Fernando Valenzuela

Pos1B

B/TL/L

Born1982-09-30

Age (2027)44

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

INTLLAST SEASON 2016

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2014	31	AAA/INTL2 orgs	423	.311/.367/.444	9	3	92	—	.280/.313/.387
2015	32	AAA/INTL2 orgs	118	.273/.316/.373	2	0	84	—	.214/.233/.214
2016	33	INTLCharros de Ja…	65	.267/.312/.300	0	0	74	—

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2005	22	A+	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	608	530	157	28	4	12	56	84	12	5	0	296	373	432	805	136	330	14	9	358	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	23	AA	Mobile BayBears	—	80	71	12	2	0	0	6	14	0	0	0	169	234	197	431	28	203	18	8	198	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	23	A	Kannapolis Intimidators	—	344	293	78	13	2	9	40	45	6	0	1	266	362	416	778	150	287	13	12	348	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	24	AAA	Vaqueros Laguna	—	124	106	37	7	0	3	16	10	0	1	1	349	434	500	934	151	362	8	13	410	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	25	AAA	Leones de Yucatan	—	276	242	76	12	2	6	23	22	6	0	0	314	387	455	842	140	321	8	8	371	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	26	AAA	Leones de Yucatan	—	20	17	6	1	0	1	2	3	0	0	0	353	421	588	1.009	235	357	15	10	419	139	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	27	AAA	Leones de Yucatan	—	342	292	90	19	0	6	36	39	8	2	2	308	399	435	834	127	332	11	11	370	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	28	AAA	Leones de Yucatan	—	387	348	125	24	1	8	29	47	6	0	1	359	418	503	921	144	394	12	7	406	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	29	AAA	Leones de Yucatan	—	423	379	119	30	0	9	30	43	7	1	1	314	375	464	839	150	332	10	7	368	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	30	AAA	Leones de Yucatan	—	423	379	130	27	2	5	33	41	4	1	2	343	401	464	866	121	371	10	8	381	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	30	INTL	Venados de Mazatlan	—	47	44	6	0	0	1	1	4	1	0	0	136	174	205	378	68	128	9	2	171	2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	31	AAA	Leones de Yucatan	—	376	340	109	19	2	8	28	25	3	3	1	321	377	459	836	138	325	7	7	368	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	31	INTL	Charros de Jalisco	—	47	43	10	1	0	1	3	5	0	0	0	233	283	326	608	93	237	11	6	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	32	AAA	Toros de Tijuana	—	44	41	10	0	0	0	2	7	0	0	0	244	279	244	523		294	16	5	237	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	32	INTL	Charros de Jalisco	—	74	69	20	5	0	2	5	7	0	0	0	290	338	449	787	159	300	9	7	349	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	33	INTL	Charros de Jalisco	—	65	60	16	2	0	0	4	13	0	0	0	267	312	300	613	33	333	20	6	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2005	22	A+ MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	608	556	144	24	3	11	35	112	12	5	0	259	317	372	689	113	298	18	6	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	23	AA MLE	Mobile BayBears	—	80	73	11	2	0	0	4	17	0	0	0	151	195	178	373	27	180	21	5	168	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	23	A MLE	Kannapolis Intimidators	—	344	311	68	10	2	7	26	60	6	0	1	219	292	331	623	113	247	17	8	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	24	AAA MLE	Vaqueros Laguna	—	124	111	34	6	0	2	11	12	0	1	1	306	369	414	783	108	320	10	9	347	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	25	AAA MLE	Leones de Yucatan	—	276	252	70	10	2	4	13	26	6	0	0	278	328	381	709	103	288	9	5	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	26	AAA MLE	Leones de Yucatan	—	20	18	6	1	0	1	1	4	0	0	0	333	368	556	924	222	321	20	5	374	139	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	27	AAA MLE	Leones de Yucatan	—	342	307	83	16	0	5	21	49	8	2	2	270	333	371	705	101	293	14	6	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	28	AAA MLE	Leones de Yucatan	—	387	358	113	20	1	7	19	54	6	0	1	316	360	436	796	120	346	14	5	347	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	29	AAA MLE	Leones de Yucatan	—	423	394	107	25	0	7	15	49	7	1	1	272	310	388	698	117	287	12	4	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	30	AAA MLE	Leones de Yucatan	—	423	391	113	22	2	4	21	51	4	1	2	289	332	386	718	97	313	12	5	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	31	AAA MLE	Leones de Yucatan	—	376	354	99	16	2	6	14	31	3	3	1	280	313	387	700	107	284	8	4	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	32	AAA MLE	Toros de Tijuana	—	44	42	9	0	0	0	1	9	0	0	0	214	233	214	447		262	20	2	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	22	A+ MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	608	556	144	24	3	11	35	112	12	5	0	259	317	372	689	113	304	18	6	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	22	A+ RAW	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	608	530	157	28	4	12	56	84	12	5	0	296	373	432	805	136	330	14	9	358	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	424	384	79	12	2	7	30	77	6	0	1	206	274	302	576	96	238	18	7	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	23	A RAW	2 teams	—	424	364	90	15	2	9	46	59	6	0	1	247	338	374	712	126	271	14	11	320	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	24	AAA MLE	Vaqueros Laguna	—	124	111	34	6	0	2	11	12	0	1	1	306	369	414	783	108	327	10	9	347	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	24	AAA RAW	Vaqueros Laguna	—	124	106	37	7	0	3	16	10	0	1	1	349	434	500	934	151	362	8	13	410	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	25	AAA MLE	Leones de Yucatan	—	276	252	70	10	2	4	13	26	6	0	0	278	328	381	709	103	292	9	5	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	25	AAA RAW	Leones de Yucatan	—	276	242	76	12	2	6	23	22	6	0	0	314	387	455	842	140	321	8	8	371	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	26	AAA MLE	Leones de Yucatan	—	20	18	6	1	0	1	1	4	0	0	0	333	368	556	924	222	357	20	5	374	139	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	26	AAA RAW	Leones de Yucatan	—	20	17	6	1	0	1	2	3	0	0	0	353	421	588	1.009	235	357	15	10	419	139	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	27	AAA MLE	Leones de Yucatan	—	342	307	83	16	0	5	21	49	8	2	2	270	333	371	705	101	301	14	6	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	27	AAA RAW	Leones de Yucatan	—	342	292	90	19	0	6	36	39	8	2	2	308	399	435	834	127	332	11	11	370	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	28	AAA MLE	Leones de Yucatan	—	387	358	113	20	1	7	19	54	6	0	1	316	360	436	796	120	352	14	5	347	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	28	AAA RAW	Leones de Yucatan	—	387	348	125	24	1	8	29	47	6	0	1	359	418	503	921	144	394	12	7	406	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	29	AAA MLE	Leones de Yucatan	—	423	394	107	25	0	7	15	49	7	1	1	272	310	388	698	117	292	12	4	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	29	AAA RAW	Leones de Yucatan	—	423	379	119	30	0	9	30	43	7	1	1	314	375	464	839	150	332	10	7	368	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	30	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	470	434	124	24	2	4	23	57	5	1	2	286	329	378	707	92	318	12	5	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	30	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	470	423	136	27	2	6	34	45	5	1	2	322	379	437	816	116	346	10	7	360	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	31	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	423	398	112	18	2	7	16	35	3	3	1	281	314	389	704	108	291	8	4	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	31	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	423	383	119	20	2	9	31	30	3	3	1	311	367	444	811	133	315	7	7	357	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	32	INTL MLE	2 teams	—	118	114	24	0	0	0	3	23	0	0	0	211	231	211	441		264	19	3	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	32	INTL RAW	2 teams	—	118	110	30	5	0	2	7	14	0	0	0	273	316	373	689	100	298	12	6	307	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	33	INTL MLE	Charros de Jalisco	—	65	60	16	2	0	0	4	13	0	0	0	267	312	300	613	33	333	20	6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	33	INTL RAW	Charros de Jalisco	—	65	60	16	2	0	0	4	13	0	0	0	267	312	300	613	33	333	20	6	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	22	A+ MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	608	556	144	24	3	11	35	112	12	5	0	259	317	372	689	113	298	18	6	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	424	385	79	12	2	7	30	77	6	0	1	205	274	301	575	96	234	18	7	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	24	AAA MLE	Vaqueros Laguna	—	124	112	34	6	0	2	11	12	0	1	1	304	369	411	780	107	320	10	9	347	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	25	AAA MLE	Leones de Yucatan	—	276	255	70	10	2	4	13	26	6	0	0	275	328	376	705	102	288	9	5	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	26	AAA MLE	Leones de Yucatan	—	20	19	6	1	0	1	1	4	0	0	0	316	368	526	895	211	321	20	5	374	139	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	27	AAA MLE	Leones de Yucatan	—	342	310	83	16	0	5	21	49	8	2	2	268	333	368	701	100	293	14	6	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	28	AAA MLE	Leones de Yucatan	—	387	359	113	20	1	7	19	54	6	0	1	315	360	435	795	120	346	14	5	347	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	29	AAA MLE	Leones de Yucatan	—	423	398	107	25	0	7	15	49	7	1	1	269	310	384	695	116	287	12	4	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	30	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	470	439	124	24	2	4	23	57	5	1	2	282	329	374	703	91	313	12	5	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	31	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	423	401	112	18	2	7	16	35	3	3	1	279	314	387	701	107	284	8	4	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	32	INTL MLE	2 teams	—	118	114	24	0	0	0	3	23	0	0	0	211	231	211	441		262	19	3	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	3680	3386	912	158	12	55	191	511	53	13	9	269	318	372	690	102	300	14	5	300	89	-48	-1	+0	-66	+80	-3.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	598	161	28	2	10	34	90	9	2	2	269	318	373	691	104	299	14	5	300	89	-8	-0	+0	-12	+14	-0.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2015 AAAToros de Tijuana · 44 PAwOBA .231 → .199 (−32)K% 15.9% → 19.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.91%	÷0.978	×1.200	—	—	19.52%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.55%	÷1.013	×0.690	—	×0.942	2.92%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.942	0.00%
Singles /BIP	29.41%	÷0.982	×0.930	—	×0.942	26.23%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.026	×0.830	—	×0.942	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.046	×0.920	—	×0.942	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.208	×0.700	—	×0.942	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 142, 1B 96, 2B 105, 3B 109, K 96, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .231 → .199; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .294 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAALeones de Yucatan · 376 PAwOBA .355 → .308 (−47)K% 6.6% → 8.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	6.65%	÷0.971	×1.200	—	—	8.22%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.32%	÷0.921	×0.690	—	×0.952	3.79%
HBP% /PA	0.80%	—	×0.940	—	×0.952	0.71%
Singles /BIP	25.40%	÷0.969	×0.930	×0.988	×0.952	22.92%
Doubles /BIP	6.03%	÷0.970	×0.830	×0.988	×0.952	4.85%
Triples /BIP	0.63%	÷1.150	×0.920	×0.988	×0.952	0.48%
Home runs /BIP	2.54%	÷0.947	×0.700	—	×0.952	1.79%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 94, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 94, BB 84 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.

Result: wOBA .355 → .308; ISO .138 → .108; BABIP .325 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAALeones de Yucatan · 423 PAwOBA .373 → .311 (−62)K% 9.7% → 12.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	9.69%	÷0.964	×1.200	—	—	12.07%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.33%	÷0.987	×0.690	—	×0.962	4.93%
HBP% /PA	0.95%	—	×0.940	—	×0.962	0.86%
Singles /BIP	28.40%	÷1.019	×0.930	×0.980	×0.962	24.43%
Doubles /BIP	7.99%	÷0.992	×0.830	×0.980	×0.962	6.30%
Triples /BIP	0.59%	÷0.955	×0.920	×0.980	×0.962	0.54%
Home runs /BIP	1.48%	÷0.866	×0.700	—	×0.962	1.15%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 104, 2B 98, 3B 91, K 93, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.

Result: wOBA .373 → .311; ISO .121 → .099; BABIP .371 → .313. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAALeones de Yucatan · 423 PAwOBA .356 → .308 (−48)K% 10.2% → 11.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	10.17%	÷1.053	×1.200	—	—	11.58%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.44%	÷1.044	×0.690	—	×0.972	3.49%
HBP% /PA	1.65%	—	×0.940	—	×0.972	1.51%
Singles /BIP	23.81%	÷1.023	×0.930	×1.011	×0.972	21.26%
Doubles /BIP	8.93%	÷1.023	×0.830	×1.011	×0.972	7.12%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.045	×0.920	×1.011	×0.972	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.68%	÷0.867	×0.700	—	×0.972	2.10%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 105, 2B 105, 3B 109, K 111, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.

Result: wOBA .356 → .308; ISO .150 → .125; BABIP .332 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAALeones de Yucatan · 387 PAwOBA .397 → .347 (−50)K% 12.1% → 14.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.14%	÷1.041	×1.200	—	—	13.99%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.98%	÷0.949	×0.690	—	×0.982	4.98%
HBP% /PA	1.55%	—	×0.940	—	×0.982	1.43%
Singles /BIP	30.56%	÷1.021	×0.930	×1.006	×0.982	27.52%
Doubles /BIP	7.97%	÷1.006	×0.830	×1.006	×0.982	6.50%
Triples /BIP	0.33%	÷1.150	×0.920	×1.006	×0.982	0.26%
Home runs /BIP	2.66%	÷0.794	×0.700	—	×0.982	2.30%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 59, 1B 104, 2B 101, 3B 130, K 108, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.

Result: wOBA .397 → .347; ISO .144 → .123; BABIP .394 → .346. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AAALeones de Yucatan · 342 PAwOBA .363 → .314 (−48)K% 11.4% → 14.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.40%	÷0.949	×1.200	—	—	14.42%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.06%	÷1.004	×0.690	—	×0.992	6.18%
HBP% /PA	2.34%	—	×0.940	—	×0.992	2.18%
Singles /BIP	25.69%	÷0.991	×0.930	×0.977	×0.992	23.36%
Doubles /BIP	7.51%	÷0.995	×0.830	×0.977	×0.992	6.07%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.920	×0.977	×0.992	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.37%	÷0.886	×0.700	—	×0.992	1.86%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 98, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 90, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.977.

Result: wOBA .363 → .314; ISO .127 → .105; BABIP .332 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2009 AAALeones de Yucatan · 20 PAwOBA .429 → .374 (−55)K% 15.0% → 18.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.00%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	18.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.00%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.003	6.92%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	0.00%
Singles /BIP	28.57%	÷1.000	×0.930	—	×1.003	26.65%
Doubles /BIP	7.14%	÷1.000	×0.830	—	×1.003	5.95%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.920	—	×1.003	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	7.14%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.003	5.01%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .429 → .374; ISO .235 → .185; BABIP .357 → .321. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2008 AAALeones de Yucatan · 276 PAwOBA .360 → .320 (−40)K% 8.0% → 9.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	7.97%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	9.57%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.52%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.018	4.58%
HBP% /PA	2.17%	—	×0.940	—	×1.018	2.08%
Singles /BIP	25.45%	÷1.000	×0.930	×0.971	×1.018	23.40%
Doubles /BIP	5.45%	÷1.000	×0.830	×0.971	×1.018	4.48%
Triples /BIP	0.91%	÷1.000	×0.920	×0.971	×1.018	0.83%
Home runs /BIP	2.73%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.018	1.94%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.971.

Result: wOBA .360 → .320; ISO .140 → .114; BABIP .321 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .