Tony Gwynn Jr.

PosCF

B/TL/R

Born1982-10-04

Age (2027)44

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2015

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2013	30	AAACOL	391	.300/.395/.384	2	12	70	—	.244/.309/.310
2014	31	AAAPHI	81	.290/.388/.362	1	2	76	—	.247/.312/.315
2014	31	MLBPHI	127	.152/.264/.190	0	3	27	-1.1
2015	32	AAASyracuse Chie…	364	.255/.330/.332	1	10	49	—	.214/.271/.277
2016	33	No MLB games played
2017	34	No MLB games played
2018	35	No MLB games played
2019	36	No MLB games played
2020	37	No MLB games played
2021	38	No MLB games played
2022	39	No MLB games played
2023	40	No MLB games played
2024	41	No MLB games played
2025	42	No MLB games played
2026	43	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR -1.1

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2005	22	AA	Huntsville Stars	—	601	509	138	21	5	1	76	75	5	34	15	271	371	338	709	67	315	12	13	323	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	23	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	80	77	20	2	1	0	2	15	0	3	1	260	278	312	590	52	317	19	2	262	63	-3	+0	-1	+2	+2	-0.0
2006	23	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	494	447	134	21	5	4	42	84	2	30	11	300	363	396	758	96	359	17	9	341	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	24	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	135	123	32	3	2	0	12	24	0	8	1	260	326	317	643	57	323	18	9	295	83	-3	+1	+2	+1	+3	0.4
2007	24	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	138	126	36	3	3	0	9	14	1	4	3	286	338	357	695	71	319	10	7	311	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	25	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	49	42	8	1	0	0	4	7	1	3	1	190	277	214	491	24	222	14	8	227	40	-3	+0	+2	+2	+1	0.2
2008	25	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	412	375	103	9	3	2	29	54	2	20	6	275	330	331	661	56	315	13	7	298	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	26	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	451	393	106	11	6	2	48	65	2	11	7	270	352	344	696	74	316	14	11	314	97	-2	-1	+11	+2	+10	2.1
2009	26	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	175	152	47	8	1	1	20	21	0	15	1	309	390	395	784	86	351	12	11	351	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	27	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	339	289	59	9	3	3	41	50	1	17	4	204	305	287	592	83	236	15	12	271	66	-14	+2	+15	+1	+7	1.2
2011	28	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	340	312	80	12	6	2	23	61	1	22	6	256	310	353	662	96	311	18	7	295	92	-3	+2	+7	-4	+7	1.0
2012	29	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	277	259	60	8	4	0	16	52	0	13	6	232	276	293	570	62	290	19	6	258	64	-12	+0	+1	+1	+6	-0.4
2012	29	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	79	68	23	4	1	0	8	12	1	4	1	338	416	426	842	88	411	15	10	372	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	30	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	391	333	100	12	5	2	49	52	3	12	9	300	395	384	779	84	349	13	13	351	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	31	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	—	127	105	16	2	1	0	15	23	1	3	0	152	264	190	455	38	195	18	12	214	27	-11	+1	-3	+1	+3	-1.1
2014	31	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	81	69	20	2	0	1	11	12	0	2	4	290	388	362	750	72	333	15	14	342	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	32	AAA	Syracuse Chiefs	—	364	322	82	14	4	1	32	35	4	10	2	255	330	332	662	78	280	10	9	299	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1798	1600	381	48	23	7	161	297	6	80	26	238	310	310	620	72	287	17	9	280	76	-51	+6	+35	+6	+39	3.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2005	22	AA MLE	Huntsville Stars	—	601	533	138	21	5	1	52	91	5	34	15	259	331	323	653	64	300	15	9	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	23	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	80	77	20	2	1	0	2	15	0	3	1	260	278	312	590	52	317	19	2	262	63	-3	+0	-1	+2	+2	-0.0
2006	23	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	494	458	123	18	4	3	31	108	2	30	11	269	318	345	663	76	342	22	6	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	24	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	135	124	32	3	2	0	11	24	0	8	1	258	319	315	633	56	323	18	8	290	83	-3	+1	+2	+1	+3	0.4
2007	24	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	138	128	35	3	3	0	7	18	1	4	3	273	316	344	660	70	303	13	5	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	25	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	49	42	8	1	0	0	4	7	1	3	1	190	277	214	491	24	222	14	8	227	40	-3	+0	+2	+2	+1	0.2
2008	25	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	412	384	98	8	3	2	20	70	2	20	6	255	296	307	603	52	299	17	5	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	26	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	451	395	106	11	6	2	46	65	2	11	7	268	348	342	689	73	316	14	10	311	97	-2	-1	+11	+2	+10	2.1
2009	26	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	175	158	43	7	1	1	14	27	0	15	1	272	331	348	679	76	314	15	8	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	27	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	339	293	60	10	3	3	37	50	1	17	4	205	296	290	586	85	236	15	11	266	66	-14	+2	+15	+1	+7	1.2
2011	28	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	340	313	83	13	7	2	22	61	1	22	6	265	315	371	686	105	311	18	6	304	92	-3	+2	+7	-4	+7	1.0
2012	29	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	277	261	61	8	5	0	14	52	0	13	6	234	273	303	575	69	290	19	5	262	64	-12	+0	+1	+1	+6	-0.4
2012	29	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	79	71	20	3	1	0	5	17	1	4	1	282	338	352	690	70	345	22	6	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	30	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	391	352	86	9	4	2	30	72	3	12	9	244	309	310	619	65	292	18	8	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	31	MLB MLE	Philadelphia Phillies	—	127	106	16	2	1	0	14	23	1	3	0	151	256	189	445	38	195	18	11	208	27	-11	+1	-3	+1	+3	-1.1
2014	31	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	81	73	18	2	0	1	7	14	0	2	4	247	312	315	628	68	283	17	9	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	32	AAA MLE	Syracuse Chiefs	—	364	332	71	10	4	1	22	40	4	10	2	214	271	277	548	63	233	11	6	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	22	AA MLE	Huntsville Stars	—	601	533	138	21	5	1	52	91	5	34	15	259	331	323	653	64	309	15	9	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	22	AA RAW	Huntsville Stars	—	601	509	138	21	5	1	76	75	5	34	15	271	371	338	709	67	315	12	13	323	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	574	535	143	20	5	3	33	123	2	33	12	267	312	340	652	73	339	21	6	290	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	23	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	574	524	154	23	6	4	44	99	2	33	12	294	351	384	734	90	353	17	8	330	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	273	252	67	6	5	0	18	42	1	12	4	266	317	329	647	63	318	15	7	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	273	249	68	6	5	0	21	38	1	12	4	273	332	337	669	64	321	14	8	303	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	461	426	106	9	3	2	24	77	3	23	7	249	294	298	592	49	297	17	5	259	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	461	417	111	10	3	2	33	61	3	23	7	266	325	319	643	53	305	13	7	291	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	26	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	626	553	149	18	7	3	60	92	2	26	8	269	343	344	687	74	316	15	10	307	94	-5	+2	+11	+2	+14	2.5
2009	26	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	626	545	153	19	7	3	68	86	2	26	8	281	363	358	720	77	326	14	11	324	94	-5	+2	+11	+2	+14	2.5
2010	27	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	339	293	60	10	3	3	37	50	1	17	4	205	296	290	586	85	237	15	11	266	66	-14	+2	+15	+1	+7	1.2
2010	27	MLB RAW	San Diego Padres	—	339	289	59	9	3	3	41	50	1	17	4	204	305	287	592	83	236	15	12	271	66	-14	+2	+15	+1	+7	1.2
2011	28	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	340	313	83	13	7	2	22	61	1	22	6	265	315	371	686	105	321	18	6	304	92	-3	+2	+7	-4	+7	1.0
2011	28	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	340	312	80	12	6	2	23	61	1	22	6	256	310	353	662	96	311	18	7	295	92	-3	+2	+7	-4	+7	1.0
2012	29	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	356	332	81	11	6	0	19	69	1	17	7	244	287	313	600	69	308	19	5	269	68	-13	+1	+1	+1	+8	-0.3
2012	29	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	356	327	83	12	5	0	24	64	1	17	7	254	307	321	628	67	316	18	7	283	68	-13	+1	+1	+1	+8	-0.3
2013	30	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	391	352	86	9	4	2	30	72	3	12	9	244	309	310	619	65	300	18	8	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	30	AAA RAW	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	391	333	100	12	5	2	49	52	3	12	9	300	395	384	779	84	349	13	13	351	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	31	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	208	179	34	4	1	1	21	37	1	5	4	190	279	240	519	50	232	18	10	237	46	-13	-1	-3	+1	+5	-1.2
2014	31	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	208	174	36	4	1	1	26	35	1	5	4	207	313	259	572	52	252	17	12	264	46	-13	-1	-3	+1	+5	-1.2
2015	32	AAA MLE	Syracuse Chiefs	—	364	332	71	10	4	1	22	40	4	10	2	214	271	277	548	63	238	11	6	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	32	AAA RAW	Syracuse Chiefs	—	364	322	82	14	4	1	32	35	4	10	2	255	330	332	662	78	280	10	9	299	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	22	AA MLE	Huntsville Stars	—	601	539	138	21	5	1	52	91	5	34	15	256	331	319	650	63	300	15	9	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	574	534	143	20	5	3	33	123	2	33	12	268	312	341	653	73	339	21	6	290	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	273	252	67	6	5	0	18	42	1	12	4	266	317	329	647	63	313	15	7	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	461	431	106	9	3	2	24	77	3	23	7	246	294	295	588	49	291	17	5	259	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	26	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	626	559	149	18	7	3	60	92	2	26	8	267	343	340	683	73	316	15	10	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	27	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	339	298	60	10	3	3	37	50	1	17	4	201	296	285	581	84	236	15	11	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	28	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	340	314	83	13	7	2	22	61	1	22	6	264	315	369	685	105	311	18	6	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	29	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	356	333	81	11	6	0	19	69	1	17	7	243	287	312	599	69	302	19	5	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	30	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	391	355	86	9	4	2	30	72	3	12	9	242	309	307	616	65	292	18	8	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	31	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	208	184	34	4	1	1	21	37	1	5	4	185	279	234	512	49	229	18	10	237	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	32	AAA MLE	Syracuse Chiefs	—	364	335	71	10	4	1	22	40	4	10	2	212	271	275	546	63	233	11	6	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1798	1600	381	48	23	7	161	297	6	80	26	238	310	310	620	72	287	17	9	280	74	-51	+6	+35	+6	+39	3.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	578	138	17	8	3	58	107	2	29	9	239	310	311	621	73	287	16	9	280	74	-19	+2	+12	+2	+14	1.3
Career	—	MLE		—	4533	4100	1018	131	50	18	338	754	24	211	78	248	309	318	627	70	298	17	7	278	74	-51	+6	+35	+6	+39	3.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	588	146	19	7	3	48	108	3	30	11	248	308	320	628	71	298	17	7	278	74	-19	+2	+12	+2	+14	1.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2015 AAASyracuse Chiefs · 364 PAwOBA .294 → .241 (−52)K% 9.6% → 11.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	9.62%	÷1.043	×1.200	—	—	11.07%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.79%	÷0.938	×0.690	—	×0.942	6.09%
HBP% /PA	1.10%	—	×0.940	—	×0.942	0.97%
Singles /BIP	21.95%	÷1.010	×0.930	×0.981	×0.942	18.68%
Doubles /BIP	4.88%	÷1.088	×0.830	×0.981	×0.942	3.44%
Triples /BIP	1.39%	÷0.947	×0.970	×0.981	×0.942	1.32%
Home runs /BIP	0.35%	÷1.183	×0.840	—	×0.942	0.23%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 102, 2B 118, 3B 89, K 109, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.

Result: wOBA .294 → .241; ISO .078 → .063; BABIP .280 → .233. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 81 PAwOBA .338 → .281 (−57)K% 14.8% → 16.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.81%	÷1.050	×1.200	—	—	16.94%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.58%	÷0.970	×0.690	—	×0.952	9.20%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.952	0.00%
Singles /BIP	29.82%	÷1.006	×0.930	×0.976	×0.952	25.63%
Doubles /BIP	3.51%	÷0.999	×0.830	×0.976	×0.952	2.71%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.136	×0.970	×0.976	×0.952	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.75%	÷0.922	×0.840	—	×0.952	1.52%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 101, 2B 100, 3B 127, K 110, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.976.

Result: wOBA .338 → .281; ISO .072 → .063; BABIP .333 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 391 PAwOBA .344 → .272 (−71)K% 13.3% → 18.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.30%	÷0.938	×1.290	—	—	18.29%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.28%	÷1.071	×0.710	—	×0.962	7.83%
HBP% /PA	0.77%	—	×0.980	—	×0.962	0.72%
Singles /BIP	28.83%	÷1.029	×0.900	×1.026	×0.962	24.89%
Doubles /BIP	4.27%	÷1.082	×0.810	×1.026	×0.962	3.16%
Triples /BIP	1.78%	÷1.150	×0.810	×1.026	×0.962	1.24%
Home runs /BIP	0.71%	÷1.004	×0.780	—	×0.962	0.53%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 106, 2B 116, 3B 130, K 88, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.026.

Result: wOBA .344 → .272; ISO .084 → .062; BABIP .349 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 79 PAwOBA .358 → .293 (−65)K% 15.2% → 20.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.19%	÷0.935	×1.290	—	—	20.95%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.86%	÷0.962	×0.710	—	×0.972	6.35%
HBP% /PA	1.27%	—	×0.980	—	×0.972	1.21%
Singles /BIP	32.14%	÷1.034	×0.900	×1.031	×0.972	28.01%
Doubles /BIP	7.14%	÷1.135	×0.810	×1.031	×0.972	5.11%
Triples /BIP	1.79%	÷1.055	×0.810	×1.031	×0.972	1.37%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.018	×0.780	—	×0.972	0.00%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 107, 2B 127, 3B 111, K 87, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.

Result: wOBA .358 → .293; ISO .088 → .065; BABIP .411 → .345. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2009 AAANashville Sounds · 175 PAwOBA .344 → .296 (−49)K% 12.0% → 15.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.00%	÷1.000	×1.290	—	—	15.48%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.43%	÷1.000	×0.710	—	×1.003	8.14%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.980	—	×1.003	0.00%
Singles /BIP	28.24%	÷1.000	×0.900	×1.012	×1.003	25.80%
Doubles /BIP	6.11%	÷1.000	×0.810	×1.012	×1.003	5.02%
Triples /BIP	0.76%	÷1.000	×0.810	×1.012	×1.003	0.63%
Home runs /BIP	0.76%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.003	0.60%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.

Result: wOBA .344 → .296; ISO .086 → .071; BABIP .351 → .314. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2008 AAANashville Sounds · 412 PAwOBA .291 → .263 (−28)K% 13.1% → 16.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.11%	÷1.000	×1.290	—	—	16.91%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.80%	÷1.000	×0.710	—	×1.018	4.91%
HBP% /PA	0.49%	—	×0.980	—	×1.018	0.48%
Singles /BIP	27.73%	÷1.000	×0.900	×1.050	×1.018	26.67%
Doubles /BIP	2.80%	÷1.000	×0.810	×1.050	×1.018	2.43%
Triples /BIP	0.93%	÷1.000	×0.810	×1.050	×1.018	0.81%
Home runs /BIP	0.62%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.018	0.49%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .291 → .263; ISO .056 → .047; BABIP .315 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2007 AAANashville Sounds · 138 PAwOBA .305 → .279 (−26)K% 10.1% → 13.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	10.14%	÷1.000	×1.290	—	—	13.09%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.52%	÷1.000	×0.710	—	×1.033	4.78%
HBP% /PA	0.72%	—	×0.980	—	×1.033	0.73%
Singles /BIP	26.79%	÷1.000	×0.900	×1.039	×1.033	25.86%
Doubles /BIP	2.68%	÷1.000	×0.810	×1.039	×1.033	2.33%
Triples /BIP	2.68%	÷1.000	×0.810	×1.039	×1.033	2.33%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.033	0.00%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.039.

Result: wOBA .305 → .279; ISO .071 → .062; BABIP .319 → .303. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2006 AAANashville Sounds · 494 PAwOBA .333 → .295 (−38)K% 17.0% → 21.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.00%	÷1.000	×1.290	—	—	21.94%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.30%	÷1.000	×0.710	—	×1.048	6.18%
HBP% /PA	0.40%	—	×0.980	—	×1.048	0.42%
Singles /BIP	28.65%	÷1.000	×0.900	×1.031	×1.048	27.87%
Doubles /BIP	5.79%	÷1.000	×0.810	×1.031	×1.048	5.06%
Triples /BIP	1.38%	÷1.000	×0.810	×1.031	×1.048	1.21%
Home runs /BIP	1.10%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.048	0.90%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.

Result: wOBA .333 → .295; ISO .096 → .080; BABIP .359 → .342. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).