John Lindsey
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 36 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 410 | .259/.357/.548 | 29 | 0 | 93 | — | .209/.297/.421 |
| 2014 | 37 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 592 | .296/.400/.624 | 45 | 0 | 107 | — | .207/.295/.391 |
| 2015 | 38 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 138 | .208/.296/.325 | 4 | 0 | 45 | — | .224/.307/.328 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 28 | A+ | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 111 | 96 | 21 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 219 | 324 | 333 | 658 | 115 | 274 | 20 | 10 | 305 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 30 | AAA | Las Vegas 51s | — | 333 | 300 | 100 | 26 | 1 | 19 | 21 | 56 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 333 | 396 | 617 | 1.012 | 283 | 357 | 17 | 6 | 437 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 30 | AA | Jacksonville Suns | — | 174 | 154 | 44 | 6 | 0 | 11 | 14 | 38 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 286 | 368 | 539 | 907 | 253 | 314 | 22 | 8 | 398 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 31 | AAA | Las Vegas 51s | — | 563 | 481 | 152 | 36 | 1 | 26 | 63 | 82 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 316 | 410 | 557 | 968 | 241 | 333 | 15 | 11 | 420 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 32 | AAA | New Orleans Zephyrs | — | 502 | 443 | 111 | 22 | 1 | 19 | 38 | 112 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 251 | 333 | 433 | 767 | 183 | 291 | 22 | 8 | 340 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 33 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 447 | 408 | 144 | 41 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 78 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 353 | 404 | 657 | 1.061 | 304 | 385 | 17 | 4 | 454 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 34 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 270 | 230 | 71 | 15 | 0 | 13 | 28 | 59 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 309 | 407 | 543 | 950 | 235 | 362 | 22 | 10 | 415 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 34 | INTL | Venados de Mazatlan | — | 120 | 103 | 27 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 262 | 367 | 388 | 755 | 126 | 325 | 20 | 11 | 345 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 35 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 601 | 520 | 161 | 37 | 0 | 36 | 56 | 126 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 310 | 397 | 588 | 985 | 279 | 343 | 21 | 9 | 424 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 35 | INTL | Tomateros de Culiacan | — | 77 | 66 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 318 | 416 | 530 | 946 | 212 | 425 | 29 | 12 | 418 | 169 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 36 | AAA | Piratas de Campeche | — | 315 | 269 | 73 | 11 | 1 | 24 | 29 | 88 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 271 | 374 | 587 | 961 | 316 | 308 | 28 | 9 | 414 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 36 | INTL | Mayos de Navojoa | — | 95 | 83 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 217 | 301 | 422 | 723 | 205 | 236 | 26 | 6 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 37 | AAA | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 445 | 372 | 114 | 27 | 0 | 33 | 52 | 97 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 306 | 414 | 645 | 1.059 | 339 | 328 | 22 | 12 | 450 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 37 | INTL | Mayos de Navojoa | — | 147 | 128 | 34 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 11 | 43 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 266 | 361 | 562 | 923 | 297 | 301 | 29 | 7 | 403 | 159 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 38 | AAA | Toros de Tijuana | — | 76 | 65 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 262 | 360 | 415 | 775 | 154 | 304 | 22 | 7 | 348 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 38 | INTL | Mayos de Navojoa | — | 62 | 55 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 145 | 217 | 218 | 435 | 73 | 206 | 35 | 3 | 200 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 28 | A+ MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 111 | 99 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 31 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 270 | 283 | 553 | 101 | 255 | 28 | 7 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 30 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas 51s | — | 333 | 307 | 84 | 21 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 72 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 274 | 326 | 485 | 812 | 212 | 310 | 22 | 4 | 346 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 30 | AA MLE | Jacksonville Suns | — | 174 | 162 | 37 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 46 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 228 | 282 | 407 | 689 | 179 | 272 | 26 | 3 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 31 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas 51s | — | 563 | 502 | 133 | 30 | 1 | 20 | 42 | 106 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 265 | 339 | 448 | 787 | 183 | 289 | 19 | 7 | 338 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 32 | AAA MLE | New Orleans Zephyrs | — | 502 | 457 | 90 | 17 | 1 | 14 | 24 | 145 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 197 | 263 | 330 | 593 | 133 | 245 | 29 | 5 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 33 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 447 | 414 | 105 | 29 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 105 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 254 | 302 | 440 | 742 | 186 | 295 | 23 | 3 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 34 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 270 | 240 | 51 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 18 | 82 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 212 | 295 | 358 | 653 | 146 | 276 | 30 | 7 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 35 | AAA MLE | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 601 | 542 | 133 | 28 | 0 | 31 | 34 | 159 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 245 | 313 | 469 | 781 | 223 | 279 | 26 | 6 | 335 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 36 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 315 | 278 | 58 | 9 | 1 | 16 | 20 | 106 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 209 | 297 | 421 | 718 | 212 | 256 | 34 | 6 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 37 | AAA MLE | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 445 | 391 | 81 | 18 | 0 | 18 | 33 | 125 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 207 | 295 | 391 | 687 | 184 | 244 | 28 | 7 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 38 | AAA MLE | Toros de Tijuana | — | 76 | 67 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 224 | 307 | 328 | 635 | 104 | 264 | 28 | 4 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 28 | A+ MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 111 | 99 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 31 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 270 | 283 | 553 | 101 | 254 | 28 | 7 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 28 | A+ RAW | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 111 | 96 | 21 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 219 | 324 | 333 | 658 | 115 | 274 | 20 | 10 | 305 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 30 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 507 | 469 | 121 | 26 | 1 | 22 | 20 | 119 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 258 | 311 | 458 | 769 | 200 | 300 | 23 | 4 | 333 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 30 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 507 | 454 | 144 | 32 | 1 | 30 | 35 | 94 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 317 | 386 | 590 | 976 | 273 | 343 | 19 | 7 | 423 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 31 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas 51s | — | 563 | 502 | 133 | 30 | 1 | 20 | 42 | 106 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 265 | 339 | 448 | 787 | 183 | 297 | 19 | 7 | 338 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 31 | AAA RAW | Las Vegas 51s | — | 563 | 481 | 152 | 36 | 1 | 26 | 63 | 82 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 316 | 410 | 557 | 968 | 241 | 333 | 15 | 11 | 420 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 32 | AAA MLE | New Orleans Zephyrs | — | 502 | 457 | 90 | 17 | 1 | 14 | 24 | 145 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 197 | 263 | 330 | 593 | 133 | 252 | 29 | 5 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 32 | AAA RAW | New Orleans Zephyrs | — | 502 | 443 | 111 | 22 | 1 | 19 | 38 | 112 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 251 | 333 | 433 | 767 | 183 | 291 | 22 | 8 | 340 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 33 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 447 | 414 | 105 | 29 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 105 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 254 | 302 | 440 | 742 | 186 | 304 | 23 | 3 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 33 | AAA RAW | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 447 | 408 | 144 | 41 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 78 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 353 | 404 | 657 | 1.061 | 304 | 385 | 17 | 4 | 454 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 34 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 390 | 348 | 73 | 16 | 0 | 11 | 26 | 119 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 210 | 291 | 351 | 642 | 141 | 282 | 31 | 7 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 34 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 390 | 333 | 98 | 22 | 0 | 15 | 41 | 83 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 294 | 394 | 495 | 890 | 201 | 350 | 21 | 11 | 394 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 35 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 678 | 613 | 150 | 32 | 0 | 35 | 38 | 179 | 21 | 1 | 1 | 245 | 311 | 468 | 779 | 223 | 284 | 26 | 6 | 335 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 35 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 678 | 586 | 182 | 39 | 0 | 40 | 65 | 148 | 21 | 1 | 1 | 311 | 399 | 582 | 981 | 271 | 351 | 22 | 10 | 424 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 36 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 410 | 362 | 74 | 11 | 1 | 20 | 25 | 138 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 204 | 291 | 406 | 697 | 202 | 260 | 34 | 6 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 36 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 410 | 352 | 91 | 13 | 1 | 29 | 35 | 113 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 259 | 357 | 548 | 905 | 290 | 290 | 28 | 9 | 391 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 37 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 592 | 519 | 108 | 24 | 0 | 24 | 44 | 166 | 24 | 0 | 1 | 208 | 300 | 393 | 693 | 185 | 251 | 28 | 7 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 37 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 592 | 500 | 148 | 29 | 0 | 45 | 63 | 140 | 24 | 0 | 1 | 296 | 400 | 624 | 1.024 | 328 | 322 | 24 | 11 | 438 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 38 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 138 | 121 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 38 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 207 | 289 | 289 | 578 | 83 | 265 | 28 | 4 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 38 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 138 | 120 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 39 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 208 | 296 | 325 | 621 | 117 | 263 | 28 | 5 | 282 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 28 | A+ MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 111 | 98 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 31 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 184 | 270 | 286 | 556 | 102 | 255 | 28 | 7 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 30 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 507 | 466 | 121 | 26 | 1 | 22 | 20 | 119 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 260 | 311 | 461 | 772 | 202 | 297 | 23 | 4 | 333 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 31 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas 51s | — | 563 | 502 | 133 | 30 | 1 | 20 | 42 | 106 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 265 | 339 | 448 | 787 | 183 | 289 | 19 | 7 | 338 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 32 | AAA MLE | New Orleans Zephyrs | — | 502 | 456 | 90 | 17 | 1 | 14 | 24 | 145 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 197 | 263 | 331 | 594 | 134 | 245 | 29 | 5 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 33 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 447 | 415 | 105 | 29 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 105 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 253 | 302 | 439 | 741 | 186 | 295 | 23 | 3 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 34 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 390 | 347 | 73 | 16 | 0 | 11 | 26 | 119 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 210 | 291 | 352 | 643 | 141 | 276 | 31 | 7 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 35 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 678 | 614 | 150 | 32 | 0 | 35 | 38 | 179 | 21 | 1 | 1 | 244 | 311 | 467 | 778 | 223 | 279 | 26 | 6 | 335 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 36 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 410 | 363 | 74 | 11 | 1 | 20 | 25 | 138 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 204 | 291 | 405 | 696 | 201 | 256 | 34 | 6 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 37 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 592 | 519 | 108 | 24 | 0 | 24 | 44 | 166 | 24 | 0 | 1 | 208 | 300 | 393 | 693 | 185 | 244 | 28 | 7 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 38 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 138 | 123 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 38 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 203 | 289 | 285 | 573 | 81 | 264 | 28 | 4 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4338 | 3904 | 897 | 193 | 7 | 164 | 246 | 1146 | 153 | 2 | 5 | 230 | 301 | 409 | 710 | 179 | 279 | 26 | 6 | 308 | 94 | -30 | -2 | -0 | -77 | +94 | -1.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 585 | 135 | 29 | 1 | 25 | 37 | 172 | 23 | 0 | 1 | 231 | 302 | 412 | 714 | 181 | 280 | 26 | 6 | 308 | 94 | -4 | -0 | -0 | -12 | +14 | -0.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2015 AAAToros de Tijuana · 76 PAwOBA .343 → .264 (−79)K% 22.4% → 27.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.37% | ÷0.978 | ×1.200 | — | — | 27.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.58% | ÷1.013 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 4.21% |
| HBP% /PA | 6.58% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 5.81% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.08% | ÷0.982 | ×0.930 | ×1.013 | ×0.940 | 24.41% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.08% | ÷1.026 | ×0.830 | ×1.013 | ×0.940 | 1.61% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.046 | ×0.920 | ×1.013 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.208 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 3.41% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 142, 1B 96, 2B 105, 3B 109, K 96, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 38 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (10.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.
Result: wOBA .343 → .264; ISO .154 → .086; BABIP .304 → .264. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAADiablos Rojos del Mexico · 445 PAwOBA .442 → .301 (−141)K% 21.8% → 28.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.80% | ÷0.931 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.10% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.46% | ÷0.991 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 7.50% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.60% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 3.18% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.64% | ÷1.039 | ×0.930 | ×1.010 | ×0.940 | 16.68% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.82% | ÷1.183 | ×0.830 | ×1.010 | ×0.940 | 6.54% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.010 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 12.00% | ÷1.180 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 6.69% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 136, 1B 108, 2B 137, 3B 130, K 86, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 37 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (9.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.
Result: wOBA .442 → .301; ISO .339 → .195; BABIP .328 → .244. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAAPiratas de Campeche · 315 PAwOBA .405 → .302 (−103)K% 27.9% → 33.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.94% | ÷0.996 | ×1.200 | — | — | 33.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.21% | ÷0.959 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 6.23% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.76% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 4.21% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.44% | ÷0.990 | ×0.930 | ×1.015 | ×0.940 | 18.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.08% | ÷0.994 | ×0.830 | ×1.015 | ×0.940 | 4.84% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.55% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.015 | ×0.940 | 0.42% |
| Home runs /BIP | 13.26% | ÷0.988 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 8.83% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 98, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 99, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 36 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (8.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.
Result: wOBA .405 → .302; ISO .316 → .211; BABIP .308 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 601 PAwOBA .415 → .335 (−80)K% 21.0% → 26.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.97% | ÷0.952 | ×1.200 | — | — | 26.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.49% | ÷0.988 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 5.57% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.16% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 2.79% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.34% | ÷1.045 | ×0.930 | ×1.007 | ×0.940 | 18.81% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.39% | ÷1.015 | ×0.830 | ×1.007 | ×0.940 | 7.27% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.007 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.14% | ÷0.913 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.940 | 7.90% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 109, 2B 103, 3B 80, K 90, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 35 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.
Result: wOBA .415 → .335; ISO .279 → .233; BABIP .343 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 270 PAwOBA .406 → .285 (−121)K% 21.9% → 30.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.85% | ÷0.928 | ×1.290 | — | — | 30.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.00% | ÷1.012 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.940 | 6.59% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.70% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.940 | 3.41% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.15% | ÷1.096 | ×0.900 | ×1.025 | ×0.940 | 19.90% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.77% | ÷1.012 | ×0.810 | ×1.025 | ×0.940 | 6.76% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×1.025 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.60% | ÷1.173 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.940 | 4.75% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 135, 1B 119, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 86, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.025.
Result: wOBA .406 → .285; ISO .235 → .147; BABIP .362 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 447 PAwOBA .445 → .315 (−130)K% 17.4% → 23.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.45% | ÷0.961 | ×1.290 | — | — | 23.42% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.25% | ÷1.019 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.942 | 2.79% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.58% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.942 | 3.30% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.42% | ÷1.056 | ×0.900 | ×1.034 | ×0.942 | 18.61% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.42% | ÷1.082 | ×0.810 | ×1.034 | ×0.942 | 9.06% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.21% | ÷1.053 | ×0.810 | ×1.034 | ×0.942 | 0.91% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.58% | ÷1.223 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.942 | 4.55% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 145, 1B 111, 2B 116, 3B 111, K 92, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.034.
Result: wOBA .445 → .315; ISO .304 → .189; BABIP .385 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 AAANew Orleans Zephyrs · 502 PAwOBA .332 → .259 (−74)K% 22.3% → 28.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.31% | ÷1.000 | ×1.290 | — | — | 28.78% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.17% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.952 | 4.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.39% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.952 | 3.16% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.85% | ÷1.000 | ×0.900 | ×1.023 | ×0.952 | 18.27% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.65% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×1.023 | ×0.952 | 5.24% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.30% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×1.023 | ×0.952 | 0.24% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.74% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.952 | 4.26% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.
Result: wOBA .332 → .259; ISO .183 → .133; BABIP .291 → .245. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2008 AAALas Vegas 51s · 563 PAwOBA .412 → .338 (−74)K% 14.6% → 18.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.56% | ÷1.000 | ×1.290 | — | — | 18.79% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.83% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.962 | 7.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.49% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.962 | 2.34% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.31% | ÷1.000 | ×0.900 | ×1.050 | ×0.962 | 20.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.02% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×0.962 | 7.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.25% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×0.962 | 0.21% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.52% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.962 | 4.89% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .412 → .338; ISO .241 → .188; BABIP .333 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .