Edgardo Baez
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 28 | INTLCriollos de C… | 106 | .281/.396/.404 | 1 | 3 | 133 | — |
| 2014 | 29 | INTLCriollos de C… | 86 | .189/.302/.270 | 1 | 0 | 70 | — |
| 2015 | 30 | INTLCangrejeros d… | 67 | .233/.303/.367 | 0 | 2 | 87 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 20 | A | Savannah Sand Gnats | — | 509 | 447 | 110 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 55 | 128 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 246 | 331 | 394 | 725 | 148 | 317 | 25 | 11 | 323 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 21 | A+ | Potomac Nationals | — | 77 | 68 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 103 | 197 | 221 | 418 | 118 | 125 | 34 | 10 | 195 | -20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 21 | A | Savannah Sand Gnats | — | 395 | 355 | 99 | 22 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 80 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 279 | 340 | 403 | 743 | 124 | 339 | 20 | 8 | 328 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 22 | A+ | Potomac Nationals | — | 315 | 270 | 75 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 39 | 74 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 278 | 371 | 437 | 808 | 159 | 342 | 23 | 12 | 357 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 23 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | — | 185 | 167 | 41 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 50 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 246 | 311 | 347 | 659 | 102 | 339 | 27 | 8 | 296 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 23 | A+ | Potomac Nationals | — | 290 | 255 | 73 | 22 | 0 | 12 | 30 | 53 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 286 | 366 | 514 | 880 | 227 | 321 | 18 | 10 | 382 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 24 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | — | 356 | 323 | 82 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 78 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 254 | 315 | 406 | 721 | 152 | 308 | 22 | 8 | 318 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 25 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | — | 300 | 270 | 70 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 73 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 259 | 331 | 344 | 676 | 85 | 344 | 24 | 9 | 308 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 25 | A+ | Potomac Nationals | — | 77 | 57 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 263 | 447 | 333 | 781 | 70 | 375 | 23 | 23 | 369 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 25 | INTL | Puerto Rico | — | 187 | 156 | 42 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 41 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 269 | 377 | 404 | 781 | 135 | 342 | 22 | 14 | 347 | 121 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 26 | INTL | Puerto Rico | — | 161 | 143 | 42 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 41 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 294 | 369 | 385 | 753 | 91 | 394 | 25 | 10 | 341 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 27 | AAA | Broncos de Reynosa | — | 63 | 59 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 203 | 254 | 305 | 559 | 102 | 275 | 29 | 6 | 253 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 27 | INTL | Puerto Rico | — | 153 | 135 | 30 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 44 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 222 | 314 | 370 | 684 | 148 | 307 | 29 | 11 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 28 | INTL | Criollos de Caguas | — | 106 | 89 | 25 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 29 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 281 | 396 | 404 | 801 | 124 | 407 | 27 | 16 | 364 | 133 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 29 | INTL | Criollos de Caguas | — | 86 | 74 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 189 | 302 | 270 | 573 | 81 | 236 | 21 | 14 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 30 | INTL | Cangrejeros de Santurce | — | 67 | 60 | 14 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 233 | 303 | 367 | 670 | 133 | 311 | 22 | 9 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 20 | A MLE | Savannah Sand Gnats | — | 509 | 465 | 98 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 37 | 172 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 211 | 272 | 331 | 603 | 120 | 303 | 34 | 7 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 21 | A+ MLE | Potomac Nationals | — | 77 | 71 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 85 | 145 | 183 | 328 | 99 | 120 | 48 | 6 | 139 | -20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 21 | A MLE | Savannah Sand Gnats | — | 395 | 365 | 88 | 18 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 107 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 241 | 286 | 342 | 629 | 101 | 312 | 27 | 5 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 22 | A+ MLE | Potomac Nationals | — | 315 | 284 | 68 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 25 | 105 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 239 | 303 | 373 | 676 | 134 | 327 | 33 | 8 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 23 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 185 | 172 | 40 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 61 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 233 | 279 | 326 | 604 | 93 | 344 | 33 | 5 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 23 | A+ MLE | Potomac Nationals | — | 290 | 266 | 62 | 17 | 0 | 10 | 19 | 75 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 233 | 289 | 410 | 699 | 177 | 285 | 26 | 7 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 24 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 356 | 332 | 75 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 95 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 226 | 270 | 349 | 619 | 123 | 289 | 27 | 5 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 25 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 300 | 279 | 66 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 92 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 237 | 288 | 305 | 592 | 68 | 340 | 31 | 6 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 25 | A+ MLE | Potomac Nationals | — | 77 | 63 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 26 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 206 | 342 | 254 | 596 | 48 | 328 | 34 | 16 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 27 | AAA MLE | Broncos de Reynosa | — | 63 | 61 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 164 | 190 | 246 | 436 | 82 | 244 | 33 | 3 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 20 | A MLE | Savannah Sand Gnats | — | 509 | 465 | 98 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 37 | 172 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 211 | 272 | 331 | 603 | 120 | 309 | 34 | 7 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 20 | A RAW | Savannah Sand Gnats | — | 509 | 447 | 110 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 55 | 128 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 246 | 331 | 394 | 725 | 148 | 317 | 25 | 11 | 323 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 472 | 436 | 93 | 19 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 144 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 213 | 261 | 307 | 568 | 94 | 299 | 31 | 5 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 472 | 423 | 106 | 24 | 2 | 8 | 38 | 106 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 251 | 317 | 374 | 690 | 123 | 312 | 22 | 8 | 306 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 22 | A+ MLE | Potomac Nationals | — | 315 | 284 | 68 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 25 | 105 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 239 | 303 | 373 | 676 | 134 | 339 | 33 | 8 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 22 | A+ RAW | Potomac Nationals | — | 315 | 270 | 75 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 39 | 74 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 278 | 371 | 437 | 808 | 159 | 342 | 23 | 12 | 357 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 475 | 438 | 103 | 26 | 1 | 12 | 29 | 136 | 3 | 11 | 5 | 235 | 287 | 381 | 669 | 146 | 314 | 29 | 6 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 475 | 422 | 114 | 31 | 1 | 14 | 45 | 103 | 3 | 11 | 5 | 270 | 345 | 448 | 793 | 178 | 328 | 22 | 9 | 349 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 24 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 356 | 332 | 75 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 95 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 226 | 270 | 349 | 619 | 123 | 294 | 27 | 5 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 24 | AA RAW | Harrisburg Senators | — | 356 | 323 | 82 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 78 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 254 | 315 | 406 | 721 | 152 | 308 | 22 | 8 | 318 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 25 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 564 | 510 | 117 | 21 | 1 | 3 | 44 | 176 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 229 | 296 | 292 | 588 | 63 | 340 | 31 | 8 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 25 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 564 | 483 | 127 | 26 | 2 | 6 | 71 | 132 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 263 | 362 | 362 | 724 | 99 | 347 | 23 | 13 | 329 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 26 | INTL MLE | Puerto Rico | — | 161 | 143 | 42 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 41 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 294 | 369 | 385 | 753 | 91 | 394 | 25 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 26 | INTL RAW | Puerto Rico | — | 161 | 143 | 42 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 41 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 294 | 369 | 385 | 753 | 91 | 394 | 25 | 10 | 341 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 27 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 216 | 207 | 35 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 70 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 169 | 204 | 237 | 440 | 68 | 244 | 32 | 4 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 27 | INTL RAW | 2 teams | — | 216 | 194 | 42 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 62 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 216 | 296 | 351 | 647 | 134 | 297 | 29 | 10 | 293 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 28 | INTL MLE | Criollos de Caguas | — | 106 | 89 | 25 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 29 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 281 | 396 | 404 | 801 | 124 | 407 | 27 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 28 | INTL RAW | Criollos de Caguas | — | 106 | 89 | 25 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 29 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 281 | 396 | 404 | 801 | 124 | 407 | 27 | 16 | 364 | 133 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 29 | INTL MLE | Criollos de Caguas | — | 86 | 74 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 189 | 302 | 270 | 573 | 81 | 236 | 21 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 29 | INTL RAW | Criollos de Caguas | — | 86 | 74 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 189 | 302 | 270 | 573 | 81 | 236 | 21 | 14 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 30 | INTL MLE | Cangrejeros de Santurce | — | 67 | 60 | 14 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 233 | 303 | 367 | 670 | 133 | 311 | 22 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 30 | INTL RAW | Cangrejeros de Santurce | — | 67 | 60 | 14 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 233 | 303 | 367 | 670 | 133 | 311 | 22 | 9 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 20 | A MLE | Savannah Sand Gnats | — | 509 | 465 | 98 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 37 | 172 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 211 | 272 | 331 | 603 | 120 | 303 | 34 | 7 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 472 | 441 | 93 | 19 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 144 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 211 | 261 | 304 | 565 | 93 | 281 | 31 | 5 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 22 | A+ MLE | Potomac Nationals | — | 315 | 286 | 68 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 25 | 105 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 238 | 303 | 371 | 674 | 133 | 327 | 33 | 8 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 475 | 440 | 103 | 26 | 1 | 12 | 29 | 136 | 3 | 11 | 5 | 234 | 287 | 380 | 667 | 145 | 308 | 29 | 6 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 24 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 356 | 333 | 75 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 95 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 225 | 270 | 348 | 618 | 123 | 289 | 27 | 5 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 25 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 564 | 511 | 117 | 21 | 1 | 3 | 44 | 176 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 229 | 296 | 292 | 587 | 63 | 338 | 31 | 8 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 27 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 216 | 205 | 35 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 70 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 171 | 204 | 239 | 443 | 68 | 244 | 32 | 4 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3327 | 3038 | 684 | 131 | 17 | 53 | 238 | 1001 | 16 | 59 | 46 | 225 | 285 | 332 | 617 | 107 | 315 | 30 | 7 | 231 | 42 | -229 | -7 | +0 | +12 | +72 | -15.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 594 | 133 | 26 | 3 | 10 | 46 | 196 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 224 | 283 | 328 | 611 | 104 | 314 | 30 | 7 | 231 | 42 | -45 | -1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -3.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2012 AAABroncos de Reynosa · 63 PAwOBA .247 → .197 (−50)K% 28.6% → 32.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.57% | ÷1.052 | ×1.200 | — | — | 32.58% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.35% | ÷1.125 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 3.91% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.51% | ÷0.988 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.003 | 18.41% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.32% | ÷1.106 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.003 | 5.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.44% | ÷0.941 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 1.82% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 98, 2B 121, 3B 130, K 110, BB 125 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .247 → .197; ISO .102 → .074; BABIP .275 → .244. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAHarrisburg Senators · 300 PAwOBA .301 → .263 (−39)K% 24.3% → 30.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.33% | ÷0.971 | ×1.220 | — | — | 30.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.00% | ÷1.066 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 5.90% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.67% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.57% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.41% | ÷1.016 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 27.43% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.09% | ÷0.930 | ×0.860 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 5.90% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.51% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 0.44% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.52% | ÷1.033 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 1.15% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 103, 2B 86, 3B 130, K 94, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .301 → .263; ISO .085 → .072; BABIP .344 → .340. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 A+Potomac Nationals · 77 PAwOBA .366 → .279 (−87)K% 23.4% → 33.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.38% | ÷0.982 | ×1.420 | — | — | 33.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 23.38% | ÷0.936 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.978 | 15.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.30% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.978 | 1.09% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.21% | ÷0.998 | ×0.940 | — | ×0.978 | 25.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.26% | ÷1.079 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.978 | 7.71% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.965 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.940 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 100, 2B 116, 3B 93, K 96, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .366 → .279; ISO .070 → .052; BABIP .375 → .328. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 AAHarrisburg Senators · 356 PAwOBA .309 → .267 (−42)K% 21.9% → 26.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.91% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.73% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.58% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 5.37% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.28% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.24% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.45% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.987 | ×1.012 | 21.76% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.71% | ÷1.000 | ×0.860 | ×0.987 | ×1.012 | 4.91% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.63% | ÷1.000 | ×0.950 | ×0.987 | ×1.012 | 1.55% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 2.90% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.987.
Result: wOBA .309 → .267; ISO .152 → .125; BABIP .308 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2008 A+Potomac Nationals · 290 PAwOBA .372 → .302 (−70)K% 18.3% → 26.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.28% | ÷1.000 | ×1.420 | — | — | 25.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.34% | ÷1.000 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.998 | 6.50% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.69% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.998 | 0.59% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.31% | ÷1.000 | ×0.940 | ×0.995 | ×0.998 | 18.03% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.89% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.995 | ×0.998 | 8.98% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | ×0.995 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.94% | ÷1.000 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.998 | 5.34% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.
Result: wOBA .372 → .302; ISO .227 → .190; BABIP .321 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2008 AAHarrisburg Senators · 185 PAwOBA .286 → .261 (−25)K% 27.0% → 33.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.03% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 32.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.57% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 5.44% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.54% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.79% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 25.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.860 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 7.13% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.85% | ÷1.000 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 0.88% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.71% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 1.37% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .286 → .261; ISO .102 → .088; BABIP .339 → .344. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2007 A+Potomac Nationals · 315 PAwOBA .352 → .291 (−62)K% 23.5% → 33.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.49% | ÷1.000 | ×1.420 | — | — | 33.36% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.38% | ÷1.000 | ×0.630 | — | ×1.012 | 7.89% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.32% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×1.012 | 0.28% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.04% | ÷1.000 | ×0.940 | ×1.034 | ×1.012 | 26.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.61% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.034 | ×1.012 | 4.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.51% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | ×1.034 | ×1.012 | 0.43% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.10% | ÷1.000 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.012 | 4.65% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.034.
Result: wOBA .352 → .291; ISO .159 → .134; BABIP .342 → .327. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2006 ASavannah Sand Gnats · 395 PAwOBA .323 → .271 (−52)K% 20.3% → 27.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.25% | ÷1.000 | ×1.340 | — | — | 27.14% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.59% | ÷1.000 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.015 | 5.09% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.76% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.015 | 0.59% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.09% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.013 | ×1.015 | 23.73% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.013 | ×1.015 | 6.74% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.73% | ÷1.000 | ×0.940 | ×1.013 | ×1.015 | 0.70% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.18% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.015 | 1.82% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.
Result: wOBA .323 → .271; ISO .124 → .102; BABIP .339 → .312. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .