Nelson Cruz

PosDH
B/TR/R
Born1980-07-01
Age (2027)47
No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.
Overview
MLBLAST SEASON 2023
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202141MLBTB584.265/.337/.4973231231.9
202242MLBWSH507.234/.313/.33710485-0.3
202343AAA/INTL2 orgs33.310/.394/.44810108—.312/.353/.562
202343MLBSD152.245/.285/.3995189-0.2
202444No MLB games played
202545No MLB games played
202646No MLB games played
Last 3 seasons WAR 1.4
Contract
No contract data on file.
Skills · percentileStatcast 2021-2023
Avg EV90
xwOBA77
Barrel%71
Speed10

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
200525 AAANashville Sounds — 246208 5613011 30628 94 269382490872 221333 2512 388 87 — — — — — —
200525 AAHuntsville Stars — 286248 7619016 31714 103 306392577969 270366 2511 417 112 — — — — — —
200626 MLBTexas Rangers — 138130 29306 7320 10 223263385647 162247 235 285 79 -3 +0 +1 -6 +3 -0.5
200626 AAANashville Sounds — 423371 11222120 421006 176 302382528910 226361 2410 396 95 — — — — — —
200727 MLBTexas Rangers — 333307 721529 21872 24 235287384671 150297 266 297 86 -6 -1 +0 -6 +7 -0.5
200727 AAAOklahoma RedHawks — 188162 579115 21342 12 3524306981.128 346365 1811 476 141 — — — — — —
200828 MLBTexas Rangers — 133115 38917 17281 31 3304216091.030 278388 2113 446 181 +13 +0 +1 -6 +3 1.1
200828 AAAOklahoma RedHawks — 448383 13118337 56875 248 3424326951.127 352357 1912 477 135 — — — — — —
200929 MLBTexas Rangers — 515462 12021133 491182 204 260333524857 264278 2310 372 133 +20 +2 +3 -6 +11 3.2
201030 MLBTexas Rangers — 445399 12731322 38811 174 318379576955 258348 189 409 147 +25 +2 +6 -5 +10 3.8
201030 AAAOklahoma City RedHawks — 2219 4100 250 00 211286263549 53267 239 245 18 — — — — — —
201131 MLBTexas Rangers — 513475 12528129 331162 95 263314509823 246288 236 357 118 +11 -0 -11 -5 +11 0.5
201232 MLBTexas Rangers — 642585 15245024 481405 84 260321460781 200301 227 343 108 +6 +0 -11 -7 +14 0.1
201232 INTLGigantes del Cibao — 4842 12201 680 10 286375405780 119333 1712 354 126 — — — — — —
201333 MLBTexas Rangers — 456413 11018027 351094 51 266330506836 240295 248 363 121 +11 +1 -6 -5 +10 1.1
201434 MLBBaltimore Orioles — 678613 16632240 551405 45 271336525861 254288 218 373 125 +20 -1 +1 -7 +15 2.7
201535 MLBSeattle Mariners — 655590 17822144 591645 32 302370566936 264350 259 407 159 +46 -0 -7 -7 +14 4.6
201636 MLBSeattle Mariners — 667589 16927143 621599 20 287364555919 268320 249 396 154 +43 +0 -2 -7 +14 4.9
201737 MLBSeattle Mariners — 645556 16028039 7014012 11 288379549928 261315 2211 401 156 +43 -0 -1 -7 +14 5.0
201838 MLBSeattle Mariners — 591519 13318137 5512214 10 256344509852 252264 219 372 137 +26 +0 +0 -6 +13 3.4
201939 MLBMinnesota Twins — 521454 14126041 561317 01 3113946391.033 328351 2511 441 177 +48 -0 +0 -6 +11 5.4
202040 MLBMinnesota Twins — 214185 566016 25584 00 303397595992 292360 2712 431 166 +17 +0 +0 -2 +5 2.0
202141 MLBTampa Bay Rays — 584513 13621132 511267 30 265337497834 232286 229 360 123 +16 +1 +0 -10 +13 1.9
202242 MLBWashington Nationals — 507448 10516010 491194 40 234313337651 103295 2310 296 85 -9 +1 +0 -5 +11 -0.3
202343 MLBSan Diego Padres — 152143 35515 6462 10 245285399683 154323 304 301 89 -2 +0 -0 -3 +3 -0.2
202343 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas — 1716 5101 031 00 312353562915 250333 180 401 89 — — — — — —
202343 INTLGigantes del Cibao — 1613 4000 231 00 308438308745 400 1912 359 129 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 83897496 205237115464 736191686 8432 274345513858 239307 239 373 139 +386 +4 -27 -108 +182 44.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
200525 AAA MLENashville Sounds — 246218 451008 20808 94 206297362659 156283 338 297 87 — — — — — —
200525 AA MLEHuntsville Stars — 286258 6516013 21874 103 252318465783 213316 307 333 112 — — — — — —
200626 MLB MLETexas Rangers — 138130 29306 7320 10 223263385647 162247 235 285 79 -3 +0 +1 -6 +3 -0.5
200626 AAA MLENashville Sounds — 423384 9217115 291296 176 240303406709 167308 307 308 95 — — — — — —
200727 MLB MLETexas Rangers — 333309 721529 20872 24 233284382666 149297 266 295 86 -6 -1 +0 -6 +7 -0.5
200727 AAA MLEOklahoma RedHawks — 188170 487112 14442 12 282344547891 265306 237 377 141 — — — — — —
200828 MLB MLETexas Rangers — 133117 38917 15281 31 3254065981.004 274388 2111 436 181 +13 +0 +1 -6 +3 1.1
200828 AAA MLEOklahoma RedHawks — 448402 10614228 371125 248 264333517851 254291 258 367 135 — — — — — —
200929 MLB MLETexas Rangers — 515468 12021133 431182 204 256322517839 261278 238 364 133 +20 +2 +3 -6 +11 3.2
201030 MLB MLETexas Rangers — 445404 12429321 33811 174 307361550910 243348 187 386 147 +25 +2 +6 -5 +10 3.8
201030 AAA MLEOklahoma City RedHawks — 2220 3100 170 00 150190200390 50216 325 195 18 — — — — — —
201131 MLB MLETexas Rangers — 513476 12226128 321162 95 256306492797 235288 236 342 118 +11 -0 -11 -5 +11 0.5
201232 MLB MLETexas Rangers — 642587 14842023 461405 84 252312441753 189301 227 327 108 +6 +0 -11 -7 +14 0.1
201333 MLB MLETexas Rangers — 456415 10817026 331094 51 260321489810 229295 247 347 121 +11 +1 -6 -5 +10 1.1
201434 MLB MLEBaltimore Orioles — 678621 16233236 471405 45 261318494812 233288 217 353 125 +20 -1 +1 -7 +15 2.7
201535 MLB MLESeattle Mariners — 655599 18022145 501645 32 301359566925 265350 258 403 159 +46 -0 -7 -7 +14 4.6
201636 MLB MLESeattle Mariners — 667594 17027144 571599 20 286358557915 271320 249 396 154 +43 +0 -2 -7 +14 4.9
201737 MLB MLESeattle Mariners — 645563 16128040 6314012 11 286370549919 263315 2210 399 156 +43 -0 -1 -7 +14 5.0
201838 MLB MLESeattle Mariners — 591524 13418138 5012214 10 256337511848 256264 218 371 137 +26 +0 +0 -6 +13 3.4
201939 MLB MLEMinnesota Twins — 521463 14126041 481317 01 3053786261.005 322351 259 430 177 +48 -0 +0 -6 +11 5.4
202040 MLB MLEMinnesota Twins — 214190 566016 20584 00 295374579953 284360 279 413 166 +17 +0 +0 -2 +5 2.0
202141 MLB MLETampa Bay Rays — 584527 13521133 411267 30 256318488806 231286 227 349 123 +16 +1 +0 -10 +13 1.9
202242 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 507452 10516010 481194 40 232312334646 102295 239 294 85 -9 +1 +0 -5 +11 -0.3
202343 MLB MLESan Diego Padres — 152144 35515 5462 10 243278396674 153323 303 299 89 -2 +0 -0 -3 +3 -0.2
202343 AAA MLEEl Paso Chihuahuas — 1716 5101 041 00 312353562915 250286 240 300 89 — — — — — —
200525 AA MLE2 teams — 532475 11026021 4216712 197 232310419729 187307 318 316 100 — — — — — —
200525 AA RAW2 teams — 532456 13232027 6113312 197 289388537925 248351 2511 404 100 — — — — — —
200626 AAA MLE2 teams — 561514 12120121 361616 186 235293401694 165297 296 302 91 — — — — — —
200626 AAA RAW2 teams — 561501 14125126 491326 186 281353491844 210330 249 369 91 — — — — — —
200727 MLB MLE2 teams — 521479 12022321 341314 36 251306441746 190300 257 325 106 +4 -2 +0 -6 +11 0.8
200727 MLB RAW2 teams — 521469 12924324 421214 36 275338493831 217321 238 362 106 +4 -2 +0 -6 +11 0.8
200828 AAA MLE2 teams — 581519 14423335 521406 279 277350536886 258313 249 383 145 — — — — — —
200828 AAA RAW2 teams — 581498 16927444 731156 279 3394306751.105 335364 2013 470 145 — — — — — —
200929 MLB MLETexas Rangers — 515468 12021133 431182 204 256322517839 261273 238 364 133 +20 +2 +3 -6 +11 3.2
200929 MLB RAWTexas Rangers — 515462 12021133 491182 204 260333524857 264278 2310 372 133 +20 +2 +3 -6 +11 3.2
201030 MLB MLE2 teams — 467424 12730321 34881 174 300353533886 233329 197 377 141 +23 +2 +6 -5 +10 3.6
201030 MLB RAW2 teams — 467418 13132322 40861 174 313375562937 249344 189 401 141 +23 +2 +6 -5 +10 3.6
201131 MLB MLETexas Rangers — 513476 12226128 321162 95 256306492797 235281 236 342 118 +11 -0 -11 -5 +11 0.5
201131 MLB RAWTexas Rangers — 513475 12528129 331162 95 263314509823 246288 236 357 118 +11 -0 -11 -5 +11 0.5
201232 MLB MLE2 teams — 690632 15945025 491505 94 252310441752 190291 227 327 108 +6 +0 -11 -7 +15 0.3
201232 MLB RAW2 teams — 690627 16447025 541485 94 262325456781 195303 218 343 108 +6 +0 -11 -7 +15 0.3
201333 MLB MLETexas Rangers — 456415 10817026 331094 51 260321489810 229289 247 347 121 +11 +1 -6 -5 +10 1.1
201333 MLB RAWTexas Rangers — 456413 11018027 351094 51 266330506836 240295 248 363 121 +11 +1 -6 -5 +10 1.1
201434 MLB MLEBaltimore Orioles — 678621 16233236 471405 45 261318494812 233280 217 353 125 +20 -1 +1 -7 +15 2.7
201434 MLB RAWBaltimore Orioles — 678613 16632240 551405 45 271336525861 254288 218 373 125 +20 -1 +1 -7 +15 2.7
201535 MLB MLESeattle Mariners — 655599 18022145 501645 32 301359566925 265345 258 403 159 +46 -0 -7 -7 +14 4.6
201535 MLB RAWSeattle Mariners — 655590 17822144 591645 32 302370566936 264350 259 407 159 +46 -0 -7 -7 +14 4.6
201636 MLB MLESeattle Mariners — 667594 17027144 571599 20 286358557915 271317 249 396 154 +43 +0 -2 -7 +14 4.9
201636 MLB RAWSeattle Mariners — 667589 16927143 621599 20 287364555919 268320 249 396 154 +43 +0 -2 -7 +14 4.9
201737 MLB MLESeattle Mariners — 645563 16128040 6314012 11 286370549919 263310 2210 399 156 +43 -0 -1 -7 +14 5.0
201737 MLB RAWSeattle Mariners — 645556 16028039 7014012 11 288379549928 261315 2211 401 156 +43 -0 -1 -7 +14 5.0
201838 MLB MLESeattle Mariners — 591524 13418138 5012214 10 256337511848 256262 218 371 137 +26 +0 +0 -6 +13 3.4
201838 MLB RAWSeattle Mariners — 591519 13318137 5512214 10 256344509852 252264 219 372 137 +26 +0 +0 -6 +13 3.4
201939 MLB MLEMinnesota Twins — 521463 14126041 481317 01 3053786261.005 322340 259 430 177 +48 -0 +0 -6 +11 5.4
201939 MLB RAWMinnesota Twins — 521454 14126041 561317 01 3113946391.033 328351 2511 441 177 +48 -0 +0 -6 +11 5.4
202040 MLB MLEMinnesota Twins — 214190 566016 20584 00 295374579953 284345 279 413 166 +17 +0 +0 -2 +5 2.0
202040 MLB RAWMinnesota Twins — 214185 566016 25584 00 303397595992 292360 2712 431 166 +17 +0 +0 -2 +5 2.0
202141 MLB MLETampa Bay Rays — 584527 13521133 411267 30 256318488806 231271 227 349 123 +16 +1 +0 -10 +13 1.9
202141 MLB RAWTampa Bay Rays — 584513 13621132 511267 30 265337497834 232286 229 360 123 +16 +1 +0 -10 +13 1.9
202242 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 507452 10516010 481194 40 232312334646 102291 239 294 85 -9 +1 +0 -5 +11 -0.3
202242 MLB RAWWashington Nationals — 507448 10516010 491194 40 234313337651 103295 2310 296 85 -9 +1 +0 -5 +11 -0.3
202343 MLB MLE3 teams — 185175 43716 5544 10 246283400683 154319 293 299 89 -2 +0 -0 -3 +4 -0.2
202343 MLB RAW3 teams — 185172 44616 8524 10 256304407711 151330 284 316 89 -2 +0 -0 -3 +4 -0.2
200525 AA MLE2 teams — 532473 11026021 4216712 197 233310421731 188301 318 316 100 — — — — — —
200626 AAA MLE2 teams — 561514 12120121 361616 186 235293401694 165293 296 302 91 — — — — — —
200727 MLB MLE2 teams — 521478 12022321 341314 36 251306441747 190300 257 325 106 — — — — — —
200828 AAA MLE2 teams — 581518 14423335 521406 279 278350537887 259313 249 383 145 — — — — — —
200929 MLB MLETexas Rangers — 515465 12021133 431182 204 258322520842 262278 238 364 133 — — — — — —
201030 MLB MLE2 teams — 467429 12730321 34881 174 296353527880 231341 197 377 141 — — — — — —
201131 MLB MLETexas Rangers — 513474 12226128 321162 95 257306494800 236288 236 342 118 — — — — — —
201232 MLB MLE2 teams — 690631 15945025 491505 94 252310442753 190301 227 327 108 — — — — — —
201333 MLB MLETexas Rangers — 456416 10817026 331094 51 260321488809 228295 247 347 121 — — — — — —
201434 MLB MLEBaltimore Orioles — 678621 16233236 471405 45 261318494812 233288 217 353 125 — — — — — —
201535 MLB MLESeattle Mariners — 655595 18022145 501645 32 303359570929 267350 258 403 159 — — — — — —
201636 MLB MLESeattle Mariners — 667596 17027144 571599 20 285358555913 270320 249 396 154 — — — — — —
201737 MLB MLESeattle Mariners — 645565 16128040 6314012 11 285370547917 262315 2210 399 156 — — — — — —
201838 MLB MLESeattle Mariners — 591522 13418138 5012214 10 257337513850 257264 218 371 137 — — — — — —
201939 MLB MLEMinnesota Twins — 521461 14126041 481317 01 3063786291.007 323351 259 430 177 — — — — — —
202040 MLB MLEMinnesota Twins — 214188 566016 20584 00 298374585959 287360 279 413 166 — — — — — —
202141 MLB MLETampa Bay Rays — 584531 13521133 411267 30 254318484802 230286 227 349 123 — — — — — —
202242 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 507450 10516010 481194 40 233312336647 102295 239 294 85 — — — — — —
202343 MLB MLE3 teams — 185174 43716 5544 10 247283402685 155319 293 299 89 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 83897496 205237115464 736191686 8432 274345513858 239307 239 373 129 +386 +4 -27 -108 +182 44.6
/ 162G— A+C — 650581 15929136 571487 72 274346513859 239306 239 373 129 +30 +0 -2 -8 +14 3.5
Career— MLE — 100839110 241843419540 7842393113 14655 265331495826 230300 248 359 129 +386 +4 -27 -108 +182 44.6
/ 162G— MLE — 650587 15628135 511547 94 266332496828 230300 248 359 129 +30 +0 -2 -8 +14 3.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2023 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 17 PAwOBA .389 → .300 (−89)K% 17.6% → 21.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.65%÷0.985×1.200——21.51%
BB% (unintentional) /PA0.00%÷0.963×0.690—×0.9400.00%
HBP% /PA5.88%—×0.940—×0.9405.20%
Singles /BIP23.08%÷0.958×0.930—×0.94021.05%
Doubles /BIP7.69%÷0.975×0.830—×0.9406.15%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.970—×0.9400.00%
Home runs /BIP7.69%÷1.052×0.700—×0.9404.81%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 92, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 97, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 43 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (15.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .389 → .300; ISO .250 → .160; BABIP .333 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AAAOklahoma City RedHawks · 22 PAwOBA .251 → .195 (−56)K% 22.7% → 30.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.73%÷0.974×1.290——30.09%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.09%÷1.015×0.710—×0.9726.18%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.980—×0.9720.00%
Singles /BIP21.43%÷1.070×0.900—×0.97217.52%
Doubles /BIP7.14%÷0.996×0.810—×0.9725.65%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.810—×0.9720.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.936×0.780—×0.9720.00%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 114, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 95, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .251 → .195; ISO .053 → .042; BABIP .267 → .216. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2008 AAAOklahoma RedHawks · 448 PAwOBA .466 → .367 (−98)K% 19.4% → 25.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.42%÷1.000×1.290——25.05%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.61%÷1.000×0.710—×0.9928.18%
HBP% /PA1.12%—×0.980—×0.9921.08%
Singles /BIP24.66%÷1.000×0.900×0.964×0.99221.23%
Doubles /BIP6.08%÷1.000×0.810×0.964×0.9924.71%
Triples /BIP1.01%÷1.000×0.810×0.964×0.9920.79%
Home runs /BIP12.50%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9929.67%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.964.

Result: wOBA .466 → .367; ISO .352 → .271; BABIP .357 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2007 AAAOklahoma RedHawks · 188 PAwOBA .466 → .377 (−89)K% 18.1% → 23.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.09%÷1.000×1.290——23.33%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.64%÷1.000×0.710—×1.0037.58%
HBP% /PA1.06%—×0.980—×1.0031.05%
Singles /BIP25.00%÷1.000×0.900×0.978×1.00322.07%
Doubles /BIP7.03%÷1.000×0.810×0.978×1.0035.59%
Triples /BIP0.78%÷1.000×0.810×0.978×1.0030.62%
Home runs /BIP11.72%÷1.000×0.780—×1.0039.17%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.

Result: wOBA .466 → .377; ISO .346 → .271; BABIP .365 → .306. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2006 AAANashville Sounds · 423 PAwOBA .388 → .308 (−80)K% 23.6% → 30.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.64%÷1.000×1.290——30.50%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.46%÷1.000×0.710—×1.0186.83%
HBP% /PA1.42%—×0.980—×1.0181.42%
Singles /BIP25.46%÷1.000×0.900×0.971×1.01822.65%
Doubles /BIP8.12%÷1.000×0.810×0.971×1.0186.50%
Triples /BIP0.37%÷1.000×0.810×0.971×1.0180.30%
Home runs /BIP7.38%÷1.000×0.780—×1.0185.86%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.971.

Result: wOBA .388 → .308; ISO .226 → .172; BABIP .361 → .308. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2005 AAHuntsville Stars · 286 PAwOBA .410 → .333 (−77)K% 24.8% → 30.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.83%÷1.000×1.220——30.29%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.84%÷1.000×0.680—×0.9987.36%
HBP% /PA1.40%—×0.840—×0.9981.17%
Singles /BIP23.16%÷1.000×0.920×0.964×0.99820.50%
Doubles /BIP10.73%÷1.000×0.910×0.964×0.9989.39%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.880×0.964×0.9980.00%
Home runs /BIP9.04%÷1.000×0.800—×0.9987.22%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.964.

Result: wOBA .410 → .333; ISO .270 → .219; BABIP .366 → .316. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2005 AAANashville Sounds · 246 PAwOBA .375 → .297 (−78)K% 25.2% → 32.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.20%÷1.000×1.290——32.51%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.38%÷1.000×0.710—×1.0338.35%
HBP% /PA3.25%—×0.980—×1.0333.29%
Singles /BIP21.92%÷1.000×0.900×0.955×1.03319.46%
Doubles /BIP8.90%÷1.000×0.810×0.955×1.0337.12%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.810×0.955×1.0330.00%
Home runs /BIP7.53%÷1.000×0.780—×1.0336.07%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.955.

Result: wOBA .375 → .297; ISO .221 → .167; BABIP .333 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .