Luke Carlin

PosC
B/TS/R
Born1980-12-20
Age (2027)46
No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.
Overview
AAALAST SEASON 2015
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
201332AAALAA292.230/.340/.3114645—.194/.270/.256
201433AAACLE218.217/.330/.3705052—.180/.260/.299
201534AAACHC198.158/.318/.2340124—.124/.241/.183
Contract
No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
200524 AAMobile BayBears — 268230 59812 35461 33 257357326683 70311 1713 316 69 — — — — — —
200625 AAAPortland Beavers — 297244 651414 49542 00 266393381774 115326 1816 354 84 — — — — — —
200726 AAAPortland Beavers — 353300 662020 47770 03 220326300626 80296 2213 288 40 — — — — — —
200827 MLBSan Diego Padres — 10594 14311 10341 00 149238234472 85220 3210 223 37 -8 +0 +4 +4 +2 0.2
200827 AAAPortland Beavers — 11188 23304 19272 00 261404432835 170322 2417 373 82 — — — — — —
200928 MLBArizona Diamondbacks — 2118 3000 330 00 167286167452 200 1414 229 41 -1 +0 -1 +5 +0 0.4
200928 AAAReno Aces — 285237 761707 45551 44 321431481912 160392 1916 406 103 — — — — — —
201029 MLBCleveland Indians — 1614 5002 250 00 3574387861.223 429429 3112 517 236 +3 +0 +1 +6 +0 1.0
201029 AAAColumbus Clippers — 284244 581014 34602 52 238336336672 98295 2112 306 56 — — — — — —
201029 INTLAguilas Cibaenas — 3123 1000 870 01 4329043334 62 2326 209 28 — — — — — —
201130 AAAColumbus Clippers — 238188 40805 44452 00 213368335703 122250 1918 325 55 — — — — — —
201231 AAAColumbus Clippers — 244206 521003 34261 01 252361345706 92274 1114 323 63 — — — — — —
201332 AAASalt Lake Bees — 292244 56804 40531 63 230340311652 82277 1814 298 45 — — — — — —
201433 AAAColumbus Clippers — 218184 401305 29392 00 217330370700 152250 1813 315 52 — — — — — —
201534 AAAIowa Cubs — 198158 251010 32355 11 158318234552 76202 1816 268 24 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 142126 22313 15421 00 175268286553 111235 3011 257 60 -7 +0 +4 +15 +3 1.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
200524 AA MLEMobile BayBears — 268243 58812 22561 33 239305305609 66295 218 270 69 — — — — — —
200625 AAA MLEPortland Beavers — 297258 591213 35702 00 229325318643 89298 2412 292 84 — — — — — —
200726 AAA MLEPortland Beavers — 353315 581620 32990 03 184259248507 63259 289 227 40 — — — — — —
200827 MLB MLESan Diego Padres — 10594 14311 10341 00 149238234472 85220 3210 223 37 -8 +0 +4 +4 +2 0.2
200827 AAA MLEPortland Beavers — 11194 19203 13352 00 202312319631 117265 3212 290 82 — — — — — —
200928 MLB MLEArizona Diamondbacks — 2118 3000 330 00 167286167452 200 1414 229 41 -1 +0 -1 +5 +0 0.4
200928 AAA MLEReno Aces — 285251 661405 31711 44 263346378725 116340 2511 321 103 — — — — — —
201029 MLB MLECleveland Indians — 1614 5002 250 00 3574387861.223 429429 3112 517 236 +3 +0 +1 +6 +0 1.0
201029 AAA MLEColumbus Clippers — 284256 52813 22722 52 203271277549 74262 258 251 56 — — — — — —
201130 AAA MLEColumbus Clippers — 238204 36703 28562 00 176282255537 78222 2412 250 55 — — — — — —
201231 AAA MLEColumbus Clippers — 244219 47802 21321 01 215286279565 64240 139 261 63 — — — — — —
201332 AAA MLESalt Lake Bees — 292258 50703 26711 63 194270256526 62243 249 235 45 — — — — — —
201433 AAA MLEColumbus Clippers — 218194 351104 19462 00 180260299559 119210 219 245 52 — — — — — —
201534 AAA MLEIowa Cubs — 198169 21810 21435 11 124241183424 59162 2211 204 24 — — — — — —
200524 AA MLEMobile BayBears — 268243 58812 22561 33 239305305609 66301 218 270 69 — — — — — —
200524 AA RAWMobile BayBears — 268230 59812 35461 33 257357326683 70311 1713 316 69 — — — — — —
200625 AAA MLEPortland Beavers — 297258 591213 35702 00 229325318643 89301 2412 292 84 — — — — — —
200625 AAA RAWPortland Beavers — 297244 651414 49542 00 266393381774 115326 1816 354 84 — — — — — —
200726 AAA MLEPortland Beavers — 353315 581620 32990 03 184259248507 63269 289 227 40 — — — — — —
200726 AAA RAWPortland Beavers — 353300 662020 47770 03 220326300626 80296 2213 288 40 — — — — — —
200827 AAA MLE2 teams — 216188 33514 23693 00 176276277552 101248 3211 257 60 — — — — — —
200827 AAA RAW2 teams — 216182 37615 29613 00 203322330652 126271 2813 300 60 — — — — — —
200928 AAA MLE2 teams — 306269 691405 34741 44 257342364706 108335 2411 315 99 — — — — — —
200928 AAA RAW2 teams — 306255 791707 48581 44 310421459880 149377 1916 393 99 — — — — — —
201029 AAA MLE3 teams — 331298 63916 27842 53 211281309590 97270 258 265 66 — — — — — —
201029 AAA RAW3 teams — 331281 641016 44722 53 228336335671 107282 2213 307 66 — — — — — —
201130 AAA MLEColumbus Clippers — 238204 36703 28562 00 176282255537 78224 2412 250 55 — — — — — —
201130 AAA RAWColumbus Clippers — 238188 40805 44452 00 213368335703 122250 1918 325 55 — — — — — —
201231 AAA MLEColumbus Clippers — 244219 47802 21321 01 215286279565 64241 139 261 63 — — — — — —
201231 AAA RAWColumbus Clippers — 244206 521003 34261 01 252361345706 92274 1114 323 63 — — — — — —
201332 AAA MLESalt Lake Bees — 292258 50703 26711 63 194270256526 62254 249 235 45 — — — — — —
201332 AAA RAWSalt Lake Bees — 292244 56804 40531 63 230340311652 82277 1814 298 45 — — — — — —
201433 AAA MLEColumbus Clippers — 218194 351104 19462 00 180260299559 119215 219 245 52 — — — — — —
201433 AAA RAWColumbus Clippers — 218184 401305 29392 00 217330370700 152250 1813 315 52 — — — — — —
201534 AAA MLEIowa Cubs — 198169 21810 21435 11 124241183424 59165 2211 204 24 — — — — — —
201534 AAA RAWIowa Cubs — 198158 251010 32355 11 158318234552 76202 1816 268 24 — — — — — —
200524 AA MLEMobile BayBears — 268243 58812 22561 33 239305305609 66295 218 270 69 — — — — — —
200625 AAA MLEPortland Beavers — 297258 591213 35702 00 229325318643 89298 2412 292 84 — — — — — —
200726 AAA MLEPortland Beavers — 353318 581620 32990 03 182259245505 63259 289 227 40 — — — — — —
200827 AAA MLE2 teams — 216188 33514 23693 00 176276277552 101243 3211 257 60 — — — — — —
200928 AAA MLE2 teams — 306268 691405 34741 44 257342366708 108330 2411 315 99 — — — — — —
201029 AAA MLE3 teams — 331299 63916 27842 53 211281308589 97271 258 265 66 — — — — — —
201130 AAA MLEColumbus Clippers — 238206 36703 28562 00 175282252534 78222 2412 250 55 — — — — — —
201231 AAA MLEColumbus Clippers — 244220 47802 21321 01 214286277564 64240 139 261 63 — — — — — —
201332 AAA MLESalt Lake Bees — 292263 50703 26711 63 190270251521 61243 249 235 45 — — — — — —
201433 AAA MLEColumbus Clippers — 218195 351104 19462 00 179260297558 118210 219 245 52 — — — — — —
201534 AAA MLEIowa Cubs — 198170 21810 21435 11 124241182423 59162 2211 204 24 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 142126 22313 15421 00 175268286553 111235 3011 257 61 -7 +0 +4 +15 +3 1.5
/ 162G— A+C — 650577 10214514 691925 00 177271291562 114237 3011 257 61 -31 +0 +16 +70 +14 7.1
Career— MLE — 29612615 529105732 28870020 1918 202286285571 82262 2410 258 61 -7 +0 +4 +15 +3 1.5
/ 162G— MLE — 650574 1172327 631544 44 204287287574 84264 2410 258 61 -31 +0 +16 +70 +14 7.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2015 AAAIowa Cubs · 198 PAwOBA .264 → .204 (−60)K% 17.7% → 21.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.68%÷1.051×1.290——21.69%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.16%÷0.996×0.710—×0.94010.82%
HBP% /PA2.53%—×0.980—×0.9402.33%
Singles /BIP11.38%÷1.008×0.900×0.988×0.9409.44%
Doubles /BIP8.13%÷0.984×0.810×0.988×0.9406.22%
Triples /BIP0.81%÷0.948×0.810×0.988×0.9400.65%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.916×0.780—×0.9400.00%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 102, 2B 97, 3B 90, K 110, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 35 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.

Result: wOBA .264 → .204; ISO .076 → .061; BABIP .202 → .162. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAAColumbus Clippers · 218 PAwOBA .307 → .245 (−63)K% 17.9% → 21.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.89%÷1.016×1.200——21.12%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.30%÷1.015×0.690—×0.9408.50%
HBP% /PA0.92%—×0.940—×0.9400.81%
Singles /BIP15.17%÷1.034×0.930×1.050×0.94013.47%
Doubles /BIP8.97%÷1.047×0.830×1.050×0.9407.02%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.007×0.970×1.050×0.9400.00%
Home runs /BIP3.45%÷1.028×0.840—×0.9402.65%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 107, 2B 109, 3B 102, K 103, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .307 → .245; ISO .152 → .123; BABIP .250 → .210. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAASalt Lake Bees · 292 PAwOBA .291 → .235 (−56)K% 18.2% → 24.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.15%÷0.964×1.290——24.28%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.36%÷1.016×0.710—×0.9428.80%
HBP% /PA0.34%—×0.980—×0.9420.32%
Singles /BIP23.04%÷0.997×0.900×1.050×0.94220.57%
Doubles /BIP4.19%÷0.977×0.810×1.050×0.9423.43%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.810×1.050×0.9420.00%
Home runs /BIP2.09%÷0.973×0.780—×0.9421.58%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 99, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 93, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .291 → .235; ISO .082 → .065; BABIP .277 → .243. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAAColumbus Clippers · 244 PAwOBA .315 → .261 (−54)K% 10.7% → 13.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA10.66%÷0.974×1.200——13.12%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.11%÷0.998×0.690—×0.9528.63%
HBP% /PA0.41%—×0.940—×0.9520.37%
Singles /BIP21.67%÷1.002×0.930×1.018×0.95219.48%
Doubles /BIP5.56%÷0.999×0.830×1.018×0.9524.47%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.101×0.970×1.018×0.9520.00%
Home runs /BIP1.67%÷1.178×0.840—×0.9521.13%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 136, 1B 100, 2B 100, 3B 120, K 95, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.018.

Result: wOBA .315 → .261; ISO .092 → .073; BABIP .274 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAAColumbus Clippers · 238 PAwOBA .319 → .250 (−69)K% 18.9% → 23.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.91%÷0.961×1.200——23.62%
BB% (unintentional) /PA18.07%÷1.032×0.690—×0.96211.63%
HBP% /PA0.84%—×0.940—×0.9620.76%
Singles /BIP18.88%÷1.020×0.930×1.050×0.96217.39%
Doubles /BIP5.59%÷1.015×0.830×1.050×0.9624.62%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.970×1.050×0.9620.00%
Home runs /BIP3.50%÷1.378×0.840—×0.9622.05%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 176, 1B 104, 2B 103, 3B 80, K 92, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .319 → .250; ISO .122 → .087; BABIP .250 → .222. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AAAColumbus Clippers · 284 PAwOBA .300 → .251 (−50)K% 21.1% → 25.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.13%÷1.007×1.200——25.17%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.62%÷1.004×0.690—×0.9727.77%
HBP% /PA0.70%—×0.940—×0.9720.64%
Singles /BIP23.37%÷1.035×0.930×1.036×0.97221.16%
Doubles /BIP5.43%÷1.038×0.830×1.036×0.9724.38%
Triples /BIP0.54%÷0.900×0.970×1.036×0.9720.59%
Home runs /BIP2.17%÷1.038×0.840—×0.9721.71%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 107, 2B 108, 3B 80, K 101, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.036.

Result: wOBA .300 → .251; ISO .098 → .083; BABIP .295 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2009 AAAReno Aces · 285 PAwOBA .397 → .321 (−76)K% 19.3% → 24.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.30%÷1.000×1.290——24.89%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.79%÷1.000×0.710—×0.98211.01%
HBP% /PA0.35%—×0.980—×0.9820.34%
Singles /BIP28.57%÷1.000×0.900×1.015×0.98225.64%
Doubles /BIP9.34%÷1.000×0.810×1.015×0.9827.54%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.810×1.015×0.9820.00%
Home runs /BIP3.85%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9822.95%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.

Result: wOBA .397 → .321; ISO .160 → .126; BABIP .392 → .340. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2008 AAAPortland Beavers · 111 PAwOBA .371 → .290 (−81)K% 24.3% → 31.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.32%÷1.000×1.290——31.38%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.12%÷1.000×0.710—×0.99212.06%
HBP% /PA1.80%—×0.980—×0.9921.75%
Singles /BIP26.23%÷1.000×0.900×0.950×0.99222.25%
Doubles /BIP4.92%÷1.000×0.810×0.950×0.9923.75%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.810×0.950×0.9920.00%
Home runs /BIP6.56%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9925.07%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .371 → .290; ISO .170 → .131; BABIP .322 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .