Eliezer Zambrano
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 28 | AA/INTL2 orgs | 219 | .200/.259/.255 | 2 | 0 | 29 | — | .176/.206/.230 |
| 2016 | 29 | AA/INTL2 orgs | 105 | .210/.238/.240 | 0 | 0 | 18 | — | .179/.198/.214 |
| 2017 | 30 | AASF | 118 | .200/.220/.235 | 0 | 0 | 5 | — | .172/.186/.198 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2006 | 19 | ROK | DSL Giants | — | 140 | 120 | 35 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 15 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 292 | 351 | 367 | 718 | 75 | 327 | 11 | 7 | 305 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 20 | ROK | AZL Giants | — | 67 | 59 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 254 | 343 | 288 | 631 | 34 | 283 | 9 | 7 | 299 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 31 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 227 | 346 | 227 | 573 | 278 | 13 | 10 | 237 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2010 | 23 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 21 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 278 | 278 | 389 | 667 | 111 | 333 | 14 | 0 | 252 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 93 | 88 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 170 | 189 | 193 | 382 | 23 | 227 | 25 | 1 | 170 | -14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 25 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 217 | 250 | 304 | 554 | 87 | 263 | 20 | 4 | 239 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 63 | 54 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 259 | 344 | 370 | 715 | 111 | 271 | 8 | 11 | 315 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 26 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 238 | 385 | 238 | 623 | 333 | 23 | 15 | 310 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2013 | 26 | A+ | San Jose Giants | — | 110 | 95 | 23 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 242 | 308 | 347 | 655 | 105 | 259 | 12 | 5 | 282 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 70 | 61 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 230 | 299 | 230 | 528 | 269 | 14 | 9 | 241 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2014 | 27 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 208 | 194 | 52 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 26 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 268 | 304 | 304 | 608 | 36 | 305 | 12 | 5 | 273 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 196 | 184 | 35 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 190 | 232 | 250 | 482 | 60 | 204 | 10 | 4 | 219 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | INTL | Tigres de Aragua | — | 23 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 312 | 500 | 312 | 812 | 357 | 9 | 22 | 380 | 144 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2016 | 29 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 86 | 81 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 185 | 221 | 222 | 443 | 37 | 217 | 14 | 5 | 204 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | INTL | Scottsdale Scorpions | — | 19 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 316 | 316 | 316 | 632 | 400 | 21 | 0 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2017 | 30 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 118 | 115 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 200 | 220 | 235 | 455 | 35 | 240 | 16 | 3 | 207 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2006 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Giants | — | 140 | 123 | 25 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 203 | 252 | 244 | 496 | 41 | 224 | 13 | 5 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 20 | ROK MLE | AZL Giants | — | 67 | 61 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 197 | 269 | 213 | 482 | 16 | 236 | 13 | 4 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 31 | 23 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 261 | 346 | 261 | 607 | 253 | 16 | 6 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2010 | 23 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 21 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 278 | 278 | 389 | 667 | 111 | 307 | 19 | 0 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 93 | 88 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 159 | 178 | 182 | 360 | 23 | 214 | 31 | 1 | 148 | -14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 25 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 217 | 250 | 304 | 554 | 87 | 228 | 24 | 4 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 63 | 58 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 224 | 262 | 328 | 590 | 103 | 226 | 11 | 5 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 26 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 227 | 346 | 227 | 573 | 312 | 27 | 12 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2013 | 26 | A+ MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 110 | 97 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 216 | 269 | 309 | 579 | 93 | 221 | 16 | 4 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 70 | 63 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 206 | 254 | 206 | 460 | 241 | 19 | 6 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2014 | 27 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 208 | 198 | 52 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 31 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 263 | 284 | 298 | 582 | 35 | 295 | 15 | 3 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 196 | 187 | 33 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 176 | 206 | 230 | 436 | 53 | 191 | 12 | 2 | 190 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 86 | 84 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 179 | 198 | 214 | 412 | 36 | 207 | 17 | 2 | 174 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 118 | 116 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 172 | 186 | 198 | 385 | 26 | 226 | 20 | 2 | 176 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Giants | — | 140 | 123 | 25 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 203 | 252 | 244 | 496 | 41 | 234 | 13 | 5 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 19 | ROK RAW | DSL Giants | — | 140 | 120 | 35 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 15 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 292 | 351 | 367 | 718 | 75 | 327 | 11 | 7 | 305 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 20 | ROK MLE | AZL Giants | — | 67 | 61 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 197 | 269 | 213 | 482 | 16 | 231 | 13 | 4 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 20 | ROK RAW | AZL Giants | — | 67 | 59 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 254 | 343 | 288 | 631 | 34 | 283 | 9 | 7 | 299 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 31 | 23 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 261 | 346 | 261 | 607 | 333 | 16 | 6 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2009 | 22 | A RAW | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 31 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 227 | 346 | 227 | 573 | 278 | 13 | 10 | 237 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2010 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 114 | 106 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 179 | 194 | 217 | 411 | 38 | 253 | 28 | 1 | 168 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 114 | 106 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 189 | 204 | 226 | 430 | 38 | 247 | 23 | 1 | 185 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 88 | 81 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 210 | 247 | 296 | 543 | 86 | 235 | 15 | 5 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 88 | 77 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 247 | 318 | 351 | 668 | 104 | 269 | 11 | 9 | 294 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 26 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 227 | 346 | 227 | 573 | 333 | 27 | 12 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2012 | 25 | AA RAW | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 26 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 238 | 385 | 238 | 623 | 333 | 23 | 15 | 310 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2013 | 26 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 180 | 160 | 34 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 31 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 212 | 263 | 269 | 532 | 56 | 248 | 17 | 4 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 180 | 156 | 37 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 23 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 237 | 304 | 301 | 605 | 64 | 263 | 13 | 7 | 266 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 208 | 198 | 52 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 31 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 263 | 284 | 298 | 582 | 35 | 307 | 15 | 3 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AA RAW | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 208 | 194 | 52 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 26 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 268 | 304 | 304 | 608 | 36 | 305 | 12 | 5 | 273 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 219 | 207 | 37 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 179 | 213 | 232 | 445 | 53 | 197 | 12 | 2 | 190 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 219 | 200 | 40 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 200 | 259 | 255 | 514 | 55 | 216 | 10 | 5 | 236 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 105 | 103 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 165 | 181 | 194 | 375 | 29 | 200 | 17 | 2 | 174 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 105 | 100 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 210 | 238 | 240 | 478 | 30 | 250 | 15 | 4 | 218 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 118 | 116 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 172 | 186 | 198 | 385 | 26 | 217 | 20 | 2 | 176 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | AA RAW | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 118 | 115 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 200 | 220 | 235 | 455 | 35 | 240 | 16 | 3 | 207 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Giants | — | 140 | 131 | 25 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 191 | 252 | 229 | 481 | 38 | 224 | 13 | 5 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 20 | ROK MLE | AZL Giants | — | 67 | 61 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 197 | 269 | 213 | 482 | 16 | 236 | 13 | 4 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 31 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 346 | 214 | 560 | 253 | 16 | 6 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2010 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 114 | 111 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 171 | 194 | 207 | 402 | 36 | 231 | 28 | 1 | 168 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 88 | 84 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 202 | 247 | 286 | 533 | 83 | 227 | 15 | 5 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 26 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 227 | 346 | 227 | 573 | 312 | 27 | 12 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2013 | 26 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 180 | 167 | 34 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 31 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 204 | 263 | 257 | 521 | 54 | 229 | 17 | 4 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 208 | 200 | 52 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 31 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 260 | 284 | 295 | 579 | 35 | 295 | 15 | 3 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 219 | 208 | 37 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 178 | 213 | 231 | 444 | 53 | 191 | 12 | 2 | 190 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 105 | 102 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 167 | 181 | 196 | 377 | 29 | 207 | 17 | 2 | 174 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 118 | 115 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 174 | 186 | 200 | 386 | 26 | 226 | 20 | 2 | 176 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1296 | 1200 | 244 | 31 | 2 | 5 | 43 | 215 | 14 | 17 | 11 | 203 | 239 | 245 | 484 | 42 | 242 | 17 | 3 | 211 | 29 | -110 | -1 | +0 | +23 | +28 | -6.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 602 | 123 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 108 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 204 | 241 | 249 | 490 | 45 | 242 | 17 | 3 | 211 | 29 | -55 | -1 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -3.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 118 PAwOBA .201 → .176 (−25)K% 16.1% → 20.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.10% | ÷0.948 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.72% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.54% | ÷0.974 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 1.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.83% | ÷1.004 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×0.940 | 19.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.08% | ÷1.096 | ×0.860 | ×1.050 | ×0.940 | 1.61% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.04% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | ×0.940 | 1.09% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.848 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 101, 2B 119, 3B 80, K 90, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 24.8 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .201 → .176; ISO .035 → .030; BABIP .240 → .226. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 86 PAwOBA .193 → .174 (−19)K% 14.0% → 17.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.95% | ÷0.975 | ×1.220 | — | — | 17.46% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.49% | ÷1.155 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.948 | 2.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.948 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.39% | ÷0.994 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×0.948 | 16.89% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.35% | ÷0.975 | ×0.860 | ×1.050 | ×0.948 | 3.82% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | ×0.948 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.978 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.948 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 99, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 95, BB 131 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 24.8 → −5.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .193 → .174; ISO .037 → .033; BABIP .217 → .207. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 196 PAwOBA .211 → .190 (−21)K% 10.2% → 12.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.20% | ÷1.003 | ×1.220 | — | — | 12.42% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.06% | ÷0.992 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.958 | 2.07% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.53% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.958 | 1.25% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.07% | ÷1.013 | ×0.970 | ×1.040 | ×0.958 | 16.29% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.05% | ÷0.998 | ×0.860 | ×1.040 | ×0.958 | 2.62% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.025 | ×0.950 | ×1.040 | ×0.958 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.22% | ÷0.860 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.958 | 1.06% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 72, 1B 103, 2B 100, 3B 105, K 101, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 24.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.040.
Result: wOBA .211 → .190; ISO .060 → .052; BABIP .204 → .191. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 208 PAwOBA .264 → .247 (−17)K% 12.5% → 15.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.50% | ÷1.012 | ×1.220 | — | — | 15.06% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.33% | ÷1.075 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.968 | 2.73% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.98% | ÷1.014 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×0.968 | 27.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.38% | ÷0.983 | ×0.860 | ×1.050 | ×0.968 | 2.12% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.061 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.60% | ÷0.918 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.968 | 0.49% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 103, 2B 97, 3B 112, K 102, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .264 → .247; ISO .036 → .032; BABIP .305 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 A+San Jose Giants · 110 PAwOBA .285 → .246 (−40)K% 11.8% → 16.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.82% | ÷0.992 | ×1.340 | — | — | 15.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.45% | ÷1.063 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.958 | 3.49% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.73% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.958 | 2.06% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.29% | ÷1.032 | ×0.910 | ×1.016 | ×0.958 | 15.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.54% | ÷0.953 | ×0.820 | ×1.016 | ×0.958 | 7.14% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.760 | ×1.016 | ×0.958 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.22% | ÷0.866 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.958 | 1.24% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 106, 2B 91, 3B 80, K 98, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 22.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.
Result: wOBA .285 → .246; ISO .105 → .099; BABIP .259 → .221. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAugusta GreenJackets · 70 PAwOBA .239 → .204 (−35)K% 14.3% → 19.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.29% | ÷1.004 | ×1.340 | — | — | 19.07% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.57% | ÷0.977 | ×0.660 | — | ×0.950 | 5.50% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.950 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.45% | ÷1.002 | ×0.920 | ×1.026 | ×0.950 | 24.56% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.078 | ×0.820 | ×1.026 | ×0.950 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.953 | ×0.940 | ×1.026 | ×0.950 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.858 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.950 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 72, 1B 100, 2B 116, 3B 91, K 101, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 22.0 → −5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.026.
Result: wOBA .239 → .204; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .269 → .241. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 26 PAwOBA .303 → .258 (−45)K% 23.1% → 28.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.08% | ÷0.992 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.37% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.38% | ÷0.950 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 11.20% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.85% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 3.23% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.33% | ÷1.023 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.988 | 31.23% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.979 | ×0.860 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.011 | ×0.950 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.031 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 105, 2B 96, 3B 102, K 98, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .303 → .258; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .333 → .312. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAugusta GreenJackets · 63 PAwOBA .295 → .256 (−39)K% 7.9% → 10.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 7.94% | ÷1.017 | ×1.340 | — | — | 10.46% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.94% | ÷0.996 | ×0.660 | — | ×0.970 | 5.10% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.970 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.41% | ÷1.070 | ×0.920 | ×0.998 | ×0.970 | 17.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.12% | ÷0.943 | ×0.820 | ×0.998 | ×0.970 | 5.16% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.971 | ×0.940 | ×0.998 | ×0.970 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.04% | ÷0.863 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.970 | 1.88% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 114, 2B 89, 3B 94, K 103, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.0 → −3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.998.
Result: wOBA .295 → .256; ISO .111 → .106; BABIP .271 → .226. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .