Kila Ka'aihue
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | 28 | AAASF | 305 | .256/.372/.496 | 15 | 1 | 95 | — | .219/.299/.411 | |
| 2012 | 28 | MLBOakland Athle… | 139 | .234/.295/.398 | 4 | 1 | 98 | -0.7 | ||
| 2013 | 29 | AAAARI | 235 | .312/.431/.620 | 16 | 0 | 117 | — | .240/.332/.446 | |
| 2015 | 31 | AAANew Orleans Z… | 359 | .195/.323/.308 | 7 | 0 | 36 | — | .153/.242/.231 | |
| 2016 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2017 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2018 | 34 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2019 | 35 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2020 | 36 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2021 | 37 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2022 | 38 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 39 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 40 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 41 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 42 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 21 | A+ | High Desert Mavericks | — | 605 | 493 | 150 | 31 | 2 | 20 | 97 | 97 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 304 | 430 | 497 | 927 | 193 | 343 | 16 | 16 | 411 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 22 | AA | Wichita Wranglers | — | 395 | 327 | 65 | 15 | 0 | 6 | 49 | 73 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 199 | 311 | 300 | 610 | 101 | 229 | 18 | 12 | 275 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 23 | AA | Wichita Wranglers | — | 288 | 244 | 60 | 13 | 0 | 12 | 41 | 40 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 359 | 447 | 806 | 201 | 250 | 14 | 14 | 359 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 23 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 253 | 207 | 52 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 35 | 38 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 251 | 370 | 420 | 790 | 169 | 257 | 15 | 14 | 348 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | — | 24 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 286 | 375 | 429 | 804 | 143 | 278 | 8 | 12 | 362 | 131 | +1 | +0 | -1 | -10 | +1 | -0.9 |
| 2008 | 24 | AAA | Omaha Royals | — | 139 | 114 | 36 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 24 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 316 | 439 | 640 | 1.079 | 325 | 325 | 19 | 17 | 464 | 138 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 376 | 287 | 90 | 11 | 0 | 26 | 80 | 41 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 314 | 469 | 624 | 1.093 | 310 | 284 | 11 | 21 | 465 | 157 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | AAA | Omaha Royals | — | 555 | 441 | 111 | 27 | 1 | 17 | 102 | 85 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 252 | 397 | 433 | 830 | 181 | 272 | 15 | 18 | 370 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | — | 206 | 180 | 39 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 39 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 217 | 309 | 394 | 703 | 178 | 231 | 19 | 12 | 313 | 98 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -11 | +4 | -0.8 |
| 2010 | 26 | AAA | Omaha Royals | — | 416 | 323 | 103 | 16 | 1 | 24 | 88 | 69 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 319 | 466 | 598 | 1.064 | 279 | 339 | 17 | 21 | 458 | 139 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 27 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | — | 96 | 82 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 195 | 298 | 317 | 615 | 122 | 255 | 27 | 12 | 278 | 77 | -3 | +0 | -2 | -9 | +2 | -1.2 |
| 2011 | 27 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 388 | 323 | 88 | 19 | 0 | 11 | 57 | 81 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 272 | 385 | 433 | 818 | 161 | 325 | 21 | 15 | 363 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 28 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | — | 139 | 128 | 30 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 234 | 295 | 398 | 693 | 164 | 271 | 20 | 7 | 309 | 98 | -0 | +0 | -1 | -8 | +3 | -0.7 |
| 2012 | 28 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 305 | 254 | 65 | 16 | 0 | 15 | 44 | 60 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 256 | 372 | 496 | 868 | 240 | 273 | 20 | 14 | 378 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | AAA | Reno Aces | — | 235 | 192 | 60 | 9 | 1 | 16 | 38 | 41 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 312 | 431 | 620 | 1.051 | 307 | 319 | 17 | 16 | 448 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | AAA | New Orleans Zephyrs | — | 359 | 302 | 59 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 55 | 61 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 195 | 323 | 308 | 631 | 113 | 222 | 17 | 15 | 296 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 465 | 411 | 91 | 19 | 1 | 15 | 49 | 95 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 221 | 306 | 382 | 688 | 161 | 251 | 20 | 11 | 307 | 94 | -3 | -0 | -5 | -37 | +10 | -3.7 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 21 | A+ MLE | High Desert Mavericks | — | 605 | 521 | 136 | 26 | 2 | 19 | 69 | 130 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 261 | 360 | 428 | 788 | 167 | 306 | 21 | 11 | 342 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 22 | AA MLE | Wichita Wranglers | — | 395 | 340 | 61 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 36 | 89 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 179 | 266 | 262 | 528 | 82 | 209 | 23 | 9 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 23 | AA MLE | Wichita Wranglers | — | 288 | 258 | 54 | 11 | 0 | 10 | 27 | 49 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 209 | 289 | 368 | 657 | 159 | 222 | 17 | 9 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 23 | A+ MLE | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 253 | 220 | 47 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 22 | 54 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 214 | 297 | 355 | 651 | 141 | 227 | 21 | 9 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | MLB MLE | Kansas City Royals | — | 24 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 286 | 375 | 429 | 804 | 143 | 278 | 8 | 12 | 362 | 131 | +1 | +0 | -1 | -10 | +1 | -0.9 |
| 2008 | 24 | AAA MLE | Omaha Royals | — | 139 | 120 | 31 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 18 | 33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 258 | 360 | 508 | 868 | 250 | 288 | 24 | 13 | 372 | 138 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 376 | 315 | 87 | 10 | 0 | 23 | 52 | 50 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 276 | 385 | 527 | 912 | 251 | 257 | 13 | 14 | 400 | 157 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | AAA MLE | Omaha Royals | — | 555 | 473 | 100 | 23 | 1 | 14 | 70 | 110 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 211 | 318 | 353 | 671 | 142 | 237 | 20 | 13 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | MLB MLE | Kansas City Royals | — | 206 | 182 | 40 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 39 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 220 | 304 | 412 | 716 | 192 | 231 | 19 | 11 | 313 | 98 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -11 | +4 | -0.8 |
| 2010 | 26 | AAA MLE | Omaha Royals | — | 416 | 354 | 94 | 14 | 1 | 21 | 57 | 93 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 266 | 369 | 489 | 858 | 223 | 296 | 22 | 14 | 373 | 139 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 27 | MLB MLE | Kansas City Royals | — | 96 | 82 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 195 | 298 | 317 | 615 | 122 | 255 | 27 | 12 | 283 | 77 | -3 | +0 | -2 | -9 | +2 | -1.2 |
| 2011 | 27 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 388 | 343 | 79 | 15 | 0 | 7 | 37 | 108 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 230 | 309 | 335 | 644 | 105 | 300 | 28 | 10 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 28 | MLB MLE | Oakland Athletics | — | 139 | 128 | 30 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 234 | 295 | 398 | 693 | 164 | 271 | 20 | 7 | 313 | 98 | -0 | +0 | -1 | -8 | +3 | -0.7 |
| 2012 | 28 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 305 | 270 | 59 | 13 | 0 | 13 | 28 | 75 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 219 | 299 | 411 | 710 | 193 | 241 | 25 | 9 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | AAA MLE | Reno Aces | — | 235 | 204 | 49 | 7 | 1 | 11 | 26 | 53 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 240 | 332 | 446 | 778 | 206 | 259 | 23 | 11 | 341 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | AAA MLE | New Orleans Zephyrs | — | 359 | 321 | 49 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 36 | 78 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 153 | 242 | 231 | 473 | 78 | 183 | 22 | 10 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 21 | A+ MLE | High Desert Mavericks | — | 605 | 521 | 136 | 26 | 2 | 19 | 69 | 130 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 261 | 360 | 428 | 788 | 167 | 312 | 21 | 11 | 342 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 21 | A+ RAW | High Desert Mavericks | — | 605 | 493 | 150 | 31 | 2 | 20 | 97 | 97 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 304 | 430 | 497 | 927 | 193 | 343 | 16 | 16 | 411 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 22 | AA MLE | Wichita Wranglers | — | 395 | 340 | 61 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 36 | 89 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 179 | 266 | 262 | 528 | 82 | 219 | 23 | 9 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 22 | AA RAW | Wichita Wranglers | — | 395 | 327 | 65 | 15 | 0 | 6 | 49 | 73 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 199 | 311 | 300 | 610 | 101 | 229 | 18 | 12 | 275 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 541 | 478 | 102 | 18 | 0 | 18 | 49 | 103 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 213 | 295 | 364 | 659 | 151 | 231 | 19 | 9 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 541 | 451 | 112 | 21 | 0 | 21 | 76 | 78 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 248 | 364 | 435 | 799 | 186 | 253 | 14 | 14 | 354 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 539 | 456 | 126 | 14 | 0 | 33 | 73 | 86 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 276 | 382 | 524 | 906 | 248 | 272 | 16 | 14 | 391 | 151 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 539 | 422 | 132 | 15 | 0 | 38 | 107 | 69 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 313 | 457 | 618 | 1.075 | 306 | 294 | 13 | 20 | 460 | 151 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | AAA MLE | Omaha Royals | — | 555 | 473 | 100 | 23 | 1 | 14 | 70 | 110 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 211 | 318 | 353 | 671 | 142 | 242 | 20 | 13 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | AAA RAW | Omaha Royals | — | 555 | 441 | 111 | 27 | 1 | 17 | 102 | 85 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 252 | 397 | 433 | 830 | 181 | 272 | 15 | 18 | 370 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 622 | 536 | 133 | 20 | 2 | 29 | 79 | 132 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 248 | 346 | 455 | 801 | 207 | 274 | 21 | 13 | 353 | 125 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 622 | 503 | 142 | 22 | 2 | 32 | 112 | 108 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 282 | 414 | 525 | 939 | 243 | 300 | 17 | 18 | 410 | 125 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 484 | 425 | 96 | 19 | 0 | 10 | 49 | 134 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 226 | 309 | 341 | 650 | 115 | 299 | 28 | 10 | 290 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 484 | 405 | 104 | 23 | 0 | 13 | 69 | 107 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 257 | 368 | 410 | 778 | 153 | 312 | 22 | 14 | 347 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 444 | 398 | 88 | 21 | 0 | 17 | 38 | 103 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 221 | 295 | 402 | 697 | 181 | 252 | 23 | 9 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 444 | 382 | 95 | 25 | 0 | 19 | 54 | 88 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 249 | 348 | 463 | 811 | 215 | 272 | 20 | 12 | 357 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | AAA MLE | Reno Aces | — | 235 | 204 | 49 | 7 | 1 | 11 | 26 | 53 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 240 | 332 | 446 | 778 | 206 | 266 | 23 | 11 | 341 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | AAA RAW | Reno Aces | — | 235 | 192 | 60 | 9 | 1 | 16 | 38 | 41 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 312 | 431 | 620 | 1.051 | 307 | 319 | 17 | 16 | 448 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | AAA MLE | New Orleans Zephyrs | — | 359 | 321 | 49 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 36 | 78 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 153 | 242 | 231 | 473 | 78 | 185 | 22 | 10 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | AAA RAW | New Orleans Zephyrs | — | 359 | 302 | 59 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 55 | 61 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 195 | 323 | 308 | 631 | 113 | 222 | 17 | 15 | 296 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 21 | A+ MLE | High Desert Mavericks | — | 605 | 519 | 136 | 26 | 2 | 19 | 69 | 130 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 262 | 360 | 430 | 790 | 168 | 306 | 21 | 11 | 342 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 22 | AA MLE | Wichita Wranglers | — | 395 | 352 | 61 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 36 | 89 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 173 | 266 | 253 | 519 | 80 | 209 | 23 | 9 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 541 | 481 | 102 | 18 | 0 | 18 | 49 | 103 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 212 | 295 | 362 | 656 | 150 | 224 | 19 | 9 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 539 | 456 | 126 | 14 | 0 | 33 | 73 | 86 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 276 | 382 | 524 | 906 | 248 | 266 | 16 | 14 | 391 | 151 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | AAA MLE | Omaha Royals | — | 555 | 476 | 100 | 23 | 1 | 14 | 70 | 110 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 210 | 318 | 351 | 669 | 141 | 237 | 20 | 13 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 622 | 537 | 133 | 20 | 2 | 29 | 79 | 132 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 248 | 346 | 454 | 800 | 207 | 275 | 21 | 13 | 353 | 125 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 484 | 430 | 96 | 19 | 0 | 10 | 49 | 134 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 223 | 309 | 337 | 646 | 114 | 291 | 28 | 10 | 290 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 444 | 399 | 88 | 21 | 0 | 17 | 38 | 103 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 221 | 295 | 401 | 696 | 180 | 250 | 23 | 9 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | AAA MLE | Reno Aces | — | 235 | 205 | 49 | 7 | 1 | 11 | 26 | 53 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 239 | 332 | 444 | 776 | 205 | 259 | 23 | 11 | 341 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | AAA MLE | New Orleans Zephyrs | — | 359 | 318 | 49 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 36 | 78 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 154 | 242 | 233 | 475 | 79 | 183 | 22 | 10 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 465 | 411 | 91 | 19 | 1 | 15 | 49 | 95 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 221 | 306 | 382 | 688 | 161 | 251 | 20 | 11 | 307 | 98 | -3 | -0 | -5 | -37 | +10 | -3.7 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 575 | 127 | 27 | 1 | 21 | 68 | 133 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 221 | 304 | 381 | 685 | 160 | 250 | 20 | 10 | 307 | 98 | -5 | -0 | -7 | -52 | +14 | -5.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4779 | 4152 | 940 | 171 | 6 | 161 | 525 | 1018 | 42 | 11 | 9 | 226 | 319 | 387 | 706 | 160 | 258 | 21 | 11 | 313 | 98 | -3 | -0 | -5 | -37 | +10 | -3.7 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 565 | 128 | 23 | 1 | 22 | 71 | 138 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 227 | 319 | 388 | 707 | 161 | 257 | 21 | 11 | 313 | 98 | -5 | -0 | -7 | -52 | +14 | -5.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2015 AAANew Orleans Zephyrs · 359 PAwOBA .286 → .222 (−64)K% 17.0% → 21.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.99% | ÷1.016 | ×1.290 | — | — | 21.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.48% | ÷0.997 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.962 | 9.92% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.56% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.962 | 0.53% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.18% | ÷0.969 | ×0.900 | ×0.963 | ×0.962 | 13.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.39% | ÷1.012 | ×0.810 | ×0.963 | ×0.962 | 4.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.985 | ×0.810 | ×0.963 | ×0.962 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.90% | ÷0.975 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.962 | 2.24% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 94, 2B 102, 3B 97, K 103, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.963.
Result: wOBA .286 → .222; ISO .113 → .087; BABIP .222 → .183. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAAReno Aces · 235 PAwOBA .438 → .341 (−97)K% 17.4% → 22.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.45% | ÷1.000 | ×1.290 | — | — | 22.51% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.89% | ÷0.947 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.982 | 10.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.85% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.982 | 0.82% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.52% | ÷1.018 | ×0.900 | ×0.990 | ×0.982 | 19.35% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.96% | ÷0.994 | ×0.810 | ×0.990 | ×0.982 | 4.72% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.66% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.990 | ×0.982 | 0.45% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.60% | ÷1.121 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.982 | 7.24% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 104, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 100, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.
Result: wOBA .438 → .341; ISO .307 → .220; BABIP .319 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAASacramento River Cats · 305 PAwOBA .371 → .308 (−63)K% 19.7% → 24.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.67% | ÷1.034 | ×1.290 | — | — | 24.55% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.77% | ÷1.064 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.992 | 9.12% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.98% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.992 | 0.96% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.53% | ÷0.940 | ×0.900 | ×1.001 | ×0.992 | 16.66% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.25% | ÷1.045 | ×0.810 | ×1.001 | ×0.992 | 6.35% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.062 | ×0.810 | ×1.001 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.73% | ÷0.925 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.992 | 6.46% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 88, 2B 109, 3B 112, K 107, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.
Result: wOBA .371 → .308; ISO .240 → .202; BABIP .273 → .241. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 388 PAwOBA .357 → .292 (−65)K% 20.9% → 27.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.88% | ÷0.970 | ×1.290 | — | — | 27.78% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.92% | ÷1.028 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 9.64% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.52% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 0.51% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.97% | ÷0.929 | ×0.900 | ×1.013 | ×1.003 | 23.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.85% | ÷1.033 | ×0.810 | ×1.013 | ×1.003 | 6.25% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.932 | ×0.810 | ×1.013 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.55% | ÷1.161 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 3.06% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 132, 1B 86, 2B 107, 3B 86, K 94, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.
Result: wOBA .357 → .292; ISO .161 → .115; BABIP .325 → .300. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAAOmaha Royals · 416 PAwOBA .446 → .373 (−73)K% 16.6% → 22.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.59% | ÷0.959 | ×1.290 | — | — | 22.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 19.71% | ÷1.034 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 13.77% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.24% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 0.24% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.41% | ÷1.002 | ×0.900 | ×0.981 | ×1.018 | 21.89% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.30% | ÷0.932 | ×0.810 | ×0.981 | ×1.018 | 5.46% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.39% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.981 | ×1.018 | 0.28% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.45% | ÷0.967 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 7.76% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 100, 2B 86, 3B 130, K 92, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.
Result: wOBA .446 → .373; ISO .279 → .240; BABIP .339 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 AAAOmaha Royals · 555 PAwOBA .362 → .304 (−58)K% 15.3% → 19.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.32% | ÷1.000 | ×1.290 | — | — | 19.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.30% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.033 | 12.69% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.72% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.033 | 0.73% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.54% | ÷1.000 | ×0.900 | ×0.974 | ×1.033 | 16.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.58% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×0.974 | ×1.033 | 6.18% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.28% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×0.974 | ×1.033 | 0.23% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.78% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.033 | 3.85% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.974.
Result: wOBA .362 → .304; ISO .181 → .153; BABIP .272 → .237. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2008 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals · 376 PAwOBA .455 → .400 (−56)K% 10.9% → 13.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.90% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 13.30% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 19.41% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 13.75% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.06% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 0.94% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.54% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.003 | ×1.012 | 20.12% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.47% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×1.003 | ×1.012 | 3.81% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.940 | ×1.003 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.57% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 8.56% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.
Result: wOBA .455 → .400; ISO .310 → .278; BABIP .284 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2008 AAAOmaha Royals · 139 PAwOBA .452 → .372 (−80)K% 18.7% → 24.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.71% | ÷1.000 | ×1.290 | — | — | 24.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.27% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.048 | 12.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.72% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.048 | 0.74% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.86% | ÷1.000 | ×0.900 | ×0.982 | ×1.048 | 22.11% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.55% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×0.982 | ×1.048 | 3.79% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×0.982 | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 12.50% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.048 | 10.22% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.982.
Result: wOBA .452 → .372; ISO .325 → .262; BABIP .325 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).