Jordan Lennerton
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 27 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 769 | .292/.392/.453 | 22 | 0 | 111 | — | .247/.318/.385 |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 613 | .244/.354/.375 | 11 | 0 | 75 | — | .213/.289/.339 |
| 2015 | 29 | AAAGwinnett Brav… | 327 | .227/.316/.339 | 5 | 0 | 46 | — | .190/.248/.277 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 22 | A+ | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 71 | 56 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 179 | 343 | 268 | 611 | 89 | 237 | 25 | 20 | 292 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | ROK | GCL Tigers | — | 135 | 115 | 28 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 36 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 243 | 351 | 365 | 716 | 122 | 342 | 27 | 13 | 325 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | A | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 505 | 433 | 122 | 30 | 0 | 12 | 64 | 127 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 282 | 376 | 434 | 810 | 152 | 365 | 25 | 13 | 359 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | A+ | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 239 | 206 | 62 | 15 | 0 | 9 | 30 | 54 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 301 | 395 | 505 | 900 | 204 | 368 | 23 | 13 | 397 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | A | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 249 | 214 | 62 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 31 | 65 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 290 | 387 | 402 | 789 | 112 | 401 | 26 | 12 | 358 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | A+ | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 580 | 484 | 138 | 33 | 1 | 14 | 92 | 125 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 285 | 399 | 444 | 844 | 159 | 356 | 22 | 16 | 377 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | — | 582 | 495 | 133 | 34 | 1 | 21 | 79 | 141 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 269 | 372 | 469 | 840 | 200 | 330 | 24 | 14 | 370 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 607 | 514 | 143 | 25 | 1 | 17 | 84 | 133 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 278 | 385 | 430 | 815 | 152 | 342 | 22 | 14 | 366 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | INTL | Leones de Ponce | — | 162 | 141 | 48 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 340 | 419 | 539 | 958 | 199 | 406 | 20 | 12 | 417 | 168 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 488 | 410 | 102 | 26 | 2 | 10 | 73 | 114 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 249 | 364 | 395 | 759 | 146 | 319 | 23 | 15 | 342 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | INTL | Cangrejeros de Santurce | — | 125 | 110 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 31 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 227 | 315 | 300 | 615 | 73 | 304 | 25 | 10 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA | Gwinnett Braves | — | 327 | 286 | 65 | 15 | 1 | 5 | 36 | 68 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 227 | 316 | 339 | 655 | 112 | 278 | 21 | 11 | 296 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 22 | A+ MLE | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 71 | 59 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 153 | 286 | 237 | 523 | 85 | 221 | 37 | 15 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | ROK MLE | GCL Tigers | — | 135 | 122 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 52 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 164 | 239 | 254 | 493 | 90 | 259 | 39 | 8 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | A MLE | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 505 | 458 | 99 | 23 | 0 | 9 | 39 | 173 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 216 | 279 | 325 | 604 | 109 | 310 | 34 | 8 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | A+ MLE | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 239 | 214 | 51 | 12 | 0 | 9 | 22 | 79 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 238 | 315 | 421 | 736 | 182 | 332 | 33 | 9 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | A MLE | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 249 | 223 | 47 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 91 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 290 | 283 | 573 | 72 | 346 | 37 | 9 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | A+ MLE | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 580 | 514 | 122 | 31 | 1 | 12 | 62 | 187 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 237 | 319 | 372 | 691 | 134 | 343 | 32 | 11 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AA MLE | Erie SeaWolves | — | 582 | 523 | 116 | 28 | 1 | 13 | 51 | 182 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 222 | 293 | 354 | 647 | 132 | 302 | 31 | 9 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA MLE | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 607 | 546 | 135 | 22 | 1 | 17 | 52 | 158 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 247 | 318 | 385 | 703 | 137 | 310 | 26 | 9 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA MLE | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 488 | 437 | 93 | 21 | 2 | 10 | 46 | 135 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 213 | 289 | 339 | 628 | 126 | 279 | 28 | 9 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Braves | — | 327 | 300 | 57 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 87 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 190 | 248 | 277 | 524 | 87 | 248 | 27 | 7 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 206 | 181 | 28 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 77 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 155 | 250 | 238 | 488 | 83 | 250 | 37 | 11 | 219 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 206 | 171 | 38 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 32 | 54 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 222 | 348 | 333 | 681 | 111 | 308 | 26 | 16 | 314 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | A MLE | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 505 | 458 | 99 | 23 | 0 | 9 | 39 | 173 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 216 | 279 | 325 | 604 | 109 | 318 | 34 | 8 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | A RAW | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 505 | 433 | 122 | 30 | 0 | 12 | 64 | 127 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 282 | 376 | 434 | 810 | 152 | 365 | 25 | 13 | 359 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 488 | 437 | 100 | 23 | 0 | 11 | 44 | 170 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 229 | 307 | 357 | 664 | 128 | 345 | 35 | 9 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 488 | 420 | 124 | 30 | 0 | 12 | 61 | 119 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 295 | 391 | 452 | 843 | 157 | 385 | 24 | 12 | 377 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | A+ MLE | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 580 | 514 | 122 | 31 | 1 | 12 | 62 | 187 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 237 | 319 | 372 | 691 | 134 | 346 | 32 | 11 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | A+ RAW | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 580 | 484 | 138 | 33 | 1 | 14 | 92 | 125 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 285 | 399 | 444 | 844 | 159 | 356 | 22 | 16 | 377 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AA MLE | Erie SeaWolves | — | 582 | 523 | 116 | 28 | 1 | 13 | 51 | 182 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 222 | 293 | 354 | 647 | 132 | 308 | 31 | 9 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AA RAW | Erie SeaWolves | — | 582 | 495 | 133 | 34 | 1 | 21 | 79 | 141 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 269 | 372 | 469 | 840 | 200 | 330 | 24 | 14 | 370 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 769 | 693 | 170 | 27 | 1 | 21 | 65 | 200 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 245 | 315 | 378 | 693 | 133 | 312 | 26 | 8 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 769 | 655 | 191 | 38 | 1 | 22 | 103 | 165 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 292 | 392 | 453 | 845 | 162 | 357 | 21 | 13 | 376 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 613 | 548 | 117 | 27 | 2 | 12 | 58 | 169 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 214 | 291 | 336 | 627 | 122 | 284 | 28 | 9 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 613 | 520 | 127 | 31 | 2 | 11 | 86 | 145 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 244 | 354 | 375 | 729 | 131 | 316 | 24 | 14 | 330 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Braves | — | 327 | 300 | 57 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 87 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 190 | 248 | 277 | 524 | 87 | 250 | 27 | 7 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA RAW | Gwinnett Braves | — | 327 | 286 | 65 | 15 | 1 | 5 | 36 | 68 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 227 | 316 | 339 | 655 | 112 | 278 | 21 | 11 | 296 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 206 | 181 | 28 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 77 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 155 | 250 | 238 | 488 | 83 | 246 | 37 | 11 | 219 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | A MLE | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 505 | 460 | 99 | 23 | 0 | 9 | 39 | 173 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 215 | 279 | 324 | 603 | 109 | 310 | 34 | 8 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 488 | 436 | 100 | 23 | 0 | 11 | 44 | 170 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 229 | 307 | 358 | 664 | 128 | 339 | 35 | 9 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | A+ MLE | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 580 | 513 | 122 | 31 | 1 | 12 | 62 | 187 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 238 | 319 | 372 | 692 | 135 | 343 | 32 | 11 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AA MLE | Erie SeaWolves | — | 582 | 524 | 116 | 28 | 1 | 13 | 51 | 182 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 221 | 293 | 353 | 646 | 132 | 302 | 31 | 9 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 769 | 693 | 170 | 27 | 1 | 21 | 65 | 200 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 245 | 315 | 378 | 693 | 133 | 310 | 26 | 8 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 613 | 548 | 117 | 27 | 2 | 12 | 58 | 169 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 214 | 291 | 336 | 627 | 122 | 279 | 28 | 9 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Braves | — | 327 | 301 | 57 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 87 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 189 | 248 | 276 | 523 | 86 | 248 | 27 | 7 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4070 | 3654 | 809 | 178 | 7 | 84 | 363 | 1245 | 17 | 6 | 12 | 221 | 295 | 343 | 638 | 122 | 308 | 31 | 9 | 283 | 78 | -107 | -4 | +0 | -73 | +88 | -9.7 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 584 | 128 | 28 | 1 | 13 | 58 | 199 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 219 | 293 | 337 | 631 | 118 | 305 | 31 | 9 | 283 | 78 | -17 | -1 | +0 | -12 | +14 | -1.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2015 AAAGwinnett Braves · 327 PAwOBA .292 → .236 (−56)K% 20.8% → 26.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.80% | ÷0.940 | ×1.200 | — | — | 26.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.01% | ÷1.103 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 6.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.31% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 0.28% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.18% | ÷0.996 | ×0.930 | ×1.003 | ×0.982 | 18.56% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.88% | ÷0.988 | ×0.830 | ×1.003 | ×0.982 | 5.70% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.46% | ÷0.988 | ×0.970 | ×1.003 | ×0.982 | 0.44% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.29% | ÷1.014 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.982 | 1.87% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 99, 2B 98, 3B 98, K 88, BB 121 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.
Result: wOBA .292 → .236; ISO .112 → .093; BABIP .278 → .248. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 488 PAwOBA .334 → .277 (−57)K% 23.4% → 27.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.36% | ÷1.017 | ×1.200 | — | — | 27.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.55% | ÷1.053 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 9.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.20% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.19% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.62% | ÷0.999 | ×0.930 | ×0.986 | ×0.992 | 19.69% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.78% | ÷1.031 | ×0.830 | ×0.986 | ×0.992 | 6.92% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.68% | ÷1.049 | ×0.970 | ×0.986 | ×0.992 | 0.61% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.38% | ÷0.899 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.992 | 3.13% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 100, 2B 106, 3B 110, K 103, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.
Result: wOBA .334 → .277; ISO .146 → .131; BABIP .319 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 607 PAwOBA .355 → .310 (−46)K% 21.9% → 26.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.91% | ÷1.011 | ×1.200 | — | — | 26.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.85% | ÷1.041 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 8.54% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.82% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.78% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.25% | ÷1.016 | ×0.930 | ×1.006 | ×1.003 | 24.25% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.56% | ÷0.994 | ×0.830 | ×1.006 | ×1.003 | 5.53% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.26% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.006 | ×1.003 | 0.22% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.46% | ÷0.883 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.003 | 4.26% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 103, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 102, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.
Result: wOBA .355 → .310; ISO .152 → .143; BABIP .342 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAErie SeaWolves · 582 PAwOBA .361 → .286 (−75)K% 24.2% → 31.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.23% | ÷0.948 | ×1.220 | — | — | 31.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.71% | ÷1.013 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 8.68% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.34% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 0.29% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.75% | ÷1.003 | ×0.970 | ×1.026 | ×0.988 | 21.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.60% | ÷1.042 | ×0.860 | ×1.026 | ×0.988 | 8.04% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.28% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.026 | ×0.988 | 0.30% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.93% | ÷1.260 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 3.63% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 152, 1B 101, 2B 108, 3B 80, K 90, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.026.
Result: wOBA .361 → .286; ISO .200 → .137; BABIP .330 → .302. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 A+Lakeland Flying Tigers · 580 PAwOBA .369 → .304 (−64)K% 21.6% → 32.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.55% | ÷0.947 | ×1.420 | — | — | 32.31% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.52% | ÷1.062 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.978 | 10.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.07% | ÷0.999 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.978 | 23.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.19% | ÷0.955 | ×0.960 | ×1.050 | ×0.978 | 9.49% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.28% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×0.978 | 0.20% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.90% | ÷0.962 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.978 | 3.49% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 100, 2B 91, 3B 130, K 89, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .369 → .304; ISO .159 → .139; BABIP .356 → .343. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AWest Michigan Whitecaps · 249 PAwOBA .351 → .264 (−87)K% 26.1% → 36.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.10% | ÷0.972 | ×1.360 | — | — | 36.52% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.45% | ÷0.939 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 8.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.20% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 0.92% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.53% | ÷1.039 | ×0.920 | ×1.033 | ×0.980 | 26.45% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.07% | ÷1.077 | ×0.830 | ×1.033 | ×0.980 | 7.85% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.106 | ×0.910 | ×1.033 | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.01% | ÷0.980 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 1.61% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 108, 2B 115, 3B 121, K 94, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.033.
Result: wOBA .351 → .264; ISO .112 → .079; BABIP .401 → .346. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 A+Lakeland Flying Tigers · 239 PAwOBA .387 → .323 (−64)K% 22.6% → 33.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.59% | ÷0.967 | ×1.420 | — | — | 33.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.13% | ÷0.987 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.988 | 9.11% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.84% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.988 | 0.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.040 | ×0.920 | ×1.020 | ×0.988 | 22.29% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.87% | ÷1.063 | ×0.960 | ×1.020 | ×0.988 | 8.98% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×1.020 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.92% | ÷0.772 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 6.67% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 54, 1B 108, 2B 113, 3B 130, K 93, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.
Result: wOBA .387 → .323; ISO .204 → .191; BABIP .368 → .332. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 AWest Michigan Whitecaps · 505 PAwOBA .350 → .271 (−79)K% 25.1% → 34.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.15% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 34.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.29% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 7.71% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.20% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 0.15% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.966 | ×0.990 | 23.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.80% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.966 | ×0.990 | 7.78% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.966 | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.92% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 3.11% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.966.
Result: wOBA .350 → .271; ISO .152 → .116; BABIP .365 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .