Brandon Allen

Pos1B

B/TL/R

Born1986-02-12

Age (2027)41

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2016

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2014	28	AAA/A+/INTL3 orgs	525	.273/.390/.449	17	4	100	—	.227/.304/.362
2015	29	AAALas Vegas 51s	466	.273/.356/.478	16	4	70	—	.210/.269/.347
2016	30	AAACIN	268	.177/.286/.268	4	0	27	—	.156/.229/.235

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2005	19	ROK	Great Falls White Sox	—	273	231	61	11	2	11	32	69	7	7	5	264	370	472	842	208	325	25	12	371	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	20	A	Kannapolis Intimidators	—	427	395	84	17	2	15	22	126	3	6	4	213	260	380	639	167	267	30	5	279	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	21	A	Kannapolis Intimidators	—	564	516	146	39	5	18	39	124	4	7	4	283	336	483	819	200	340	22	7	358	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	173	153	42	6	2	14	19	41	1	3	1	275	358	614	973	340	286	24	11	417	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	A+	Winston-Salem Warthogs	—	368	319	89	26	4	15	41	83	6	14	3	279	370	527	896	248	335	23	11	391	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	116	104	21	7	0	4	12	40	0	0	0	202	284	385	669	183	283	34	10	299	81	-3	+0	-6	-11	+3	-1.8
2009	23	AAA	Reno Aces	—	228	206	63	12	1	13	20	38	2	6	0	306	373	563	936	257	323	17	9	408	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	274	241	70	12	3	7	30	47	2	1	2	290	374	452	826	162	335	17	11	367	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	56	45	12	3	0	1	10	20	0	0	0	267	400	400	800	133	440	36	18	360	116	+1	+0	+2	-6	+1	-0.2
2010	24	AAA	Reno Aces	—	469	371	97	18	3	25	83	95	10	14	4	261	409	528	938	267	281	20	18	408	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	195	175	35	9	2	6	18	68	1	3	0	200	278	377	655	177	284	35	9	292	80	-5	+1	-2	-12	+4	-1.4
2011	25	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	419	344	103	23	5	21	66	101	4	7	4	299	418	578	996	279	361	24	16	428	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	INTL	Estrellas de Oriente	—	54	49	7	1	0	2	5	17	0	0	1	143	222	286	508	143	167	31	9	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	22	20	2	0	0	1	2	9	0	0	0	100	182	250	432	150	100	41	9	199	22	-2	+0	+0	-2	+0	-0.4
2012	26	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	129	122	32	9	1	4	4	32	2	0	0	262	297	451	748	189	322	25	3	326	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	A+	Charlotte Stone Crabs	—	61	51	13	3	0	2	9	14	0	0	0	255	367	431	798	176	306	23	15	353	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	AAA	Tucson Padres	—	484	423	113	24	7	17	55	87	0	6	0	267	351	478	829	210	295	18	11	361	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	AAA	Las Vegas 51s	—	375	320	85	11	2	13	51	67	2	2	1	266	370	434	804	169	298	18	14	360	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	A+	St. Lucie Mets	—	25	17	8	3	0	0	7	2	1	0	0	471	640	647	1.287	176	533	8	28	560	218	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	INTL	Caribes de Anzoategui	—	125	102	27	6	1	4	21	29	2	2	1	265	400	461	861	196	333	23	17	386	147	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	AAA	Las Vegas 51s	—	466	406	111	29	3	16	51	92	1	4	2	273	356	478	834	204	310	20	11	362	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	268	231	41	9	0	4	33	52	2	0	1	177	286	268	554	91	210	19	12	260	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	389	344	70	19	2	12	42	137	1	3	0	203	292	375	667	172	294	35	11	299	88	-5	+1	-6	-31	+8	-3.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2005	19	ROK MLE	Great Falls White Sox	—	273	245	47	8	1	8	18	99	7	7	5	192	267	331	597	139	268	36	7	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	20	A MLE	Kannapolis Intimidators	—	427	402	69	13	2	11	15	169	3	6	4	172	207	296	503	124	248	40	4	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	21	A MLE	Kannapolis Intimidators	—	564	534	121	30	4	14	24	166	4	7	4	227	265	376	642	150	302	29	4	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	—	173	159	38	6	2	11	13	50	1	3	1	239	301	509	810	270	268	29	8	340	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Warthogs	—	368	337	74	20	3	13	25	118	6	14	3	220	285	412	698	193	293	32	7	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	116	106	21	7	0	4	10	40	0	0	0	198	267	377	645	179	283	34	9	287	81	-3	+0	-6	-11	+3	-1.8
2009	23	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	228	212	56	10	1	10	14	49	2	6	0	264	316	462	778	198	305	21	6	340	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	—	274	252	64	11	3	6	19	57	2	1	2	254	311	393	704	139	298	21	7	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	56	46	12	3	0	1	9	20	0	0	0	261	382	391	773	130	440	36	16	340	116	+1	+0	+2	-6	+1	-0.2
2010	24	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	469	400	82	14	2	19	54	131	10	14	4	205	315	393	707	188	243	28	12	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	—	195	178	36	9	2	7	15	68	1	3	0	202	268	393	661	191	284	35	8	286	80	-5	+1	-2	-12	+4	-1.4
2011	25	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	—	419	362	89	20	4	18	48	128	4	7	4	246	341	472	813	227	312	31	11	348	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	—	22	20	2	0	0	1	2	9	0	0	0	100	182	250	432	150	100	41	9	201	22	-2	+0	+0	-2	+0	-0.4
2012	26	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	129	124	27	7	1	3	2	38	2	0	0	218	242	363	605	145	285	29	2	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	A+ MLE	Charlotte Stone Crabs	—	61	53	10	3	0	1	7	19	0	0	0	189	283	302	585	113	259	31	11	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	AAA MLE	Tucson Padres	—	484	443	95	20	5	14	35	121	0	6	0	214	272	377	649	163	251	25	7	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	AAA MLE	Las Vegas 51s	—	375	338	73	8	2	11	33	92	2	2	1	216	290	349	639	133	258	25	9	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	A+ MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	25	20	8	3	0	0	4	3	1	0	0	400	520	550	1.070	150	492	12	16	490	218	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	AAA MLE	Las Vegas 51s	—	466	424	89	21	2	11	33	122	1	4	2	210	269	347	615	137	253	26	7	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	268	243	38	7	0	4	21	64	2	0	1	156	229	235	464	78	186	24	8	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	19	ROK MLE	Great Falls White Sox	—	273	245	47	8	1	8	18	99	7	7	5	192	267	331	597	139	277	36	7	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	19	ROK RAW	Great Falls White Sox	—	273	231	61	11	2	11	32	69	7	7	5	264	370	472	842	208	325	25	12	371	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	20	A MLE	Kannapolis Intimidators	—	427	402	69	13	2	11	15	169	3	6	4	172	207	296	503	124	257	40	4	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	20	A RAW	Kannapolis Intimidators	—	427	395	84	17	2	15	22	126	3	6	4	213	260	380	639	167	267	30	5	279	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	21	A MLE	Kannapolis Intimidators	—	564	534	121	30	4	14	24	166	4	7	4	227	265	376	642	150	301	29	4	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	21	A RAW	Kannapolis Intimidators	—	564	516	146	39	5	18	39	124	4	7	4	283	336	483	819	200	340	22	7	358	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	541	495	111	25	5	24	39	168	7	17	4	224	290	440	731	216	287	31	7	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	541	472	131	32	6	29	60	124	7	17	4	278	366	555	921	278	320	23	11	399	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	618	570	140	28	3	20	43	146	4	7	2	246	303	411	714	165	296	24	7	314	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	AA RAW	3 teams	—	618	551	154	31	4	24	62	125	4	7	2	279	357	481	838	201	323	20	10	370	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	525	446	93	16	2	20	63	151	10	14	4	209	320	388	708	179	260	29	12	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	525	416	109	21	3	26	93	115	10	14	4	262	408	514	923	252	295	22	18	403	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	668	588	135	31	6	27	69	213	5	10	5	230	316	440	756	211	305	32	10	328	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	668	568	145	33	7	29	89	186	5	10	5	255	361	491	852	236	323	28	13	372	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	212	197	39	10	1	5	11	67	2	0	0	198	248	335	583	137	268	32	5	259	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	212	193	47	12	1	7	15	55	2	0	0	244	305	425	730	181	301	26	7	321	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	AAA MLE	Tucson Padres	—	484	443	95	20	5	14	35	121	0	6	0	214	272	377	649	163	258	25	7	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	AAA RAW	Tucson Padres	—	484	423	113	24	7	17	55	87	0	6	0	267	351	478	829	210	295	18	11	361	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	525	469	106	15	2	14	49	124	5	4	2	226	306	356	662	130	276	24	9	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	525	439	120	20	3	17	79	98	5	4	2	273	390	449	839	175	316	19	15	375	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	AAA MLE	Las Vegas 51s	—	466	424	89	21	2	11	33	122	1	4	2	210	269	347	615	137	261	26	7	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	AAA RAW	Las Vegas 51s	—	466	406	111	29	3	16	51	92	1	4	2	273	356	478	834	204	310	20	11	362	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	268	243	38	7	0	4	21	64	2	0	1	156	229	235	464	78	193	24	8	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	AAA RAW	Louisville Bats	—	268	231	41	9	0	4	33	52	2	0	1	177	286	268	554	91	210	19	12	260	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	19	ROK MLE	Great Falls White Sox	—	273	246	47	8	1	8	18	99	7	7	5	191	267	329	596	138	268	36	7	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	20	A MLE	Kannapolis Intimidators	—	427	406	69	13	2	11	15	169	3	6	4	170	207	293	500	123	248	40	4	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	21	A MLE	Kannapolis Intimidators	—	564	531	121	30	4	14	24	166	4	7	4	228	265	379	644	151	302	29	4	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	541	490	111	25	5	24	39	168	7	17	4	227	290	445	735	218	285	31	7	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	618	566	140	28	3	20	43	146	4	7	2	247	303	413	717	166	298	24	7	314	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	525	447	93	16	2	20	63	151	10	14	4	208	320	387	707	179	264	29	12	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	668	589	135	31	6	27	69	213	5	10	5	229	316	440	755	211	303	32	10	328	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	212	197	39	10	1	5	11	67	2	0	0	198	248	335	583	137	258	32	5	259	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	AAA MLE	Tucson Padres	—	484	446	95	20	5	14	35	121	0	6	0	213	272	374	646	161	251	25	7	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	525	466	106	15	2	14	49	124	5	4	2	227	306	358	664	131	273	24	9	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	AAA MLE	Las Vegas 51s	—	466	429	89	21	2	11	33	122	1	4	2	207	269	343	611	135	253	26	7	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	268	243	38	7	0	4	21	64	2	0	1	156	229	235	464	78	186	24	8	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	389	344	70	19	2	12	42	137	1	3	0	203	292	375	667	172	294	35	11	299	80	-5	+1	-6	-31	+8	-3.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	575	117	32	3	20	70	229	2	5	0	203	292	374	666	170	295	35	11	299	80	-9	+1	-10	-52	+14	-5.7
Career	—	MLE		—	5571	5056	1083	224	33	172	420	1610	50	82	33	214	281	374	655	159	275	29	8	287	80	-5	+1	-6	-31	+8	-3.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	590	126	26	4	20	49	188	6	10	4	214	281	373	654	159	274	29	8	287	80	-9	+1	-10	-52	+14	-5.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2016 AAALouisville Bats · 268 PAwOBA .250 → .208 (−42)K% 19.4% → 23.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.40%	÷0.984	×1.200	—	—	23.65%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.19%	÷0.978	×0.690	—	×0.972	7.68%
HBP% /PA	0.75%	—	×0.940	—	×0.972	0.68%
Singles /BIP	15.64%	÷0.952	×0.930	×0.980	×0.972	14.56%
Doubles /BIP	5.03%	÷1.053	×0.830	×0.980	×0.972	3.77%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.970	×0.980	×0.972	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.23%	÷0.882	×0.840	—	×0.972	2.07%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 90, 2B 111, 3B 130, K 97, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.

Result: wOBA .250 → .208; ISO .091 → .079; BABIP .210 → .186. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAALas Vegas 51s · 466 PAwOBA .356 → .271 (−85)K% 19.7% → 26.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.74%	÷0.977	×1.290	—	—	26.06%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.09%	÷1.010	×0.710	—	×0.982	6.96%
HBP% /PA	0.21%	—	×0.980	—	×0.982	0.21%
Singles /BIP	20.06%	÷0.983	×0.900	×0.971	×0.982	17.52%
Doubles /BIP	9.24%	÷1.042	×0.810	×0.971	×0.982	6.84%
Triples /BIP	0.96%	÷1.061	×0.810	×0.971	×0.982	0.70%
Home runs /BIP	5.10%	÷1.099	×0.780	—	×0.982	3.55%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 97, 2B 108, 3B 112, K 95, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.971.

Result: wOBA .356 → .271; ISO .204 → .145; BABIP .310 → .253. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAALas Vegas 51s · 375 PAwOBA .351 → .281 (−70)K% 17.9% → 24.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.87%	÷0.945	×1.290	—	—	24.38%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.07%	÷1.060	×0.710	—	×0.992	8.68%
HBP% /PA	0.53%	—	×0.980	—	×0.992	0.52%
Singles /BIP	23.32%	÷0.991	×0.900	×0.997	×0.992	20.93%
Doubles /BIP	4.35%	÷1.057	×0.810	×0.997	×0.992	3.29%
Triples /BIP	0.79%	÷0.900	×0.810	×0.997	×0.992	0.70%
Home runs /BIP	5.14%	÷0.925	×0.780	—	×0.992	4.30%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 98, 2B 111, 3B 80, K 89, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.

Result: wOBA .351 → .281; ISO .169 → .137; BABIP .298 → .258. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 A+St. Lucie Mets · 25 PAwOBA .547 → .490 (−58)K% 8.0% → 11.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	8.00%	÷0.984	×1.420	—	—	11.55%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	28.00%	÷1.106	×0.750	—	×0.948	18.00%
HBP% /PA	4.00%	—	×0.930	—	×0.948	3.53%
Singles /BIP	33.33%	÷1.018	×0.920	—	×0.948	28.56%
Doubles /BIP	20.00%	÷0.883	×0.960	—	×0.948	20.61%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.810	—	×0.948	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.054	×0.880	—	×0.948	0.00%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 104, 2B 77, 3B 130, K 97, BB 121 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 22.8 → −5.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .547 → .490; ISO .176 → .203; BABIP .533 → .492. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAATucson Padres · 484 PAwOBA .354 → .283 (−71)K% 18.0% → 24.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.98%	÷0.933	×1.290	—	—	24.85%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.74%	÷1.045	×0.710	—	×1.003	7.32%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.980	—	×1.003	0.00%
Singles /BIP	19.35%	÷1.023	×0.900	×0.994	×1.003	16.97%
Doubles /BIP	7.14%	÷0.963	×0.810	×0.994	×1.003	5.99%
Triples /BIP	2.08%	÷1.150	×0.810	×0.994	×1.003	1.46%
Home runs /BIP	5.06%	÷0.901	×0.780	—	×1.003	4.40%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 105, 2B 93, 3B 130, K 87, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.

Result: wOBA .354 → .283; ISO .210 → .172; BABIP .295 → .251. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAADurham Bulls · 129 PAwOBA .316 → .263 (−53)K% 24.8% → 29.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.81%	÷1.008	×1.200	—	—	29.52%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	2.33%	÷1.046	×0.690	—	×1.018	1.56%
HBP% /PA	1.55%	—	×0.940	—	×1.018	1.48%
Singles /BIP	20.00%	÷0.987	×0.930	×0.966	×1.018	18.52%
Doubles /BIP	10.00%	÷0.998	×0.830	×0.966	×1.018	8.18%
Triples /BIP	1.11%	÷0.942	×0.970	×0.966	×1.018	1.12%
Home runs /BIP	4.44%	÷1.093	×0.840	—	×1.018	3.48%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 97, 2B 100, 3B 88, K 102, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.966.

Result: wOBA .316 → .263; ISO .189 → .149; BABIP .322 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 A+Charlotte Stone Crabs · 61 PAwOBA .350 → .272 (−78)K% 23.0% → 31.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.95%	÷1.020	×1.420	—	—	31.94%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.75%	÷0.966	×0.750	—	×0.968	11.09%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.930	—	×0.968	0.00%
Singles /BIP	21.62%	÷1.067	×0.920	—	×0.968	18.04%
Doubles /BIP	8.11%	÷1.002	×0.960	—	×0.968	7.52%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.810	—	×0.968	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.41%	÷1.106	×0.880	—	×0.968	4.16%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 121, 1B 113, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 104, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .350 → .272; ISO .176 → .136; BABIP .306 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAASacramento River Cats · 419 PAwOBA .421 → .348 (−73)K% 24.1% → 30.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.11%	÷1.021	×1.290	—	—	30.46%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.51%	÷0.991	×0.710	—	×1.033	11.48%
HBP% /PA	0.95%	—	×0.980	—	×1.033	0.97%
Singles /BIP	22.22%	÷0.995	×0.900	×0.950	×1.033	19.72%
Doubles /BIP	9.47%	÷0.916	×0.810	×0.950	×1.033	8.22%
Triples /BIP	2.06%	÷1.048	×0.810	×0.950	×1.033	1.56%
Home runs /BIP	8.64%	÷0.936	×0.780	—	×1.033	7.44%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 99, 2B 83, 3B 110, K 104, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .421 → .348; ISO .279 → .234; BABIP .361 → .312. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .