Carlos Guzman
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | 24 | AABinghamton Me… | 183 | .259/.354/.291 | 0 | 0 | 65 | — | .242/.309/.273 |
| 2011 | 25 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 193 | .250/.326/.321 | 2 | 1 | 63 | — | .243/.300/.313 |
| 2015 | 29 | INTLCardenales de… | 38 | .188/.316/.281 | 1 | 1 | 78 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2007 | 21 | ROK | GCL Mets | — | 159 | 130 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 37 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 215 | 358 | 392 | 751 | 177 | 261 | 23 | 15 | 344 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | A | Savannah Sand Gnats | — | 320 | 294 | 79 | 14 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 84 | 1 | 14 | 3 | 269 | 317 | 405 | 722 | 136 | 346 | 26 | 6 | 318 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | AA | Binghamton Mets | — | 25 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 130 | 200 | 261 | 461 | 130 | 133 | 28 | 4 | 213 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | A+ | St. Lucie Mets | — | 520 | 472 | 137 | 28 | 2 | 15 | 39 | 95 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 290 | 350 | 453 | 803 | 163 | 333 | 18 | 8 | 353 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AA | Binghamton Mets | — | 183 | 158 | 41 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 36 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 259 | 354 | 291 | 645 | 32 | 333 | 20 | 11 | 301 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AAA | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 55 | 45 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 311 | 415 | 422 | 837 | 111 | 382 | 20 | 11 | 368 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AA | Binghamton Mets | — | 138 | 123 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 228 | 291 | 285 | 576 | 57 | 273 | 18 | 7 | 259 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | INTL | Cardenales de Lara | — | 38 | 32 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 188 | 316 | 281 | 597 | 94 | 217 | 21 | 16 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2007 | 21 | ROK MLE | GCL Mets | — | 159 | 139 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 53 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 151 | 258 | 281 | 538 | 129 | 202 | 33 | 9 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | A MLE | Savannah Sand Gnats | — | 320 | 302 | 68 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 113 | 1 | 14 | 3 | 225 | 257 | 328 | 585 | 103 | 324 | 35 | 4 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | AA MLE | Binghamton Mets | — | 25 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 130 | 200 | 261 | 461 | 130 | 131 | 36 | 4 | 170 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | A+ MLE | St. Lucie Mets | — | 520 | 482 | 119 | 25 | 2 | 12 | 29 | 135 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 247 | 295 | 382 | 677 | 135 | 311 | 26 | 6 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AA MLE | Binghamton Mets | — | 183 | 165 | 40 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 45 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 242 | 309 | 273 | 582 | 30 | 323 | 25 | 7 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AAA MLE | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 55 | 47 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 277 | 358 | 383 | 741 | 106 | 338 | 24 | 7 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AA MLE | Binghamton Mets | — | 138 | 126 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 31 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 230 | 276 | 286 | 562 | 56 | 272 | 22 | 5 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 21 | ROK MLE | GCL Mets | — | 159 | 139 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 53 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 151 | 258 | 281 | 538 | 129 | 207 | 33 | 9 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 21 | ROK RAW | GCL Mets | — | 159 | 130 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 37 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 215 | 358 | 392 | 751 | 177 | 261 | 23 | 15 | 344 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | A MLE | Savannah Sand Gnats | — | 320 | 302 | 68 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 113 | 1 | 14 | 3 | 225 | 257 | 328 | 585 | 103 | 333 | 35 | 4 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | A RAW | Savannah Sand Gnats | — | 320 | 294 | 79 | 14 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 84 | 1 | 14 | 3 | 269 | 317 | 405 | 722 | 136 | 346 | 26 | 6 | 318 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 545 | 506 | 122 | 25 | 2 | 13 | 29 | 143 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 241 | 289 | 375 | 664 | 134 | 308 | 26 | 5 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 545 | 495 | 140 | 28 | 2 | 16 | 40 | 102 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 283 | 343 | 444 | 787 | 162 | 325 | 19 | 7 | 347 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AA MLE | Binghamton Mets | — | 183 | 165 | 40 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 45 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 242 | 309 | 273 | 582 | 30 | 331 | 25 | 7 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AA RAW | Binghamton Mets | — | 183 | 158 | 41 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 36 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 259 | 354 | 291 | 645 | 32 | 333 | 20 | 11 | 301 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 193 | 173 | 40 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 44 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 231 | 289 | 277 | 566 | 46 | 298 | 23 | 6 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 193 | 168 | 42 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 36 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 250 | 326 | 321 | 648 | 71 | 301 | 19 | 8 | 290 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | INTL MLE | Cardenales de Lara | — | 38 | 32 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 188 | 316 | 281 | 597 | 94 | 217 | 21 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | INTL RAW | Cardenales de Lara | — | 38 | 32 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 188 | 316 | 281 | 597 | 94 | 217 | 21 | 16 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 21 | ROK MLE | GCL Mets | — | 159 | 138 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 53 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 152 | 258 | 283 | 540 | 130 | 202 | 33 | 9 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | A MLE | Savannah Sand Gnats | — | 320 | 304 | 68 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 113 | 1 | 14 | 3 | 224 | 257 | 326 | 583 | 102 | 324 | 35 | 4 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 545 | 506 | 122 | 25 | 2 | 13 | 29 | 143 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 241 | 289 | 375 | 664 | 134 | 303 | 26 | 5 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AA MLE | Binghamton Mets | — | 183 | 165 | 40 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 45 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 242 | 309 | 273 | 582 | 30 | 323 | 25 | 7 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 193 | 177 | 40 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 44 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 226 | 289 | 271 | 560 | 45 | 291 | 23 | 6 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1438 | 1317 | 297 | 50 | 4 | 25 | 86 | 406 | 17 | 28 | 11 | 226 | 282 | 326 | 608 | 101 | 303 | 28 | 6 | 261 | 63 | -64 | +1 | +0 | -15 | +31 | -4.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 595 | 135 | 23 | 2 | 11 | 39 | 184 | 8 | 13 | 5 | 227 | 283 | 328 | 611 | 101 | 306 | 28 | 6 | 261 | 63 | -29 | +1 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -2.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2011 AABinghamton Mets · 138 PAwOBA .256 → .240 (−17)K% 18.1% → 22.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.12% | ÷0.995 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.21% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.25% | ÷0.944 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 5.36% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.72% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.61% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.47% | ÷1.005 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 23.73% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.08% | ÷0.961 | ×0.860 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 3.83% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.02% | ÷1.102 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 0.72% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 101, 2B 92, 3B 84, K 99, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .256 → .240; ISO .057 → .048; BABIP .273 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAAPetroleros de Minatitlan · 55 PAwOBA .366 → .313 (−53)K% 20.0% → 24.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.00% | ÷0.980 | ×1.200 | — | — | 24.48% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.91% | ÷1.107 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 7.02% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.64% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 3.53% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.35% | ÷1.059 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.033 | 29.34% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.88% | ÷1.085 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.033 | 4.65% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.94% | ÷0.988 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 2.15% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 112, 2B 117, 3B 130, K 96, BB 121 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .366 → .313; ISO .111 → .088; BABIP .382 → .338. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AABinghamton Mets · 183 PAwOBA .292 → .265 (−27)K% 19.7% → 24.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.67% | ÷0.975 | ×1.220 | — | — | 24.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.84% | ÷0.975 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 7.15% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.64% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 1.41% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.51% | ÷1.023 | ×0.970 | ×1.020 | ×1.012 | 28.89% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.10% | ÷0.982 | ×0.860 | ×1.020 | ×1.012 | 3.71% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×1.020 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.048 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 105, 2B 96, 3B 130, K 95, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.
Result: wOBA .292 → .265; ISO .032 → .029; BABIP .333 → .323. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 A+St. Lucie Mets · 520 PAwOBA .346 → .295 (−51)K% 18.3% → 25.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.27% | ÷1.000 | ×1.420 | — | — | 25.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.31% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.998 | 5.47% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.77% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.998 | 0.71% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.40% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.014 | ×0.998 | 22.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.43% | ÷1.000 | ×0.960 | ×1.014 | ×0.998 | 7.21% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.53% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×1.014 | ×0.998 | 0.43% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.98% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 3.49% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.
Result: wOBA .346 → .295; ISO .163 → .139; BABIP .333 → .311. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 AABinghamton Mets · 25 PAwOBA .207 → .170 (−37)K% 28.0% → 34.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.00% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 34.16% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 2.88% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 3.49% |
| Singles /BIP | 12.50% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.027 | 12.45% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.860 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.950 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 5.01% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .207 → .170; ISO .130 → .097; BABIP .133 → .131. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2008 ASavannah Sand Gnats · 320 PAwOBA .311 → .255 (−56)K% 26.2% → 35.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.25% | ÷1.000 | ×1.340 | — | — | 35.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.94% | ÷1.000 | ×0.660 | — | — | 3.92% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.31% | — | ×0.770 | — | — | 0.24% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.048 | — | 25.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.048 | — | 5.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.48% | ÷1.000 | ×0.940 | ×1.048 | — | 0.47% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.81% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | — | 3.12% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.048.
Result: wOBA .311 → .255; ISO .136 → .106; BABIP .346 → .324. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2007 ROKGCL Mets · 159 PAwOBA .335 → .231 (−104)K% 23.3% → 33.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.27% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 33.51% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.09% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.985 | 9.22% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.14% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 2.23% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.20% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.007 | ×0.985 | 14.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.45% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.007 | ×0.985 | 4.61% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.08% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.007 | ×0.985 | 0.77% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.38% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.985 | 4.13% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.
Result: wOBA .335 → .231; ISO .177 → .125; BABIP .261 → .202. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .