 | 182 | 32 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 96 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 176 | 242 | 324 | 567 | 148 | 316 | 48 | 8 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | A+ MLE | High Desert Mavericks | — | 118 | 110 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 80 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 118 | 178 | 291 | 469 | 173 | 314 | 68 | 7 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AA MLE | Jackson Generals | — | 469 | 440 | 85 | 17 | 2 | 18 | 24 | 219 | 4 | 15 | 5 | 193 | 241 | 364 | 605 | 170 | 324 | 47 | 5 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 100 | 91 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 55 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 143 | 212 | 275 | 487 | 132 | 282 | 55 | 7 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | ROK MLE | AZL Mariners | — | 30 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 200 | 500 | 700 | 300 | 276 | 53 | 0 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | A MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 480 | 447 | 82 | 23 | 2 | 10 | 21 | 193 | 8 | 28 | 4 | 183 | 233 | 311 | 544 | 128 | 291 | 40 | 4 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | A RAW | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 480 | 437 | 105 | 31 | 3 | 14 | 30 | 142 | 8 | 28 | 4 | 240 | 300 | 421 | 721 | 181 | 320 | 30 | 6 | 317 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | A+ MLE | High Desert Mavericks | — | 506 | 471 | 114 | 22 | 3 | 26 | 28 | 173 | 2 | 20 | 8 | 242 | 287 | 467 | 755 | 225 | 320 | 34 | 6 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | A+ RAW | High Desert Mavericks | — | 506 | 456 | 134 | 28 | 4 | 30 | 43 | 129 | 2 | 20 | 8 | 294 | 357 | 570 | 927 | 276 | 347 | 25 | 8 | 398 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 348 | 322 | 57 | 15 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 153 | 3 | 15 | 2 | 177 | 234 | 304 | 538 | 127 | 302 | 44 | 6 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 348 | 313 | 72 | 19 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 122 | 3 | 15 | 2 | 230 | 303 | 393 | 696 | 163 | 341 | 35 | 9 | 310 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 318 | 292 | 45 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 24 | 175 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 154 | 218 | 301 | 520 | 147 | 324 | 55 | 8 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 318 | 278 | 62 | 14 | 1 | 17 | 38 | 140 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 223 | 316 | 464 | 780 | 241 | 369 | 44 | 12 | 342 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AA MLE | Jackson Generals | — | 469 | 440 | 85 | 17 | 2 | 18 | 24 | 219 | 4 | 15 | 5 | 193 | 241 | 364 | 605 | 170 | 328 | 47 | 5 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AA RAW | Jackson Generals | — | 469 | 426 | 108 | 25 | 3 | 25 | 38 | 175 | 4 | 15 | 5 | 254 | 321 | 502 | 823 | 249 | 366 | 37 | 8 | 359 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 130 | 121 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 149 | 202 | 306 | 507 | 157 | 283 | 55 | 5 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 130 | 118 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 55 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 229 | 295 | 492 | 786 | 263 | 339 | 42 | 8 | 339 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | INTL MLE | Senadores de San Juan | — | 70 | 65 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 231 | 275 | 508 | 783 | 277 | 278 | 36 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | INTL RAW | Senadores de San Juan | — | 70 | 65 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 231 | 275 | 508 | 783 | 277 | 278 | 36 | 4 | 335 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | INTL MLE | Perth Heat | — | 56 | 50 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 160 | 250 | 280 | 530 | 120 | 222 | 38 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | INTL RAW | Perth Heat | — | 56 | 50 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 160 | 250 | 280 | 530 | 120 | 222 | 38 | 7 | 247 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | A MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 480 | 448 | 82 | 23 | 2 | 10 | 21 | 193 | 8 | 28 | 4 | 183 | 233 | 310 | 543 | 127 | 289 | 40 | 4 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | A+ MLE | High Desert Mavericks | — | 506 | 471 | 114 | 22 | 3 | 26 | 28 | 173 | 2 | 20 | 8 | 242 | 287 | 467 | 755 | 225 | 311 | 34 | 6 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 348 | 321 | 57 | 15 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 153 | 3 | 15 | 2 | 178 | 234 | 305 | 539 | 128 | 297 | 44 | 6 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 318 | 291 | 45 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 24 | 175 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 155 | 218 | 302 | 521 | 148 | 315 | 55 | 8 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AA MLE | Jackson Generals | — | 469 | 438 | 85 | 17 | 2 | 18 | 24 | 219 | 4 | 15 | 5 | 194 | 241 | 365 | 607 | 171 | 324 | 47 | 5 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 130 | 121 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 149 | 202 | 306 | 507 | 157 | 281 | 55 | 5 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2377 | 2208 | 424 | 93 | 10 | 84 | 132 | 1030 | 21 | 88 | 22 | 192 | 244 | 357 | 602 | 165 | 308 | 43 | 6 | 244 | 51 | -137 | +9 | +0 | -14 | +52 | -9.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 604 | 116 | 25 | 3 | 23 | 36 | 282 | 6 | 24 | 6 | 192 | 245 | 358 | 602 | 166 | 308 | 43 | 6 | 244 | 51 | -38 | +2 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -2.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2013 AAATacoma Rainiers · 100 PAwOBA .288 → .210 (−78)K% 44.0% → 55.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 44.00% | ÷1.030 | ×1.290 | — | — | 55.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.00% | ÷1.049 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 6.79% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 0.98% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.73% | ÷0.983 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.003 | 20.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.55% | ÷0.957 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.003 | 3.86% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.27% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.003 | 2.05% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.09% | ÷0.938 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 7.58% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 97, 2B 91, 3B 80, K 106, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .288 → .210; ISO .182 → .129; BABIP .317 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 ROKAZL Mariners · 30 PAwOBA .478 → .261 (−218)K% 36.7% → 52.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 36.67% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 52.80% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.05% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.940 | 16.23% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.26% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 3.56% |
| Triples /BIP | 5.26% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 3.56% |
| Home runs /BIP | 21.05% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.940 | 15.44% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 19.5 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .478 → .261; ISO .500 → .269; BABIP .400 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAJackson Generals · 469 PAwOBA .348 → .261 (−87)K% 37.3% → 46.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 37.31% | ÷0.974 | ×1.220 | — | — | 46.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.68% | ÷0.997 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.988 | 5.17% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.85% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 0.71% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.91% | ÷0.943 | ×0.920 | ×1.020 | ×0.988 | 21.54% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.96% | ÷1.228 | ×0.910 | ×1.020 | ×0.988 | 7.44% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.20% | ÷1.150 | ×0.880 | ×1.020 | ×0.988 | 0.92% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.96% | ÷0.957 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 8.23% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 89, 2B 146, 3B 130, K 95, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.
Result: wOBA .348 → .261; ISO .249 → .177; BABIP .366 → .324. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAJackson Generals · 200 PAwOBA .315 → .243 (−72)K% 40.5% → 47.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 40.50% | ÷1.031 | ×1.220 | — | — | 47.93% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.50% | ÷1.063 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 7.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.78% | ÷0.986 | ×0.920 | ×1.010 | ×0.998 | 18.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.09% | ÷1.028 | ×0.910 | ×1.010 | ×0.998 | 10.78% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.10% | ÷1.150 | ×0.880 | ×1.010 | ×0.998 | 0.85% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.130 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 5.44% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 97, 2B 106, 3B 130, K 106, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.
Result: wOBA .315 → .243; ISO .198 → .148; BABIP .353 → .316. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 A+High Desert Mavericks · 118 PAwOBA .361 → .204 (−157)K% 50.0% → 67.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 50.00% | ÷0.994 | ×1.340 | — | — | 67.41% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.17% | ÷1.044 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.978 | 6.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.53% | ÷1.077 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.978 | 21.09% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.38% | ÷1.121 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.978 | 4.56% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.069 | ×0.760 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 21.28% | ÷1.044 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.978 | 18.33% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 115, 2B 124, 3B 114, K 99, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .361 → .204; ISO .311 → .171; BABIP .405 → .314. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAWest Tenn Diamond Jaxx · 312 PAwOBA .289 → .234 (−55)K% 35.3% → 43.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 35.26% | ÷0.992 | ×1.220 | — | — | 43.36% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.97% | ÷0.976 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 6.33% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.64% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 0.54% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.18% | ÷1.058 | ×0.920 | ×1.010 | ×1.012 | 18.82% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.24% | ÷0.934 | ×0.910 | ×1.010 | ×1.012 | 8.20% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.880 | ×1.010 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.88% | ÷0.900 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 5.29% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 112, 2B 87, 3B 130, K 98, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.
Result: wOBA .289 → .234; ISO .157 → .134; BABIP .311 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 ROKAZL Mariners · 36 PAwOBA .422 → .248 (−173)K% 33.3% → 48.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.33% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 48.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.56% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.955 | 3.29% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.78% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 1.91% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.57% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.955 | 22.37% |
| Doubles /BIP | 23.81% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 16.37% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 3.27% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 19.5 → −4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .422 → .248; ISO .212 → .117; BABIP .571 → .420. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 A+High Desert Mavericks · 506 PAwOBA .387 → .318 (−69)K% 25.5% → 34.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.49% | ÷1.000 | ×1.340 | — | — | 34.16% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.71% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 5.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.40% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 0.31% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.02% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.032 | ×0.998 | 20.64% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.56% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.032 | ×0.998 | 7.23% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.22% | ÷1.000 | ×0.760 | ×1.032 | ×0.998 | 0.96% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.17% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 8.42% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.032.
Result: wOBA .387 → .318; ISO .276 → .229; BABIP .347 → .311. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .