Chris Davis

Pos1B

B/TL/R

Born1986-03-17

Age (2027)41

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

MLBLAST SEASON 2020

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR
2018	32	MLBBAL	522	.168/.245/.296	16	2	47	-3.4
2019	33	MLBBAL	352	.179/.278/.326	12	0	66	-1.7
2020	34	MLBBAL	55	.115/.164/.173	0	0	-7	-0.8
2021	35	No MLB games played
2022	36	No MLB games played
2023	37	No MLB games played
2024	38	No MLB games played
2025	39	No MLB games played
2026	40	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR -5.9

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2018-2020

Barrel%62

Avg EV48

xwOBA21

Speed10

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2007	21	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	124	109	32	7	0	12	13	27	1	0	0	294	374	688	1.062	394	282	22	10	448	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	21	A+	Bakersfield Blaze	—	418	386	115	28	3	24	22	123	5	3	3	298	344	573	916	275	373	29	5	392	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	317	295	84	23	2	17	20	88	1	1	2	285	332	549	881	264	351	28	6	381	143	+16	-1	-10	-12	+7	0.0
2008	22	AAA	Oklahoma RedHawks	—	127	111	37	7	1	10	13	29	1	2	0	333	408	685	1.093	351	365	23	10	460	147	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	202	186	62	14	0	13	13	44	1	5	1	333	380	618	998	285	374	22	6	428	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	419	391	93	15	1	21	24	150	2	0	0	238	285	442	728	205	324	36	6	319	99	-0	+0	-10	-11	+9	-1.3
2009	23	AAA	Oklahoma City RedHawks	—	194	165	54	12	1	6	25	39	2	0	1	327	422	521	943	194	393	20	13	413	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	136	120	23	9	0	1	15	40	0	3	0	192	281	292	573	100	275	29	11	264	47	-9	+1	-2	-12	+3	-2.0
2010	24	AAA	Oklahoma City RedHawks	—	445	398	130	31	2	14	37	105	3	3	2	327	387	520	907	193	407	24	8	394	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	INTL	Estrellas de Oriente	—	100	86	24	6	1	6	10	26	4	0	0	279	380	581	961	302	333	26	10	417	168	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	210	199	53	12	0	5	11	63	0	1	0	266	305	402	707	136	366	30	5	315	93	-2	+0	-8	+1	+5	-0.4
2011	25	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	210	193	71	14	1	24	11	58	3	1	0	368	411	824	1.234	456	412	28	5	516	141	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	562	515	139	20	0	33	37	169	7	2	3	270	327	501	828	231	335	30	7	361	117	+12	-1	-7	-10	+12	0.6
2013	27	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	673	584	167	42	1	53	72	199	10	4	1	286	374	634	1.007	348	336	30	11	427	157	+45	+0	-12	-12	+15	3.7
2014	28	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	525	450	88	16	0	26	60	173	9	2	1	196	303	404	707	209	242	33	11	314	84	-10	+0	-5	-9	+11	-1.4
2015	29	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	670	573	150	31	0	47	84	208	8	2	3	262	364	562	926	300	319	31	13	399	142	+34	-1	-6	-12	+15	3.1
2016	30	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	665	566	125	21	0	38	88	219	8	1	0	221	334	459	793	239	279	33	13	350	113	+10	+0	-10	-12	+14	0.3
2017	31	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	524	456	98	15	1	26	61	195	3	1	1	215	312	423	735	208	301	37	12	325	96	-3	-0	-9	-9	+11	-1.0
2018	32	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	522	470	79	12	0	16	41	192	7	2	0	168	245	296	541	128	237	37	8	246	47	-33	+0	-3	-9	+11	-3.4
2019	33	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	352	307	55	9	0	12	39	139	3	0	0	179	278	326	604	147	270	39	11	275	66	-14	+0	-3	-6	+8	-1.7
2020	34	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	55	52	6	3	0	0	3	17	0	0	0	115	164	173	337	58	171	31	5	157	-7	-7	+0	-1	-1	+1	-0.8
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	5630	4978	1160	228	5	295	555	1852	58	19	11	233	317	459	776	226	301	33	10	340	117	+111	-1	-88	-114	+122	3.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2007	21	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	124	113	28	6	0	10	9	33	1	0	0	248	309	566	875	319	244	27	7	364	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	21	A+ MLE	Bakersfield Blaze	—	418	393	92	21	2	20	15	165	5	3	3	234	271	450	722	216	327	39	4	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	317	296	84	23	2	17	19	88	1	1	2	284	329	547	876	264	351	28	6	379	143	+16	-1	-10	-12	+7	0.0
2008	22	AAA MLE	Oklahoma RedHawks	—	127	115	33	6	1	8	9	37	1	2	0	287	344	565	909	278	343	29	7	386	147	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	202	191	55	12	0	11	8	54	1	5	1	288	320	524	844	236	333	27	4	354	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	419	393	93	15	1	21	22	150	2	0	0	237	281	440	721	204	324	36	5	315	99	-0	+0	-10	-11	+9	-1.3
2009	23	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City RedHawks	—	194	173	49	10	1	5	17	50	2	0	1	283	354	439	793	156	362	26	9	348	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	136	123	22	8	0	1	12	40	0	3	0	179	252	268	520	89	275	29	9	237	47	-9	+1	-2	-12	+3	-2.0
2010	24	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City RedHawks	—	445	412	107	25	1	12	24	139	3	3	2	260	305	413	718	153	350	31	5	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	210	200	53	12	0	5	10	63	0	1	0	265	300	400	700	135	366	30	5	306	93	-2	+0	-8	+1	+5	-0.4
2011	25	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	210	197	54	11	1	16	7	77	3	1	0	274	309	584	893	310	342	37	3	376	141	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	562	521	135	20	0	30	31	169	7	2	3	259	309	470	780	211	335	30	6	342	117	+12	-1	-7	-10	+12	0.6
2013	27	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	673	596	162	43	1	48	60	199	10	4	1	272	348	589	937	317	336	30	9	400	157	+45	+0	-12	-12	+15	3.7
2014	28	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	525	459	85	16	0	23	51	173	9	2	1	185	279	370	650	185	242	33	10	292	84	-10	+0	-5	-9	+11	-1.4
2015	29	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	670	579	145	32	0	42	78	208	8	2	3	250	347	523	871	273	319	31	12	379	142	+34	-1	-6	-12	+15	3.1
2016	30	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	665	569	120	21	0	34	85	219	8	1	0	211	322	427	749	216	279	33	13	336	113	+10	+0	-10	-12	+14	0.3
2017	31	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	524	460	94	15	1	23	57	195	3	1	1	204	296	391	687	187	301	37	11	310	96	-3	-0	-9	-9	+11	-1.0
2018	32	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	522	472	76	12	0	14	39	192	7	2	0	161	236	275	511	114	237	37	7	237	47	-33	+0	-3	-9	+11	-3.4
2019	33	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	352	308	54	9	0	11	38	139	3	0	0	175	272	312	584	136	270	39	11	266	66	-14	+0	-3	-6	+8	-1.7
2020	34	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	55	52	6	3	0	0	3	17	0	0	0	115	164	173	337	58	171	31	5	158	-7	-7	+0	-1	-1	+1	-0.8
2007	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	542	507	119	26	2	30	23	198	6	3	3	235	276	471	748	237	312	37	4	318	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	21	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	542	495	147	35	3	36	35	150	6	3	3	297	351	598	949	301	352	28	6	405	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	646	602	172	41	3	36	36	179	3	8	3	286	329	543	872	257	347	28	6	373	138	+29	+0	-10	-12	+14	2.2
2008	22	MLB RAW	3 teams	—	646	592	183	44	3	40	46	161	3	8	3	309	362	596	958	287	361	25	7	411	138	+29	+0	-10	-12	+14	2.2
2009	23	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	613	566	142	25	2	26	39	200	4	0	1	251	304	440	744	189	337	33	6	326	106	+5	-0	-10	-11	+13	-0.4
2009	23	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	613	556	147	27	2	27	49	189	4	0	1	264	328	466	794	201	349	31	8	348	106	+5	-0	-10	-11	+13	-0.4
2010	24	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	681	625	152	39	2	15	42	210	7	6	2	243	298	384	682	141	337	31	6	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	681	604	177	46	3	21	62	171	7	6	2	293	365	483	848	190	372	25	9	371	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	420	397	107	23	1	21	17	140	3	2	0	270	305	491	796	222	360	33	4	341	117	+9	+0	-8	+1	+9	1.2
2011	25	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	420	392	124	26	1	29	22	121	3	2	0	316	357	610	967	293	388	29	5	415	117	+9	+0	-8	+1	+9	1.2
2012	26	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	562	521	135	20	0	30	31	169	7	2	3	259	309	470	780	211	323	30	6	342	117	+12	-1	-7	-10	+12	0.6
2012	26	MLB RAW	Baltimore Orioles	—	562	515	139	20	0	33	37	169	7	2	3	270	327	501	828	231	335	30	7	361	117	+12	-1	-7	-10	+12	0.6
2013	27	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	673	596	162	43	1	48	60	199	10	4	1	272	348	589	937	317	320	30	9	400	157	+45	+0	-12	-12	+15	3.7
2013	27	MLB RAW	Baltimore Orioles	—	673	584	167	42	1	53	72	199	10	4	1	286	374	634	1.007	348	336	30	11	427	157	+45	+0	-12	-12	+15	3.7
2014	28	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	525	459	85	16	0	23	51	173	9	2	1	185	279	370	650	185	231	33	10	292	84	-10	+0	-5	-9	+11	-1.4
2014	28	MLB RAW	Baltimore Orioles	—	525	450	88	16	0	26	60	173	9	2	1	196	303	404	707	209	242	33	11	314	84	-10	+0	-5	-9	+11	-1.4
2015	29	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	670	579	145	32	0	42	78	208	8	2	3	250	347	523	871	273	308	31	12	379	142	+34	-1	-6	-12	+15	3.1
2015	29	MLB RAW	Baltimore Orioles	—	670	573	150	31	0	47	84	208	8	2	3	262	364	562	926	300	319	31	13	399	142	+34	-1	-6	-12	+15	3.1
2016	30	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	665	569	120	21	0	34	85	219	8	1	0	211	322	427	749	216	270	33	13	336	113	+10	+0	-10	-12	+14	0.3
2016	30	MLB RAW	Baltimore Orioles	—	665	566	125	21	0	38	88	219	8	1	0	221	334	459	793	239	279	33	13	350	113	+10	+0	-10	-12	+14	0.3
2017	31	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	524	460	94	15	1	23	57	195	3	1	1	204	296	391	687	187	289	37	11	310	96	-3	-0	-9	-9	+11	-1.0
2017	31	MLB RAW	Baltimore Orioles	—	524	456	98	15	1	26	61	195	3	1	1	215	312	423	735	208	301	37	12	325	96	-3	-0	-9	-9	+11	-1.0
2018	32	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	522	472	76	12	0	14	39	192	7	2	0	161	236	275	511	114	230	37	7	237	47	-33	+0	-3	-9	+11	-3.4
2018	32	MLB RAW	Baltimore Orioles	—	522	470	79	12	0	16	41	192	7	2	0	168	245	296	541	128	237	37	8	246	47	-33	+0	-3	-9	+11	-3.4
2019	33	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	352	308	54	9	0	11	38	139	3	0	0	175	272	312	584	136	267	39	11	266	66	-14	+0	-3	-6	+8	-1.7
2019	33	MLB RAW	Baltimore Orioles	—	352	307	55	9	0	12	39	139	3	0	0	179	278	326	604	147	270	39	11	275	66	-14	+0	-3	-6	+8	-1.7
2020	34	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	55	52	6	3	0	0	3	17	0	0	0	115	164	173	337	58	171	31	5	158	-7	-7	+0	-1	-1	+1	-0.8
2020	34	MLB RAW	Baltimore Orioles	—	55	52	6	3	0	0	3	17	0	0	0	115	164	173	337	58	171	31	5	157	-7	-7	+0	-1	-1	+1	-0.8
2007	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	542	508	119	26	2	30	23	198	6	3	3	234	276	470	747	236	308	37	4	318	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	646	602	172	41	3	36	36	179	3	8	3	286	329	543	872	257	344	28	6	373	138	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	613	565	142	25	2	26	39	200	4	0	1	251	304	441	744	189	336	33	6	326	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	681	627	152	39	2	15	42	210	7	6	2	242	298	383	681	140	332	31	6	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	420	397	107	23	1	21	17	140	3	2	0	270	305	491	796	222	354	33	4	341	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	562	519	135	20	0	30	31	169	7	2	3	260	309	472	782	212	335	30	6	342	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	673	598	162	43	1	48	60	199	10	4	1	271	348	587	935	316	336	30	9	400	157	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	525	460	85	16	0	23	51	173	9	2	1	185	279	370	649	185	242	33	10	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	670	579	145	32	0	42	78	208	8	2	3	250	347	523	871	273	319	31	12	379	142	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	665	567	120	21	0	34	85	219	8	1	0	212	322	429	750	217	279	33	13	336	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	31	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	524	459	94	15	1	23	57	195	3	1	1	205	296	392	688	187	301	37	11	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	32	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	522	471	76	12	0	14	39	192	7	2	0	161	236	276	512	115	237	37	7	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	33	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	352	308	54	9	0	11	38	139	3	0	0	175	272	312	584	136	270	39	11	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	34	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	55	52	6	3	0	0	3	17	0	0	0	115	164	173	337	58	171	31	5	158	-7	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	5630	4978	1160	228	5	295	555	1852	58	19	11	233	317	459	776	226	301	33	10	340	108	+111	-1	-88	-114	+122	3.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	575	134	26	1	34	64	214	7	2	1	233	317	459	776	226	302	33	10	340	108	+13	-0	-10	-13	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	7450	6713	1569	325	12	353	599	2438	78	33	18	234	304	443	747	210	305	33	8	327	108	+111	-1	-88	-114	+122	3.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	137	28	1	31	52	213	7	3	2	234	304	444	748	210	305	33	8	327	108	+13	-0	-10	-13	+14	0.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2011 AAARound Rock Express · 210 PAwOBA .506 → .376 (−130)K% 27.6% → 36.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	27.62%	÷0.976	×1.290	—	—	36.51%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.29%	÷1.004	×0.710	—	×1.033	3.13%
HBP% /PA	1.43%	—	×0.980	—	×1.033	1.45%
Singles /BIP	23.70%	÷1.002	×0.900	×0.970	×1.033	21.33%
Doubles /BIP	10.37%	÷0.970	×0.810	×0.970	×1.033	8.68%
Triples /BIP	0.74%	÷1.150	×0.810	×0.970	×1.033	0.52%
Home runs /BIP	17.78%	÷1.087	×0.780	—	×1.033	13.18%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 100, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 95, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.

Result: wOBA .506 → .376; ISO .456 → .316; BABIP .412 → .342. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AAAOklahoma City RedHawks · 445 PAwOBA .386 → .314 (−72)K% 23.6% → 31.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.60%	÷0.974	×1.290	—	—	31.24%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.42%	÷1.015	×0.710	—	×1.048	5.44%
HBP% /PA	0.67%	—	×0.980	—	×1.048	0.69%
Singles /BIP	28.33%	÷1.070	×0.900	×0.995	×1.048	24.85%
Doubles /BIP	10.58%	÷0.996	×0.810	×0.995	×1.048	8.97%
Triples /BIP	0.68%	÷1.150	×0.810	×0.995	×1.048	0.50%
Home runs /BIP	4.78%	÷0.936	×0.780	—	×1.048	4.17%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 114, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 95, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.

Result: wOBA .386 → .314; ISO .193 → .157; BABIP .407 → .350. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2009 AAAOklahoma City RedHawks · 194 PAwOBA .403 → .348 (−55)K% 20.1% → 25.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.10%	÷1.000	×1.290	—	—	25.93%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.86%	÷1.000	×0.710	—	×1.050	8.84%
HBP% /PA	1.03%	—	×0.980	—	×1.050	1.06%
Singles /BIP	27.78%	÷1.000	×0.900	×1.011	×1.050	26.54%
Doubles /BIP	9.52%	÷1.000	×0.810	×1.011	×1.050	8.19%
Triples /BIP	0.79%	÷1.000	×0.810	×1.011	×1.050	0.68%
Home runs /BIP	4.76%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.050	3.90%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.

Result: wOBA .403 → .348; ISO .194 → .160; BABIP .393 → .362. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2008 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 202 PAwOBA .417 → .354 (−63)K% 21.8% → 26.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.78%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	26.57%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.45%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.042	3.97%
HBP% /PA	0.50%	—	×0.870	—	×1.042	0.45%
Singles /BIP	24.65%	÷1.000	×0.920	×0.970	×1.042	22.91%
Doubles /BIP	9.86%	÷1.000	×0.840	×0.970	×1.042	8.37%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.940	×0.970	×1.042	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	9.15%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×1.042	7.63%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.

Result: wOBA .417 → .354; ISO .285 → .234; BABIP .374 → .333. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2008 AAAOklahoma RedHawks · 127 PAwOBA .452 → .386 (−66)K% 22.8% → 29.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.83%	÷1.000	×1.290	—	—	29.46%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.45%	÷1.000	×0.710	—	×1.050	7.04%
HBP% /PA	0.79%	—	×0.980	—	×1.050	0.81%
Singles /BIP	23.17%	÷1.000	×0.900	×1.050	×1.050	22.99%
Doubles /BIP	8.54%	÷1.000	×0.810	×1.050	×1.050	7.62%
Triples /BIP	1.22%	÷1.000	×0.810	×1.050	×1.050	1.09%
Home runs /BIP	12.20%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.050	9.99%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .452 → .386; ISO .351 → .285; BABIP .365 → .343. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2007 A+Bakersfield Blaze · 418 PAwOBA .384 → .305 (−79)K% 29.4% → 39.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	29.43%	÷1.000	×1.340	—	—	39.43%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.78%	÷1.000	×0.710	—	×1.027	3.49%
HBP% /PA	1.20%	—	×0.790	—	×1.027	0.97%
Singles /BIP	22.81%	÷1.000	×0.910	×0.980	×1.027	20.89%
Doubles /BIP	10.65%	÷1.000	×0.820	×0.980	×1.027	8.79%
Triples /BIP	1.14%	÷1.000	×0.760	×0.980	×1.027	0.87%
Home runs /BIP	9.13%	÷1.000	×0.920	—	×1.027	8.62%

Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.

Result: wOBA .384 → .305; ISO .275 → .221; BABIP .373 → .327. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2007 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 124 PAwOBA .436 → .364 (−72)K% 21.8% → 26.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.77%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	26.56%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.68%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.050	7.11%
HBP% /PA	0.81%	—	×0.870	—	×1.050	0.74%
Singles /BIP	15.85%	÷1.000	×0.920	×0.950	×1.050	14.55%
Doubles /BIP	8.54%	÷1.000	×0.840	×0.950	×1.050	7.15%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.940	×0.950	×1.050	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	14.63%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×1.050	12.29%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .436 → .364; ISO .394 → .329; BABIP .282 → .244. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .