Sandy Madera
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 34 | AAAPericos de Pu… | 385 | .328/.421/.482 | 10 | 0 | 89 | — | .255/.317/.351 |
| 2016 | 35 | AAAOlmecas de Ta… | 403 | .340/.398/.526 | 17 | 1 | 105 | — | .279/.315/.413 |
| 2017 | 36 | AAAOlmecas de Ta… | 386 | .322/.409/.472 | 9 | 3 | 107 | — | .285/.339/.400 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2006 | 25 | AA | Bowie Baysox | — | 76 | 69 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 232 | 264 | 333 | 597 | 101 | 306 | 25 | 3 | 254 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 25 | A+ | Frederick Keys | — | 144 | 126 | 41 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 325 | 401 | 579 | 981 | 254 | 344 | 17 | 8 | 423 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 26 | A+ | Frederick Keys | — | 49 | 42 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 262 | 367 | 452 | 820 | 190 | 278 | 10 | 10 | 366 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 27 | AAA | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 131 | 113 | 33 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 292 | 380 | 522 | 902 | 230 | 321 | 19 | 11 | 391 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 27 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 189 | 172 | 50 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 291 | 348 | 477 | 824 | 186 | 291 | 10 | 6 | 361 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 28 | AAA | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 18 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 125 | 222 | 125 | 347 | 154 | 17 | 11 | 178 | -18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2010 | 29 | AAA | Leones de Yucatan | — | 427 | 381 | 146 | 30 | 5 | 18 | 33 | 43 | 11 | 10 | 2 | 383 | 447 | 630 | 1.077 | 247 | 399 | 10 | 8 | 467 | 154 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 29 | INTL | Caneros de los Mochis | — | 249 | 221 | 80 | 8 | 1 | 14 | 23 | 34 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 362 | 424 | 597 | 1.022 | 235 | 373 | 14 | 9 | 439 | 183 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 30 | AAA | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 424 | 366 | 119 | 16 | 1 | 19 | 47 | 52 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 325 | 412 | 530 | 942 | 205 | 334 | 12 | 11 | 412 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 30 | INTL | Caneros de los Mochis | — | 244 | 213 | 78 | 14 | 1 | 13 | 24 | 32 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 366 | 444 | 624 | 1.069 | 258 | 387 | 13 | 10 | 463 | 200 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 31 | INTL | Caneros de los Mochis | — | 213 | 186 | 51 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 21 | 35 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 274 | 360 | 532 | 892 | 258 | 266 | 16 | 10 | 387 | 148 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 32 | AAA | Pericos de Puebla | — | 469 | 426 | 166 | 28 | 3 | 19 | 36 | 60 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 390 | 443 | 603 | 1.047 | 214 | 421 | 13 | 8 | 457 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 32 | INTL | Caneros de los Mochis | — | 75 | 63 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 381 | 480 | 667 | 1.147 | 286 | 408 | 13 | 15 | 495 | 221 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 33 | AAA | Pericos de Puebla | — | 419 | 362 | 146 | 26 | 1 | 26 | 47 | 45 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 403 | 481 | 696 | 1.177 | 293 | 408 | 11 | 11 | 504 | 147 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 33 | INTL | Caneros de los Mochis | — | 138 | 118 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 263 | 370 | 314 | 683 | 51 | 319 | 18 | 10 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 34 | AAA | Pericos de Puebla | — | 385 | 332 | 109 | 21 | 0 | 10 | 48 | 45 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 328 | 421 | 482 | 903 | 154 | 357 | 12 | 12 | 404 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 35 | AAA | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 403 | 365 | 124 | 17 | 0 | 17 | 30 | 49 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 340 | 398 | 526 | 924 | 186 | 354 | 12 | 7 | 405 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 36 | AAA | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 386 | 335 | 108 | 21 | 1 | 9 | 47 | 29 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 322 | 409 | 472 | 880 | 149 | 331 | 8 | 12 | 392 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2006 | 25 | AA MLE | Bowie Baysox | — | 76 | 70 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 229 | 250 | 329 | 579 | 100 | 297 | 30 | 1 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 25 | A+ MLE | Frederick Keys | — | 144 | 131 | 37 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 34 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 282 | 338 | 496 | 834 | 214 | 314 | 24 | 5 | 349 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 26 | A+ MLE | Frederick Keys | — | 49 | 44 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 205 | 286 | 364 | 649 | 159 | 237 | 14 | 6 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 27 | AAA MLE | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 131 | 117 | 31 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 30 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 265 | 333 | 453 | 786 | 188 | 298 | 23 | 8 | 336 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 27 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 189 | 177 | 47 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 266 | 305 | 407 | 712 | 141 | 276 | 12 | 4 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 28 | AAA MLE | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 18 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 118 | 167 | 118 | 284 | 141 | 22 | 6 | 142 | -18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2010 | 29 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 427 | 395 | 134 | 26 | 4 | 14 | 19 | 54 | 11 | 10 | 2 | 339 | 386 | 532 | 918 | 192 | 365 | 13 | 4 | 396 | 154 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 30 | AAA MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 424 | 386 | 108 | 14 | 1 | 13 | 27 | 64 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 280 | 338 | 422 | 760 | 142 | 300 | 15 | 6 | 333 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 32 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 469 | 441 | 135 | 23 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 80 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 306 | 345 | 449 | 794 | 143 | 349 | 17 | 4 | 345 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 33 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 419 | 384 | 123 | 20 | 1 | 19 | 25 | 59 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 320 | 373 | 526 | 899 | 206 | 331 | 14 | 6 | 385 | 147 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 34 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 385 | 353 | 90 | 16 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 59 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 255 | 317 | 351 | 668 | 96 | 293 | 15 | 7 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 35 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 403 | 380 | 106 | 12 | 0 | 13 | 15 | 60 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 279 | 315 | 413 | 728 | 134 | 298 | 15 | 4 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 36 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 386 | 355 | 101 | 18 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 34 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 285 | 339 | 400 | 739 | 115 | 296 | 9 | 7 | 327 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 25 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 220 | 200 | 52 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 9 | 57 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 260 | 308 | 430 | 738 | 170 | 321 | 26 | 4 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 25 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 220 | 195 | 57 | 12 | 0 | 9 | 14 | 43 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 292 | 355 | 492 | 847 | 200 | 331 | 20 | 6 | 364 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 26 | A+ MLE | Frederick Keys | — | 49 | 44 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 205 | 286 | 364 | 649 | 159 | 222 | 14 | 6 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 26 | A+ RAW | Frederick Keys | — | 49 | 42 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 262 | 367 | 452 | 820 | 190 | 278 | 10 | 10 | 366 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 320 | 294 | 78 | 15 | 1 | 10 | 17 | 53 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 265 | 316 | 425 | 742 | 160 | 289 | 17 | 5 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 27 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 320 | 285 | 83 | 17 | 1 | 13 | 26 | 44 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 291 | 361 | 495 | 855 | 204 | 302 | 14 | 8 | 373 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 28 | AAA MLE | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 18 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 118 | 167 | 118 | 284 | 154 | 22 | 6 | 142 | -18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2009 | 28 | AAA RAW | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 18 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 125 | 222 | 125 | 347 | 154 | 17 | 11 | 178 | -18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2010 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 676 | 628 | 213 | 41 | 7 | 22 | 30 | 86 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 339 | 381 | 532 | 912 | 193 | 364 | 13 | 4 | 396 | 154 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 29 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 676 | 602 | 226 | 38 | 6 | 32 | 56 | 77 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 375 | 439 | 618 | 1.057 | 243 | 390 | 11 | 8 | 457 | 154 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 30 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 668 | 607 | 170 | 22 | 1 | 20 | 43 | 101 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 280 | 341 | 418 | 759 | 138 | 306 | 15 | 6 | 333 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 30 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 668 | 579 | 197 | 30 | 2 | 32 | 71 | 84 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 340 | 424 | 565 | 989 | 225 | 353 | 13 | 11 | 431 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 31 | INTL MLE | Caneros de los Mochis | — | 213 | 186 | 51 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 21 | 35 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 274 | 360 | 532 | 892 | 258 | 266 | 16 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 31 | INTL RAW | Caneros de los Mochis | — | 213 | 186 | 51 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 21 | 35 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 274 | 360 | 532 | 892 | 258 | 266 | 16 | 10 | 387 | 148 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 32 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 544 | 512 | 158 | 27 | 3 | 14 | 24 | 92 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 309 | 347 | 455 | 802 | 146 | 353 | 17 | 4 | 345 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 32 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 544 | 489 | 190 | 34 | 3 | 23 | 47 | 70 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 389 | 448 | 611 | 1.060 | 223 | 420 | 13 | 9 | 462 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 33 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 557 | 508 | 163 | 27 | 1 | 25 | 33 | 79 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 321 | 377 | 526 | 903 | 205 | 339 | 14 | 6 | 385 | 147 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 33 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 557 | 480 | 177 | 26 | 1 | 28 | 61 | 70 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 369 | 453 | 602 | 1.055 | 233 | 387 | 13 | 11 | 459 | 147 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 34 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 385 | 353 | 90 | 16 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 59 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 255 | 317 | 351 | 668 | 96 | 292 | 15 | 7 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 34 | AAA RAW | Pericos de Puebla | — | 385 | 332 | 109 | 21 | 0 | 10 | 48 | 45 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 328 | 421 | 482 | 903 | 154 | 357 | 12 | 12 | 404 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 35 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 403 | 380 | 106 | 12 | 0 | 13 | 15 | 60 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 279 | 315 | 413 | 728 | 134 | 300 | 15 | 4 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 35 | AAA RAW | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 403 | 365 | 124 | 17 | 0 | 17 | 30 | 49 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 340 | 398 | 526 | 924 | 186 | 354 | 12 | 7 | 405 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 36 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 386 | 355 | 101 | 18 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 34 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 285 | 339 | 400 | 739 | 115 | 297 | 9 | 7 | 327 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 36 | AAA RAW | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 386 | 335 | 108 | 21 | 1 | 9 | 47 | 29 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 322 | 409 | 472 | 880 | 149 | 331 | 8 | 12 | 392 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 25 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 220 | 204 | 52 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 9 | 57 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 255 | 308 | 422 | 730 | 167 | 308 | 26 | 4 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 26 | A+ MLE | Frederick Keys | — | 49 | 44 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 205 | 286 | 364 | 649 | 159 | 237 | 14 | 6 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 320 | 295 | 78 | 15 | 1 | 10 | 17 | 53 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 264 | 316 | 424 | 740 | 159 | 285 | 17 | 5 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 28 | AAA MLE | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 18 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 118 | 167 | 118 | 284 | 141 | 22 | 6 | 142 | -18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2010 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 676 | 629 | 213 | 41 | 7 | 22 | 30 | 86 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 339 | 381 | 531 | 912 | 192 | 365 | 13 | 4 | 396 | 154 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 30 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 668 | 607 | 170 | 22 | 1 | 20 | 43 | 101 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 280 | 341 | 418 | 759 | 138 | 300 | 15 | 6 | 333 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 32 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 544 | 509 | 158 | 27 | 3 | 14 | 24 | 92 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 310 | 347 | 458 | 805 | 147 | 349 | 17 | 4 | 345 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 33 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 557 | 506 | 163 | 27 | 1 | 25 | 33 | 79 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 322 | 377 | 528 | 905 | 206 | 331 | 14 | 6 | 385 | 147 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 34 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 385 | 350 | 90 | 16 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 59 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 257 | 317 | 354 | 671 | 97 | 293 | 15 | 7 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 35 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 403 | 380 | 106 | 12 | 0 | 13 | 15 | 60 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 279 | 315 | 413 | 728 | 134 | 298 | 15 | 4 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 36 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 386 | 354 | 101 | 18 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 34 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 285 | 339 | 401 | 740 | 116 | 296 | 9 | 7 | 327 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4439 | 4084 | 1193 | 194 | 16 | 140 | 250 | 667 | 72 | 24 | 26 | 292 | 344 | 450 | 794 | 158 | 319 | 15 | 6 | 327 | 107 | +40 | -6 | +0 | -111 | +96 | 2.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 598 | 174 | 28 | 2 | 21 | 37 | 98 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 291 | 344 | 450 | 794 | 159 | 317 | 15 | 6 | 327 | 107 | +6 | -1 | +0 | -16 | +14 | 0.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AAAOlmecas de Tabasco · 386 PAwOBA .381 → .327 (−55)K% 7.5% → 8.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 7.51% | ÷1.020 | ×1.200 | — | — | 8.84% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.40% | ÷1.045 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 7.07% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.52% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 0.46% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.16% | ÷0.984 | ×0.930 | ×1.039 | ×0.940 | 23.23% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.86% | ÷0.976 | ×0.830 | ×1.039 | ×0.940 | 5.70% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.33% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.039 | ×0.940 | 0.26% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.94% | ÷0.886 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 2.18% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 97, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 104, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 37 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (9.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.039.
Result: wOBA .381 → .327; ISO .149 → .123; BABIP .331 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAOlmecas de Tabasco · 403 PAwOBA .391 → .323 (−68)K% 12.2% → 14.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.16% | ÷0.977 | ×1.200 | — | — | 14.93% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.46% | ÷0.933 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 3.79% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.24% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 1.10% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.48% | ÷1.022 | ×0.930 | ×1.030 | ×0.940 | 25.08% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.38% | ÷1.142 | ×0.830 | ×1.030 | ×0.940 | 3.78% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.030 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.38% | ÷0.872 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 4.06% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 104, 2B 128, 3B 100, K 95, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 36 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (8.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.
Result: wOBA .391 → .323; ISO .186 → .141; BABIP .354 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAPericos de Puebla · 385 PAwOBA .391 → .300 (−90)K% 11.7% → 15.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.69% | ÷0.913 | ×1.200 | — | — | 15.36% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.43% | ÷1.080 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 6.87% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.30% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 1.15% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.18% | ÷1.075 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.940 | 23.20% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.32% | ÷1.100 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.940 | 5.45% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.48% | ÷1.062 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 2.16% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 115, 2B 120, 3B 130, K 83, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 35 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .391 → .300; ISO .154 → .106; BABIP .357 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAPericos de Puebla · 419 PAwOBA .491 → .385 (−106)K% 10.7% → 14.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.74% | ÷0.914 | ×1.200 | — | — | 14.11% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.79% | ÷1.071 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 5.92% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.67% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 1.48% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.34% | ÷1.068 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.940 | 25.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.20% | ÷1.108 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.940 | 6.06% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.32% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.940 | 0.25% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.20% | ÷0.957 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 5.64% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 114, 2B 122, 3B 130, K 83, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .491 → .385; ISO .293 → .213; BABIP .408 → .331. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAAPericos de Puebla · 469 PAwOBA .445 → .345 (−100)K% 12.8% → 17.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.79% | ÷0.905 | ×1.200 | — | — | 16.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.25% | ÷1.047 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.942 | 4.50% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.07% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.942 | 0.94% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.69% | ÷1.081 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.942 | 26.97% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.65% | ÷0.984 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.942 | 6.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.82% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.942 | 0.65% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.19% | ÷1.055 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.942 | 3.24% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 116, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 81, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .445 → .345; ISO .214 → .149; BABIP .421 → .349. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAASultanes de Monterrey · 424 PAwOBA .402 → .333 (−69)K% 12.3% → 15.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.26% | ÷0.972 | ×1.200 | — | — | 15.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.91% | ÷1.026 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.962 | 6.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.65% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.962 | 1.49% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.43% | ÷1.003 | ×0.930 | ×1.044 | ×0.962 | 24.63% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.10% | ÷0.997 | ×0.830 | ×1.044 | ×0.962 | 4.26% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.32% | ÷1.020 | ×0.920 | ×1.044 | ×0.962 | 0.29% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.05% | ÷1.053 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.962 | 3.87% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 101, 2B 99, 3B 104, K 94, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.044.
Result: wOBA .402 → .333; ISO .205 → .147; BABIP .334 → .300. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAALeones de Yucatan · 427 PAwOBA .453 → .396 (−57)K% 10.1% → 12.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.07% | ÷0.949 | ×1.200 | — | — | 12.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.79% | ÷1.004 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 4.54% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.58% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 2.35% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.51% | ÷0.991 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.972 | 26.35% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.88% | ÷0.995 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.972 | 7.56% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.48% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.972 | 1.21% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.33% | ÷0.886 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.972 | 4.09% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 98, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 90, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .453 → .396; ISO .247 → .200; BABIP .399 → .365. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 AAAPawtucket Red Sox · 18 PAwOBA .174 → .142 (−33)K% 16.7% → 20.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.67% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.11% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 7.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.38% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.982 | 14.05% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .174 → .142; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .154 → .141. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .