Asdrúbal Cabrera

PosSS
B/TS/R
Born1985-11-13
Age (2027)41
No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.
Overview
INTLLAST SEASON 2023
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WAR
202135INTLCaribes de An…93.359/.438/.52630163—
202135MLBCIN352.230/.316/.36671890.3
202236INTLCaribes de An…82.295/.469/.47530171—
202337INTLCaribes de An…37.156/.270/.1880040—
202438No MLB games played
202539No MLB games played
202640No MLB games played
Last 3 seasons WAR 0.3
Contract
No contract data on file.
Skills · percentileStatcast 2019-2021
xwOBA49
Avg EV45
Barrel%33
Speed10

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
200519 AAATacoma Rainiers — 2523 5010 140 00 217250304554 87263 164 237 27 — — — — — —
200519 A+Inland Empire 66ers — 244225 641561 15470 31 284329418747 133350 196 326 78 — — — — — —
200519 AWisconsin Timber Rattlers — 229192 611234 30321 26 318411474885 156358 1413 385 113 — — — — — —
200620 AAABuffalo Bisons — 444393 982324 32906 129 249316349664 99306 207 293 72 — — — — — —
200721 MLBCleveland Indians — 186159 45923 17292 00 283360421781 138323 169 336 113 +3 +0 -2 +2 +4 0.7
200721 AAABuffalo Bisons — 4038 12300 280 20 316350395745 79400 205 335 82 — — — — — —
200721 AAAkron Aeros — 425368 1142338 45423 237 310389454843 144326 1011 369 124 — — — — — —
200822 MLBCleveland Indians — 418352 912006 46774 44 259351366717 108310 1811 316 98 -1 -1 +5 +2 +9 1.5
200822 AAABuffalo Bisons — 152141 46714 7254 22 326375475850 149375 165 378 113 — — — — — —
200923 MLBCleveland Indians — 581523 1614246 44891 174 308363438801 130360 158 349 122 +15 +2 -2 +6 +13 3.4
200923 AAAkron Aeros — 1816 4100 121 20 250333312646 62286 116 302 66 — — — — — —
201024 MLBCleveland Indians — 425381 1051613 25605 64 276328346675 71318 146 298 87 -6 -0 -1 +6 +9 0.7
201024 AAAkron Aeros — 1714 5201 330 20 3574717141.185 357400 1818 503 167 — — — — — —
201024 INTLLeones del Caracas — 122103 26401 15161 02 252353320673 68287 1312 307 94 — — — — — —
201125 MLBCleveland Indians — 667604 16532325 4411911 175 273334460794 187302 187 347 118 +14 +1 -4 +8 +14 3.4
201125 INTLLeones del Caracas — 6957 14302 10111 10 246368404771 158273 1614 346 120 — — — — — —
201226 MLBCleveland Indians — 616555 15035116 52996 94 270339423763 153303 168 340 113 +10 +0 -4 +7 +13 2.7
201226 INTLLeones del Caracas — 5247 13301 382 00 277346404750 128316 156 339 116 — — — — — —
201327 MLBCleveland Indians — 562508 12335214 351148 93 242301402703 159283 206 307 93 -5 +1 +3 +6 +12 1.7
201428 MLBWashington Nationals — 616553 13331414 491087 102 241310387697 146272 188 310 95 -4 +1 -0 +7 +13 1.8
201529 MLBTampa Bay Rays — 551505 13428515 361073 63 265318430748 164306 197 327 104 +3 +0 +5 +6 +12 2.6
201529 INTLLeones del Caracas — 2119 3000 290 00 158238158396 300 4310 196 19 — — — — — —
201630 MLBNew York Mets — 568521 14630123 381037 51 280337474812 194310 187 357 131 +21 +1 +2 +6 +12 4.3
201630 INTLLeones del Caracas — 3632 3000 3100 00 9417194265 136 288 134 -23 — — — — — —
201731 MLBNew York Mets — 540479 13432014 50835 32 280354434788 154310 159 349 127 +17 -0 -7 +6 +12 2.8
201832 MLBPhiladelphia Phillies — 592546 14336123 411193 00 262317458775 196296 207 341 113 +9 +0 +7 +2 +13 3.2
201933 MLBWashington Nationals — 514447 11625118 571033 40 260347441788 181294 2011 347 119 +12 +1 +6 +2 +11 3.2
202034 MLBWashington Nationals — 213190 46938 19400 00 242311447758 205260 199 328 111 +3 +0 +2 -4 +5 0.5
202135 MLBCincinnati Reds — 352309 712107 36803 10 230316366682 136283 2310 306 89 -5 +0 -2 +2 +8 0.3
202135 INTLCaribes de Anzoategui — 9378 28403 10151 00 359438526964 167397 1611 410 163 — — — — — —
202236 INTLCaribes de Anzoategui — 8261 18203 1981 01 295469475945 180294 1023 422 171 — — — — — —
202337 INTLCaribes de Anzoategui — 3732 5100 560 00 156270188458 31192 1614 227 40 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 74016632 176340128195 589133068 9132 266332423755 157303 188 332 111 +96 +5 +6 +65 +160 33.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
200519 AAA MLETacoma Rainiers — 2523 5010 150 00 217250304554 87244 204 208 27 — — — — — —
200519 A+ MLEInland Empire 66ers — 244229 591351 11630 31 258292371663 114334 265 283 78 — — — — — —
200519 A MLEWisconsin Timber Rattlers — 229202 581133 21441 26 287357416773 129333 199 335 113 — — — — — —
200620 AAA MLEBuffalo Bisons — 444402 982124 231086 129 244295336630 92303 245 274 72 — — — — — —
200721 MLB MLECleveland Indians — 186159 45923 17292 00 283360421781 138323 169 336 113 +3 +0 -2 +2 +4 0.7
200721 AAA MLEBuffalo Bisons — 4039 11300 1100 20 282300359659 77380 252 290 82 — — — — — —
200721 AA MLEAkron Aeros — 425380 1182237 33513 237 311370439810 129330 128 351 124 — — — — — —
200822 MLB MLECleveland Indians — 418354 912006 44774 44 257346364710 107310 1811 313 98 -1 -1 +5 +2 +9 1.5
200822 AAA MLEBuffalo Bisons — 152144 43613 4304 22 299336417752 118360 203 335 113 — — — — — —
200923 MLB MLECleveland Indians — 581524 1614246 43891 174 307361437798 130360 157 348 122 +15 +2 -2 +6 +13 3.4
200923 AA MLEAkron Aeros — 1816 4100 121 20 250333312646 62273 116 266 66 — — — — — —
201024 MLB MLECleveland Indians — 425381 1051613 25605 64 276328346675 71318 146 297 87 -6 -0 -1 +6 +9 0.7
201024 AA MLEAkron Aeros — 1715 5201 240 20 3334126671.078 333361 2412 415 167 — — — — — —
201125 MLB MLECleveland Indians — 667609 16632425 3911911 175 273328461789 189302 186 342 118 +14 +1 -4 +8 +14 3.4
201226 MLB MLECleveland Indians — 616558 14934116 49996 94 267333418750 151303 168 335 113 +10 +0 -4 +7 +13 2.7
201327 MLB MLECleveland Indians — 562509 12234214 341148 93 240298397694 157283 206 306 93 -5 +1 +3 +6 +12 1.7
201428 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 616555 13330514 471087 102 240307387694 148272 188 309 95 -4 +1 -0 +7 +13 1.8
201529 MLB MLETampa Bay Rays — 551509 13329515 321073 63 261309426735 165306 196 322 104 +3 +0 +5 +6 +12 2.6
201630 MLB MLENew York Mets — 568524 15032123 351037 51 286339483822 197310 186 362 131 +21 +1 +2 +6 +12 4.3
201731 MLB MLENew York Mets — 540480 13834014 49835 32 287360446805 158310 159 356 127 +17 -0 -7 +6 +12 2.8
201832 MLB MLEPhiladelphia Phillies — 592547 14237121 401193 00 260314446760 186296 207 335 113 +9 +0 +7 +2 +13 3.2
201933 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 514449 11625118 551033 40 258343439782 180294 2011 344 119 +12 +1 +6 +2 +11 3.2
202034 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 213190 47948 19400 00 247316463779 216260 199 332 111 +3 +0 +2 -4 +5 0.5
202135 MLB MLECincinnati Reds — 352310 702106 35803 10 226310352662 126283 2310 300 89 -5 +0 -2 +2 +8 0.3
200519 A+ MLE3 teams — 498455 1212394 321121 57 266316382698 116339 226 303 91 — — — — — —
200519 A+ RAW3 teams — 498440 13027105 46831 57 295363436799 141349 179 349 91 — — — — — —
200620 AAA MLEBuffalo Bisons — 444402 982124 231086 129 244295336630 92315 245 274 72 — — — — — —
200620 AAA RAWBuffalo Bisons — 444393 982324 32906 129 249316349664 99306 207 293 72 — — — — — —
200721 AA MLE3 teams — 651578 17534510 51905 257 303364431795 128338 148 343 118 — — — — — —
200721 AA RAW3 teams — 651565 17135511 64795 257 303379441819 138330 1210 358 118 — — — — — —
200822 MLB MLE2 teams — 570498 1342619 481078 66 269343380722 110323 198 319 102 +1 -1 +5 +2 +12 2.0
200822 MLB RAW2 teams — 570493 13727110 531028 66 278357398755 120329 189 333 102 +1 -1 +5 +2 +12 2.0
200923 MLB MLE2 teams — 599540 1654346 44912 194 306360433793 128357 157 346 120 +14 +2 -2 +6 +13 3.4
200923 MLB RAW2 teams — 599539 1654346 45912 194 306362434796 128357 158 348 120 +14 +2 -2 +6 +13 3.4
201024 MLB MLE3 teams — 564506 1402225 35816 86 277331358689 81318 146 302 90 -7 -1 -1 +6 +12 1.0
201024 MLB RAW3 teams — 564498 1362215 43796 86 273338351690 78313 148 306 90 -7 -1 -1 +6 +12 1.0
201125 MLB MLE2 teams — 736672 18335428 4313112 185 272327461789 189300 186 342 118 +16 +2 -4 +8 +16 3.8
201125 MLB RAW2 teams — 736661 17935327 5413012 185 271337455792 185299 187 347 118 +16 +2 -4 +8 +16 3.8
201226 MLB MLE2 teams — 668604 16137117 531078 94 267334416749 149299 168 335 113 +10 +0 -4 +7 +14 2.9
201226 MLB RAW2 teams — 668602 16338117 551078 94 271340422762 151304 168 340 113 +10 +0 -4 +7 +14 2.9
201327 MLB MLECleveland Indians — 562509 12234214 341148 93 240298397694 157280 206 306 93 -5 +1 +3 +6 +12 1.7
201327 MLB RAWCleveland Indians — 562508 12335214 351148 93 242301402703 159283 206 307 93 -5 +1 +3 +6 +12 1.7
201428 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 616555 13330514 471087 102 240307387694 148271 188 309 95 -4 +1 -0 +7 +13 1.8
201428 MLB RAWWashington Nationals — 616553 13331414 491087 102 241310387697 146272 188 310 95 -4 +1 -0 +7 +13 1.8
201529 MLB MLE2 teams — 572529 13930516 331113 63 263310429739 166301 196 322 104 +3 +0 +5 +6 +12 2.6
201529 MLB RAW2 teams — 572524 13728515 381163 63 261315420735 158306 207 323 104 +3 +0 +5 +6 +12 2.6
201630 MLB MLE2 teams — 604557 16034125 371107 51 287339487826 199318 186 362 131 +22 +1 +2 +6 +13 4.6
201630 MLB RAW2 teams — 604553 14930123 411137 51 269328452780 183301 197 344 131 +22 +1 +2 +6 +13 4.6
201731 MLB MLENew York Mets — 540480 13834014 49835 32 287360446805 158320 159 356 127 +17 -0 -7 +6 +12 2.8
201731 MLB RAWNew York Mets — 540479 13432014 50835 32 280354434788 154310 159 349 127 +17 -0 -7 +6 +12 2.8
201832 MLB MLEPhiladelphia Phillies — 592547 14237121 401193 00 260314446760 186296 207 335 113 +9 +0 +7 +2 +13 3.2
201832 MLB RAWPhiladelphia Phillies — 592546 14336123 411193 00 262317458775 196296 207 341 113 +9 +0 +7 +2 +13 3.2
201933 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 514449 11625118 551033 40 258343439782 180293 2011 344 119 +12 +1 +6 +2 +11 3.2
201933 MLB RAWWashington Nationals — 514447 11625118 571033 40 260347441788 181294 2011 347 119 +12 +1 +6 +2 +11 3.2
202034 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 213190 47948 19400 00 247316463779 216267 199 332 111 +3 +0 +2 -4 +5 0.5
202034 MLB RAWWashington Nationals — 213190 46938 19400 00 242311447758 205260 199 328 111 +3 +0 +2 -4 +5 0.5
202135 MLB MLE2 teams — 445389 892708 441014 10 229314360673 131282 2310 300 89 -6 +0 -2 +2 +10 0.4
202135 MLB RAW2 teams — 445387 9925010 46954 10 256341398739 142308 2110 328 89 -6 +0 -2 +2 +10 0.4
202236 INTL MLECaribes de Anzoategui — 8261 18203 1981 01 295469475945 180294 1023 — — — — — — — —
202236 INTL RAWCaribes de Anzoategui — 8261 18203 1981 01 295469475945 180294 1023 422 171 — — — — — —
202337 INTL MLECaribes de Anzoategui — 3732 5100 560 00 156270188458 31192 1614 — — — — — — — —
202337 INTL RAWCaribes de Anzoategui — 3732 5100 560 00 156270188458 31192 1614 227 40 — — — — — —
200519 A+ MLE3 teams — 498462 1212394 321121 57 262316377692 115329 226 303 91 — — — — — —
200620 AAA MLEBuffalo Bisons — 444412 982124 231086 129 238295328622 90303 245 274 72 — — — — — —
200721 AA MLE3 teams — 651590 17534510 51905 257 297364422786 125331 148 343 118 — — — — — —
200822 MLB MLE2 teams — 570509 1342619 481078 66 263343371714 108323 198 319 102 — — — — — —
200923 MLB MLE2 teams — 599548 1654346 44912 194 301360427787 126357 157 346 120 — — — — — —
201024 MLB MLE3 teams — 564518 1402225 35816 86 270331349680 79319 146 302 90 — — — — — —
201125 MLB MLE2 teams — 736675 18335428 4313112 185 271327459787 188302 186 342 118 — — — — — —
201226 MLB MLE2 teams — 668602 16137117 531078 94 267334417751 150303 168 335 113 — — — — — —
201327 MLB MLECleveland Indians — 562515 12234214 341148 93 237298392690 155283 206 306 93 — — — — — —
201428 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 616557 13330514 471087 102 239307386693 147272 188 309 95 — — — — — —
201529 MLB MLE2 teams — 572531 13930516 331113 63 262310427737 166306 196 322 104 — — — — — —
201630 MLB MLE2 teams — 604555 16034125 371107 51 288339488828 200310 186 362 131 — — — — — —
201731 MLB MLENew York Mets — 540481 13834014 49835 32 287360445804 158310 159 356 127 — — — — — —
201832 MLB MLEPhiladelphia Phillies — 592544 14237121 401193 00 261314449762 188296 207 335 113 — — — — — —
201933 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 514451 11625118 551033 40 257343437780 180294 2011 344 119 — — — — — —
202034 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 213192 47948 19400 00 245316458774 214260 199 332 111 — — — — — —
202135 MLB MLE2 teams — 445394 892708 441014 10 226314355669 129283 2310 300 89 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 74016632 176340128195 589133068 9132 266332423755 157303 188 332 104 +96 +5 +6 +65 +160 33.9
/ 162G— A+C — 650582 15435217 521176 83 265331419750 155302 188 332 104 +8 +0 +1 +6 +14 3.0
Career— MLE — 95078553 228650447224 711173089 14060 267330416746 148308 187 323 104 +96 +5 +6 +65 +160 33.9
/ 162G— MLE — 650585 15534315 491186 104 265329410739 145306 188 323 104 +8 +0 +1 +6 +14 3.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2010 AAAkron Aeros · 17 PAwOBA .490 → .415 (−75)K% 17.6% → 22.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.65%÷0.979×1.220——21.99%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.65%÷1.027×0.700—×0.99812.01%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.850—×0.9980.00%
Singles /BIP18.18%÷0.989×0.970—×0.99817.80%
Doubles /BIP18.18%÷1.004×0.860—×0.99815.54%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.950—×0.9980.00%
Home runs /BIP9.09%÷0.928×0.780—×0.9987.62%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 98, 2B 101, 3B 130, K 96, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .490 → .415; ISO .357 → .308; BABIP .400 → .361. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2009 AAAkron Aeros · 18 PAwOBA .294 → .266 (−29)K% 11.1% → 13.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA11.11%÷1.000×1.220——13.56%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.56%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0123.94%
HBP% /PA5.56%—×0.850—×1.0124.78%
Singles /BIP21.43%÷1.000×0.970—×1.01221.04%
Doubles /BIP7.14%÷1.000×0.860—×1.0126.22%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.950—×1.0120.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.780—×1.0120.00%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .294 → .266; ISO .062 → .054; BABIP .286 → .273. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2008 AAABuffalo Bisons · 152 PAwOBA .366 → .335 (−31)K% 16.4% → 19.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.45%÷1.000×1.200——19.74%
BB% (unintentional) /PA3.95%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0502.86%
HBP% /PA2.63%—×0.940—×1.0502.60%
Singles /BIP29.31%÷1.000×0.930×1.005×1.05028.78%
Doubles /BIP6.03%÷1.000×0.830×1.005×1.0505.29%
Triples /BIP0.86%÷1.000×0.970×1.005×1.0500.88%
Home runs /BIP3.45%÷1.000×0.840—×1.0503.04%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.

Result: wOBA .366 → .335; ISO .149 → .130; BABIP .375 → .360. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2007 AAAkron Aeros · 425 PAwOBA .366 → .351 (−15)K% 9.9% → 12.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA9.88%÷1.000×1.220——12.06%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.59%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0427.72%
HBP% /PA0.71%—×0.850—×1.0420.63%
Singles /BIP24.54%÷1.000×0.970×1.031×1.04225.56%
Doubles /BIP7.06%÷1.000×0.860×1.031×1.0426.52%
Triples /BIP0.92%÷1.000×0.950×1.031×1.0420.94%
Home runs /BIP2.45%÷1.000×0.780—×1.0421.99%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.

Result: wOBA .366 → .351; ISO .144 → .132; BABIP .326 → .330. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2007 AAABuffalo Bisons · 40 PAwOBA .326 → .290 (−36)K% 20.0% → 24.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.00%÷1.000×1.200——24.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.00%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0503.62%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×1.0500.00%
Singles /BIP30.00%÷1.000×0.930—×1.05029.30%
Doubles /BIP10.00%÷1.000×0.830—×1.0508.71%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.970—×1.0500.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.840—×1.0500.00%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .326 → .290; ISO .079 → .066; BABIP .400 → .380. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2006 AAABuffalo Bisons · 444 PAwOBA .290 → .274 (−16)K% 20.3% → 24.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.27%÷1.000×1.200——24.32%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.98%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0505.06%
HBP% /PA1.35%—×0.940—×1.0501.33%
Singles /BIP22.77%÷1.000×0.930×1.039×1.05023.12%
Doubles /BIP7.59%÷1.000×0.830×1.039×1.0506.88%
Triples /BIP0.66%÷1.000×0.970×1.039×1.0500.70%
Home runs /BIP1.32%÷1.000×0.840—×1.0501.16%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.039.

Result: wOBA .290 → .274; ISO .099 → .092; BABIP .306 → .303. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2005 A+Inland Empire 66ers · 244 PAwOBA .321 → .283 (−39)K% 19.3% → 25.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.26%÷1.000×1.340——25.81%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.15%÷1.000×0.710—×1.0424.55%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.790—×1.0420.00%
Singles /BIP23.60%÷1.000×0.910×1.050×1.04223.49%
Doubles /BIP8.43%÷1.000×0.820×1.050×1.0427.56%
Triples /BIP3.37%÷1.000×0.760×1.050×1.0422.80%
Home runs /BIP0.56%÷1.000×0.920—×1.0420.54%

Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .321 → .283; ISO .133 → .112; BABIP .350 → .334. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2005 AWisconsin Timber Rattlers · 229 PAwOBA .379 → .335 (−44)K% 14.0% → 19.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA13.97%÷1.000×1.360——19.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.66%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0309.00%
HBP% /PA0.44%—×0.780—×1.0300.35%
Singles /BIP26.25%÷1.000×0.920×1.005×1.03025.00%
Doubles /BIP7.50%÷1.000×0.830×1.005×1.0306.45%
Triples /BIP1.88%÷1.000×0.910×1.005×1.0301.77%
Home runs /BIP2.50%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0302.06%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.

Result: wOBA .379 → .335; ISO .156 → .138; BABIP .358 → .333. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .