Jesus Lopez
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 26 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 230 | .279/.330/.341 | 1 | 2 | 85 | — | .267/.312/.267 |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 235 | .266/.297/.396 | 4 | 1 | 49 | — | .236/.249/.346 |
| 2017 | 29 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 62 | .250/.350/.308 | 0 | 1 | 62 | — | .135/.179/.162 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2006 | 18 | A | Fort Wayne Wizards | — | 204 | 178 | 36 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 32 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 202 | 286 | 287 | 573 | 84 | 229 | 16 | 10 | 260 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 19 | A | Fort Wayne Wizards | — | 441 | 380 | 88 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 43 | 59 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 232 | 315 | 300 | 615 | 68 | 263 | 13 | 10 | 276 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 20 | AA | San Antonio Missions | — | 69 | 59 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 356 | 441 | 424 | 865 | 68 | 396 | 9 | 13 | 388 | 135 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 20 | A+ | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 380 | 339 | 84 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 41 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 248 | 311 | 304 | 615 | 56 | 273 | 11 | 7 | 276 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | AA | San Antonio Missions | — | 288 | 259 | 60 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 34 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 232 | 294 | 305 | 599 | 73 | 262 | 12 | 8 | 269 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | AA | San Antonio Missions | — | 128 | 114 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 193 | 264 | 219 | 483 | 26 | 220 | 12 | 9 | 224 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A+ | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 272 | 231 | 57 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 36 | 38 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 247 | 353 | 364 | 717 | 117 | 286 | 14 | 13 | 325 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | INTL | Algodoneros de Guasave | — | 247 | 218 | 57 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 261 | 321 | 394 | 715 | 133 | 264 | 9 | 7 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AAA | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 155 | 135 | 44 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 326 | 393 | 496 | 890 | 170 | 347 | 9 | 10 | 381 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | INTL | Mexico | — | 138 | 118 | 29 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 246 | 315 | 314 | 629 | 68 | 270 | 12 | 8 | 274 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AAA | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 273 | 243 | 67 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 31 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 276 | 328 | 387 | 715 | 111 | 296 | 11 | 6 | 309 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | INTL | Mexico | — | 259 | 235 | 64 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 26 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 272 | 319 | 340 | 659 | 68 | 291 | 10 | 6 | 290 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 410 | 366 | 101 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 54 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 276 | 324 | 388 | 712 | 112 | 308 | 13 | 6 | 305 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | INTL | Algodoneros de Guasave | — | 218 | 191 | 50 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 28 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 262 | 317 | 366 | 684 | 105 | 298 | 13 | 7 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 16 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 286 | 375 | 286 | 661 | 333 | 12 | 12 | 313 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2014 | 26 | INTL | Charros de Jalisco | — | 214 | 194 | 54 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 25 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 278 | 327 | 345 | 672 | 67 | 310 | 12 | 7 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 186 | 180 | 52 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 289 | 308 | 433 | 741 | 144 | 327 | 16 | 3 | 325 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | INTL | Charros de Jalisco | — | 49 | 42 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 255 | 238 | 493 | 71 | 219 | 20 | 8 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 29 | AAA | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 40 | 36 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 194 | 256 | 250 | 506 | 56 | 304 | 32 | 5 | 231 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 29 | INTL | Charros de Jalisco | — | 22 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 375 | 524 | 438 | 961 | 62 | 375 | 5 | 23 | 423 | 172 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2006 | 18 | A MLE | Fort Wayne Wizards | — | 204 | 184 | 35 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 43 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 190 | 251 | 266 | 518 | 76 | 223 | 21 | 7 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 19 | A MLE | Fort Wayne Wizards | — | 441 | 393 | 85 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 80 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 216 | 277 | 277 | 554 | 61 | 250 | 18 | 7 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 20 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 69 | 61 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 361 | 426 | 426 | 853 | 66 | 399 | 10 | 10 | 367 | 135 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 20 | A+ MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 380 | 346 | 82 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 55 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 237 | 286 | 289 | 576 | 52 | 261 | 14 | 6 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 288 | 265 | 60 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 41 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 226 | 273 | 294 | 567 | 68 | 256 | 14 | 6 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 128 | 117 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 197 | 248 | 222 | 470 | 26 | 221 | 16 | 6 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A+ MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 272 | 243 | 53 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 52 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 218 | 294 | 321 | 615 | 103 | 263 | 19 | 9 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AAA MLE | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 155 | 139 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 295 | 347 | 424 | 771 | 129 | 309 | 11 | 7 | 321 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AAA MLE | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 273 | 248 | 65 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 37 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 262 | 302 | 355 | 656 | 93 | 275 | 14 | 4 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA MLE | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 410 | 375 | 97 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 71 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 259 | 291 | 336 | 627 | 77 | 291 | 17 | 4 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA MLE | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 16 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 267 | 312 | 267 | 579 | 299 | 19 | 6 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA MLE | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 186 | 182 | 43 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 40 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 236 | 249 | 346 | 595 | 110 | 277 | 22 | 2 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 29 | AAA MLE | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 40 | 37 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 135 | 179 | 162 | 342 | 27 | 251 | 40 | 2 | 171 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 18 | A MLE | Fort Wayne Wizards | — | 204 | 184 | 35 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 43 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 190 | 251 | 266 | 518 | 76 | 230 | 21 | 7 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 18 | A RAW | Fort Wayne Wizards | — | 204 | 178 | 36 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 32 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 202 | 286 | 287 | 573 | 84 | 229 | 16 | 10 | 260 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 19 | A MLE | Fort Wayne Wizards | — | 441 | 393 | 85 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 80 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 216 | 277 | 277 | 554 | 61 | 260 | 18 | 7 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 19 | A RAW | Fort Wayne Wizards | — | 441 | 380 | 88 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 43 | 59 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 232 | 315 | 300 | 615 | 68 | 263 | 13 | 10 | 276 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 20 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 449 | 408 | 103 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 62 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 252 | 304 | 304 | 608 | 51 | 290 | 14 | 6 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 20 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 449 | 398 | 105 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 37 | 47 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 264 | 331 | 322 | 653 | 58 | 292 | 10 | 8 | 294 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 288 | 265 | 60 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 41 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 226 | 273 | 294 | 567 | 68 | 263 | 14 | 6 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | AA RAW | San Antonio Missions | — | 288 | 259 | 60 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 34 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 232 | 294 | 305 | 599 | 73 | 262 | 12 | 8 | 269 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 647 | 574 | 123 | 29 | 3 | 4 | 53 | 115 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 214 | 285 | 296 | 581 | 82 | 259 | 18 | 8 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 647 | 563 | 136 | 29 | 3 | 8 | 64 | 75 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 242 | 323 | 346 | 670 | 105 | 264 | 12 | 10 | 299 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 293 | 258 | 77 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 32 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 298 | 354 | 426 | 780 | 128 | 329 | 11 | 7 | 321 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 293 | 253 | 73 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 30 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 289 | 357 | 411 | 768 | 123 | 312 | 10 | 9 | 330 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 532 | 488 | 125 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 72 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 256 | 292 | 342 | 635 | 86 | 284 | 14 | 4 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 532 | 478 | 131 | 21 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 57 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 274 | 324 | 364 | 688 | 90 | 293 | 11 | 6 | 300 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 628 | 574 | 148 | 21 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 108 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 258 | 290 | 334 | 624 | 77 | 309 | 17 | 4 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 628 | 557 | 151 | 29 | 4 | 8 | 42 | 82 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 271 | 322 | 381 | 702 | 110 | 305 | 13 | 7 | 301 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 230 | 214 | 55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 37 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 257 | 290 | 257 | 547 | 306 | 16 | 4 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2014 | 26 | INTL RAW | 2 teams | — | 230 | 208 | 58 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 27 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 279 | 330 | 341 | 672 | 62 | 311 | 12 | 7 | 298 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 235 | 227 | 53 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 51 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 233 | 250 | 330 | 580 | 97 | 287 | 22 | 2 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 235 | 222 | 59 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 40 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 266 | 297 | 396 | 694 | 131 | 307 | 17 | 4 | 304 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 62 | 57 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 140 | 183 | 175 | 359 | 35 | 242 | 40 | 3 | 171 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 29 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 62 | 52 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 250 | 350 | 308 | 658 | 58 | 333 | 23 | 11 | 299 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 18 | A MLE | Fort Wayne Wizards | — | 204 | 187 | 35 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 43 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 187 | 251 | 262 | 513 | 75 | 223 | 21 | 7 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 19 | A MLE | Fort Wayne Wizards | — | 441 | 405 | 85 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 80 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 210 | 277 | 269 | 546 | 59 | 250 | 18 | 7 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 20 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 449 | 416 | 103 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 62 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 248 | 304 | 298 | 602 | 50 | 282 | 14 | 6 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 288 | 269 | 60 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 41 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 223 | 273 | 290 | 563 | 67 | 256 | 14 | 6 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 647 | 585 | 123 | 29 | 3 | 4 | 53 | 115 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 210 | 285 | 291 | 576 | 80 | 250 | 18 | 8 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 293 | 269 | 77 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 32 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 286 | 354 | 409 | 762 | 123 | 309 | 11 | 7 | 321 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 532 | 502 | 125 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 72 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 249 | 292 | 333 | 625 | 84 | 275 | 14 | 4 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 628 | 597 | 148 | 21 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 108 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 248 | 290 | 322 | 612 | 74 | 291 | 17 | 4 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 230 | 218 | 55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 37 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 252 | 290 | 252 | 542 | 299 | 16 | 4 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 235 | 228 | 53 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 51 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 232 | 250 | 329 | 579 | 96 | 277 | 22 | 2 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 62 | 59 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 136 | 183 | 169 | 353 | 34 | 251 | 40 | 3 | 171 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4009 | 3642 | 872 | 144 | 18 | 29 | 225 | 666 | 18 | 27 | 19 | 239 | 287 | 313 | 600 | 73 | 283 | 17 | 6 | 260 | 62 | -180 | -2 | +0 | +43 | +87 | -5.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 590 | 141 | 23 | 3 | 5 | 36 | 108 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 239 | 286 | 314 | 599 | 75 | 282 | 17 | 6 | 260 | 62 | -29 | -0 | +0 | +7 | +14 | -0.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AAADiablos Rojos del Mexico · 40 PAwOBA .225 → .171 (−54)K% 32.5% → 40.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.50% | ÷0.967 | ×1.200 | — | — | 40.31% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.00% | ÷1.003 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 3.34% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.50% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 2.28% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.74% | ÷1.036 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.972 | 18.97% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.70% | ÷1.143 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.972 | 6.14% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.093 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.080 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 107, 2B 129, 3B 119, K 93, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .225 → .171; ISO .056 → .037; BABIP .304 → .251. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAADiablos Rojos del Mexico · 186 PAwOBA .317 → .245 (−73)K% 16.1% → 21.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.13% | ÷0.900 | ×1.200 | — | — | 21.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.69% | ÷1.204 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 1.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.00% | ÷1.045 | ×0.930 | ×1.010 | ×0.992 | 21.41% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.67% | ÷1.122 | ×0.830 | ×1.010 | ×0.992 | 4.94% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.33% | ÷1.123 | ×0.920 | ×1.010 | ×0.992 | 1.09% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.67% | ÷1.043 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 1.77% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 109, 2B 124, 3B 125, K 80, BB 141 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.
Result: wOBA .317 → .245; ISO .144 → .099; BABIP .327 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAADiablos Rojos del Mexico · 16 PAwOBA .281 → .255 (−25)K% 12.5% → 16.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.50% | ÷0.931 | ×1.200 | — | — | 16.11% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.25% | ÷0.991 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 4.36% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.33% | ÷1.039 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.003 | 29.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.183 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.180 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 136, 1B 108, 2B 137, 3B 130, K 86, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .281 → .255; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .333 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAADiablos Rojos del Mexico · 410 PAwOBA .299 → .264 (−34)K% 13.2% → 17.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.17% | ÷0.920 | ×1.200 | — | — | 17.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.34% | ÷1.068 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 4.17% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.04% | ÷0.978 | ×0.930 | ×1.031 | ×1.018 | 23.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.45% | ÷1.124 | ×0.830 | ×1.031 | ×1.018 | 4.22% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.96% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.031 | ×1.018 | 0.81% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.92% | ÷1.277 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 1.07% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 155, 1B 96, 2B 125, 3B 130, K 84, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.
Result: wOBA .299 → .264; ISO .112 → .080; BABIP .308 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAADiablos Rojos del Mexico · 273 PAwOBA .306 → .278 (−29)K% 11.4% → 13.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.36% | ÷1.007 | ×1.200 | — | — | 13.52% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.86% | ÷1.035 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 4.04% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.10% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 1.07% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.11% | ÷1.048 | ×0.930 | ×1.039 | ×1.033 | 22.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.13% | ÷1.026 | ×0.830 | ×1.039 | ×1.033 | 5.32% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.47% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.039 | ×1.033 | 0.40% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.89% | ÷1.088 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 1.25% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 110, 2B 105, 3B 130, K 102, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.039.
Result: wOBA .306 → .278; ISO .111 → .090; BABIP .296 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAADiablos Rojos del Mexico · 155 PAwOBA .371 → .321 (−50)K% 9.0% → 10.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.03% | ÷0.990 | ×1.200 | — | — | 10.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.68% | ÷1.003 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 6.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.97% | ÷1.023 | ×0.930 | ×1.004 | ×1.048 | 22.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.26% | ÷1.180 | ×0.830 | ×1.004 | ×1.048 | 6.12% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.65% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.004 | ×1.048 | 1.39% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.48% | ÷1.104 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 1.65% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 121, 1B 105, 2B 136, 3B 130, K 98, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.
Result: wOBA .371 → .321; ISO .170 → .130; BABIP .347 → .309. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 A+Lake Elsinore Storm · 272 PAwOBA .317 → .273 (−44)K% 14.0% → 19.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.97% | ÷0.986 | ×1.340 | — | — | 18.99% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.87% | ÷1.017 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 8.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.74% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 0.58% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.65% | ÷1.008 | ×0.910 | ×1.035 | ×0.998 | 17.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.81% | ÷0.953 | ×0.820 | ×1.035 | ×0.998 | 7.83% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.04% | ÷0.900 | ×0.760 | ×1.035 | ×0.998 | 0.90% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.04% | ÷0.845 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 1.13% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 102, 2B 91, 3B 80, K 97, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.035.
Result: wOBA .317 → .273; ISO .117 → .110; BABIP .286 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AASan Antonio Missions · 128 PAwOBA .223 → .210 (−12)K% 12.5% → 15.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.50% | ÷0.996 | ×1.220 | — | — | 15.31% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.59% | ÷0.984 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 6.28% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.39% | ÷0.953 | ×0.920 | ×1.021 | ×1.027 | 19.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.06% | ÷0.927 | ×0.840 | ×1.021 | ×1.027 | 2.91% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.129 | ×0.940 | ×1.021 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.869 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 91, 2B 85, 3B 126, K 99, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.
Result: wOBA .223 → .210; ISO .026 → .026; BABIP .220 → .221. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .