John Hester
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 29 | AAALAA | 284 | .237/.311/.391 | 8 | 3 | 43 | — | .183/.236/.298 |
| 2014 | 30 | AAALAA | 273 | .261/.341/.411 | 6 | 3 | 47 | — | .187/.244/.287 |
| 2015 | 31 | AAAPHI | 25 | .304/.333/.435 | 0 | 0 | 50 | — | .261/.292/.348 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2006 | 22 | ROK | Missoula Osprey | — | 227 | 192 | 52 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 52 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 271 | 375 | 490 | 865 | 219 | 336 | 23 | 12 | 377 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 23 | A+ | Visalia Oaks | — | 320 | 297 | 78 | 16 | 1 | 10 | 22 | 64 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 263 | 316 | 424 | 740 | 162 | 305 | 20 | 7 | 329 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | AA | Mobile BayBears | — | 331 | 306 | 82 | 26 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 78 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 268 | 309 | 474 | 782 | 206 | 317 | 24 | 5 | 336 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 30 | 28 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 300 | 429 | 729 | 179 | 300 | 23 | 7 | 322 | 104 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +7 | +1 | 0.6 |
| 2009 | 25 | AAA | Reno Aces | — | 355 | 329 | 108 | 31 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 65 | 3 | 13 | 3 | 328 | 376 | 535 | 911 | 207 | 387 | 18 | 6 | 398 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 106 | 95 | 20 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 32 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 211 | 292 | 347 | 640 | 137 | 295 | 30 | 10 | 290 | 73 | -3 | +0 | -9 | +5 | +2 | -0.4 |
| 2010 | 26 | AAA | Reno Aces | — | 159 | 138 | 51 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 370 | 446 | 667 | 1.113 | 297 | 411 | 16 | 10 | 473 | 133 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | INTL | Gigantes del Cibao | — | 38 | 34 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 265 | 324 | 441 | 766 | 176 | 333 | 24 | 8 | 330 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 27 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | — | 353 | 317 | 80 | 13 | 0 | 6 | 31 | 80 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 252 | 325 | 350 | 675 | 98 | 319 | 23 | 9 | 307 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 28 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | — | 95 | 85 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 212 | 287 | 329 | 617 | 118 | 263 | 26 | 8 | 279 | 75 | -3 | +0 | -10 | +4 | +2 | -0.7 |
| 2012 | 28 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | — | 143 | 126 | 29 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 40 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 230 | 302 | 421 | 723 | 190 | 298 | 28 | 8 | 311 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | — | 284 | 253 | 60 | 13 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 75 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 237 | 311 | 391 | 702 | 154 | 301 | 26 | 10 | 310 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 30 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | — | 273 | 241 | 63 | 16 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 70 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 261 | 341 | 411 | 752 | 149 | 341 | 26 | 10 | 334 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 25 | 23 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 304 | 333 | 435 | 768 | 130 | 350 | 12 | 4 | 327 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 231 | 208 | 45 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 64 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 216 | 291 | 351 | 642 | 135 | 283 | 28 | 9 | 290 | 82 | -5 | +0 | -21 | +17 | +5 | -0.4 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2006 | 22 | ROK MLE | Missoula Osprey | — | 227 | 204 | 38 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 75 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 186 | 259 | 328 | 587 | 142 | 251 | 33 | 7 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 23 | A+ MLE | Visalia Oaks | — | 320 | 304 | 66 | 12 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 86 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 217 | 256 | 352 | 608 | 135 | 271 | 27 | 5 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | AA MLE | Mobile BayBears | — | 331 | 311 | 72 | 23 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 95 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 232 | 262 | 405 | 667 | 174 | 285 | 29 | 3 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | MLB MLE | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 30 | 28 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 300 | 429 | 729 | 179 | 300 | 23 | 7 | 322 | 104 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +7 | +1 | 0.6 |
| 2009 | 25 | AAA MLE | Reno Aces | — | 355 | 336 | 92 | 25 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 84 | 3 | 13 | 3 | 274 | 311 | 435 | 745 | 161 | 346 | 24 | 4 | 321 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | MLB MLE | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 106 | 96 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 32 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 198 | 274 | 323 | 597 | 125 | 295 | 30 | 9 | 275 | 73 | -3 | +0 | -9 | +5 | +2 | -0.4 |
| 2010 | 26 | AAA MLE | Reno Aces | — | 159 | 144 | 42 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 36 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 292 | 350 | 500 | 850 | 208 | 345 | 23 | 6 | 365 | 133 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 27 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 353 | 326 | 65 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 100 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 199 | 256 | 276 | 532 | 77 | 267 | 28 | 6 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 28 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Angels | — | 95 | 85 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 212 | 287 | 329 | 617 | 118 | 263 | 26 | 8 | 278 | 75 | -3 | +0 | -10 | +4 | +2 | -0.7 |
| 2012 | 28 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 143 | 129 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 51 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 171 | 230 | 302 | 533 | 132 | 236 | 36 | 6 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 284 | 262 | 48 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 100 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 183 | 236 | 298 | 533 | 115 | 259 | 35 | 6 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 30 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 273 | 251 | 47 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 92 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 187 | 244 | 287 | 531 | 100 | 272 | 34 | 6 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 25 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 261 | 292 | 348 | 639 | 87 | 269 | 16 | 4 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 22 | ROK MLE | Missoula Osprey | — | 227 | 204 | 38 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 75 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 186 | 259 | 328 | 587 | 142 | 266 | 33 | 7 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 22 | ROK RAW | Missoula Osprey | — | 227 | 192 | 52 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 52 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 271 | 375 | 490 | 865 | 219 | 336 | 23 | 12 | 377 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 23 | A+ MLE | Visalia Oaks | — | 320 | 304 | 66 | 12 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 86 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 217 | 256 | 352 | 608 | 135 | 273 | 27 | 5 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 23 | A+ RAW | Visalia Oaks | — | 320 | 297 | 78 | 16 | 1 | 10 | 22 | 64 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 263 | 316 | 424 | 740 | 162 | 305 | 20 | 7 | 329 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | AA MLE | Mobile BayBears | — | 331 | 311 | 72 | 23 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 95 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 232 | 262 | 405 | 667 | 174 | 294 | 29 | 3 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | AA RAW | Mobile BayBears | — | 331 | 306 | 82 | 26 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 78 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 268 | 309 | 474 | 782 | 206 | 317 | 24 | 5 | 336 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 385 | 364 | 99 | 27 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 91 | 3 | 13 | 3 | 272 | 310 | 434 | 744 | 162 | 342 | 24 | 4 | 321 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 385 | 357 | 115 | 33 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 72 | 3 | 13 | 3 | 322 | 370 | 527 | 896 | 204 | 380 | 19 | 6 | 392 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 303 | 274 | 70 | 17 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 77 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 255 | 320 | 427 | 747 | 172 | 325 | 25 | 8 | 329 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 303 | 267 | 80 | 22 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 67 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 300 | 377 | 524 | 901 | 225 | 365 | 22 | 10 | 391 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 27 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 353 | 326 | 65 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 100 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 199 | 256 | 276 | 532 | 77 | 270 | 28 | 6 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 27 | AAA RAW | Norfolk Tides | — | 353 | 317 | 80 | 13 | 0 | 6 | 31 | 80 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 252 | 325 | 350 | 675 | 98 | 319 | 23 | 9 | 307 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 238 | 214 | 40 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 76 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 187 | 253 | 313 | 566 | 126 | 254 | 32 | 7 | 249 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 238 | 211 | 47 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 20 | 65 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 223 | 296 | 384 | 680 | 161 | 284 | 27 | 8 | 298 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 284 | 262 | 48 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 100 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 183 | 236 | 298 | 533 | 115 | 264 | 35 | 6 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | AAA RAW | Salt Lake Bees | — | 284 | 253 | 60 | 13 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 75 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 237 | 311 | 391 | 702 | 154 | 301 | 26 | 10 | 310 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 30 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 273 | 251 | 47 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 92 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 187 | 244 | 287 | 531 | 100 | 274 | 34 | 6 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 30 | AAA RAW | Salt Lake Bees | — | 273 | 241 | 63 | 16 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 70 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 261 | 341 | 411 | 752 | 149 | 341 | 26 | 10 | 334 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 25 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 261 | 292 | 348 | 639 | 87 | 316 | 16 | 4 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | AAA RAW | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 25 | 23 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 304 | 333 | 435 | 768 | 130 | 350 | 12 | 4 | 327 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 22 | ROK MLE | Missoula Osprey | — | 227 | 205 | 38 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 75 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 185 | 259 | 327 | 586 | 141 | 251 | 33 | 7 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 23 | A+ MLE | Visalia Oaks | — | 320 | 301 | 66 | 12 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 86 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 219 | 256 | 355 | 612 | 136 | 271 | 27 | 5 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | AA MLE | Mobile BayBears | — | 331 | 315 | 72 | 23 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 95 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 229 | 262 | 400 | 662 | 171 | 285 | 29 | 3 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 385 | 362 | 99 | 27 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 91 | 3 | 13 | 3 | 273 | 310 | 436 | 746 | 163 | 342 | 24 | 4 | 321 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 303 | 274 | 70 | 17 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 77 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 255 | 320 | 427 | 747 | 172 | 325 | 25 | 8 | 329 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 27 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 353 | 325 | 65 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 100 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 200 | 256 | 277 | 533 | 77 | 267 | 28 | 6 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 238 | 217 | 40 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 76 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 184 | 253 | 309 | 562 | 124 | 247 | 32 | 7 | 249 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 284 | 264 | 48 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 100 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 182 | 236 | 295 | 531 | 114 | 259 | 35 | 6 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 30 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 273 | 252 | 47 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 92 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 187 | 244 | 286 | 530 | 99 | 272 | 34 | 6 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 25 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 292 | 333 | 625 | 83 | 269 | 16 | 4 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 231 | 208 | 45 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 64 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 216 | 291 | 351 | 642 | 135 | 283 | 28 | 9 | 290 | 68 | -5 | +0 | -21 | +17 | +5 | -0.4 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 585 | 127 | 28 | 0 | 17 | 59 | 180 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 217 | 292 | 352 | 644 | 135 | 284 | 28 | 9 | 290 | 68 | -14 | +1 | -58 | +47 | +14 | -1.0 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2739 | 2533 | 551 | 130 | 16 | 59 | 155 | 796 | 22 | 35 | 19 | 218 | 269 | 351 | 620 | 134 | 290 | 29 | 6 | 269 | 68 | -5 | +0 | -21 | +17 | +5 | -0.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 601 | 131 | 31 | 4 | 14 | 37 | 189 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 218 | 269 | 353 | 622 | 135 | 290 | 29 | 6 | 269 | 68 | -14 | +1 | -58 | +47 | +14 | -1.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2015 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 25 PAwOBA .318 → .242 (−76)K% 12.0% → 14.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.00% | ÷1.019 | ×1.200 | — | — | 14.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.00% | ÷1.013 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.952 | 2.59% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.952 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷0.991 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.952 | 17.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 15.00% | ÷1.314 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.952 | 9.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.921 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.952 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.845 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.952 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 98, 2B 163, 3B 84, K 104, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .318 → .242; ISO .130 → .082; BABIP .350 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAASalt Lake Bees · 273 PAwOBA .326 → .237 (−90)K% 25.6% → 33.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.64% | ÷0.986 | ×1.290 | — | — | 33.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.16% | ÷1.043 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.962 | 6.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.10% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.962 | 1.04% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.39% | ÷1.013 | ×0.900 | ×0.969 | ×0.962 | 19.39% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.36% | ÷1.005 | ×0.810 | ×0.969 | ×0.962 | 7.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.58% | ÷0.958 | ×0.810 | ×0.969 | ×0.962 | 0.46% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.51% | ÷1.139 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.962 | 2.31% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 128, 1B 103, 2B 101, 3B 92, K 97, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.969.
Result: wOBA .326 → .237; ISO .149 → .100; BABIP .341 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAASalt Lake Bees · 284 PAwOBA .306 → .232 (−73)K% 26.4% → 35.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.41% | ÷0.964 | ×1.290 | — | — | 35.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.51% | ÷1.016 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.972 | 6.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.35% | ÷0.997 | ×0.900 | ×1.017 | ×0.972 | 19.05% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.30% | ÷0.977 | ×0.810 | ×1.017 | ×0.972 | 5.99% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.56% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×1.017 | ×0.972 | 0.39% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.49% | ÷0.973 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.972 | 3.50% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 99, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 93, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.017.
Result: wOBA .306 → .232; ISO .154 → .113; BABIP .301 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAASalt Lake Bees · 143 PAwOBA .307 → .229 (−78)K% 28.0% → 35.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.97% | ÷1.005 | ×1.290 | — | — | 35.90% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.39% | ÷0.914 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.982 | 6.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.70% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.982 | 0.67% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.44% | ÷1.029 | ×0.900 | ×0.981 | ×0.982 | 14.69% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.30% | ÷1.022 | ×0.810 | ×0.981 | ×0.982 | 7.11% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.33% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.981 | ×0.982 | 1.58% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.65% | ÷1.053 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.982 | 3.38% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 106, 2B 104, 3B 130, K 101, BB 83 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.
Result: wOBA .307 → .229; ISO .190 → .132; BABIP .298 → .236. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAANorfolk Tides · 353 PAwOBA .300 → .235 (−65)K% 22.7% → 28.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.66% | ÷0.956 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.78% | ÷0.966 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 6.22% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.85% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.79% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.74% | ÷1.032 | ×0.930 | ×0.959 | ×0.992 | 22.07% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.49% | ÷1.038 | ×0.830 | ×0.959 | ×0.992 | 4.17% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.127 | ×0.970 | ×0.959 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.53% | ÷1.036 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.992 | 2.04% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 106, 2B 108, 3B 125, K 91, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.959.
Result: wOBA .300 → .235; ISO .098 → .074; BABIP .319 → .267. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAAReno Aces · 159 PAwOBA .464 → .365 (−100)K% 16.4% → 22.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.35% | ÷0.938 | ×1.290 | — | — | 22.49% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.43% | ÷1.093 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 6.15% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.89% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 1.85% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷0.984 | ×0.900 | ×1.003 | ×1.003 | 22.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.71% | ÷1.087 | ×0.810 | ×1.003 | ×1.003 | 8.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.57% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×1.003 | ×1.003 | 2.53% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.061 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 4.61% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 97, 2B 117, 3B 130, K 88, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.
Result: wOBA .464 → .365; ISO .297 → .216; BABIP .411 → .345. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 AAAReno Aces · 355 PAwOBA .387 → .321 (−66)K% 18.3% → 23.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.31% | ÷1.000 | ×1.290 | — | — | 23.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.92% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 4.28% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.85% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 0.84% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.86% | ÷1.000 | ×0.900 | ×1.020 | ×1.018 | 22.30% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.74% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×1.020 | ×1.018 | 9.88% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.89% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×1.020 | ×1.018 | 1.59% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.41% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 2.71% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.
Result: wOBA .387 → .321; ISO .207 → .163; BABIP .387 → .346. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2008 AAMobile BayBears · 331 PAwOBA .333 → .281 (−52)K% 23.6% → 28.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.56% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.75% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.83% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 3.28% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.60% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 0.51% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.86% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.995 | ×0.998 | 17.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.40% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.995 | ×0.998 | 10.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | ×0.995 | ×0.998 | 0.77% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.82% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 3.85% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.
Result: wOBA .333 → .281; ISO .206 → .171; BABIP .317 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .