Ed Easley
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 28 | AAASTL | 312 | .296/.363/.473 | 10 | 0 | 88 | — | .246/.301/.380 |
| 2015 | 29 | AAASTL | 323 | .251/.347/.337 | 4 | 1 | 51 | — | .202/.272/.257 |
| 2016 | 30 | AAAPIT | 132 | .174/.264/.209 | 1 | 0 | 13 | — | .167/.225/.200 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 22 | A+ | Visalia Oaks | — | 502 | 453 | 112 | 20 | 1 | 6 | 42 | 106 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 247 | 315 | 336 | 651 | 88 | 307 | 21 | 8 | 295 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | A+ | Visalia Rawhide | — | 440 | 378 | 86 | 18 | 1 | 3 | 48 | 86 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 228 | 326 | 304 | 630 | 77 | 285 | 20 | 11 | 290 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AAA | Reno Aces | — | 55 | 48 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 188 | 235 | 250 | 485 | 62 | 265 | 25 | 5 | 207 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AA | Mobile BayBears | — | 184 | 162 | 42 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 36 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 259 | 337 | 315 | 652 | 56 | 325 | 20 | 10 | 297 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | INTL | Scottsdale Scorpions | — | 27 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 238 | 407 | 238 | 646 | 250 | 4 | 15 | 325 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2011 | 25 | AA | Mobile BayBears | — | 328 | 289 | 79 | 16 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 51 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 273 | 354 | 370 | 724 | 97 | 318 | 16 | 10 | 328 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AA | Mobile BayBears | — | 239 | 204 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 30 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 265 | 362 | 328 | 690 | 64 | 295 | 13 | 13 | 316 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA | Reno Aces | — | 328 | 293 | 98 | 22 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 50 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 334 | 398 | 478 | 876 | 143 | 383 | 15 | 9 | 386 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | — | 312 | 277 | 82 | 17 | 1 | 10 | 22 | 46 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 296 | 363 | 473 | 836 | 177 | 321 | 15 | 7 | 364 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | — | 323 | 279 | 70 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 39 | 44 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 251 | 347 | 337 | 684 | 86 | 283 | 14 | 12 | 314 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 30 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | — | 132 | 115 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 174 | 264 | 209 | 472 | 35 | 198 | 15 | 10 | 223 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 22 | A+ MLE | Visalia Oaks | — | 502 | 466 | 96 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 29 | 142 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 206 | 257 | 277 | 534 | 71 | 276 | 28 | 6 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | A+ MLE | Visalia Rawhide | — | 440 | 392 | 75 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 115 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 191 | 268 | 255 | 523 | 64 | 254 | 26 | 8 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AAA MLE | Reno Aces | — | 55 | 49 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 163 | 196 | 204 | 400 | 41 | 235 | 35 | 4 | 167 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AA MLE | Mobile BayBears | — | 184 | 168 | 42 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 44 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 250 | 304 | 304 | 607 | 54 | 318 | 24 | 7 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AA MLE | Mobile BayBears | — | 328 | 299 | 73 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 62 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 244 | 305 | 324 | 629 | 80 | 291 | 19 | 7 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AA MLE | Mobile BayBears | — | 239 | 213 | 48 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 36 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 225 | 298 | 268 | 565 | 42 | 255 | 15 | 9 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA MLE | Reno Aces | — | 328 | 301 | 85 | 18 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 65 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 282 | 333 | 389 | 722 | 106 | 336 | 20 | 6 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 312 | 284 | 70 | 15 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 60 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 246 | 301 | 380 | 681 | 134 | 280 | 19 | 5 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 323 | 292 | 59 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 59 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 202 | 272 | 257 | 529 | 55 | 242 | 18 | 8 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 30 | AAA MLE | Indianapolis Indians | — | 132 | 120 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 225 | 200 | 425 | 33 | 183 | 18 | 6 | 188 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | A+ MLE | Visalia Oaks | — | 502 | 466 | 96 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 29 | 142 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 206 | 257 | 277 | 534 | 71 | 282 | 28 | 6 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | A+ RAW | Visalia Oaks | — | 502 | 453 | 112 | 20 | 1 | 6 | 42 | 106 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 247 | 315 | 336 | 651 | 88 | 307 | 21 | 8 | 295 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | A+ MLE | Visalia Rawhide | — | 440 | 392 | 75 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 115 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 191 | 268 | 255 | 523 | 64 | 261 | 26 | 8 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | A+ RAW | Visalia Rawhide | — | 440 | 378 | 86 | 18 | 1 | 3 | 48 | 86 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 228 | 326 | 304 | 630 | 77 | 285 | 20 | 11 | 290 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 266 | 240 | 55 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 71 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 229 | 286 | 279 | 565 | 50 | 320 | 27 | 6 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 266 | 231 | 56 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 51 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 242 | 324 | 294 | 619 | 52 | 306 | 19 | 10 | 281 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AA MLE | Mobile BayBears | — | 328 | 299 | 73 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 62 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 244 | 305 | 324 | 629 | 80 | 297 | 19 | 7 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AA RAW | Mobile BayBears | — | 328 | 289 | 79 | 16 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 51 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 273 | 354 | 370 | 724 | 97 | 318 | 16 | 10 | 328 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AA MLE | Mobile BayBears | — | 239 | 213 | 48 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 36 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 225 | 298 | 268 | 565 | 42 | 261 | 15 | 9 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AA RAW | Mobile BayBears | — | 239 | 204 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 30 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 265 | 362 | 328 | 690 | 64 | 295 | 13 | 13 | 316 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA MLE | Reno Aces | — | 328 | 301 | 85 | 18 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 65 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 282 | 333 | 389 | 722 | 106 | 345 | 20 | 6 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA RAW | Reno Aces | — | 328 | 293 | 98 | 22 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 50 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 334 | 398 | 478 | 876 | 143 | 383 | 15 | 9 | 386 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 312 | 284 | 70 | 15 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 60 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 246 | 301 | 380 | 681 | 134 | 286 | 19 | 5 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA RAW | Memphis Redbirds | — | 312 | 277 | 82 | 17 | 1 | 10 | 22 | 46 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 296 | 363 | 473 | 836 | 177 | 321 | 15 | 7 | 364 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 323 | 292 | 59 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 59 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 202 | 272 | 257 | 529 | 55 | 245 | 18 | 8 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA RAW | Memphis Redbirds | — | 323 | 279 | 70 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 39 | 44 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 251 | 347 | 337 | 684 | 86 | 283 | 14 | 12 | 314 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 30 | AAA MLE | Indianapolis Indians | — | 132 | 120 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 225 | 200 | 425 | 33 | 196 | 18 | 6 | 188 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 30 | AAA RAW | Indianapolis Indians | — | 132 | 115 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 174 | 264 | 209 | 472 | 35 | 198 | 15 | 10 | 223 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | A+ MLE | Visalia Oaks | — | 502 | 465 | 96 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 29 | 142 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 206 | 257 | 277 | 534 | 71 | 276 | 28 | 6 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | A+ MLE | Visalia Rawhide | — | 440 | 396 | 75 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 115 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 189 | 268 | 253 | 520 | 63 | 254 | 26 | 8 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 266 | 245 | 55 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 71 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 224 | 286 | 273 | 559 | 49 | 299 | 27 | 6 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AA MLE | Mobile BayBears | — | 328 | 299 | 73 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 62 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 244 | 305 | 324 | 629 | 80 | 291 | 19 | 7 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AA MLE | Mobile BayBears | — | 239 | 215 | 48 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 36 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 223 | 298 | 265 | 563 | 42 | 255 | 15 | 9 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA MLE | Reno Aces | — | 328 | 302 | 85 | 18 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 65 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 281 | 333 | 387 | 721 | 106 | 336 | 20 | 6 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 312 | 287 | 70 | 15 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 60 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 244 | 301 | 376 | 677 | 132 | 280 | 19 | 5 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 323 | 292 | 59 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 59 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 202 | 272 | 257 | 529 | 55 | 242 | 18 | 8 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 30 | AAA MLE | Indianapolis Indians | — | 132 | 122 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 164 | 225 | 197 | 422 | 33 | 183 | 18 | 6 | 188 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2870 | 2607 | 581 | 104 | 4 | 27 | 193 | 634 | 29 | 11 | 15 | 223 | 284 | 297 | 581 | 74 | 281 | 22 | 7 | 258 | 60 | -135 | -4 | +0 | +51 | +62 | -2.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 590 | 132 | 24 | 1 | 6 | 44 | 144 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 224 | 285 | 298 | 584 | 75 | 283 | 22 | 7 | 258 | 60 | -31 | -1 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -0.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2016 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 132 PAwOBA .218 → .188 (−30)K% 15.2% → 17.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.15% | ÷1.015 | ×1.200 | — | — | 17.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.09% | ÷1.054 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.962 | 5.73% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.76% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.962 | 0.69% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.95% | ÷0.998 | ×0.930 | ×1.039 | ×0.962 | 17.65% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.05% | ÷1.010 | ×0.830 | ×1.039 | ×0.962 | 0.86% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.039 | ×0.962 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.05% | ÷0.933 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.962 | 0.91% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 100, 2B 102, 3B 80, K 103, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.039.
Result: wOBA .218 → .188; ISO .035 → .031; BABIP .198 → .183. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 323 PAwOBA .307 → .244 (−62)K% 13.6% → 18.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.62% | ÷0.967 | ×1.290 | — | — | 18.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.76% | ÷1.013 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.972 | 8.02% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.62% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.972 | 0.59% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.98% | ÷1.030 | ×0.900 | ×1.015 | ×0.972 | 19.80% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.11% | ÷0.946 | ×0.810 | ×1.015 | ×0.972 | 4.31% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×1.015 | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.70% | ÷1.224 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.972 | 1.05% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 145, 1B 106, 2B 89, 3B 80, K 93, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.
Result: wOBA .307 → .244; ISO .086 → .063; BABIP .283 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 312 PAwOBA .358 → .298 (−60)K% 14.7% → 19.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.74% | ÷0.997 | ×1.290 | — | — | 19.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.05% | ÷1.031 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.982 | 4.77% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.24% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.982 | 2.16% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.38% | ÷1.034 | ×0.900 | ×1.029 | ×0.982 | 20.56% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.36% | ÷0.917 | ×0.810 | ×1.029 | ×0.982 | 6.57% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.43% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×1.029 | ×0.982 | 0.39% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.33% | ÷1.036 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.982 | 3.20% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 107, 2B 83, 3B 80, K 99, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.029.
Result: wOBA .358 → .298; ISO .177 → .141; BABIP .321 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAAReno Aces · 328 PAwOBA .378 → .315 (−63)K% 15.2% → 19.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.24% | ÷1.000 | ×1.290 | — | — | 19.66% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.23% | ÷0.947 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.992 | 6.12% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.91% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.992 | 0.89% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.40% | ÷1.018 | ×0.900 | ×1.030 | ×0.992 | 25.66% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.05% | ÷0.994 | ×0.810 | ×1.030 | ×0.992 | 7.54% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.41% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×1.030 | ×0.992 | 0.30% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.47% | ÷1.121 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.992 | 1.70% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 104, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 100, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.
Result: wOBA .378 → .315; ISO .143 → .109; BABIP .383 → .336. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAMobile BayBears · 239 PAwOBA .314 → .262 (−51)K% 12.6% → 14.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.55% | ÷1.031 | ×1.220 | — | — | 14.85% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.97% | ÷0.936 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.978 | 9.22% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.86% | ÷1.029 | ×0.920 | ×0.988 | ×0.978 | 22.34% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.02% | ÷1.017 | ×0.910 | ×0.988 | ×0.978 | 3.48% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.880 | ×0.988 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.15% | ÷1.136 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 0.79% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 127, 1B 106, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 106, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.
Result: wOBA .314 → .262; ISO .064 → .052; BABIP .295 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAMobile BayBears · 328 PAwOBA .320 → .278 (−42)K% 15.5% → 19.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.55% | ÷0.996 | ×1.220 | — | — | 19.04% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.45% | ÷0.938 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.988 | 6.77% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.22% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 1.01% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.79% | ÷1.039 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.988 | 22.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.72% | ÷1.012 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×0.988 | 6.27% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×1.050 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.68% | ÷1.088 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 1.22% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 108, 2B 102, 3B 80, K 99, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .320 → .278; ISO .097 → .083; BABIP .318 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAMobile BayBears · 184 PAwOBA .292 → .262 (−30)K% 19.6% → 24.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.57% | ÷0.994 | ×1.220 | — | — | 24.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.33% | ÷1.003 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 6.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.78% | ÷0.984 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 27.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.76% | ÷0.965 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 4.70% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.918 | ×0.880 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.79% | ÷1.266 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 0.50% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 153, 1B 97, 2B 93, 3B 84, K 99, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .292 → .262; ISO .056 → .049; BABIP .325 → .318. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAAReno Aces · 55 PAwOBA .202 → .167 (−34)K% 25.5% → 35.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.45% | ÷0.938 | ×1.290 | — | — | 35.02% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.45% | ÷1.093 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.033 | 3.66% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.65% | ÷0.984 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.033 | 16.67% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.82% | ÷1.087 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.033 | 6.79% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.061 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 97, 2B 117, 3B 130, K 88, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .202 → .167; ISO .062 → .048; BABIP .265 → .235. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).