Lastings Milledge
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | 25 | INTLTigres de Ara… | 150 | .266/.352/.422 | 4 | 4 | 114 | — | ||
| 2010 | 25 | MLBPIT | 412 | .277/.332/.380 | 4 | 5 | 99 | -0.1 | ||
| 2011 | 26 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 664 | .297/.371/.455 | 16 | 31 | 103 | — | .263/.318/.377 | |
| 2016 | 31 | INTLCharros de Ja… | 21 | .143/.143/.143 | 0 | 0 | -26 | — | ||
| 2017 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2018 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2019 | 34 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2020 | 35 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2021 | 36 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2022 | 37 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 38 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 39 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 40 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 41 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 20 | AA | Binghamton Mets | — | 214 | 193 | 65 | 17 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 47 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 337 | 393 | 487 | 880 | 150 | 427 | 22 | 7 | 386 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 20 | A+ | St. Lucie Mets | — | 269 | 232 | 70 | 15 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 41 | 13 | 18 | 13 | 302 | 386 | 418 | 804 | 116 | 351 | 15 | 7 | 359 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 21 | MLB | New York Mets | — | 185 | 166 | 40 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 39 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 241 | 311 | 380 | 691 | 139 | 290 | 21 | 6 | 308 | 85 | -3 | -1 | -4 | -6 | +4 | -1.0 |
| 2006 | 21 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | — | 367 | 307 | 85 | 21 | 4 | 7 | 43 | 67 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 277 | 390 | 440 | 830 | 163 | 332 | 18 | 12 | 371 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 22 | MLB | New York Mets | — | 206 | 184 | 50 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 42 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 272 | 343 | 446 | 789 | 174 | 316 | 20 | 6 | 349 | 117 | +4 | -0 | -4 | -3 | +4 | 0.1 |
| 2007 | 22 | AAA | New Orleans Zephyrs | — | 43 | 39 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 333 | 381 | 436 | 817 | 103 | 444 | 28 | 5 | 359 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 22 | AA | Binghamton Mets | — | 24 | 23 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 435 | 458 | 957 | 1.415 | 522 | 438 | 17 | 0 | 600 | 229 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 23 | MLB | Washington Nationals | — | 587 | 523 | 140 | 24 | 2 | 14 | 38 | 96 | 14 | 24 | 9 | 268 | 334 | 402 | 735 | 134 | 300 | 16 | 6 | 324 | 105 | +3 | +1 | -15 | +2 | +13 | 0.5 |
| 2009 | 24 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 265 | 244 | 68 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 47 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 279 | 326 | 373 | 699 | 94 | 328 | 18 | 5 | 311 | 97 | -1 | -0 | -2 | -5 | +6 | -0.3 |
| 2009 | 24 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | — | 157 | 139 | 40 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 26 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 288 | 353 | 367 | 720 | 79 | 345 | 17 | 7 | 320 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 24 | ROK | GCL Pirates | — | 22 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 294 | 455 | 588 | 1.043 | 294 | 286 | 9 | 23 | 452 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 25 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 412 | 379 | 105 | 21 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 62 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 277 | 332 | 380 | 712 | 103 | 323 | 15 | 7 | 319 | 99 | -1 | -0 | -3 | -6 | +9 | -0.1 |
| 2010 | 25 | INTL | Tigres de Aragua | — | 150 | 128 | 34 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 23 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 266 | 352 | 422 | 774 | 156 | 286 | 15 | 9 | 337 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 26 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 505 | 444 | 131 | 23 | 3 | 12 | 43 | 63 | 6 | 27 | 6 | 295 | 365 | 441 | 807 | 146 | 321 | 12 | 9 | 352 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 26 | INTL | Tigres de Aragua | — | 159 | 138 | 42 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 29 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 304 | 389 | 500 | 889 | 196 | 355 | 18 | 9 | 388 | 149 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 31 | INTL | Charros de Jalisco | — | 21 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 143 | 143 | 286 | 158 | 10 | 0 | 129 | -26 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 1655 | 1496 | 403 | 72 | 8 | 33 | 104 | 286 | 33 | 40 | 20 | 269 | 331 | 394 | 725 | 125 | 311 | 17 | 6 | 322 | 104 | +8 | +0 | -29 | -18 | +36 | -0.2 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 20 | AA MLE | Binghamton Mets | — | 214 | 197 | 61 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 57 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 310 | 355 | 431 | 787 | 122 | 411 | 27 | 5 | 340 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 20 | A+ MLE | St. Lucie Mets | — | 269 | 237 | 65 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 58 | 13 | 18 | 13 | 274 | 348 | 384 | 732 | 110 | 340 | 22 | 5 | 320 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 21 | MLB MLE | New York Mets | — | 185 | 170 | 40 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 39 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 235 | 290 | 371 | 660 | 135 | 290 | 21 | 4 | 293 | 85 | -3 | -1 | -4 | -6 | +4 | -1.0 |
| 2006 | 21 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 367 | 320 | 79 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 80 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 247 | 338 | 384 | 722 | 138 | 310 | 22 | 8 | 324 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 22 | MLB MLE | New York Mets | — | 206 | 186 | 50 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 269 | 333 | 441 | 774 | 172 | 316 | 20 | 5 | 342 | 117 | +4 | -0 | -4 | -3 | +4 | 0.1 |
| 2007 | 22 | AAA MLE | New Orleans Zephyrs | — | 43 | 39 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 308 | 357 | 410 | 767 | 103 | 413 | 35 | 5 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 22 | AA MLE | Binghamton Mets | — | 24 | 23 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 391 | 417 | 783 | 1.199 | 391 | 419 | 21 | 0 | 507 | 229 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 23 | MLB MLE | Washington Nationals | — | 587 | 524 | 140 | 24 | 2 | 14 | 37 | 96 | 14 | 24 | 9 | 267 | 332 | 401 | 733 | 134 | 300 | 16 | 6 | 323 | 105 | +3 | +1 | -15 | +2 | +13 | 0.5 |
| 2009 | 24 | MLB MLE | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 265 | 244 | 68 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 47 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 279 | 326 | 373 | 699 | 94 | 328 | 18 | 5 | 311 | 97 | -1 | -0 | -2 | -5 | +6 | -0.3 |
| 2009 | 24 | AAA MLE | Indianapolis Indians | — | 157 | 142 | 39 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 31 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 275 | 327 | 345 | 672 | 70 | 334 | 20 | 5 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 24 | ROK MLE | GCL Pirates | — | 22 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 211 | 318 | 421 | 739 | 211 | 206 | 14 | 14 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 25 | MLB MLE | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 412 | 382 | 104 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 62 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 272 | 322 | 372 | 694 | 99 | 323 | 15 | 6 | 314 | 99 | -1 | -0 | -3 | -6 | +9 | -0.1 |
| 2011 | 26 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 505 | 456 | 120 | 16 | 3 | 10 | 31 | 72 | 6 | 27 | 6 | 263 | 318 | 377 | 696 | 114 | 284 | 14 | 6 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 20 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 483 | 434 | 126 | 29 | 0 | 7 | 24 | 115 | 17 | 29 | 18 | 290 | 352 | 406 | 757 | 115 | 379 | 24 | 5 | 329 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 20 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 483 | 425 | 135 | 32 | 0 | 8 | 33 | 88 | 17 | 29 | 18 | 318 | 389 | 449 | 839 | 132 | 384 | 18 | 7 | 371 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 21 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 552 | 490 | 119 | 25 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 119 | 19 | 14 | 12 | 243 | 322 | 380 | 701 | 137 | 299 | 22 | 7 | 314 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 21 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 552 | 473 | 125 | 28 | 6 | 11 | 55 | 106 | 19 | 14 | 12 | 264 | 364 | 419 | 782 | 154 | 318 | 19 | 10 | 350 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 22 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 273 | 248 | 70 | 11 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 62 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 282 | 341 | 464 | 804 | 181 | 337 | 23 | 5 | 350 | 123 | +8 | +1 | -4 | -3 | +6 | 0.7 |
| 2007 | 22 | MLB RAW | 3 teams | — | 273 | 246 | 73 | 11 | 2 | 11 | 15 | 58 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 297 | 359 | 492 | 851 | 195 | 346 | 21 | 5 | 372 | 123 | +8 | +1 | -4 | -3 | +6 | 0.7 |
| 2008 | 23 | MLB MLE | Washington Nationals | — | 587 | 524 | 140 | 24 | 2 | 14 | 37 | 96 | 14 | 24 | 9 | 267 | 332 | 401 | 733 | 134 | 299 | 16 | 6 | 323 | 105 | +3 | +1 | -15 | +2 | +13 | 0.5 |
| 2008 | 23 | MLB RAW | Washington Nationals | — | 587 | 523 | 140 | 24 | 2 | 14 | 38 | 96 | 14 | 24 | 9 | 268 | 334 | 402 | 735 | 134 | 300 | 16 | 6 | 324 | 105 | +3 | +1 | -15 | +2 | +13 | 0.5 |
| 2009 | 24 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 444 | 405 | 111 | 22 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 81 | 7 | 18 | 7 | 274 | 326 | 365 | 691 | 91 | 327 | 18 | 5 | 307 | 94 | -3 | +1 | -2 | -5 | +10 | 0.0 |
| 2009 | 24 | MLB RAW | 3 teams | — | 444 | 400 | 113 | 24 | 0 | 5 | 29 | 75 | 7 | 18 | 7 | 282 | 342 | 380 | 722 | 98 | 332 | 17 | 7 | 321 | 94 | -3 | +1 | -2 | -5 | +10 | 0.0 |
| 2010 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 562 | 514 | 143 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 34 | 85 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 278 | 332 | 381 | 713 | 103 | 321 | 15 | 6 | 314 | 99 | -1 | +0 | -3 | -6 | +12 | 0.2 |
| 2010 | 25 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 562 | 507 | 139 | 29 | 3 | 8 | 41 | 85 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 274 | 337 | 391 | 727 | 116 | 313 | 15 | 7 | 324 | 99 | -1 | +0 | -3 | -6 | +12 | 0.2 |
| 2011 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 664 | 599 | 158 | 21 | 4 | 13 | 41 | 95 | 10 | 31 | 7 | 264 | 322 | 377 | 699 | 114 | 293 | 14 | 6 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 664 | 582 | 173 | 34 | 5 | 16 | 58 | 92 | 10 | 31 | 7 | 297 | 371 | 455 | 826 | 158 | 328 | 14 | 9 | 361 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 31 | INTL MLE | Charros de Jalisco | — | 21 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 143 | 143 | 286 | 158 | 10 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2016 | 31 | INTL RAW | Charros de Jalisco | — | 21 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 143 | 143 | 286 | 158 | 10 | 0 | 129 | -26 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2005 | 20 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 483 | 439 | 126 | 29 | 0 | 7 | 24 | 115 | 17 | 29 | 18 | 287 | 352 | 401 | 752 | 114 | 371 | 24 | 5 | 329 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 21 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 552 | 490 | 119 | 25 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 119 | 19 | 14 | 12 | 243 | 322 | 380 | 701 | 137 | 303 | 22 | 7 | 314 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 22 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 273 | 249 | 70 | 11 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 62 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 281 | 341 | 462 | 803 | 181 | 340 | 23 | 5 | 350 | 123 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 23 | MLB MLE | Washington Nationals | — | 587 | 531 | 140 | 24 | 2 | 14 | 37 | 96 | 14 | 24 | 9 | 264 | 332 | 395 | 728 | 132 | 300 | 16 | 6 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 24 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 444 | 410 | 111 | 22 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 81 | 7 | 18 | 7 | 271 | 326 | 361 | 687 | 90 | 324 | 18 | 5 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 562 | 516 | 143 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 34 | 85 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 277 | 332 | 380 | 711 | 103 | 323 | 15 | 6 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 664 | 608 | 158 | 21 | 4 | 13 | 41 | 95 | 10 | 31 | 7 | 260 | 322 | 372 | 693 | 112 | 284 | 14 | 6 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1655 | 1496 | 403 | 72 | 8 | 33 | 104 | 286 | 33 | 40 | 20 | 269 | 331 | 394 | 725 | 125 | 311 | 17 | 6 | 322 | 99 | +8 | +0 | -29 | -18 | +36 | -0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 588 | 158 | 28 | 3 | 13 | 41 | 112 | 13 | 16 | 8 | 269 | 330 | 393 | 723 | 124 | 310 | 17 | 6 | 322 | 99 | +3 | +0 | -11 | -7 | +14 | -0.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3586 | 3235 | 870 | 159 | 18 | 65 | 211 | 655 | 83 | 134 | 59 | 269 | 330 | 389 | 719 | 121 | 317 | 18 | 6 | 315 | 99 | +8 | +0 | -29 | -18 | +36 | -0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 586 | 158 | 29 | 3 | 12 | 38 | 119 | 15 | 24 | 11 | 270 | 330 | 391 | 720 | 121 | 317 | 18 | 6 | 315 | 99 | +3 | +0 | -11 | -7 | +14 | -0.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2011 AAACharlotte Knights · 505 PAwOBA .344 → .300 (−44)K% 12.5% → 14.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.48% | ÷1.049 | ×1.200 | — | — | 14.27% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.32% | ÷0.965 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 6.05% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.19% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 1.14% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.41% | ÷0.982 | ×0.930 | ×0.976 | ×1.018 | 22.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.04% | ÷1.232 | ×0.830 | ×0.976 | ×1.018 | 4.04% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.79% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.976 | ×1.018 | 0.84% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.15% | ÷1.074 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 2.51% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 96, 2B 146, 3B 80, K 110, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.976.
Result: wOBA .344 → .300; ISO .146 → .118; BABIP .321 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 157 PAwOBA .318 → .298 (−20)K% 16.6% → 19.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.56% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 19.87% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.01% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 5.07% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.91% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 1.88% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.66% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.025 | ×1.048 | 25.63% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.73% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.025 | ×1.048 | 8.68% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.025 | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.025.
Result: wOBA .318 → .298; ISO .079 → .072; BABIP .345 → .334. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 ROKGCL Pirates · 22 PAwOBA .441 → .317 (−124)K% 9.1% → 13.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.09% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 13.09% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 22.73% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.955 | 13.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.955 | 10.44% |
| Doubles /BIP | 13.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 9.17% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.955 | 4.97% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 19.5 → −4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .441 → .317; ISO .294 → .229; BABIP .286 → .206. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2007 AAANew Orleans Zephyrs · 43 PAwOBA .358 → .303 (−55)K% 27.9% → 36.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.91% | ÷1.000 | ×1.290 | — | — | 36.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.65% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.050 | 3.47% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.33% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.050 | 2.39% |
| Singles /BIP | 40.74% | ÷1.000 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.050 | 38.50% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.70% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.050 | 3.15% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.70% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 3.03% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .358 → .303; ISO .103 → .079; BABIP .444 → .413. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2007 AABinghamton Mets · 24 PAwOBA .581 → .507 (−75)K% 16.7% → 20.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.67% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.17% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.042 | 3.69% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.32% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.042 | 26.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.26% | ÷1.000 | ×0.860 | — | ×1.042 | 4.72% |
| Triples /BIP | 5.26% | ÷1.000 | ×0.950 | — | ×1.042 | 5.21% |
| Home runs /BIP | 15.79% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.042 | 12.83% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .581 → .507; ISO .522 → .425; BABIP .438 → .419. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2006 AAANorfolk Tides · 367 PAwOBA .363 → .324 (−39)K% 18.3% → 21.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.26% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 21.91% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.44% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 8.29% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.81% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 3.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.08% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.985 | ×1.050 | 21.25% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.75% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.985 | ×1.050 | 7.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.985 | ×1.050 | 1.67% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.92% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.050 | 2.57% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.
Result: wOBA .363 → .324; ISO .163 → .147; BABIP .332 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2005 A+St. Lucie Mets · 269 PAwOBA .350 → .320 (−30)K% 15.2% → 21.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.24% | ÷1.000 | ×1.420 | — | — | 21.64% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.042 | 5.23% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.83% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×1.042 | 4.68% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.70% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.002 | ×1.042 | 25.65% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.85% | ÷1.000 | ×0.960 | ×1.002 | ×1.042 | 7.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×1.002 | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.09% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.042 | 1.92% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.
Result: wOBA .350 → .320; ISO .116 → .108; BABIP .351 → .340. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2005 AABinghamton Mets · 214 PAwOBA .376 → .340 (−36)K% 22.0% → 26.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.96% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.79% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.07% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 4.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.87% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.050 | 1.67% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.981 | ×1.050 | 30.11% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.64% | ÷1.000 | ×0.860 | ×0.981 | ×1.050 | 10.31% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.950 | ×0.981 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.74% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 2.24% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.
Result: wOBA .376 → .340; ISO .150 → .127; BABIP .427 → .411. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .