Justin Christian

PosLF

B/TR/R

Born1980-04-03

Age (2027)47

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2015

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2013	33	AAASTL	411	.270/.333/.353	3	14	51	—	.220/.264/.277
2014	34	AAA/INTL2 orgs	782	.259/.339/.399	13	21	77	—	.225/.282/.353
2015	35	AAADiablos Rojos…	196	.263/.353/.365	3	8	51	—	.222/.279/.295

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2005	25	A+	Tampa Yankees	—	416	372	114	27	6	8	33	47	6	38	5	306	372	476	848	169	333	11	8	371	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	25	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	118	100	29	5	0	3	14	12	3	17	2	290	393	430	823	140	306	10	12	370	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	26	AA	Trenton Thunder	—	516	467	129	19	9	6	43	73	3	68	13	276	341	394	735	118	317	14	8	329	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	27	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre Yankees	—	183	169	55	8	4	1	10	19	2	17	2	325	370	438	808	112	362	10	5	357	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	27	AA	Trenton Thunder	—	278	255	60	8	3	3	16	43	2	18	4	235	286	325	611	90	269	15	6	272	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	28	MLB	New York Yankees	—	43	40	10	3	0	0	3	4	0	7	1	250	302	325	627	75	278	9	7	286	79	-1	+1	-2	-4	+1	-0.5
2008	28	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre Yankees	—	297	268	82	17	1	6	20	34	4	22	4	306	363	444	807	138	326	11	7	355	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	29	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	386	356	96	18	5	3	20	51	2	26	3	270	312	374	686	104	305	13	5	301	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	30	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre Yankees	—	74	66	16	0	0	0	8	9	0	2	0	242	324	242	567		281	12	11	271	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	30	AA	Trenton Thunder	—	394	343	102	21	6	9	40	47	5	20	5	297	379	472	851	175	318	12	10	372	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	30	INTL	Mexico	—	333	280	97	24	0	10	45	34	1	24	1	346	439	539	978	193	367	10	14	423	172	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	31	MLB	San Francisco Giants	—	51	47	12	5	0	0	2	8	0	3	2	255	286	362	647	106	308	16	4	277	75	-2	-0	-1	+3	+1	0.1
2011	31	AAA	Fresno Grizzlies	—	280	237	80	20	3	10	35	31	4	36	3	338	431	574	1.005	236	354	11	12	433	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	31	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	309	273	70	12	2	4	23	31	7	18	2	256	330	359	689	103	275	10	7	308	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	31	INTL	Caneros de los Mochis	—	114	102	27	7	0	3	9	18	3	4	1	265	342	422	764	157	296	16	8	343	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	32	MLB	San Francisco Giants	—	61	56	7	1	0	0	5	3	0	2	1	125	197	143	340	18	132	5	8	167	0	-7	+0	-0	-4	+1	-1.0
2012	32	AAA	Fresno Grizzlies	—	338	303	104	23	3	7	28	32	6	12	5	343	409	508	918	165	367	9	8	406	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	33	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	411	374	101	16	3	3	31	44	4	14	4	270	333	353	685	83	299	11	8	311	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	34	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	520	461	125	37	4	10	43	71	10	16	4	271	346	434	780	163	300	14	8	344	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	34	INTL	Caneros de los Mochis	—	262	225	53	10	1	3	24	32	5	5	2	236	323	329	652	93	260	12	9	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	35	AAA	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	196	167	44	6	1	3	20	21	3	8	0	263	353	365	718	102	285	11	10	319	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	155	143	29	9	0	0	10	15	0	12	4	203	255	266	521	63	227	10	6	236	46	-10	+1	-3	-5	+3	-1.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2005	25	A+ MLE	Tampa Yankees	—	416	381	104	26	5	7	24	67	6	38	5	273	326	423	749	150	309	16	6	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	25	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	118	105	25	4	0	2	9	16	3	17	2	238	316	333	650	95	256	14	8	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	26	AA MLE	Trenton Thunder	—	516	481	121	16	8	5	29	89	3	68	13	252	298	349	648	98	297	17	6	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	27	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre Yankees	—	183	172	51	7	4	1	7	23	2	17	2	297	331	401	733	105	332	13	4	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	27	AA MLE	Trenton Thunder	—	278	262	57	7	3	2	9	53	2	18	4	218	249	290	539	73	257	19	3	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	28	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	—	43	40	10	3	0	0	3	4	0	7	1	250	302	325	627	75	278	9	7	286	79	-1	+1	-2	-4	+1	-0.5
2008	28	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre Yankees	—	297	274	73	14	1	5	14	41	4	22	4	266	312	380	691	113	285	14	5	302	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	29	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	—	386	362	88	15	5	3	14	61	2	26	3	243	275	337	612	94	273	16	4	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	30	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre Yankees	—	74	69	15	0	0	0	5	11	0	2	0	217	270	217	488		260	15	7	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	30	AA MLE	Trenton Thunder	—	394	358	98	19	6	7	25	56	5	20	5	274	330	419	749	145	294	14	6	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	31	MLB MLE	San Francisco Giants	—	51	47	12	5	0	0	2	8	0	3	2	255	286	362	647	106	308	16	4	279	75	-2	-0	-1	+3	+1	0.1
2011	31	AAA MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	280	249	70	16	2	7	23	39	4	36	3	281	351	446	797	165	302	14	8	344	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	31	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	309	283	62	10	2	3	13	39	7	18	2	219	271	300	571	81	232	13	4	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	32	MLB MLE	San Francisco Giants	—	61	56	7	1	0	0	5	3	0	2	1	125	197	143	340	18	132	5	8	169	0	-7	+0	-0	-4	+1	-1.0
2012	32	AAA MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	338	314	86	18	2	6	17	44	6	12	5	274	323	401	725	127	305	13	5	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	33	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	411	386	85	12	2	2	19	57	4	14	4	220	264	277	541	57	251	14	5	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	34	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	520	476	107	29	4	8	28	80	10	16	4	225	282	353	635	128	249	15	5	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	35	AAA MLE	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	196	176	39	5	1	2	11	28	3	8	0	222	279	295	574	74	236	14	6	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	25	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	534	486	129	30	5	9	33	83	9	55	7	265	324	403	727	138	304	16	6	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	25	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	534	472	143	32	6	11	47	59	9	55	7	303	377	466	843	163	328	11	9	371	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	26	AA MLE	Trenton Thunder	—	516	481	121	16	8	5	29	89	3	68	13	252	298	349	648	98	300	17	6	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	26	AA RAW	Trenton Thunder	—	516	467	129	19	9	6	43	73	3	68	13	276	341	394	735	118	317	14	8	329	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	27	AA MLE	2 teams	—	461	434	109	14	7	3	16	75	4	35	6	251	284	336	621	85	295	16	3	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	27	AA RAW	2 teams	—	461	424	115	16	7	4	26	62	4	35	6	271	319	370	690	99	307	13	6	306	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	340	314	83	17	1	5	17	45	4	29	5	264	310	373	683	108	290	13	5	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	28	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	340	308	92	20	1	6	23	38	4	29	5	299	355	429	784	130	320	11	7	346	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	29	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	—	386	362	88	15	5	3	14	61	2	26	3	243	275	337	612	94	282	16	4	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	29	AAA RAW	Norfolk Tides	—	386	356	96	18	5	3	20	51	2	26	3	270	312	374	686	104	305	13	5	301	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	30	AA MLE	3 teams	—	801	731	194	32	10	13	51	114	6	46	6	265	319	390	708	124	297	14	6	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	30	AA RAW	3 teams	—	801	689	215	45	6	19	93	90	6	46	6	312	398	478	876	165	334	11	12	384	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	31	AA MLE	4 teams	—	754	683	169	37	4	12	45	101	14	61	8	247	307	366	673	119	274	13	6	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	31	AA RAW	4 teams	—	754	659	189	44	5	17	69	88	14	61	8	287	367	446	813	159	308	12	9	358	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	32	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	399	370	93	19	2	6	22	47	6	14	6	251	304	362	666	111	274	12	6	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	32	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	399	359	111	24	3	7	33	35	6	14	6	309	377	451	828	142	328	9	8	369	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	33	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	411	386	85	12	2	2	19	57	4	14	4	220	264	277	541	57	253	14	5	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	33	AAA RAW	Memphis Redbirds	—	411	374	101	16	3	3	31	44	4	14	4	270	333	353	685	83	299	11	8	311	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	34	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	782	711	162	44	6	12	42	120	15	21	6	228	285	357	642	129	257	15	5	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	34	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	782	686	178	47	5	13	67	103	15	21	6	259	339	399	738	140	287	13	9	327	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	35	AAA MLE	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	196	176	39	5	1	2	11	28	3	8	0	222	279	295	574	74	252	14	6	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	35	AAA RAW	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	196	167	44	6	1	3	20	21	3	8	0	263	353	365	718	102	285	11	10	319	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	25	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	534	487	129	30	5	9	33	83	9	55	7	265	324	402	726	138	297	16	6	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	26	AA MLE	Trenton Thunder	—	516	479	121	16	8	5	29	89	3	68	13	253	298	351	649	98	297	17	6	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	27	AA MLE	2 teams	—	461	438	109	14	7	3	16	75	4	35	6	249	284	333	617	84	287	16	3	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	340	316	83	17	1	5	17	45	4	29	5	263	310	370	681	108	284	13	5	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	29	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	—	386	367	88	15	5	3	14	61	2	26	3	240	275	332	608	93	273	16	4	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	30	AA MLE	3 teams	—	801	738	194	32	10	13	51	114	6	46	6	263	319	386	705	123	289	14	6	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	31	AA MLE	4 teams	—	754	689	169	37	4	12	45	101	14	61	8	245	307	363	670	118	269	13	6	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	32	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	399	368	93	19	2	6	22	47	6	14	6	253	304	364	668	111	279	12	6	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	33	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	411	385	85	12	2	2	19	57	4	14	4	221	264	278	542	57	251	14	5	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	34	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	782	719	162	44	6	12	42	120	15	21	6	225	285	353	638	128	249	15	5	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	35	AAA MLE	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	196	180	39	5	1	2	11	28	3	8	0	217	279	289	568	72	236	14	6	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	155	143	29	9	0	0	10	15	0	12	4	203	255	266	521	63	227	10	6	236	78	-10	+1	-3	-5	+3	-1.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	600	122	38	0	0	42	63	0	50	17	203	255	267	522	63	227	10	6	236	78	-42	+3	-13	-22	+14	-6.0
Career	—	MLE		—	5580	5134	1272	241	51	72	299	820	70	377	64	248	298	357	655	109	281	15	5	284	78	-10	+1	-3	-5	+3	-1.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	598	148	28	6	8	35	96	8	44	7	247	298	355	652	107	282	15	5	284	78	-42	+3	-13	-22	+14	-6.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2015 AAADiablos Rojos del Mexico · 196 PAwOBA .312 → .243 (−69)K% 10.7% → 14.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	10.71%	÷0.900	×1.200	—	—	14.28%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.20%	÷1.204	×0.690	—	×0.940	5.50%
HBP% /PA	1.53%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	1.35%
Singles /BIP	23.29%	÷1.045	×0.930	×1.024	×0.940	19.94%
Doubles /BIP	4.11%	÷1.122	×0.830	×1.024	×0.940	2.93%
Triples /BIP	0.68%	÷1.123	×0.920	×1.024	×0.940	0.54%
Home runs /BIP	2.05%	÷1.043	×0.700	—	×0.940	1.30%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 109, 2B 124, 3B 125, K 80, BB 141 — applied at half strength. Age: age 35 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.024.

Result: wOBA .312 → .243; ISO .102 → .073; BABIP .285 → .236. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAADurham Bulls · 520 PAwOBA .336 → .276 (−60)K% 13.7% → 15.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.65%	÷1.070	×1.200	—	—	15.32%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.88%	÷0.950	×0.690	—	×0.940	5.38%
HBP% /PA	1.92%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	1.70%
Singles /BIP	18.97%	÷1.005	×0.930	×0.993	×0.940	16.40%
Doubles /BIP	9.49%	÷1.023	×0.830	×0.993	×0.940	7.19%
Triples /BIP	1.03%	÷0.900	×0.970	×0.993	×0.940	1.03%
Home runs /BIP	2.56%	÷1.046	×0.840	—	×0.940	1.94%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 101, 2B 105, 3B 80, K 114, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.

Result: wOBA .336 → .276; ISO .163 → .132; BABIP .300 → .249. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 411 PAwOBA .302 → .244 (−58)K% 10.7% → 13.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	10.71%	÷1.004	×1.290	—	—	13.76%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.06%	÷1.020	×0.710	—	×0.942	4.63%
HBP% /PA	0.97%	—	×0.980	—	×0.942	0.90%
Singles /BIP	23.94%	÷0.970	×0.900	×0.989	×0.942	20.70%
Doubles /BIP	4.85%	÷1.002	×0.810	×0.989	×0.942	3.65%
Triples /BIP	0.91%	÷0.984	×0.810	×0.989	×0.942	0.70%
Home runs /BIP	0.91%	÷0.988	×0.780	—	×0.942	0.68%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 94, 2B 100, 3B 97, K 101, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.989.

Result: wOBA .302 → .244; ISO .083 → .063; BABIP .299 → .251. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAAFresno Grizzlies · 338 PAwOBA .394 → .320 (−74)K% 9.5% → 12.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	9.47%	÷0.945	×1.290	—	—	12.93%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.99%	÷1.068	×0.710	—	×0.952	5.05%
HBP% /PA	1.78%	—	×0.980	—	×0.952	1.66%
Singles /BIP	26.20%	÷1.001	×0.900	×0.989	×0.952	22.17%
Doubles /BIP	8.49%	÷0.964	×0.810	×0.989	×0.952	6.71%
Triples /BIP	1.11%	÷0.940	×0.810	×0.989	×0.952	0.90%
Home runs /BIP	2.58%	÷0.834	×0.780	—	×0.952	2.30%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 67, 1B 100, 2B 93, 3B 88, K 89, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.989.

Result: wOBA .394 → .320; ISO .165 → .138; BABIP .367 → .305. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 309 PAwOBA .301 → .244 (−57)K% 10.0% → 12.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	10.03%	÷0.974	×1.220	—	—	12.56%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.12%	÷1.081	×0.700	—	×0.940	4.33%
HBP% /PA	2.27%	—	×0.850	—	×0.940	1.81%
Singles /BIP	21.49%	÷1.075	×0.970	×1.017	×0.940	18.54%
Doubles /BIP	4.96%	÷1.048	×0.860	×1.017	×0.940	3.89%
Triples /BIP	0.83%	÷1.140	×0.950	×1.017	×0.940	0.66%
Home runs /BIP	1.65%	÷1.081	×0.780	—	×0.940	1.12%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 115, 2B 110, 3B 128, K 95, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 24.8 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.017.

Result: wOBA .301 → .244; ISO .103 → .079; BABIP .275 → .232. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAAFresno Grizzlies · 280 PAwOBA .425 → .344 (−81)K% 11.1% → 13.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.07%	÷1.027	×1.290	—	—	13.91%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.50%	÷1.043	×0.710	—	×0.962	8.19%
HBP% /PA	1.43%	—	×0.980	—	×0.962	1.35%
Singles /BIP	22.82%	÷0.960	×0.900	×1.016	×0.962	20.90%
Doubles /BIP	9.71%	÷1.013	×0.810	×1.016	×0.962	7.59%
Triples /BIP	1.46%	÷1.150	×0.810	×1.016	×0.962	1.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.85%	÷1.112	×0.780	—	×0.962	3.28%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 92, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 105, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.

Result: wOBA .425 → .344; ISO .236 → .176; BABIP .354 → .302. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AATrenton Thunder · 394 PAwOBA .367 → .322 (−46)K% 11.9% → 14.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.93%	÷1.032	×1.220	—	—	14.10%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.15%	÷1.063	×0.700	—	×0.948	6.34%
HBP% /PA	1.27%	—	×0.850	—	×0.948	1.02%
Singles /BIP	22.30%	÷0.981	×0.970	×1.019	×0.948	21.31%
Doubles /BIP	7.09%	÷0.983	×0.860	×1.019	×0.948	6.00%
Triples /BIP	2.03%	÷1.016	×0.950	×1.019	×0.948	1.83%
Home runs /BIP	3.04%	÷0.932	×0.780	—	×0.948	2.41%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 96, 2B 97, 3B 103, K 106, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 24.8 → −5.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.

Result: wOBA .367 → .322; ISO .175 → .152; BABIP .318 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre Yankees · 74 PAwOBA .259 → .227 (−32)K% 12.2% → 15.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.16%	÷0.970	×1.200	—	—	15.05%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.46%	÷0.983	×0.690	—	×0.972	6.45%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.972	0.00%
Singles /BIP	28.07%	÷1.003	×0.930	×1.026	×0.972	25.96%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.036	×0.830	×1.026	×0.972	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.970	×1.026	×0.972	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.070	×0.840	—	×0.972	0.00%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 114, 1B 101, 2B 107, 3B 130, K 94, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.026.

Result: wOBA .259 → .227; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .281 → .260. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .