Ryan Roberts

Pos3B

B/TR/R

Born1980-09-19

Age (2027)46

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2015

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2013	32	AAATB	148	.210/.324/.274	1	3	22	—	.165/.234/.218
2013	32	MLBTB	173	.247/.295/.377	5	0	89	0.1
2014	33	AAAPawtucket Red…	301	.277/.338/.442	7	2	63	—	.222/.261/.335
2014	33	MLBBOS	22	.105/.227/.105	0	0	5	-0.1
2015	34	AAAMIL	499	.283/.358/.450	13	0	72	—	.223/.273/.355
2016	35	No MLB games played
2017	36	No MLB games played
2018	37	No MLB games played
2019	38	No MLB games played
2020	39	No MLB games played
2021	40	No MLB games played
2022	41	No MLB games played
2023	42	No MLB games played
2024	43	No MLB games played
2025	44	No MLB games played
2026	45	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.1

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2005	24	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	399	338	92	19	3	15	55	94	4	5	1	272	380	479	860	207	335	24	14	380	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	24	A+	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	192	164	47	9	0	9	24	27	2	6	1	287	384	506	890	220	292	14	12	389	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	25	AAA	Syracuse SkyChiefs	—	403	362	99	28	1	10	30	86	2	5	3	273	332	439	772	166	331	21	7	335	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	26	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	16	13	1	0	0	0	2	7	1	0	0	77	250	77	327		167	44	12	190	15	-2	+0	-0	+1	+0	0.0
2007	26	AAA	Syracuse Chiefs	—	399	337	84	16	1	12	55	85	2	1	2	249	358	409	767	160	296	21	14	343	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	27	AAA	Oklahoma RedHawks	—	529	453	136	28	8	10	67	78	2	15	3	300	393	464	856	163	340	15	13	377	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	28	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	351	305	85	17	2	7	40	55	3	7	3	279	368	416	784	138	320	16	11	351	122	+9	+0	+2	+1	+8	2.1
2009	28	AAA	Reno Aces	—	48	42	13	1	1	1	6	6	0	7	0	310	396	452	848	143	343	12	12	379	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	29	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	71	66	13	4	0	2	3	17	0	0	0	197	232	348	580	152	229	24	4	250	43	-5	+0	+2	-5	+2	-0.6
2010	29	AAA	Reno Aces	—	412	347	92	25	2	11	56	73	2	16	6	265	370	444	814	179	301	18	14	358	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	30	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	555	482	120	25	2	19	66	98	2	18	9	249	342	427	769	178	275	18	12	341	110	+7	+0	+9	+2	+12	3.1
2012	31	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	489	439	103	19	0	12	40	92	1	10	6	235	300	360	660	125	267	19	8	293	83	-10	-0	+5	+2	+11	0.8
2013	32	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	173	162	40	6	0	5	11	39	0	0	2	247	295	377	671	130	297	23	6	301	89	-2	-1	-0	+1	+4	0.1
2013	32	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	148	124	26	5	0	1	21	30	0	3	1	210	324	274	598	65	263	20	14	279	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	33	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	22	19	2	0	0	0	3	7	0	0	0	105	227	105	333		167	32	14	177	5	-2	+0	+0	+1	+0	-0.1
2014	33	AAA	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	301	274	76	22	1	7	23	53	2	2	3	277	338	442	779	164	321	18	8	344	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	34	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	499	442	125	33	1	13	51	63	1	0	5	283	358	450	809	167	302	13	10	357	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1677	1486	364	71	4	45	165	315	7	35	20	245	323	389	712	144	281	19	10	317	101	+2	-1	+19	+4	+36	6.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2005	24	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	399	358	86	17	3	12	35	115	4	5	1	240	315	405	720	165	314	29	9	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	24	A+ MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	192	170	44	9	0	8	18	38	2	6	1	259	337	453	790	194	274	20	9	331	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	25	AAA MLE	Syracuse SkyChiefs	—	403	371	92	24	1	9	21	103	2	5	3	248	292	391	683	143	306	26	5	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	26	MLB MLE	Toronto Blue Jays	—	16	13	1	0	0	0	2	7	1	0	0	77	250	77	327		167	44	12	190	15	-2	+0	-0	+1	+0	0.0
2007	26	AAA MLE	Syracuse Chiefs	—	399	354	76	13	1	10	38	102	2	1	2	215	294	342	636	127	265	26	10	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	27	AAA MLE	Oklahoma RedHawks	—	529	473	118	23	6	8	47	101	2	15	3	249	320	374	694	125	292	19	9	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	28	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	351	306	85	17	2	7	39	55	3	7	3	278	365	415	780	137	320	16	11	349	122	+9	+0	+2	+1	+8	2.1
2009	28	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	48	44	12	1	1	1	4	8	0	7	0	273	333	409	742	136	296	17	8	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	29	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	71	67	13	4	0	2	2	17	0	0	0	194	217	343	561	149	229	24	3	232	43	-5	+0	+2	-5	+2	-0.6
2010	29	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	412	370	75	18	1	8	33	101	2	16	6	203	272	322	593	119	246	25	8	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	30	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	555	484	118	23	2	19	64	98	2	18	9	244	335	417	752	174	275	18	12	331	110	+7	+0	+9	+2	+12	3.1
2012	31	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	—	489	440	102	19	0	12	39	92	1	10	6	232	296	357	653	125	267	19	8	291	83	-10	-0	+5	+2	+11	0.8
2013	32	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	—	173	162	39	6	0	5	11	39	0	0	2	241	289	370	659	130	297	23	6	300	89	-2	-1	-0	+1	+4	0.1
2013	32	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	148	133	22	4	0	1	12	36	0	3	1	165	234	218	453	53	206	24	8	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	33	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	22	19	2	0	0	0	3	7	0	0	0	105	227	105	333		167	32	14	176	5	-2	+0	+0	+1	+0	-0.1
2014	33	AAA MLE	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	301	284	63	18	1	4	13	65	2	2	3	222	261	335	595	113	270	22	4	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	34	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	499	462	103	23	1	12	31	78	1	0	5	223	273	355	628	132	239	16	6	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	591	528	128	25	3	19	53	153	6	11	2	242	319	409	728	167	304	26	9	320	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	591	502	139	28	3	24	79	121	6	11	2	277	382	488	870	211	319	20	13	383	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	25	AAA MLE	Syracuse SkyChiefs	—	403	371	92	24	1	9	21	103	2	5	3	248	292	391	683	143	317	26	5	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	25	AAA RAW	Syracuse SkyChiefs	—	403	362	99	28	1	10	30	86	2	5	3	273	332	439	772	166	331	21	7	335	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	415	367	77	13	1	10	40	109	3	1	2	210	293	332	625	123	267	26	10	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	415	350	85	16	1	12	57	92	3	1	2	243	354	397	751	154	293	22	14	337	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	27	AAA MLE	Oklahoma RedHawks	—	529	473	118	23	6	8	47	101	2	15	3	249	320	374	694	125	297	19	9	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	27	AAA RAW	Oklahoma RedHawks	—	529	453	136	28	8	10	67	78	2	15	3	300	393	464	856	163	340	15	13	377	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	28	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	399	350	97	18	3	8	43	63	3	14	3	277	361	414	775	137	318	16	11	343	118	+9	+2	+2	+1	+9	2.3
2009	28	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	399	347	98	18	3	8	46	61	3	14	3	282	371	421	792	138	323	15	12	354	118	+9	+2	+2	+1	+9	2.3
2010	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	483	437	88	22	1	10	35	118	2	16	6	201	264	325	589	124	247	24	7	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	29	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	483	413	105	29	2	13	59	90	2	16	6	254	350	429	779	174	290	19	12	342	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	30	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	555	484	118	23	2	19	64	98	2	18	9	244	335	417	752	174	268	18	12	331	110	+7	+0	+9	+2	+12	3.1
2011	30	MLB RAW	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	555	482	120	25	2	19	66	98	2	18	9	249	342	427	769	178	275	18	12	341	110	+7	+0	+9	+2	+12	3.1
2012	31	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	—	489	440	102	19	0	12	39	92	1	10	6	232	296	357	653	125	263	19	8	291	83	-10	-0	+5	+2	+11	0.8
2012	31	MLB RAW	Tampa Bay Rays	—	489	439	103	19	0	12	40	92	1	10	6	235	300	360	660	125	267	19	8	293	83	-10	-0	+5	+2	+11	0.8
2013	32	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	321	295	62	10	0	6	23	75	0	3	3	210	267	305	572	95	259	23	7	255	58	-16	-1	-0	+1	+7	-0.9
2013	32	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	321	286	66	11	0	6	32	69	0	3	3	231	308	332	640	101	282	21	10	291	58	-16	-1	-0	+1	+7	-0.9
2014	33	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	323	303	65	18	1	4	16	72	2	2	3	215	259	320	579	106	268	22	5	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	33	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	323	293	78	22	1	7	26	60	2	2	3	266	330	420	750	154	313	19	8	333	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	34	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	499	462	103	23	1	12	31	78	1	0	5	223	273	355	628	132	241	16	6	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	34	AAA RAW	Nashville Sounds	—	499	442	125	33	1	13	51	63	1	0	5	283	358	450	809	167	302	13	10	357	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	591	527	128	25	3	19	53	153	6	11	2	243	319	410	728	167	301	26	9	320	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	25	AAA MLE	Syracuse SkyChiefs	—	403	377	92	24	1	9	21	103	2	5	3	244	292	385	676	141	306	26	5	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	415	369	77	13	1	10	40	109	3	1	2	209	293	331	623	122	261	26	10	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	27	AAA MLE	Oklahoma RedHawks	—	529	475	118	23	6	8	47	101	2	15	3	248	320	373	693	124	292	19	9	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	28	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	399	350	97	18	3	8	43	63	3	14	3	277	361	414	775	137	317	16	11	343	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	483	443	88	22	1	10	35	118	2	16	6	199	264	321	584	122	244	24	7	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	30	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	555	484	118	23	2	19	64	98	2	18	9	244	335	417	752	174	275	18	12	331	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	31	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	—	489	446	102	19	0	12	39	92	1	10	6	229	296	352	648	123	267	19	8	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	32	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	321	295	62	10	0	6	23	75	0	3	3	210	267	305	572	95	255	23	7	255	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	33	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	323	302	65	18	1	4	16	72	2	2	3	215	259	321	580	106	263	22	5	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	34	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	499	464	103	23	1	12	31	78	1	0	5	222	273	353	627	131	239	16	6	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1677	1486	364	71	4	45	165	315	7	35	20	245	323	389	712	144	281	19	10	317	85	+2	-1	+19	+4	+36	6.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	576	142	28	2	17	64	122	3	14	8	247	325	391	716	144	283	19	10	317	85	+1	-0	+7	+1	+14	2.4
Career	—	MLE		—	5007	4510	1050	218	19	117	412	1062	24	95	45	233	300	367	668	135	277	21	8	294	85	+2	-1	+19	+4	+36	6.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	135	28	2	15	53	138	3	12	6	231	298	362	660	132	275	21	8	294	85	+1	-0	+7	+1	+14	2.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2015 AAANashville Sounds · 499 PAwOBA .349 → .275 (−74)K% 12.6% → 15.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.63%	÷1.034	×1.290	—	—	15.74%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.62%	÷1.018	×0.710	—	×0.940	6.31%
HBP% /PA	0.20%	—	×0.980	—	×0.940	0.18%
Singles /BIP	20.58%	÷0.953	×0.900	×0.952	×0.940	17.39%
Doubles /BIP	8.71%	÷1.063	×0.810	×0.952	×0.940	5.94%
Triples /BIP	0.26%	÷0.952	×0.810	×0.952	×0.940	0.20%
Home runs /BIP	3.43%	÷0.843	×0.780	—	×0.940	2.98%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 91, 2B 113, 3B 90, K 107, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 35 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.952.

Result: wOBA .349 → .275; ISO .167 → .134; BABIP .302 → .239. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAAPawtucket Red Sox · 301 PAwOBA .335 → .261 (−74)K% 17.6% → 21.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.61%	÷0.980	×1.200	—	—	21.55%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.31%	÷1.084	×0.690	—	×0.940	4.37%
HBP% /PA	0.66%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	0.59%
Singles /BIP	20.81%	÷0.976	×0.930	×0.974	×0.940	18.15%
Doubles /BIP	9.95%	÷0.937	×0.830	×0.974	×0.940	8.07%
Triples /BIP	0.45%	÷1.104	×0.970	×0.974	×0.940	0.36%
Home runs /BIP	3.17%	÷1.240	×0.840	—	×0.940	2.02%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 148, 1B 95, 2B 87, 3B 121, K 96, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.974.

Result: wOBA .335 → .261; ISO .164 → .120; BABIP .321 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAADurham Bulls · 148 PAwOBA .276 → .201 (−75)K% 20.3% → 24.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.27%	÷0.988	×1.200	—	—	24.62%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.19%	÷1.093	×0.690	—	×0.942	8.44%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.942	0.00%
Singles /BIP	21.28%	÷1.032	×0.930	×0.959	×0.942	17.31%
Doubles /BIP	5.32%	÷1.113	×0.830	×0.959	×0.942	3.58%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.961	×0.970	×0.959	×0.942	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.06%	÷1.299	×0.840	—	×0.942	0.65%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 160, 1B 106, 2B 123, 3B 92, K 98, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.959.

Result: wOBA .276 → .201; ISO .065 → .044; BABIP .263 → .206. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AAAReno Aces · 412 PAwOBA .352 → .266 (−86)K% 17.7% → 24.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.72%	÷0.938	×1.290	—	—	24.37%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.86%	÷1.093	×0.710	—	×0.972	8.12%
HBP% /PA	0.49%	—	×0.980	—	×0.972	0.46%
Singles /BIP	19.71%	÷0.984	×0.900	×0.993	×0.972	17.40%
Doubles /BIP	9.12%	÷1.087	×0.810	×0.993	×0.972	6.57%
Triples /BIP	0.73%	÷1.150	×0.810	×0.993	×0.972	0.50%
Home runs /BIP	4.01%	÷1.061	×0.780	—	×0.972	2.87%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 97, 2B 117, 3B 130, K 88, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.

Result: wOBA .352 → .266; ISO .179 → .129; BABIP .301 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2009 AAAReno Aces · 48 PAwOBA .370 → .301 (−69)K% 12.5% → 16.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.50%	÷1.000	×1.290	—	—	16.12%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.50%	÷1.000	×0.710	—	×0.982	8.72%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.980	—	×0.982	0.00%
Singles /BIP	27.78%	÷1.000	×0.900	—	×0.982	24.55%
Doubles /BIP	2.78%	÷1.000	×0.810	—	×0.982	2.21%
Triples /BIP	2.78%	÷1.000	×0.810	—	×0.982	2.21%
Home runs /BIP	2.78%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×0.982	2.13%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .370 → .301; ISO .143 → .112; BABIP .343 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2008 AAAOklahoma RedHawks · 529 PAwOBA .372 → .304 (−67)K% 14.7% → 19.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.74%	÷1.000	×1.290	—	—	19.02%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.67%	÷1.000	×0.710	—	×0.992	8.92%
HBP% /PA	0.38%	—	×0.980	—	×0.992	0.37%
Singles /BIP	24.00%	÷1.000	×0.900	×0.996	×0.992	21.33%
Doubles /BIP	7.47%	÷1.000	×0.810	×0.996	×0.992	5.97%
Triples /BIP	2.13%	÷1.000	×0.810	×0.996	×0.992	1.71%
Home runs /BIP	2.67%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×0.992	2.06%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.

Result: wOBA .372 → .304; ISO .163 → .130; BABIP .340 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2007 AAASyracuse Chiefs · 399 PAwOBA .337 → .283 (−54)K% 21.3% → 25.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.30%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	25.56%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.78%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.003	9.54%
HBP% /PA	0.50%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	0.47%
Singles /BIP	21.83%	÷1.000	×0.930	×0.988	×1.003	20.11%
Doubles /BIP	6.35%	÷1.000	×0.830	×0.988	×1.003	5.22%
Triples /BIP	0.40%	÷1.000	×0.970	×0.988	×1.003	0.38%
Home runs /BIP	4.76%	÷1.000	×0.840	—	×1.003	4.01%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.

Result: wOBA .337 → .283; ISO .160 → .137; BABIP .296 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2006 AAASyracuse SkyChiefs · 403 PAwOBA .329 → .289 (−39)K% 21.3% → 25.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.34%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	25.61%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.44%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.018	5.23%
HBP% /PA	0.50%	—	×0.940	—	×1.018	0.47%
Singles /BIP	21.74%	÷1.000	×0.930	×1.016	×1.018	20.90%
Doubles /BIP	10.14%	÷1.000	×0.830	×1.016	×1.018	8.71%
Triples /BIP	0.36%	÷1.000	×0.970	×1.016	×1.018	0.36%
Home runs /BIP	3.62%	÷1.000	×0.840	—	×1.018	3.10%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.

Result: wOBA .329 → .289; ISO .166 → .143; BABIP .331 → .306. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).