Tyler Flowers

PosC

B/TR/R

Born1986-01-24

Age (2027)41

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

MLBLAST SEASON 2020

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR
2018	32	MLBATL	296	.227/.342/.359	8	0	104	2.8
2019	33	MLBATL	310	.229/.321/.413	11	0	103	2.6
2020	34	MLBATL	80	.217/.325/.348	1	0	96	0.6
2021	35	No MLB games played
2022	36	No MLB games played
2023	37	No MLB games played
2024	38	No MLB games played
2025	39	No MLB games played
2026	40	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR 6.0

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2018-2020

Avg EV69

Barrel%56

xwOBA50

Speed10

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2006	20	ROK	Danville Braves	—	150	129	36	9	0	5	16	30	4	0	0	279	376	465	841	186	326	20	11	373	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	21	A	Rome Braves	—	445	389	116	34	2	12	49	74	3	3	4	298	381	488	869	190	339	17	11	382	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	A+	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	520	413	119	32	1	17	98	102	5	8	7	288	430	494	924	206	342	20	19	409	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	20	16	3	1	0	0	3	8	1	0	0	188	350	250	600	62	375	40	15	296	87	-0	+0	+1	+8	+0	0.9
2009	23	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	119	105	30	10	0	2	10	32	3	0	0	286	364	438	803	152	394	27	8	357	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	317	248	75	18	2	13	57	76	9	3	0	302	449	548	997	246	383	24	18	435	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	15	11	1	0	0	0	4	5	0	0	0	91	333	91	424		167	33	27	246	53	-1	+0	+0	+8	+0	0.8
2010	24	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	412	346	76	22	2	16	55	121	6	2	1	220	337	434	770	214	283	29	13	340	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	129	110	23	5	1	5	14	38	3	0	1	209	315	409	724	200	261	29	11	320	101	+0	-0	+10	+7	+3	2.0
2011	25	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	270	222	58	8	0	15	39	84	8	2	0	261	390	500	890	239	350	31	14	394	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	153	136	29	6	0	7	12	56	4	2	1	213	296	412	708	199	301	37	8	314	97	-0	+0	+13	+3	+3	1.9
2013	27	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	275	256	50	11	0	10	14	94	4	0	1	195	248	355	604	160	261	34	5	269	65	-11	-0	+11	+5	+6	1.0
2014	28	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	442	407	98	16	1	15	25	159	8	0	1	241	298	396	693	155	355	36	6	309	94	-3	-0	+19	+8	+10	3.4
2015	29	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	361	331	79	12	0	9	21	104	6	0	1	239	296	356	653	118	320	29	6	293	83	-7	-0	+21	+6	+8	2.8
2016	30	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	325	281	76	18	0	8	29	91	11	0	0	270	361	420	781	149	366	28	9	349	121	+8	+0	+15	+6	+7	3.6
2017	31	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	370	317	89	16	0	12	31	82	20	0	1	281	380	445	825	164	342	22	8	370	136	+16	-0	+24	+7	+8	5.5
2018	32	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	296	251	57	9	0	8	35	76	9	0	0	227	342	359	701	131	292	26	12	322	104	+2	+0	+14	+5	+6	2.8
2019	33	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	310	271	62	11	3	11	31	105	6	0	0	229	321	413	735	185	325	34	10	327	103	+1	+0	+12	+6	+7	2.6
2020	34	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	80	69	15	6	0	1	8	34	3	0	0	217	325	348	673	130	412	42	10	310	96	-0	+0	+3	+1	+2	0.6
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	2776	2456	582	111	5	86	227	852	75	2	6	237	321	391	712	154	324	31	8	320	102	+8	-2	+142	+70	+60	28.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2006	20	ROK MLE	Danville Braves	—	150	135	27	6	0	4	10	43	4	0	0	200	275	333	609	133	256	29	7	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	21	A MLE	Rome Braves	—	445	406	103	28	2	10	32	99	3	3	4	254	313	406	719	153	303	22	7	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	A+ MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	520	450	112	28	1	15	61	145	5	8	7	249	345	416	761	167	323	28	12	334	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	20	16	3	1	0	0	3	8	1	0	0	188	350	250	600	62	375	40	15	296	87	-0	+0	+1	+8	+0	0.9
2009	23	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	119	108	29	9	0	2	7	38	3	0	0	269	331	407	738	139	388	32	6	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	—	317	269	73	18	2	11	36	93	9	3	0	271	376	476	852	204	362	29	11	375	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	15	11	1	0	0	0	4	5	0	0	0	91	333	91	424		167	33	27	246	53	-1	+0	+0	+8	+0	0.8
2010	24	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	412	360	71	20	2	13	41	140	6	2	1	197	290	372	662	175	271	34	10	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	129	110	23	5	1	5	14	38	3	0	1	209	315	409	724	200	261	29	11	318	101	+0	-0	+10	+7	+3	2.0
2011	25	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	270	233	52	6	0	12	28	96	8	2	0	223	327	403	731	180	317	36	10	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	153	136	29	6	0	7	12	56	4	2	1	213	296	412	708	199	301	37	8	312	97	-0	+0	+13	+3	+3	1.9
2013	27	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	275	257	50	11	0	10	13	94	4	0	1	195	245	354	599	160	261	34	5	264	65	-11	-0	+11	+5	+6	1.0
2014	28	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	442	407	98	16	1	15	25	159	8	0	1	241	298	396	693	155	355	36	6	307	94	-3	-0	+19	+8	+10	3.4
2015	29	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	361	331	79	12	0	9	21	104	6	0	1	239	296	356	653	118	320	29	6	291	83	-7	-0	+21	+6	+8	2.8
2016	30	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	325	282	76	17	0	9	28	91	11	0	0	270	358	426	784	156	366	28	9	347	121	+8	+0	+15	+6	+7	3.6
2017	31	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	370	318	89	16	0	12	30	82	20	0	1	280	378	443	821	164	342	22	8	369	136	+16	-0	+24	+7	+8	5.5
2018	32	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	296	251	57	9	0	8	35	76	9	0	0	227	342	359	701	131	292	26	12	322	104	+2	+0	+14	+5	+6	2.8
2019	33	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	310	274	62	11	3	11	28	105	6	0	0	226	312	409	720	182	325	34	9	320	103	+1	+0	+12	+6	+7	2.6
2020	34	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	80	69	15	6	0	1	8	34	3	0	0	217	325	348	673	130	412	42	10	310	96	-0	+0	+3	+1	+2	0.6
2006	20	ROK MLE	Danville Braves	—	150	135	27	6	0	4	10	43	4	0	0	200	275	333	609	133	258	29	7	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	20	ROK RAW	Danville Braves	—	150	129	36	9	0	5	16	30	4	0	0	279	376	465	841	186	326	20	11	373	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	21	A MLE	Rome Braves	—	445	406	103	28	2	10	32	99	3	3	4	254	313	406	719	153	309	22	7	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	21	A RAW	Rome Braves	—	445	389	116	34	2	12	49	74	3	3	4	298	381	488	869	190	339	17	11	382	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	A+ MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	520	450	112	28	1	15	61	145	5	8	7	249	345	416	761	167	330	28	12	334	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	A+ RAW	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	520	413	119	32	1	17	98	102	5	8	7	288	430	494	924	206	342	20	19	409	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	456	392	105	28	2	13	47	139	13	3	0	268	365	449	814	181	379	30	10	355	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	AA RAW	3 teams	—	456	369	108	29	2	15	70	116	13	3	0	293	423	504	927	211	386	25	15	408	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	427	371	72	20	2	13	45	145	6	2	1	194	291	364	655	170	273	34	11	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	427	357	77	22	2	16	59	126	6	2	1	216	336	423	759	207	280	30	14	337	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	399	343	75	11	1	17	42	134	11	2	1	219	323	405	728	187	299	34	11	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	399	332	81	13	1	20	53	122	11	2	1	244	366	470	836	226	318	31	13	370	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	153	136	29	6	0	7	12	56	4	2	1	213	296	412	708	199	301	37	8	312	97	-0	+0	+13	+3	+3	1.9
2012	26	MLB RAW	Chicago White Sox	—	153	136	29	6	0	7	12	56	4	2	1	213	296	412	708	199	301	37	8	314	97	-0	+0	+13	+3	+3	1.9
2013	27	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	275	257	50	11	0	10	13	94	4	0	1	195	245	354	599	160	260	34	5	264	65	-11	-0	+11	+5	+6	1.0
2013	27	MLB RAW	Chicago White Sox	—	275	256	50	11	0	10	14	94	4	0	1	195	248	355	604	160	261	34	5	269	65	-11	-0	+11	+5	+6	1.0
2014	28	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	442	407	98	16	1	15	25	159	8	0	1	241	298	396	693	155	355	36	6	307	94	-3	-0	+19	+8	+10	3.4
2014	28	MLB RAW	Chicago White Sox	—	442	407	98	16	1	15	25	159	8	0	1	241	298	396	693	155	355	36	6	309	94	-3	-0	+19	+8	+10	3.4
2015	29	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	361	331	79	12	0	9	21	104	6	0	1	239	296	356	653	118	320	29	6	291	83	-7	-0	+21	+6	+8	2.8
2015	29	MLB RAW	Chicago White Sox	—	361	331	79	12	0	9	21	104	6	0	1	239	296	356	653	118	320	29	6	293	83	-7	-0	+21	+6	+8	2.8
2016	30	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	325	282	76	17	0	9	28	91	11	0	0	270	358	426	784	156	360	28	9	347	121	+8	+0	+15	+6	+7	3.6
2016	30	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	—	325	281	76	18	0	8	29	91	11	0	0	270	361	420	781	149	366	28	9	349	121	+8	+0	+15	+6	+7	3.6
2017	31	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	370	318	89	16	0	12	30	82	20	0	1	280	378	443	821	164	341	22	8	369	136	+16	-0	+24	+7	+8	5.5
2017	31	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	—	370	317	89	16	0	12	31	82	20	0	1	281	380	445	825	164	342	22	8	370	136	+16	-0	+24	+7	+8	5.5
2018	32	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	296	251	57	9	0	8	35	76	9	0	0	227	342	359	701	131	292	26	12	322	104	+2	+0	+14	+5	+6	2.8
2018	32	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	—	296	251	57	9	0	8	35	76	9	0	0	227	342	359	701	131	292	26	12	322	104	+2	+0	+14	+5	+6	2.8
2019	33	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	310	274	62	11	3	11	28	105	6	0	0	226	312	409	720	182	319	34	9	320	103	+1	+0	+12	+6	+7	2.6
2019	33	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	—	310	271	62	11	3	11	31	105	6	0	0	229	321	413	735	185	325	34	10	327	103	+1	+0	+12	+6	+7	2.6
2020	34	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	80	69	15	6	0	1	8	34	3	0	0	217	325	348	673	130	412	42	10	310	96	-0	+0	+3	+1	+2	0.6
2020	34	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	—	80	69	15	6	0	1	8	34	3	0	0	217	325	348	673	130	412	42	10	310	96	-0	+0	+3	+1	+2	0.6
2006	20	ROK MLE	Danville Braves	—	150	135	27	6	0	4	10	43	4	0	0	200	275	333	609	133	256	29	7	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	21	A MLE	Rome Braves	—	445	407	103	28	2	10	32	99	3	3	4	253	313	405	718	152	303	22	7	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	A+ MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	520	449	112	28	1	15	61	145	5	8	7	249	345	416	761	167	323	28	12	334	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	456	393	105	28	2	13	47	139	13	3	0	267	365	448	813	181	369	30	10	355	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	427	373	72	20	2	13	45	145	6	2	1	193	291	362	653	169	267	34	11	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	399	343	75	11	1	17	42	134	11	2	1	219	323	405	728	187	299	34	11	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	153	136	29	6	0	7	12	56	4	2	1	213	296	412	708	199	301	37	8	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	275	256	50	11	0	10	13	94	4	0	1	195	245	355	600	160	261	34	5	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	442	406	98	16	1	15	25	159	8	0	1	241	298	397	694	155	355	36	6	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	361	331	79	12	0	9	21	104	6	0	1	239	296	356	653	118	320	29	6	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	325	283	76	17	0	9	28	91	11	0	0	269	358	424	782	155	366	28	9	347	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	31	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	370	317	89	16	0	12	30	82	20	0	1	281	378	445	823	164	342	22	8	369	136	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	32	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	296	250	57	9	0	8	35	76	9	0	0	228	342	360	702	132	292	26	12	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	33	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	310	273	62	11	3	11	28	105	6	0	0	227	312	410	722	183	325	34	9	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	34	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	80	69	15	6	0	1	8	34	3	0	0	217	325	348	673	130	412	42	10	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2776	2456	582	111	5	86	227	852	75	2	6	237	321	391	712	154	324	31	8	320	102	+8	-2	+142	+70	+60	28.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	575	136	26	1	20	53	199	18	0	1	237	320	390	710	153	323	31	8	320	102	+2	-0	+33	+16	+14	6.6
Career	—	MLE		—	5009	4422	1049	225	12	154	437	1506	113	20	18	237	322	398	720	161	321	30	9	318	102	+8	-2	+142	+70	+60	28.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	574	136	29	2	20	57	195	15	3	2	237	322	399	721	162	320	30	9	318	102	+2	-0	+33	+16	+14	6.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2011 AAACharlotte Knights · 270 PAwOBA .382 → .321 (−61)K% 31.1% → 35.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	31.11%	÷1.049	×1.200	—	—	35.59%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.07%	÷0.965	×0.690	—	×1.033	10.39%
HBP% /PA	2.96%	—	×0.940	—	×1.033	2.88%
Singles /BIP	25.36%	÷0.982	×0.930	×1.002	×1.033	24.84%
Doubles /BIP	5.80%	÷1.232	×0.830	×1.002	×1.033	4.04%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.970	×1.002	×1.033	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	10.87%	÷1.074	×0.840	—	×1.033	8.78%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 96, 2B 146, 3B 80, K 110, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.

Result: wOBA .382 → .321; ISO .239 → .189; BABIP .350 → .317. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AAACharlotte Knights · 412 PAwOBA .333 → .289 (−44)K% 29.4% → 34.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	29.37%	÷1.036	×1.200	—	—	34.02%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.11%	÷0.960	×0.690	—	×1.048	9.87%
HBP% /PA	1.46%	—	×0.940	—	×1.048	1.43%
Singles /BIP	16.00%	÷0.987	×0.930	×1.025	×1.048	16.19%
Doubles /BIP	9.78%	÷1.001	×0.830	×1.025	×1.048	8.71%
Triples /BIP	0.89%	÷0.926	×0.970	×1.025	×1.048	1.00%
Home runs /BIP	7.11%	÷1.109	×0.840	—	×1.048	5.64%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 97, 2B 100, 3B 85, K 107, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.025.

Result: wOBA .333 → .289; ISO .214 → .180; BABIP .283 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2009 AABirmingham Barons · 317 PAwOBA .424 → .375 (−49)K% 24.0% → 29.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.97%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	29.25%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	16.40%	÷1.000	×0.680	—	×1.027	11.46%
HBP% /PA	2.84%	—	×0.840	—	×1.027	2.45%
Singles /BIP	24.42%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.019	×1.027	23.52%
Doubles /BIP	10.47%	÷1.000	×0.910	×1.019	×1.027	9.97%
Triples /BIP	1.16%	÷1.000	×0.880	×1.019	×1.027	1.07%
Home runs /BIP	7.56%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×1.027	6.21%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.

Result: wOBA .424 → .375; ISO .246 → .223; BABIP .383 → .362. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2009 AAACharlotte Knights · 119 PAwOBA .348 → .313 (−35)K% 26.9% → 32.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	26.89%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	32.27%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.40%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.050	6.09%
HBP% /PA	2.52%	—	×0.940	—	×1.050	2.49%
Singles /BIP	24.66%	÷1.000	×0.930	×1.050	×1.050	25.28%
Doubles /BIP	13.70%	÷1.000	×0.830	×1.050	×1.050	12.54%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.970	×1.050	×1.050	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.74%	÷1.000	×0.840	—	×1.050	2.42%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .348 → .313; ISO .152 → .133; BABIP .394 → .388. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2008 A+Myrtle Beach Pelicans · 520 PAwOBA .401 → .334 (−67)K% 19.6% → 27.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.62%	÷1.000	×1.420	—	—	27.85%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	18.46%	÷1.000	×0.630	—	×1.012	11.77%
HBP% /PA	0.96%	—	×0.860	—	×1.012	0.84%
Singles /BIP	22.19%	÷1.000	×0.940	×1.037	×1.012	21.88%
Doubles /BIP	10.29%	÷1.000	×0.830	×1.037	×1.012	8.96%
Triples /BIP	0.32%	÷1.000	×0.800	×1.037	×1.012	0.27%
Home runs /BIP	5.47%	÷1.000	×0.900	—	×1.012	4.98%

Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.037.

Result: wOBA .401 → .334; ISO .206 → .183; BABIP .342 → .323. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2007 ARome Braves · 445 PAwOBA .374 → .311 (−64)K% 16.6% → 22.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.63%	÷1.000	×1.340	—	—	22.28%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.79%	÷1.000	×0.660	—	×1.015	7.23%
HBP% /PA	0.67%	—	×0.770	—	×1.015	0.53%
Singles /BIP	21.59%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.000	×1.015	20.16%
Doubles /BIP	10.79%	÷1.000	×0.820	×1.000	×1.015	8.98%
Triples /BIP	0.63%	÷1.000	×0.940	×1.000	×1.015	0.61%
Home runs /BIP	3.81%	÷1.000	×0.820	—	×1.015	3.17%

Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.000.

Result: wOBA .374 → .311; ISO .190 → .158; BABIP .339 → .303. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2006 ROKDanville Braves · 150 PAwOBA .366 → .266 (−100)K% 20.0% → 28.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.00%	÷1.000	×1.420	—	—	28.40%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.67%	÷1.000	×0.640	—	×0.995	6.79%
HBP% /PA	2.67%	—	×0.740	—	×0.995	1.96%
Singles /BIP	22.22%	÷1.000	×0.840	×0.983	×0.995	18.27%
Doubles /BIP	9.09%	÷1.000	×0.740	×0.983	×0.995	6.58%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.740	×0.983	×0.995	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.05%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×0.995	4.02%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.

Result: wOBA .366 → .266; ISO .186 → .136; BABIP .326 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).