Alcides Escobar

PosSS
B/TR/R
Born1986-12-16
Age (2027)40
No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.
Overview
INTL
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WAR
202437INTLTiburones de …217.321/.381/.41819128—
202538INTLTiburones de …187.316/.357/.43724123—
202639INTLTiburones de …38.235/.278/.2350041—
Contract
No contract data on file.
Skills · percentileStatcast 2018-2022
Speed68
xwOBA26
Barrel%10
Avg EV10

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
200518 AWest Virginia Power — 563520 1412582 20907 3013 271307362668 90322 164 292 68 — — — — — —
200619 A+Brevard County Manatees — 386350 90912 19563 288 257301306607 49294 155 268 59 — — — — — —
200720 AAHuntsville Stars — 245226 64541 11360 43 283316354670 71330 154 292 71 — — — — — —
200720 A+Brevard County Manatees — 283268 87830 7353 1810 325349377726 52369 122 321 86 — — — — — —
200821 AAHuntsville Stars — 597546 1792458 31823 348 328367434801 106369 145 348 110 — — — — — —
200922 MLBMilwaukee Brewers — 134125 38311 4182 42 304336368704 64346 133 311 97 -1 +0 +0 +7 +3 0.9
200922 AAANashville Sounds — 487430 1282464 32655 4210 298353409763 112343 137 328 87 — — — — — —
201023 MLBMilwaukee Brewers — 552506 11914104 36703 104 235290326616 91264 137 276 69 -21 +0 +9 +7 +12 0.8
201023 INTLCardenales de Lara — 147135 29611 4141 22 215243296539 81228 103 231 42 — — — — — —
201124 MLBKansas City Royals — 598548 1392184 25734 269 254291343634 89285 124 275 72 -20 +2 +17 +8 +13 2.0
201124 INTLCardenales de Lara — 125112 35601 7154 32 312374393767 80351 126 344 119 — — — — — —
201225 MLBKansas City Royals — 648605 1773075 271008 355 293331390721 98344 154 320 102 +2 +5 -2 +8 +14 2.7
201225 INTLCardenales de Lara — 120109 38512 7112 41 349398468866 119375 96 381 144 — — — — — —
201326 MLBKansas City Royals — 642607 1422044 19843 220 234261300561 66264 133 248 54 -35 +4 +17 +7 +14 0.7
201427 MLBKansas City Royals — 620579 1653453 23836 316 285319377696 92326 134 306 94 -5 +4 +13 +7 +13 3.3
201528 MLBKansas City Royals — 662612 1572053 26758 175 257296320616 64286 114 273 71 -23 +1 +14 +7 +14 1.4
201629 MLBKansas City Royals — 682637 1662467 27963 174 261294350644 89295 144 283 78 -18 +2 +10 +7 +15 1.6
201730 MLBKansas City Royals — 629599 1503656 151024 47 250273357631 107291 162 276 73 -20 -2 +11 +7 +14 1.0
201831 MLBKansas City Royals — 531485 1122234 29745 82 231281313595 82263 145 264 66 -22 +1 -4 +6 +12 -0.8
201932 AAACharlotte Knights — 405367 10528010 32642 62 286347444791 158320 168 349 59 — — — — — —
202134 MLBWashington Nationals — 349319 922124 17569 30 288342404746 116337 165 332 111 +5 +1 +0 +5 +8 1.9
202134 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers — 133124 34705 6291 20 274313452765 177319 225 333 50 — — — — — —
202235 MLBWashington Nationals — 131124 27420 5322 11 218260282542 65293 244 247 56 -7 -0 -1 +2 +3 -0.3
202235 INTLTiburones de La Guaira — 8881 25400 591 20 309356358714 49347 106 322 104 — — — — — —
202336 INTLVenezuela — 180163 51711 8227 61 313371387757 74355 124 341 117 — — — — — —
202437 INTLTiburones de La Guaira — 217196 631221 14255 95 321381418800 97360 126 358 128 — — — — — —
202538 INTLTiburones de La Guaira — 187174 551312 8273 42 316357437794 121363 144 351 123 — — — — — —
202639 INTLTiburones de La Guaira — 3834 8000 161 00 235278235513 276 163 228 41 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 61785746 14842495845 25386357 17845 258296345642 87295 144 283 78 -163 +18 +82 +78 +134 15.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
200518 A MLEWest Virginia Power — 563527 1372282 141207 3013 260288343632 83319 212 268 68 — — — — — —
200619 A+ MLEBrevard County Manatees — 386355 89912 14803 288 251285299584 48297 214 255 59 — — — — — —
200720 AA MLEHuntsville Stars — 245232 64541 5440 43 276291345636 69320 182 273 71 — — — — — —
200720 A+ MLEBrevard County Manatees — 283270 82820 5503 1810 304324348672 44360 182 295 86 — — — — — —
200821 AA MLEHuntsville Stars — 597555 1802457 221003 348 324353423777 99367 174 331 110 — — — — — —
200922 MLB MLEMilwaukee Brewers — 134125 38311 4182 42 304336368704 64346 133 311 97 -1 +0 +0 +7 +3 0.9
200922 AAA MLENashville Sounds — 487440 1242253 22845 4210 282323375698 93324 175 297 87 — — — — — —
201023 MLB MLEMilwaukee Brewers — 552513 12015104 29703 104 234279326604 92264 135 270 69 -21 +0 +9 +7 +12 0.8
201124 MLB MLEKansas City Royals — 598549 1402184 24734 269 255291344635 89285 124 275 72 -20 +2 +17 +8 +13 2.0
201225 MLB MLEKansas City Royals — 648607 1783075 251008 355 293330390720 97344 154 319 102 +2 +5 -2 +8 +14 2.7
201326 MLB MLEKansas City Royals — 642608 1432044 18843 220 235261301562 66264 133 249 54 -35 +4 +17 +7 +14 0.7
201427 MLB MLEKansas City Royals — 620580 1663453 22836 316 286319378697 91326 134 307 94 -5 +4 +13 +7 +13 3.3
201528 MLB MLEKansas City Royals — 662613 1582053 25758 175 258296321617 64286 114 274 71 -23 +1 +14 +7 +14 1.4
201629 MLB MLEKansas City Royals — 682639 1682468 25963 174 263294357651 94295 144 283 78 -18 +2 +10 +7 +15 1.6
201730 MLB MLEKansas City Royals — 629600 1513656 141024 47 252273358632 107291 162 277 73 -20 -2 +11 +7 +14 1.0
201831 MLB MLEKansas City Royals — 531486 1132234 28745 82 233281315596 82263 145 265 66 -22 +1 -4 +6 +12 -0.8
201932 AAA MLECharlotte Knights — 405380 832307 19802 62 218259334594 116250 205 255 59 — — — — — —
202134 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 349319 922124 17569 30 288342404746 116337 165 333 111 +5 +1 +0 +5 +8 1.9
202134 AAA MLEOmaha Storm Chasers — 133126 26503 4351 20 206237317554 111255 263 242 50 — — — — — —
202235 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 131124 27420 5322 11 218260282542 65293 244 251 56 -7 -0 -1 +2 +3 -0.3
200518 A MLEWest Virginia Power — 563527 1372282 141207 3013 260288343632 83330 212 268 68 — — — — — —
200518 A RAWWest Virginia Power — 563520 1412582 20907 3013 271307362668 90322 164 292 68 — — — — — —
200619 A+ MLEBrevard County Manatees — 386355 89912 14803 288 251285299584 48311 214 255 59 — — — — — —
200619 A+ RAWBrevard County Manatees — 386350 90912 19563 288 257301306607 49294 155 268 59 — — — — — —
200720 A+ MLE2 teams — 528502 1461361 10943 2213 291309347655 56352 182 285 79 — — — — — —
200720 A+ RAW2 teams — 528494 1511371 18713 2213 306334366700 61351 133 308 79 — — — — — —
200821 AA MLEHuntsville Stars — 597555 1802457 221003 348 324353423777 99380 174 331 110 — — — — — —
200821 AA RAWHuntsville Stars — 597546 1792458 31823 348 328367434801 106369 145 348 110 — — — — — —
200922 AAA MLE2 teams — 621565 1622564 261027 4612 287326373700 87343 164 300 89 — — — — — —
200922 AAA RAW2 teams — 621555 1662775 36837 4612 299349400749 101343 136 325 89 — — — — — —
201023 MLB MLE2 teams — 699644 15319135 37894 126 238283331614 93266 135 270 69 -26 +0 +9 +7 +15 0.5
201023 MLB RAW2 teams — 699641 14820115 40844 126 231280320600 89256 126 266 69 -26 +0 +9 +7 +15 0.5
201124 MLB MLE2 teams — 723663 1682595 29888 2911 253293341634 87284 124 275 72 -24 +1 +17 +8 +16 1.8
201124 MLB RAW2 teams — 723660 1742785 32888 2911 264306352657 88296 124 287 72 -24 +1 +17 +8 +16 1.8
201225 MLB MLE2 teams — 768718 2113686 3011910 396 294331391722 97346 154 319 102 +2 +5 -2 +8 +17 3.1
201225 MLB RAW2 teams — 768714 2153587 3411110 396 301342402744 101349 144 329 102 +2 +5 -2 +8 +17 3.1
201326 MLB MLEKansas City Royals — 642608 1432044 18843 220 235261301562 66265 133 249 54 -35 +4 +17 +7 +14 0.7
201326 MLB RAWKansas City Royals — 642607 1422044 19843 220 234261300561 66264 133 248 54 -35 +4 +17 +7 +14 0.7
201427 MLB MLEKansas City Royals — 620580 1663453 22836 316 286319378697 91327 134 307 94 -5 +4 +13 +7 +13 3.3
201427 MLB RAWKansas City Royals — 620579 1653453 23836 316 285319377696 92326 134 306 94 -5 +4 +13 +7 +13 3.3
201528 MLB MLEKansas City Royals — 662613 1582053 25758 175 258296321617 64287 114 274 71 -23 +1 +14 +7 +14 1.4
201528 MLB RAWKansas City Royals — 662612 1572053 26758 175 257296320616 64286 114 273 71 -23 +1 +14 +7 +14 1.4
201629 MLB MLEKansas City Royals — 682639 1682468 25963 174 263294357651 94296 144 283 78 -18 +2 +10 +7 +15 1.6
201629 MLB RAWKansas City Royals — 682637 1662467 27963 174 261294350644 89295 144 283 78 -18 +2 +10 +7 +15 1.6
201730 MLB MLEKansas City Royals — 629600 1513656 141024 47 252273358632 107292 162 277 73 -20 -2 +11 +7 +14 1.0
201730 MLB RAWKansas City Royals — 629599 1503656 151024 47 250273357631 107291 162 276 73 -20 -2 +11 +7 +14 1.0
201831 MLB MLEKansas City Royals — 531486 1132234 28745 82 233281315596 82265 145 265 66 -22 +1 -4 +6 +12 -0.8
201831 MLB RAWKansas City Royals — 531485 1122234 29745 82 231281313595 82263 145 264 66 -22 +1 -4 +6 +12 -0.8
201932 AAA MLECharlotte Knights — 405380 832307 19802 62 218259334594 116256 205 255 59 — — — — — —
201932 AAA RAWCharlotte Knights — 405367 10528010 32642 62 286347444791 158320 168 349 59 — — — — — —
202134 MLB MLE2 teams — 482445 1182627 219110 50 265313380693 115317 194 308 94 -3 +1 +0 +5 +10 1.4
202134 MLB RAW2 teams — 482443 1262829 238510 50 284334418752 133332 185 332 94 -3 +1 +0 +5 +10 1.4
202235 MLB MLE2 teams — 219207 46740 8533 31 222261295556 72299 244 251 56 -11 +0 -1 +2 +5 -0.6
202235 MLB RAW2 teams — 219205 52820 10413 31 254298312610 59317 195 277 56 -11 +0 -1 +2 +5 -0.6
202336 INTL MLEVenezuela — 180163 51711 8227 61 313371387757 74355 124 — — — — — — — —
202336 INTL RAWVenezuela — 180163 51711 8227 61 313371387757 74355 124 341 117 — — — — — —
202437 INTL MLETiburones de La Guaira — 217196 631221 14255 95 321381418800 97360 126 — — — — — — — —
202437 INTL RAWTiburones de La Guaira — 217196 631221 14255 95 321381418800 97360 126 358 128 — — — — — —
202538 INTL MLETiburones de La Guaira — 187174 551312 8273 42 316357437794 121363 144 — — — — — — — —
202538 INTL RAWTiburones de La Guaira — 187174 551312 8273 42 316357437794 121363 144 351 123 — — — — — —
202639 INTL MLETiburones de La Guaira — 3834 8000 161 00 235278235513 276 163 — — — — — — — —
202639 INTL RAWTiburones de La Guaira — 3834 8000 161 00 235278235513 276 163 228 41 — — — — — —
200518 A MLEWest Virginia Power — 563537 1372282 141207 3013 255288337625 82319 212 268 68 — — — — — —
200619 A+ MLEBrevard County Manatees — 386366 89912 14803 288 243285290575 46297 214 255 59 — — — — — —
200720 A+ MLE2 teams — 528510 1461361 10943 2213 286309341650 55341 182 285 79 — — — — — —
200821 AA MLEHuntsville Stars — 597567 1802457 221003 348 317353414768 97367 174 331 110 — — — — — —
200922 AAA MLE2 teams — 621583 1622564 261027 4612 278326362688 84329 164 300 89 — — — — — —
201023 MLB MLE2 teams — 699653 15319135 37894 126 234283326609 92264 135 270 69 — — — — — —
201124 MLB MLE2 teams — 723680 1682595 29888 2911 247293332625 85285 124 275 72 — — — — — —
201225 MLB MLE2 teams — 768722 2113686 3011910 396 292331389720 97344 154 319 102 — — — — — —
201326 MLB MLEKansas City Royals — 642616 1432044 18843 220 232261297558 65264 133 249 54 — — — — — —
201427 MLB MLEKansas City Royals — 620587 1663453 22836 316 283319373692 90326 134 307 94 — — — — — —
201528 MLB MLEKansas City Royals — 662624 1582053 25758 175 253296316611 62286 114 274 71 — — — — — —
201629 MLB MLEKansas City Royals — 682649 1682468 25963 174 259294351645 92295 144 283 78 — — — — — —
201730 MLB MLEKansas City Royals — 629606 1513656 141024 47 249273355628 106291 162 277 73 — — — — — —
201831 MLB MLEKansas City Royals — 531493 1132234 28745 82 229281310592 81263 145 265 66 — — — — — —
201932 AAA MLECharlotte Knights — 405381 832307 19802 62 218259333593 115250 205 255 59 — — — — — —
202134 MLB MLE2 teams — 482448 1182627 219110 50 263313377690 114314 194 308 94 — — — — — —
202235 MLB MLE2 teams — 219206 46740 8533 31 223261296558 73293 244 251 56 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 61785746 14842495845 25386357 17845 258296345642 87295 144 283 66 -163 +18 +82 +78 +134 15.2
/ 162G— A+C — 650605 1562665 27916 195 258297345642 88294 144 283 66 -17 +2 +9 +8 +14 1.6
Career— MLE — 103799654 25694179478 3931610105 372112 266302353655 87310 164 266 66 -163 +18 +82 +78 +134 15.2
/ 162G— MLE — 650605 1612665 251017 237 266304354658 88310 164 266 66 -17 +2 +9 +8 +14 1.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2021 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 133 PAwOBA .325 → .242 (−83)K% 21.8% → 26.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.80%÷0.985×1.200——26.57%
BB% (unintentional) /PA4.51%÷0.990×0.690—×0.9402.95%
HBP% /PA0.75%—×0.940—×0.9400.66%
Singles /BIP23.16%÷1.056×0.930×0.996×0.94019.08%
Doubles /BIP7.37%÷0.978×0.830×0.996×0.9405.85%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.936×0.920×0.996×0.9400.00%
Home runs /BIP5.26%÷1.027×0.700—×0.9403.37%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 111, 2B 96, 3B 87, K 97, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 35 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.

Result: wOBA .325 → .242; ISO .177 → .120; BABIP .319 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AAACharlotte Knights · 405 PAwOBA .342 → .255 (−86)K% 15.8% → 19.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.80%÷0.962×1.200——19.72%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.65%÷1.077×0.690—×0.9424.62%
HBP% /PA0.49%—×0.940—×0.9420.44%
Singles /BIP22.11%÷1.061×0.930×0.950×0.94217.35%
Doubles /BIP9.24%÷0.921×0.830×0.950×0.9427.45%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.970×0.950×0.9420.00%
Home runs /BIP3.30%÷1.212×0.840—×0.9422.15%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 142, 1B 112, 2B 84, 3B 80, K 92, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .342 → .255; ISO .158 → .115; BABIP .320 → .250. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2009 AAANashville Sounds · 487 PAwOBA .319 → .297 (−22)K% 13.3% → 17.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA13.35%÷1.000×1.290——17.22%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.16%÷1.000×0.710—×1.0504.59%
HBP% /PA1.03%—×0.980—×1.0501.06%
Singles /BIP25.75%÷1.000×0.900×1.027×1.05025.00%
Doubles /BIP6.58%÷1.000×0.810×1.027×1.0505.75%
Triples /BIP1.64%÷1.000×0.810×1.027×1.0501.44%
Home runs /BIP1.10%÷1.000×0.780—×1.0500.90%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.027.

Result: wOBA .319 → .297; ISO .112 → .099; BABIP .343 → .324. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2008 AAHuntsville Stars · 597 PAwOBA .343 → .331 (−12)K% 13.7% → 16.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA13.74%÷1.000×1.220——16.76%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.19%÷1.000×0.680—×1.0423.68%
HBP% /PA0.50%—×0.840—×1.0420.44%
Singles /BIP30.60%÷1.000×0.920×1.041×1.04230.54%
Doubles /BIP5.17%÷1.000×0.910×1.041×1.0425.11%
Triples /BIP1.08%÷1.000×0.880×1.041×1.0421.03%
Home runs /BIP1.72%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0421.44%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.041.

Result: wOBA .343 → .331; ISO .106 → .099; BABIP .369 → .367. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2007 A+Brevard County Manatees · 283 PAwOBA .316 → .295 (−21)K% 12.4% → 17.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA12.37%÷1.000×1.420——17.56%
BB% (unintentional) /PA2.47%÷1.000×0.750—×1.0271.91%
HBP% /PA1.06%—×0.930—×1.0271.01%
Singles /BIP32.62%÷1.000×0.920×1.035×1.02731.90%
Doubles /BIP3.43%÷1.000×0.960×1.035×1.0273.50%
Triples /BIP1.29%÷1.000×0.810×1.035×1.0271.11%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.880—×1.0270.00%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.035.

Result: wOBA .316 → .295; ISO .052 → .048; BABIP .369 → .360. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2007 AAHuntsville Stars · 245 PAwOBA .280 → .273 (−7)K% 14.7% → 17.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.69%÷1.000×1.220——17.93%
BB% (unintentional) /PA2.86%÷1.000×0.680—×1.0502.04%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.840—×1.0500.00%
Singles /BIP28.42%÷1.000×0.920×1.008×1.05027.68%
Doubles /BIP2.63%÷1.000×0.910×1.008×1.0502.54%
Triples /BIP2.11%÷1.000×0.880×1.008×1.0501.96%
Home runs /BIP0.53%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0500.44%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.

Result: wOBA .280 → .273; ISO .071 → .068; BABIP .330 → .320. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2006 A+Brevard County Manatees · 386 PAwOBA .265 → .255 (−9)K% 14.5% → 20.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.51%÷1.000×1.420——20.60%
BB% (unintentional) /PA4.66%÷1.000×0.750—×1.0423.64%
HBP% /PA0.78%—×0.930—×1.0420.75%
Singles /BIP26.53%÷1.000×0.920×1.050×1.04226.70%
Doubles /BIP3.06%÷1.000×0.960×1.050×1.0423.22%
Triples /BIP0.34%÷1.000×0.810×1.050×1.0420.30%
Home runs /BIP0.68%÷1.000×0.880—×1.0420.62%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .265 → .255; ISO .049 → .047; BABIP .294 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2005 AWest Virginia Power · 563 PAwOBA .286 → .268 (−18)K% 16.0% → 21.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.99%÷1.000×1.340——21.42%
BB% (unintentional) /PA3.55%÷1.000×0.660—×1.0452.45%
HBP% /PA1.24%—×0.770—×1.0451.00%
Singles /BIP24.65%÷1.000×0.920×1.050×1.04524.88%
Doubles /BIP5.81%÷1.000×0.820×1.050×1.0455.23%
Triples /BIP1.86%÷1.000×0.940×1.050×1.0451.92%
Home runs /BIP0.47%÷1.000×0.820—×1.0450.40%

Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .286 → .268; ISO .090 → .083; BABIP .322 → .319. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .